Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 March 2010 at 22:19:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.40     3.21    48.44    22.12    60.42    99.01    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.57     3.63    54.85    45.20    74.24    99.23    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.76     3.54    52.61    32.66    65.12    99.15    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.86     3.59    31.09     0.01     0.14     1.57    49.32    92.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      65.05     3.61    23.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.90    63.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.51     4.22    21.58     0.01     0.07     0.72    23.83    71.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   50  +17      66.07     3.88    22.36     0.00     0.01     0.25    17.05    69.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   45   +6      57.18     3.63     7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.16     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   44   -3      54.61     3.58    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.35     3.85     1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.36     3.38    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   34   -6      43.14     3.57    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.71     3.80   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.12     2.93   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.08  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.57     2.82   -39.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.29R    0.93  
Wolverhampton   30   28  -24      35.94     3.42   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.46R    1.64  
West_Ham        30   27  -14      37.85     3.56   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.24R    0.41  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.18     3.23   -38.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R   37.09  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.19     3.59   -39.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.14R   19.25  
Portsmouth      30   22  -25      29.44     3.37   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.02R   40.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Blackpool vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        37   77  +43      95.80     3.79    52.82    86.73    99.73   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   75  +34      90.20     3.71    40.84    13.19    96.46   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   67  +21      80.77     3.66    25.02     0.07     3.19    99.95    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   61   +6      73.07     3.64     7.78     0.00     0.02    88.74    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      75.90     4.31    14.14     0.01     0.58    95.71    22.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.68     4.32    18.71     0.00     0.02    81.58    18.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   53   +3      64.34     3.67     3.40     0.00     0.00    10.84     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   52   +4      62.90     3.71     4.16     0.00     0.00     5.62     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        38   51   +6      62.57     3.75     6.75     0.00     0.00     4.93     1.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   50   +7      62.24     3.72     8.80     0.00     0.00     4.09     0.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.92     3.90    -9.41     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.24P    0.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   49   -2      60.12     4.00    -3.48     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.24P    0.18R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   49  -10      60.19     3.96   -12.09     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.23R    0.00  
Reading          36   48   -3      60.68     4.28    -4.81     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.43P    0.21R    0.00  
Preston          38   48   -8      58.66     3.78    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.49R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -6      56.44     3.57    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.31R    0.00  
Bristol_City     38   46  -12      56.14     3.77   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    3.07R    0.00  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.77     4.02    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    2.25R    0.00  
Derby            38   44  -11      53.72     3.79   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.95R    0.02  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.52     4.57    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    6.16R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       37   41  -23      50.68     3.87   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.23R    0.51  
Sheff_Wed        38   40  -18      48.84     3.66   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.98R    0.94  
Plymouth         37   34  -17      43.47     3.81   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41R   18.28  
Peterborough     38   30  -21      38.19     3.62   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   80.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Charlton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      97.98     3.72    50.65    92.22    99.77   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.47     4.20    39.25     7.56    79.60    99.83    86.53P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.68     4.11    19.32     0.04     2.81    76.89    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.89     3.94    14.26     0.05     4.33    85.21    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.40     4.12    26.70     0.11     9.58    92.00    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   63  +15      80.27     4.23    20.40     0.02     3.25    80.27    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.08     4.08    23.66     0.00     0.66    57.17    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.52     3.90    -2.97     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.54     4.02    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   50  +28      70.43     4.09    38.66     0.00     0.00     6.93     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.86     3.53    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -3      61.80     4.31    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.96     3.73    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.64     4.10    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Brentford        34   43   -2      59.61     4.70    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.25R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.53     3.76   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.69     4.00   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.32R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   39  -11      51.75     4.21   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.88     3.79   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.83R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.84     3.81   -32.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.86R    0.07  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.24     3.96   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.19R    0.01  
Southend         36   34  -16      45.63     4.02   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.39R    0.23  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.95     3.84   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R    3.33  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.92     3.41   -46.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.35  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      95.99     3.89    54.58    83.91    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         34   64  +42      89.38     4.39    56.22    16.05    98.92    99.99    99.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.29     3.96     9.88     0.01    42.51    94.00    55.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   62   +9      76.79     4.31    10.50     0.02    29.41    86.88    44.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.19     4.13     4.21     0.00    11.46    69.63    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.26     4.06     1.88     0.00     6.37    60.60    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.76     4.04    11.41     0.00     3.02    41.83    13.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.31     4.08     7.96     0.00     1.18    28.75     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.67     3.97     6.13     0.00     0.65    22.03     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            36   54   +8      70.39     4.35    12.12     0.00     2.97    40.11    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.67     4.11    11.69     0.00     0.21     9.88     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   53   -2      70.24     4.67     1.23     0.00     3.18    35.66    10.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.53     4.13     4.00     0.00     0.05     5.15     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   50   +1      64.45     4.21     1.89     0.00     0.08     5.15     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.72     4.13    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             36   46   -7      57.84     4.30   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.78     3.74   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.78     4.28   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.10     3.83   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   39   -9      52.90     4.33    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.44R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.79     3.92    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.46R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.62     4.07   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.14R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.22     3.77   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.33R    0.05  
Darlington           34   16  -47      22.38     3.51   -65.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +44      98.07     3.99    53.86    73.22   100.00    83.61P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   72  +22      86.44     3.47    27.79     0.42    96.68    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.32     4.51    44.65    26.15    99.87    50.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   66  +33      83.43     4.16    39.07     0.18    83.90    22.29P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      82.08     4.05    23.64     0.03    72.26    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   62  +18      72.54     3.81    17.28     0.00     3.58     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      75.59     3.95    16.98     0.00    11.42     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.52     4.26    32.73     0.00    30.42     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.27     4.22    -4.68     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   53  +12      64.34     3.99    10.86     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51  +11      69.38     4.89    14.01     0.00     1.54     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49   +8      63.05     3.96    10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   45   +2      58.66     4.19     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.89     3.93   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      52.99     3.77    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             37   43  -14      53.39     3.87   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   41   -9      53.35     4.21   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   38  -31      45.02     3.07   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.69R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   35  -22      43.07     3.68   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.24R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   35  -29      42.93     3.49   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.84R    0.00  
Barrow             32   34  -17      50.53     5.21   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.00  
Forest_Green       36   33  -27      45.24     4.24   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.13R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     36   20  -45      25.51     3.17   -59.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.55  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.44     5.85   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.45  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1