Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 March 2010 at 22:19:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Wigan vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.63     3.62    54.90    46.70    76.09    99.34    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.67     3.54    52.51    32.21    65.48    98.97    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.04     3.35    49.31    21.08    58.21    98.70    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.35     3.88    30.18     0.00     0.10     1.13    32.38    82.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      64.96     3.60    23.63     0.00     0.00     0.08    10.17    61.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.35     4.24    21.34     0.01     0.05     0.76    23.33    68.72     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   49  +17      67.86     4.01    24.48     0.00     0.07     1.03    34.29    82.30     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      55.94     3.84    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.54     3.85     7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.63     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.40     3.84     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.70     3.69    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.68     3.79   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.62     3.13   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.05  
Sunderland      29   31   -8      41.52     3.82   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.02  
Wigan           30   28  -31      35.45     3.16   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.10R    3.54  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.14     3.70   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.32  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      35.05     3.49   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.12R    2.89  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.33     3.53   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.15R   21.68  
Hull            29   24  -34      32.88     3.77   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.33R   14.62  
Portsmouth      29   19  -26      28.16     3.66   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.93R   56.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 March 2010, Newcastle vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        36   76  +43      97.04     4.04    54.11    90.99    99.86   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   72  +33      89.66     3.94    41.70     8.95    95.63   100.00    97.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     37   64  +20      80.10     3.88    25.53     0.06     3.60    99.73    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      75.96     4.32    14.26     0.00     0.78    94.50    22.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   60   +6      73.26     3.93     7.63     0.00     0.08    85.02    19.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.73     4.31    18.84     0.00     0.05    78.32    18.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +3      64.38     3.92     2.85     0.00     0.00    10.82     1.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   51   +4      63.60     4.00     4.65     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   50   +6      63.33     3.97     7.31     0.00     0.00     7.15     1.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.85     3.91    -9.57     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.23P    0.12R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   49   +7      63.18     3.99     9.63     0.00     0.00     6.71     1.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   49   -9      61.42     4.23   -11.26     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.39P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   48   -2      59.96     4.21    -4.19     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.28P    0.24R    0.00  
Preston          37   48   -7      59.09     3.92    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.37R    0.00  
Reading          35   47   -3      60.44     4.52    -5.78     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.39P    0.33R    0.00  
Bristol_City     37   45  -12      55.72     3.98   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.25R    0.01  
QPR              36   44   -5      57.11     4.30    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P    2.10R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   44   -7      55.09     3.85    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.95R    0.02  
Derby            37   43  -11      54.00     4.09   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     8.86R    0.03  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.55     4.56    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    5.46R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        37   39  -18      49.49     3.98   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.93R    1.37  
Scunthorpe       36   38  -24      49.29     4.17   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.36R    2.63  
Plymouth         36   34  -16      44.59     4.09   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.96R   15.34  
Peterborough     37   30  -20      38.63     3.76   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.96R   80.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 March 2010, Tranmere vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.47     3.99    50.88    92.54    99.51   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.49     4.17    39.26     7.04    75.51    99.85    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.92     4.35    20.68     0.10     4.95    85.01    23.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   66  +12      81.09     4.18    13.97     0.09     4.41    86.82    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.44     4.12    26.79     0.11     8.65    92.85    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.96     4.50    21.88     0.12     6.74    88.96    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.32     4.38    21.44     0.00     0.23    39.42     9.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.17     4.17     0.55     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   52   -4      64.12     4.21    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   47  +25      68.60     4.40    35.19     0.00     0.00     3.56     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   47   -3      57.12     3.82    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   44   -3      56.08     4.06    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.91     4.58    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      53.14     4.05    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.00  
Brighton         36   41   -9      54.58     4.34    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Brentford        33   40   -3      58.05     4.95    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.93R    0.00  
Oldham           35   40  -11      52.59     4.33   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.81R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   39  -11      51.83     4.24   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.81R    0.01  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.34     3.98   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.62R    0.04  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.77     3.80   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.82R    0.23  
Exeter           36   36  -14      47.39     4.23   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.43R    0.11  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.16     4.33   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.69R    0.49  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.41     4.11   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.28R    5.53  
Stockport        36   24  -36      32.07     3.71   -46.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   93.60  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.78     4.16    52.94    80.74    99.95   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          36   64   +8      80.38     4.23    11.90     0.35    58.39    97.25    68.35P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         33   61  +41      88.44     4.68    56.60    18.88    97.12    99.94    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.60     4.33     2.85     0.00     9.59    70.82    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.23     4.39     3.72     0.01     9.61    68.39    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   59   +8      75.41     4.59     9.84     0.02    16.17    77.22    31.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.28     4.33     9.59     0.00     1.24    29.63     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.11     4.28     8.20     0.00     1.55    34.86    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   53   +0      71.34     4.88     2.70     0.00     4.30    44.37    13.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.30     4.36    12.03     0.00     0.31    13.32     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   52   +6      65.87     4.39     5.86     0.00     0.15    10.62     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   52   +3      67.75     4.35     6.02     0.00     0.39    18.61     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.60     4.63     9.83     0.00     1.06    26.46     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      64.91     4.49     2.05     0.00     0.15     7.41     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.38     4.35    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.48     4.60    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.16     4.53    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   39  -18      48.35     3.94   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.68     4.50   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Hereford             36   38  -18      49.19     4.09   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.79     4.22    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.99R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.63     4.32   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.44R    0.01  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.88     3.95   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.49R    0.54  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.35     3.74   -64.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +44      98.19     3.95    54.13    74.83   100.00    84.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.19     4.50    44.47    24.65    99.86    49.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   69  +17      84.68     3.80    22.42     0.17    86.77    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      84.03     4.41    39.38     0.32    82.38    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      82.14     4.02    23.72     0.03    68.64    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   59  +13      70.45     4.03    11.55     0.00     1.22     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          36   59  +13      78.47     4.15    21.23     0.00    31.17     6.39P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.58     4.28    32.94     0.00    28.26     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.10     4.20    -4.92     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   52  +12      64.73     4.27    10.98     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51  +11      69.41     4.90    14.08     0.00     1.40     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   48   +8      63.38     4.21    10.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      59.05     4.46     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      54.01     3.97   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.05     3.79    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             36   43   -9      55.40     4.19   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   41   -9      53.46     4.20   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.18     3.33   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.73R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   35  -22      43.00     3.67   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.37R    0.00  
Barrow             32   34  -17      50.34     5.16   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.83     3.80   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       35   30  -29      42.19     4.33   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.04R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.34     3.39   -60.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    8.67  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.26     5.82   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   91.33  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1