Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 March 2010 at 22:19:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Wigan vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.67     3.62    54.99    46.41    75.95    99.33    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.74     3.55    52.67    32.63    65.61    99.07    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.07     3.32    49.38    20.95    58.20    98.86    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.33     3.87    30.15     0.00     0.10     0.98    32.57    82.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      64.93     3.61    23.55     0.00     0.00     0.09    10.25    61.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.27     4.23    21.19     0.01     0.07     0.66    22.71    68.49     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   49  +17      67.86     4.05    24.48     0.00     0.07     1.02    34.53    82.41     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      55.96     3.86    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.58     3.85     7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.73     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.38     3.81     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.61     3.68    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.67     3.78   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.55     3.11   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.06  
Sunderland      29   31   -8      41.53     3.83   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.02  
Wigan           30   28  -31      35.33     3.15   -39.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.76R    3.54  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.15     3.68   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.81R    0.28  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      35.08     3.54   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.05R    2.92  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.38     3.55   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.58R   21.48  
Hull            29   24  -34      33.02     3.77   -38.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.61R   13.80  
Portsmouth      29   19  -26      28.11     3.64   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.55R   57.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 March 2010, Newcastle vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        36   76  +43      97.08     4.00    54.15    91.14    99.87   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   72  +33      89.63     3.97    41.65     8.81    95.31   100.00    96.92P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     37   64  +20      80.09     3.90    25.49     0.04     3.77    99.72    35.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      75.98     4.31    14.25     0.00     0.93    94.89    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   60   +6      73.25     3.92     7.62     0.00     0.07    85.03    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.70     4.30    18.78     0.00     0.05    78.14    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +3      64.34     3.91     2.81     0.00     0.00    10.51     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   51   +4      63.63     3.98     4.70     0.00     0.00     8.26     1.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   50   +6      63.26     4.01     7.24     0.00     0.00     7.09     1.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.83     3.90    -9.51     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   49   +7      63.11     4.01     9.54     0.00     0.00     6.67     1.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   49   -9      61.36     4.22   -11.36     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.36P    0.12R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   48   -2      60.02     4.22    -4.10     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.33P    0.23R    0.00  
Preston          37   48   -7      59.08     3.96    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.07P    0.49R    0.00  
Reading          35   47   -3      60.44     4.47    -5.76     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.43P    0.32R    0.00  
Bristol_City     37   45  -12      55.73     3.96   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.38R    0.01  
QPR              36   44   -5      57.15     4.29    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    2.14R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   44   -7      55.08     3.84    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.14R    0.02  
Derby            37   43  -11      53.99     4.09   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.13R    0.06  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.54     4.54    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    5.81R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        37   39  -18      49.51     3.98   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.47R    1.19  
Scunthorpe       36   38  -24      49.37     4.17   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.88R    2.55  
Plymouth         36   34  -16      44.65     4.09   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.87R   15.54  
Peterborough     37   30  -20      38.63     3.78   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R   80.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 March 2010, Exeter vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.51     4.01    50.91    92.75    99.54   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.42     4.17    39.15     6.82    74.98    99.83    83.87P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.96     4.35    20.75     0.10     5.07    85.06    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   66  +12      81.03     4.19    13.89     0.09     4.58    86.33    19.44P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.44     4.10    26.78     0.11     8.61    93.04    34.28P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.97     4.49    21.92     0.12     6.99    89.02    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.32     4.38    21.45     0.00     0.23    39.62     9.93P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.16     4.17     0.51     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   52   -4      64.07     4.21    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   47  +25      68.61     4.42    35.23     0.00     0.00     3.61     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   47   -3      57.17     3.82    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   44   -3      56.14     4.05    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.97     4.57    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      53.05     4.06    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.85R    0.00  
Brighton         36   41   -9      54.65     4.37    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.28R    0.00  
Brentford        33   40   -3      58.10     4.93    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.83R    0.00  
Oldham           35   40  -11      52.59     4.32   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.19R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   38  -11      52.31     4.49   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.01  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.27     3.98   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.11R    0.04  
Tranmere         35   37  -25      47.21     4.11   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.79R    0.23  
Exeter           36   36  -14      47.38     4.24   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.14R    0.10  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.08     4.32   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.78R    0.51  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.42     4.09   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.46R    5.26  
Stockport        36   24  -36      32.00     3.69   -46.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   93.84  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.77     4.21    52.95    80.25    99.94   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          36   64   +8      80.31     4.23    11.82     0.37    58.30    97.13    68.08P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         33   61  +41      88.52     4.63    56.71    19.34    97.31    99.95    98.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.66     4.34     2.91     0.00     9.77    71.07    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.27     4.39     3.79     0.01     9.63    68.57    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   59   +8      75.33     4.62     9.74     0.02    15.71    76.68    31.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.16     4.33     9.38     0.00     1.14    28.78     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.10     4.27     8.19     0.00     1.53    34.82    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   53   +0      71.43     4.89     2.87     0.00     4.55    45.26    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.21     4.36    11.90     0.00     0.29    12.83     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   52   +6      65.94     4.39     5.99     0.00     0.19    10.62     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   52   +3      67.77     4.35     6.03     0.00     0.44    18.68     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.73     4.63    10.02     0.00     1.04    27.43     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      64.85     4.48     1.96     0.00     0.15     7.11     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.26     4.33    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.54     4.61    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.08     4.57    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   39  -18      48.34     3.93   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.73     4.52   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Hereford             36   38  -18      49.21     4.11   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.85     4.20    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.58     4.33   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.54R    0.00  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.90     3.95   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.43R    0.55  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.36     3.74   -64.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +44      98.16     3.95    54.11    74.18    99.99    84.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.37     4.45    44.73    25.32    99.84    50.71P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   69  +17      84.67     3.78    22.40     0.18    87.06    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      83.96     4.43    39.30     0.29    82.30    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      82.13     4.00    23.74     0.02    68.54    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   59  +13      70.37     4.01    11.45     0.00     1.17     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          36   59  +13      78.48     4.14    21.28     0.00    30.92     6.30P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.60     4.28    32.99     0.00    28.48     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.09     4.17    -4.94     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   52  +12      64.84     4.27    11.11     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51  +11      69.37     4.88    14.04     0.00     1.42     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   48   +8      63.30     4.18    10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      59.06     4.44     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.98     3.97   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.03     3.79    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             36   43   -9      55.49     4.20   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   41   -9      53.43     4.18   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.18     3.32   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.63R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   35  -22      43.02     3.68   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.93R    0.00  
Barrow             32   34  -17      50.38     5.20   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.90     3.78   -32.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.47R    0.00  
Forest_Green       35   30  -29      42.11     4.34   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.05R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.28     3.37   -60.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    8.88  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.32     5.81   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.12  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1