Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 March 2010 at 22:19:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Wigan vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.61     3.62    54.89    46.42    75.91    99.30    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.68     3.54    52.54    32.03    65.67    99.00    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.07     3.35    49.43    21.53    58.18    98.65    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.40     3.88    30.24     0.01     0.09     1.06    32.65    82.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      64.99     3.60    23.66     0.00     0.00     0.11    10.10    61.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.34     4.26    21.29     0.01     0.07     0.81    23.05    68.84     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   49  +17      67.89     4.01    24.53     0.01     0.07     1.07    34.34    82.26     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      55.92     3.85    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.52     3.85     7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.56     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.40     3.81     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.61     3.67    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.64     3.77   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.59     3.12   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.05  
Sunderland      29   31   -8      41.51     3.82   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.02  
Wigan           30   28  -31      35.35     3.16   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.32R    3.80  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.17     3.68   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.29  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      35.02     3.49   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.36R    3.03  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.38     3.54   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.75R   21.31  
Hull            29   24  -34      32.96     3.81   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.40R   14.57  
Portsmouth      29   19  -26      28.19     3.64   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.08R   56.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Barnsley vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        35   73  +40      96.60     4.20    53.38    89.12    99.71   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   72  +33      89.61     3.95    41.60    10.79    95.38   100.00    96.92P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     37   64  +20      80.02     3.86    25.39     0.08     3.78    99.75    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      76.03     4.30    14.31     0.01     0.98    94.85    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   60   +6      73.22     3.92     7.56     0.00     0.08    84.86    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.76     4.30    18.88     0.00     0.08    78.46    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +3      64.31     3.94     2.80     0.00     0.00    10.38     1.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   51   +4      63.58     4.01     4.61     0.00     0.00     7.82     1.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   50   +6      63.30     4.03     7.27     0.00     0.00     7.13     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.95     3.92    -9.36     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.23P    0.12R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   49   +7      63.11     4.00     9.55     0.00     0.00     6.58     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   49   -9      61.41     4.23   -11.31     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.40P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   48   -2      60.03     4.24    -4.09     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.29P    0.27R    0.00  
Preston          37   48   -7      59.06     3.96    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.08P    0.47R    0.00  
Reading          35   47   -3      60.40     4.51    -5.81     0.00     0.00     2.59     0.39P    0.36R    0.00  
Bristol_City     37   45  -12      55.77     4.02   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.64R    0.01  
QPR              36   44   -5      57.11     4.28    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    2.18R    0.01  
Ipswich          37   44   -7      55.18     3.83    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.86R    0.02  
Derby            37   43  -11      53.93     4.11   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.45R    0.05  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.56     4.53    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    5.73R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        37   39  -18      49.41     3.95   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.20R    1.17  
Scunthorpe       35   38  -21      49.72     4.27   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.05R    2.50  
Plymouth         36   34  -16      44.64     4.10   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.60R   15.15  
Peterborough     37   30  -20      38.62     3.80   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R   81.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Brighton vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.43     4.01    50.81    92.43    99.54   100.00    99.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.39     4.20    39.12     7.14    75.01    99.85    83.90P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.98     4.33    20.83     0.11     4.98    85.65    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   66  +12      81.11     4.17    14.03     0.09     4.72    86.95    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.40     4.13    26.75     0.10     8.83    92.60    33.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.93     4.49    21.87     0.13     6.71    88.71    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.26     4.38    21.35     0.00     0.21    38.92     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.19     4.19     0.56     0.00     0.00     3.29     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   52   -3      65.51     4.49    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   47  +25      68.49     4.42    35.03     0.00     0.00     3.40     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   47   -3      57.13     3.82    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   44   -3      56.09     4.06    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.89     4.54    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      53.11     4.08    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.28R    0.00  
Brighton         36   41   -9      54.61     4.34    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Brentford        33   40   -3      58.09     4.97    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.86R    0.00  
Oldham           35   40  -11      52.65     4.32   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.19R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   38  -11      52.38     4.49   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.66R    0.01  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.36     4.00   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R    0.03  
Tranmere         35   37  -25      47.25     4.11   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.27R    0.27  
Exeter           35   33  -15      45.66     4.48   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.73R    0.43  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.19     4.33   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.59R    0.45  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.39     4.12   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R    5.34  
Stockport        36   24  -36      32.02     3.70   -46.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   93.47  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.87     4.18    53.13    81.55    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          36   64   +8      80.30     4.22    11.78     0.34    57.90    97.09    67.81P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         33   61  +41      88.35     4.70    56.41    18.08    96.97    99.95    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.58     4.31     2.81     0.00     9.51    70.63    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.30     4.38     3.80     0.01     9.90    68.99    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   59   +8      75.48     4.65     9.96     0.03    16.72    77.48    32.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.21     4.32     9.47     0.00     1.15    28.95     8.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.12     4.26     8.22     0.00     1.49    34.86    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   53   +0      71.25     4.88     2.57     0.00     4.35    43.62    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.29     4.36    12.03     0.00     0.35    13.30     4.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   52   +6      65.88     4.42     5.88     0.00     0.18    10.84     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            36   52   +3      67.79     4.38     6.11     0.00     0.42    19.01     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.64     4.61     9.88     0.00     0.96    26.77     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      64.97     4.48     2.15     0.00     0.14     7.43     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.42     4.33    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.50     4.61    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.06     4.54    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   39  -18      48.36     3.94   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.62     4.50   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Hereford             36   38  -18      49.29     4.11   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.89     4.19    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.53     4.33   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74R    0.00  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.84     3.94   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.56R    0.52  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.39     3.76   -64.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 March 2010, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +44      98.13     3.96    53.99    73.68   100.00    84.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.40     4.46    44.80    25.78    99.86    50.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   69  +17      84.69     3.82    22.45     0.18    86.89    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      84.07     4.41    39.44     0.34    82.89    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      82.11     4.00    23.71     0.02    68.75    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   59  +13      70.41     4.00    11.51     0.00     1.15     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          36   59  +13      78.47     4.13    21.27     0.00    31.07     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.50     4.29    32.79     0.00    27.71     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.13     4.20    -4.90     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   52  +12      64.75     4.28    11.03     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   51  +11      69.34     4.91    14.02     0.00     1.39     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   48   +8      63.30     4.20    10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      59.02     4.47     2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.99     3.95   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.00     3.78    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             36   43   -9      55.41     4.20   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   41   -9      53.42     4.18   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.17     3.33   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   35  -22      43.03     3.69   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.37R    0.00  
Barrow             32   34  -17      50.52     5.23   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.87     3.78   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.24R    0.00  
Forest_Green       35   30  -29      42.23     4.35   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.80R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.42     3.41   -60.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.20  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.05     5.83   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.80  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1