Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 March 2010 at 22:19:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 March 2010, Liverpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.63     3.62    54.94    46.27    75.92    99.41    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.75     3.51    52.63    32.89    66.08    99.21    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.03     3.34    49.28    20.83    57.78    98.81    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.33     3.88    30.15     0.01     0.09     1.03    35.32    84.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      64.89     3.62    23.51     0.00     0.00     0.10    11.27    63.05     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.31     4.24    21.30     0.00     0.09     0.76    25.08    70.82     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   46  +16      66.81     4.28    24.24     0.00     0.04     0.69    28.29    76.31     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      56.02     3.88    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.50     3.87     7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     3.05     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.43     3.83     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.63     3.67    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.73     3.80   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.60     3.11   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.06  
Sunderland      29   31   -8      41.58     3.83   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48R    0.02  
Wigan           29   28  -30      36.14     3.38   -39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.41R    2.67  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.16     3.70   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.40R    0.31  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      34.99     3.50   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.01R    3.08  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.34     3.51   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.27R   21.36  
Hull            29   24  -34      32.94     3.79   -38.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.69R   14.75  
Portsmouth      29   19  -26      28.16     3.65   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.41R   57.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        35   73  +40      96.44     4.20    53.16    92.72    99.51   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   69  +31      87.75     4.20    39.28     6.80    84.23   100.00    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   64  +21      81.90     4.14    27.09     0.48    14.48    99.85    43.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   60   +8      74.95     4.18    10.09     0.00     0.83    92.09    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   57  +10      74.13     4.57    13.02     0.00     0.86    87.26    20.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52  +13      70.03     4.57    17.76     0.00     0.09    64.10    14.42P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   50   +9      64.91     4.24    10.65     0.00     0.00    16.85     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   50   -6      62.47     4.19    -8.11     0.00     0.00     5.53     0.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   49   +0      62.46     4.19    -0.61     0.00     0.00     6.45     0.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   48   +7      63.60     4.27     9.75     0.00     0.00    10.72     2.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        36   48   +3      62.00     4.25     3.68     0.00     0.00     5.15     0.92P    0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   -1      61.41     4.48    -2.99     0.00     0.00     4.75     0.80P    0.09R    0.00  
Preston          36   47   -7      60.01     4.27    -8.33     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.22P    0.46R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   46  -10      59.20     4.44   -13.09     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.19P    0.80R    0.00  
Bristol_City     36   45  -11      56.90     4.21   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    2.76R    0.02  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.36     4.56    -5.16     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.19P    1.31R    0.00  
Reading          34   44   -4      59.09     4.81    -6.40     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.35P    1.15R    0.01  
Ipswich          36   44   -6      56.38     4.12    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    2.34R    0.01  
Derby            36   42  -11      54.32     4.33   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.93R    0.11  
Watford          34   39   -7      54.21     4.81    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    9.86R    0.24  
Sheff_Wed        36   38  -18      49.19     4.18   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.87R    2.33  
Scunthorpe       35   38  -21      49.60     4.27   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.72R    3.00  
Plymouth         35   31  -17      42.87     4.34   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   30.82  
Peterborough     36   30  -19      40.07     4.09   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.84R   63.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.54     4.01    50.96    92.61    99.63   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.49     4.18    39.32     7.07    77.36    99.88    85.25P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.94     4.33    20.70     0.10     5.06    86.59    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.41     4.12    26.79     0.09     8.93    93.23    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.97     4.50    21.96     0.10     7.04    89.60    28.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   63  +11      78.35     4.41    11.11     0.03     1.73    68.38    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.18     4.38    21.22     0.00     0.25    42.37    10.18P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.13     4.16     0.48     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   52   -3      65.50     4.51    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   47  +26      71.07     4.61    38.04     0.00     0.00    14.65     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           36   44   -2      57.29     4.30    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   44   -4      55.75     4.12    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.97     4.57    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      52.94     4.03   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.00  
Brentford        32   40   +0      60.04     5.20     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.29R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   38  -11      52.28     4.47   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.02  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.37     3.97   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.37R    0.06  
Brighton         35   38  -12      52.50     4.57   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.13R    0.01  
Oldham           34   37  -12      50.81     4.54   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.52R    0.04  
Tranmere         35   37  -25      47.29     4.12   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.43R    0.48  
Exeter           35   33  -15      45.75     4.52   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.35R    1.01  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.02     4.32   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.67R    0.98  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.50     4.12   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.49R    8.99  
Stockport        35   24  -35      33.46     4.00   -45.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   88.41  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 March 2010, Notts_County vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.82     4.17    53.09    81.01    99.92   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          36   64   +8      80.28     4.22    11.77     0.32    53.78    97.20    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         33   61  +41      88.40     4.68    56.50    18.55    96.51    99.95    98.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.61     4.30     2.85     0.01     8.82    71.51    22.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.30     4.37     3.82     0.01     8.73    69.36    21.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   59   +9      76.95     4.90    11.09     0.10    25.14    84.32    40.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.25     4.34     9.54     0.00     1.11    29.86     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.16     4.27     8.26     0.00     1.38    35.92    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.28     4.40    12.04     0.00     0.29    13.49     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.56     4.63     9.74     0.00     0.97    26.11     8.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            35   51   +3      68.50     4.61     6.57     0.00     0.71    24.99     7.19P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   50   -1      69.51     5.14     1.39     0.00     2.38    31.52     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   49   +5      64.36     4.68     5.00     0.00     0.09     7.13     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      64.92     4.49     2.05     0.00     0.13     7.45     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.40     4.34    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.47     4.61    -7.74     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.01     4.54    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.66     4.54   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Hereford             35   38  -17      50.60     4.45   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   38  -18      48.39     4.16   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.85     4.21    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.61     4.33   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79R    0.00  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.88     3.96   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.52R    0.54  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.36     3.78   -64.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.65     4.11    54.86    71.04    99.99    82.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.41     4.50    44.76    28.47    99.86    52.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +15      83.15     4.10    20.47     0.11    75.76    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      83.98     4.41    39.27     0.35    82.68    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      80.27     4.29    22.46     0.02    51.58    10.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          35   59  +15      80.17     4.37    23.79     0.01    51.48    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   59  +14      71.83     4.29    12.63     0.00     3.67     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.59     4.28    32.92     0.00    30.57     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.12     4.17    -4.92     0.00     0.26     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      70.97     5.10    16.41     0.00     4.12     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      62.68     4.49     8.41     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   45   +6      61.87     4.49     9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   44   +3      60.93     4.71     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.96     3.93   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.15     3.82    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             35   43   -8      55.70     4.31   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.54     4.47    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.20     3.33   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.51R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.86     3.76   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.63R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   32  -24      41.42     3.93   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.30R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.14     5.41   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.37R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.52     4.60   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.16R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.31     3.40   -60.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    8.48  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.15     5.81   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.52  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1