Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 March 2010 at 22:19:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 March 2010, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.51     3.64    54.76    45.27    74.82    99.37    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.73     3.53    52.61    32.87    65.91    99.18    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.10     3.35    49.47    21.85    59.08    98.83    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.33     3.90    30.14     0.01     0.09     1.05    36.20    85.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.38     4.24    21.35     0.00     0.05     0.82    26.56    73.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.35     3.83    22.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     9.50    58.63     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   46  +16      66.67     4.33    24.02     0.00     0.05     0.68    27.72    76.56     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      55.95     3.85    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.55     3.86     7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     3.35     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.44     3.79     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.64     3.71    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.69     3.78   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.63     3.13   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.05  
Sunderland      29   31   -8      41.59     3.83   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.03  
Wigan           29   28  -30      36.12     3.40   -39.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.54R    3.07  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.12     3.65   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.59R    0.33  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      35.02     3.50   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.61R    3.36  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.33     3.54   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.46R   24.03  
Hull            29   24  -34      33.00     3.78   -38.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.35R   15.33  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.58     3.78   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.30R   53.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        35   73  +40      96.57     4.21    53.37    93.06    99.46   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   69  +31      87.74     4.20    39.26     6.43    84.54   100.00    89.62P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   64  +21      81.87     4.14    27.10     0.50    14.33    99.81    43.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   60   +8      75.11     4.19    10.30     0.00     0.86    92.33    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   57  +10      74.10     4.59    12.99     0.01     0.75    87.08    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52  +13      70.04     4.57    17.72     0.00     0.06    64.42    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   50   +9      64.82     4.28    10.49     0.00     0.00    16.57     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   50   -6      62.45     4.23    -8.13     0.00     0.00     5.76     0.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   49   +0      62.47     4.18    -0.59     0.00     0.00     6.25     1.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   48   +7      63.66     4.26     9.82     0.00     0.00    10.97     2.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        36   48   +3      61.94     4.27     3.60     0.00     0.00     4.99     0.86P    0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   -1      61.54     4.49    -2.82     0.00     0.00     4.97     0.86P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston          36   47   -7      60.01     4.22    -8.33     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.19P    0.43R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   46  -10      59.23     4.46   -13.07     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.75R    0.00  
Bristol_City     36   45  -11      56.91     4.22   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    2.62R    0.01  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.34     4.55    -5.16     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.20P    1.26R    0.00  
Reading          34   44   -4      58.94     4.77    -6.62     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.30P    1.16R    0.01  
Ipswich          36   44   -6      56.33     4.10    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    2.42R    0.01  
Derby            36   42  -11      54.28     4.35   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.25R    0.08  
Watford          34   39   -7      54.13     4.80    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   10.16R    0.29  
Sheff_Wed        36   38  -18      49.23     4.18   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.64R    2.29  
Scunthorpe       35   38  -21      49.60     4.26   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.60R    3.11  
Plymouth         35   31  -17      42.87     4.37   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   30.92  
Peterborough     36   30  -19      40.06     4.10   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.70R   63.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.56     4.01    50.98    92.87    99.65   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.43     4.21    39.17     6.76    76.83    99.83    84.99P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.92     4.36    20.67     0.11     5.37    86.14    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.31     4.12    26.61     0.10     8.75    93.05    33.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.93     4.49    21.87     0.14     7.16    89.71    28.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   63  +11      78.43     4.43    11.26     0.03     1.98    68.69    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.25     4.36    21.33     0.00     0.25    42.95    10.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.27     4.19     0.71     0.00     0.00     4.42     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   52   -3      65.45     4.48    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   47  +26      70.98     4.63    37.96     0.00     0.01    14.16     5.24P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           36   44   -2      57.41     4.31    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   44   -4      55.70     4.14    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.93     4.57    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      52.99     4.05    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.86R    0.00  
Brentford        32   40   +0      59.96     5.19     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   38  -11      52.36     4.48   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.02  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.41     3.98   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R    0.06  
Brighton         35   38  -12      52.52     4.57   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.06R    0.01  
Oldham           34   37  -12      50.72     4.56   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.43R    0.07  
Tranmere         35   37  -25      47.29     4.14   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.58R    0.59  
Exeter           35   33  -15      45.78     4.50   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.96R    0.94  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.17     4.31   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R    0.93  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.37     4.11   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.25R    9.29  
Stockport        35   24  -35      33.40     3.99   -45.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   88.08  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.78     4.17    52.95    74.49    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.72     4.41    10.39     0.34    48.85    95.91    60.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.66     4.33     2.93     0.01    10.04    72.02    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      89.70     4.84    57.84    25.07    97.50    99.96    98.73P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.33     4.40     3.87     0.01    10.00    69.31    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   59   +9      76.81     4.88    10.89     0.08    25.75    83.92    40.55P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.20     4.32     9.49     0.00     1.17    29.55     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.16     4.26     8.30     0.00     1.53    35.92    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.28     4.36    12.03     0.00     0.31    13.43     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.53     4.64     9.73     0.00     1.04    26.55     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            35   51   +3      68.54     4.66     6.60     0.00     0.94    25.34     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   50   -1      69.56     5.10     1.51     0.00     2.69    32.09     9.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   49   +5      64.29     4.67     4.89     0.00     0.09     7.09     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      65.05     4.48     2.25     0.00     0.16     7.84     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.40     4.33    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.47     4.59    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.06     4.55    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.64     4.53   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Hereford             35   38  -17      50.68     4.43   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   38  -18      48.25     4.18   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.90     4.22    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.62     4.34   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    0.00  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.84     3.97   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.59R    0.58  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.40     3.78   -64.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.73     4.12    54.95    71.51   100.00    82.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.41     4.46    44.74    28.00    99.89    52.30P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +15      83.11     4.09    20.42     0.12    75.86    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      83.92     4.42    39.22     0.35    82.08    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      80.35     4.29    22.56     0.01    52.09    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          35   59  +15      80.30     4.36    23.97     0.00    51.93    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   59  +14      71.83     4.29    12.58     0.00     3.74     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.50     4.29    32.79     0.00    29.89     6.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.03     4.18    -5.04     0.00     0.25     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.04     5.13    16.51     0.00     4.23     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      62.61     4.51     8.33     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   45   +6      61.96     4.47     9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   44   +3      60.92     4.72     3.94     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.98     3.94   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.13     3.79    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             35   43   -8      55.71     4.32   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.49     4.45    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.21     3.34   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.82     3.78   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.39R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   32  -24      41.44     3.95   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.32R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.19     5.39   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.85R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.55     4.59   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.99R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.26     3.37   -60.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    8.48  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.15     5.80   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.52  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1