Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 March 2010 at 22:19:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Birmingham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.76     3.55    52.67    36.49    68.67    99.16    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   64  +38      81.08     3.34    49.46    24.49    62.19    98.60    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.76     3.84    53.05    38.99    68.79    98.56    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   52  +25      67.29     3.89    30.03     0.01     0.11     1.20    33.69    84.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.86     4.51    21.54     0.02     0.17     1.53    29.84    74.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.27     3.80    22.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     8.45    56.75     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   46  +16      66.86     4.32    24.33     0.00     0.07     0.85    28.18    77.53     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   44   -1      55.94     3.86    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   42   +4      56.42     3.87     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.98     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.17     4.00     3.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   36   -5      46.63     3.67    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.74     3.79   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Bolton          30   32  -18      38.64     3.14   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.06  
Sunderland      28   30   -8      41.88     4.14   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.05  
Wigan           29   28  -30      35.99     3.38   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.20R    3.29  
West_Ham        29   27  -12      38.13     3.68   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.26R    0.31  
Wolverhampton   29   27  -24      34.97     3.49   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.42R    3.55  
Burnley         30   24  -32      31.38     3.55   -38.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R   23.52  
Hull            29   24  -34      32.94     3.77   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.69R   15.65  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.59     3.75   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R   53.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        35   73  +40      96.55     4.20    53.33    92.94    99.52   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   69  +31      87.73     4.19    39.22     6.58    84.37   100.00    89.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   64  +21      81.90     4.16    27.12     0.47    14.37    99.85    43.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   60   +8      74.97     4.20    10.08     0.00     0.88    91.57    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   57  +10      74.01     4.59    12.83     0.01     0.77    86.60    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52  +13      70.08     4.57    17.82     0.00     0.08    64.77    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   50   +9      64.84     4.27    10.52     0.00     0.00    16.69     3.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         36   50   -6      62.48     4.23    -8.08     0.00     0.00     5.86     0.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   49   +0      62.46     4.21    -0.61     0.00     0.00     6.33     1.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   48   +7      63.64     4.30     9.81     0.00     0.00    10.96     2.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        36   48   +3      62.02     4.27     3.74     0.00     0.00     5.35     0.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   -1      61.49     4.47    -2.89     0.00     0.00     4.85     0.79P    0.11R    0.00  
Preston          36   47   -7      60.07     4.24    -8.25     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.24P    0.39R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   46  -10      59.21     4.44   -13.08     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.15P    0.78R    0.00  
Bristol_City     36   45  -11      56.98     4.20   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    2.58R    0.02  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.37     4.56    -5.15     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.21P    1.23R    0.00  
Reading          34   44   -4      59.03     4.78    -6.51     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.32P    1.13R    0.01  
Ipswich          36   44   -6      56.29     4.11    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.21R    0.01  
Derby            36   42  -11      54.29     4.39   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    8.28R    0.06  
Watford          34   39   -7      54.20     4.81    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    9.85R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed        36   38  -18      49.16     4.21   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.47R    2.37  
Scunthorpe       35   38  -21      49.61     4.27   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.23R    3.04  
Plymouth         35   31  -17      42.86     4.33   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   30.66  
Peterborough     36   30  -19      40.02     4.07   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.86R   63.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          36   78  +39      98.53     4.02    50.95    92.64    99.61   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.53     4.17    39.30     7.03    77.48    99.86    85.35P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   66  +19      80.96     4.34    20.73     0.12     5.12    86.56    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.36     4.11    26.66     0.09     8.63    93.20    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   63  +16      81.97     4.50    21.89     0.10     7.07    89.78    28.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   63  +11      78.34     4.42    11.07     0.02     1.81    67.96    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   58  +16      75.26     4.37    21.39     0.00     0.26    42.91    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   56   +2      69.20     4.18     0.57     0.00     0.00     4.27     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   52   -3      65.46     4.50    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   47  +26      71.04     4.62    38.09     0.00     0.00    14.37     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           36   44   -2      57.32     4.33    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   44   -4      55.75     4.12    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44   -4      59.92     4.60    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   41   -7      52.94     4.04   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94R    0.00  
Brentford        32   40   +0      60.14     5.22     1.54     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   38  -11      52.35     4.49   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.02  
Gillingham       36   38  -11      48.34     3.96   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.50R    0.08  
Brighton         35   38  -12      52.45     4.58   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.01  
Oldham           34   37  -12      50.68     4.57   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    0.04  
Tranmere         35   37  -25      47.29     4.11   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.53R    0.55  
Exeter           35   33  -15      45.75     4.51   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.12R    0.95  
Southend         35   33  -16      46.16     4.34   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.30R    0.93  
Wycombe          36   30  -25      40.41     4.12   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.85R    9.61  
Stockport        35   24  -35      33.48     4.02   -45.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   87.81  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             35   72  +40      94.72     4.17    52.89    74.36    99.94   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.84     4.38    10.58     0.33    49.87    96.08    61.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61   +3      74.58     4.35     2.82     0.01     9.49    71.16    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      89.67     4.88    57.77    25.22    97.53    99.97    98.72P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   60   +3      74.30     4.42     3.81     0.00     9.66    69.57    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   59   +9      76.85     4.87    10.92     0.08    25.52    84.34    40.69P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          36   55   +9      69.29     4.32     9.61     0.00     1.28    30.17     9.40P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   55   +6      70.09     4.24     8.18     0.00     1.46    35.26    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   52  +11      66.32     4.37    12.06     0.00     0.33    13.80     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   51   +6      68.61     4.64     9.82     0.00     1.10    27.14     8.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            35   51   +3      68.50     4.64     6.54     0.00     0.84    24.87     7.47P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   50   -1      69.53     5.16     1.44     0.00     2.75    32.10     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   49   +5      64.29     4.66     4.91     0.00     0.06     6.84     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   49   +1      64.89     4.52     2.02     0.00     0.17     7.58     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   47   +0      59.35     4.33    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   46   -5      59.49     4.60    -7.70     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         35   39   -7      54.05     4.54    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnet               35   38  -10      51.65     4.51   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Hereford             35   38  -17      50.66     4.40   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   38  -18      48.35     4.17   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.00  
Torquay              36   37   -3      48.82     4.17    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   34  -15      46.63     4.32   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.01  
Grimsby              36   28  -23      37.97     3.99   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.47R    0.58  
Darlington           33   16  -46      23.40     3.79   -64.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.71     4.12    54.98    71.12   100.00    82.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   71  +34      94.41     4.47    44.77    28.37    99.86    52.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +15      83.19     4.08    20.51     0.13    76.15    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   65  +33      83.92     4.39    39.24     0.36    82.43    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      80.33     4.31    22.53     0.01    51.86    10.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          35   59  +15      80.18     4.35    23.79     0.00    50.77    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   59  +14      71.82     4.29    12.57     0.00     3.65     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      77.61     4.25    32.96     0.00    30.62     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      68.12     4.18    -4.92     0.00     0.27     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      70.98     5.15    16.42     0.00     4.38     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      62.62     4.48     8.31     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   45   +6      62.00     4.48     9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   44   +3      61.00     4.72     4.05     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   44  -12      53.94     3.93   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   43   -7      53.09     3.80    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             35   43   -8      55.64     4.28   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.52     4.44    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   38  -26      46.24     3.34   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      43.95     3.77   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   32  -24      41.29     3.94   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.97R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.27     5.40   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.80R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.63     4.61   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.56R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     35   19  -45      25.27     3.40   -60.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    8.07  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.89     5.77   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.93  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1