Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 March 2010 at 22:19:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.92     3.80    53.36    43.15    73.63    98.70    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.42     3.68    52.28    35.49    68.56    98.51    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.33     3.59    50.00    21.32    57.18    97.61    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.91     4.07    30.24     0.01     0.15     1.53    30.87    81.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.54     4.57    20.90     0.02     0.23     1.71    27.26    72.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.19     3.86    21.98     0.00     0.00     0.12     8.87    56.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.35     4.55    24.59     0.01     0.23     1.82    33.08    79.77     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   43   -1      56.75     4.20    -0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     4.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.59     4.10     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     4.15     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.18     3.99     3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           28   35   -5      46.84     3.93    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      42.95     3.91   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   30   -8      41.91     4.15   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.05  
Bolton          29   29  -22      37.17     3.40   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.58R    0.88  
Wigan           28   28  -26      37.30     3.74   -35.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.45R    1.86  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.44     3.78   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.30R    0.40  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.54     3.72   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   16.46  
Burnley         29   24  -31      33.47     3.86   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.97R   11.67  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.25     3.93   -39.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.60R   14.76  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.72     3.77   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.12R   53.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.34     4.41    53.88    94.48    99.33   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   66  +30      86.77     4.44    39.23     4.17    69.11    99.99    79.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.86     4.40    28.97     1.34    29.00    99.91    53.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   59   +8      76.20     4.43    11.20     0.00     1.81    93.17    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.66     4.86    12.25     0.00     0.49    75.49    16.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   52  +14      71.19     4.84    18.50     0.00     0.25    68.36    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.56     4.49    10.50     0.00     0.00    19.70     4.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.46     4.49    -7.17     0.00     0.00     8.37     1.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   48   +0      63.39     4.51     0.26     0.00     0.00     9.10     1.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.57     4.52     9.20     0.00     0.00    10.56     2.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   47   -1      61.74     4.74    -3.10     0.00     0.00     5.29     0.91P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   45   +2      60.75     4.56     3.25     0.00     0.00     3.06     0.58P    0.28R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   45   -9      58.17     4.47   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    1.68R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.79     4.72   -12.79     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.22P    0.78R    0.00  
Preston          35   44   -8      57.79     4.50   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    2.09R    0.00  
QPR              34   43   -4      58.24     4.84    -6.02     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.22P    1.98R    0.01  
Derby            35   42  -10      55.14     4.57   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    6.67R    0.02  
Reading          33   41   -6      57.52     5.06    -8.37     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.16P    3.16R    0.02  
Ipswich          35   41   -7      55.07     4.36    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    5.92R    0.03  
Watford          33   39   -6      56.60     5.09    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.12P    4.99R    0.08  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.69     4.49   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.47R    0.99  
Sheff_Wed        35   37  -18      48.87     4.36   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.27R    1.56  
Plymouth         34   30  -17      42.61     4.54   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.51R   21.65  
Peterborough     35   27  -20      37.48     4.26   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   75.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Carlisle vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.58     4.32    48.34    79.56    97.44   100.00    98.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   71  +33      90.98     4.46    40.52    18.81    79.54    99.89    86.51P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.72     4.59    25.41     0.71     8.55    92.71    30.13P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   63  +17      83.61     4.74    23.34     0.74     9.93    93.85    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   62  +17      80.51     4.41    22.31     0.11     3.23    84.47    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   60  +10      76.58     4.73     9.86     0.04     0.70    51.66     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.79     4.66    23.57     0.02     0.60    59.81    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      69.10     4.41     0.01     0.00     0.00     4.98     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.86     4.75    -4.13     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.36     4.93    36.95     0.00     0.00     9.53     3.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.50     4.82    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   41   -5      53.61     4.35    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.29     4.56    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.77     5.50     2.01     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      54.06     4.79    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   38   -9      51.22     4.30   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.33R    0.05  
Brighton         34   38  -11      54.19     4.88   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.95R    0.01  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.81     4.26   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.64R    0.20  
Oldham           33   36  -12      51.45     4.81   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.22R    0.07  
Tranmere         34   36  -25      46.85     4.36   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.68R    1.06  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.52     4.73   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.69R    1.52  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.92     4.65   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.51R    1.03  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.23     4.32   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.61R   12.23  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.90     4.28   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   83.83  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 March 2010, Lincoln_City vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.09     4.46    51.94    64.51    99.54   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.86     4.37    10.60     0.64    43.30    94.41    55.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61   +5      76.51     4.58     5.65     0.07    16.33    78.49    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      89.87     4.87    58.07    34.58    97.05    99.95    98.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   60   +8      76.87     4.64    10.62     0.11    21.19    81.54    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.93     5.09     9.45     0.09    13.00    67.14    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.42     4.52     9.15     0.00     2.59    40.62    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.69     4.50     9.35     0.00     0.74    21.72     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.49     4.89    11.60     0.00     2.33    36.27    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.28     4.88     8.20     0.00     2.02    32.85    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   49   +6      63.34     4.56     5.25     0.00     0.06     3.72     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.12     4.72     4.44     0.00     0.48    13.67     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.68     4.92     6.46     0.00     0.18    10.13     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   47   -2      67.82     5.41     0.27     0.01     1.19    18.68     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                35   46   +0      59.65     4.61    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   43   -6      57.43     4.84    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.22     4.79   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.27R    0.00  
Hereford             35   38  -17      50.63     4.40   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   38  -18      48.35     4.17   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.41     4.48    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Macclesfield         34   36   -9      51.78     4.76    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      43.96     4.49   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.22R    0.05  
Grimsby              35   27  -23      37.29     4.14   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.15R    1.07  
Darlington           32   16  -44      23.82     3.92   -64.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   98.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Crawley_Town vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.59     4.16    54.77    65.84   100.00    79.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   70  +34      95.25     4.71    45.27    33.89    99.88    57.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   63  +14      81.82     4.37    19.91     0.07    67.90    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      82.19     4.63    31.03     0.13    72.56    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   60  +16      80.77     4.61    22.76     0.07    59.84    12.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   58  +15      80.15     4.59    23.33     0.01    55.33    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.94     4.57    13.64     0.00     8.13     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   54  +22      76.89     4.50    32.47     0.00    30.42     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       35   52   -5      67.11     4.48    -4.92     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.06     5.14    16.50     0.00     5.53     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         34   48  +10      63.06     4.77     8.41     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   44   +4      62.02     4.94     4.65     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             34   43   -7      56.59     4.56   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      55.04     4.26   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   42   +5      60.65     4.79     8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           36   42   -7      52.86     4.05   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.43     4.46    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.01     3.59   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.24     3.92   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.96R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.69     4.18   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.38R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.15     5.43   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.97R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.45     4.61   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.17R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.14     3.69   -62.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    9.61  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.21     5.84   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   90.39  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1