Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 March 2010 at 22:19:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.91     3.82    53.36    42.73    73.04    98.67    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.44     3.68    52.32    35.26    68.21    98.45    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.40     3.59    50.12    21.97    58.18    97.60    99.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.89     4.08    30.17     0.01     0.12     1.55    30.64    81.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.55     4.59    20.95     0.03     0.26     1.71    27.51    72.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.26     3.84    22.07     0.00     0.00     0.12     9.00    57.16     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.33     4.59    24.56     0.01     0.19     1.91    33.10    79.38     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   43   -1      56.56     4.16    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     4.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.61     4.12     7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     4.22     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.11     3.99     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           28   35   -5      46.89     3.93    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      42.98     3.92   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   30   -8      41.94     4.16   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.03  
Bolton          29   29  -22      37.16     3.40   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.46R    0.87  
Wigan           28   28  -26      37.35     3.71   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.04R    1.74  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.41     3.80   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.75R    0.41  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.54     3.75   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.73R   16.80  
Burnley         29   24  -31      33.39     3.86   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.00R   12.13  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.30     3.97   -39.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.92R   14.68  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.78     3.78   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.92R   53.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.37     4.42    53.93    94.71    99.36   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   66  +30      86.67     4.43    39.11     4.05    68.93    99.98    79.62P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.80     4.39    28.93     1.23    29.00    99.89    54.10P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   59   +8      76.23     4.43    11.26     0.01     1.91    93.11    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.67     4.85    12.26     0.00     0.56    75.54    16.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   52  +14      71.20     4.79    18.54     0.00     0.23    68.78    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.50     4.50    10.41     0.00     0.00    19.36     3.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.49     4.51    -7.11     0.00     0.00     8.49     1.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   48   +0      63.30     4.49     0.12     0.00     0.00     8.61     1.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.69     4.50     9.39     0.00     0.00    10.83     2.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   47   -1      61.66     4.76    -3.23     0.00     0.00     5.39     0.99P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   45   +2      60.91     4.54     3.50     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.62P    0.25R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   45   -9      58.17     4.45   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.06P    1.71R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.80     4.67   -12.79     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.23P    0.68R    0.00  
Preston          35   44   -8      57.81     4.47   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P    1.96R    0.01  
QPR              34   43   -4      58.28     4.82    -5.95     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.18P    1.85R    0.01  
Derby            35   42  -10      55.14     4.56   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    6.37R    0.03  
Reading          33   41   -6      57.40     5.02    -8.61     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.15P    3.22R    0.03  
Ipswich          35   41   -7      55.15     4.39    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    5.57R    0.02  
Watford          33   39   -6      56.75     5.11    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.15P    4.43R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.59     4.48   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.35R    1.06  
Sheff_Wed        35   37  -18      48.72     4.34   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.76R    1.54  
Plymouth         34   30  -17      42.53     4.53   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.76R   22.49  
Peterborough     35   27  -20      37.57     4.30   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   74.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Carlisle vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.67     4.35    48.47    80.60    97.57   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   71  +33      90.84     4.44    40.31    17.76    78.83    99.90    85.90P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.71     4.60    25.39     0.81     8.82    92.77    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   63  +17      83.62     4.74    23.36     0.71    10.24    93.87    32.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   62  +17      80.54     4.42    22.32     0.08     3.34    84.52    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   60  +10      76.57     4.68     9.84     0.03     0.60    51.40     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.82     4.65    23.61     0.01     0.60    60.12    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      69.08     4.40    -0.01     0.00     0.00     4.96     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.81     4.75    -4.20     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.34     4.93    36.93     0.00     0.00     9.51     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.45     4.82    -0.59     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   41   -5      53.71     4.36    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.39R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.36     4.58    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.84     5.44     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      54.06     4.75    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.28R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   38   -9      51.19     4.31   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.66R    0.05  
Brighton         34   38  -11      54.07     4.85   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.09R    0.00  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.94     4.27   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.61R    0.16  
Oldham           33   36  -12      51.36     4.82   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.59R    0.07  
Tranmere         34   36  -25      46.79     4.35   -34.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.69R    1.12  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.70     4.75   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.46R    1.44  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.88     4.66   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.20R    0.95  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.25     4.32   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.52R   12.05  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.81     4.29   -45.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   84.14  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.14     4.47    52.04    64.30    99.60   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.93     4.40    10.67     0.56    44.13    94.67    56.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61   +5      76.44     4.57     5.54     0.06    15.74    78.10    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      90.00     4.82    58.33    34.93    97.39    99.97    98.55P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   60   +8      76.83     4.64    10.55     0.11    20.90    81.49    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.79     5.10     9.24     0.03    12.62    66.23    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.34     4.46     8.98     0.00     2.39    40.24    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.81     4.51     9.54     0.00     0.78    22.87     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.47     4.95    11.58     0.00     2.55    36.81    11.98P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.20     4.86     8.08     0.00     2.02    32.68    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   49   +6      63.45     4.59     5.39     0.00     0.08     4.03     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.06     4.71     4.35     0.00     0.46    13.48     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.70     4.90     6.50     0.00     0.19    10.20     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   47   -2      67.75     5.42     0.18     0.00     1.16    18.38     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                35   46   +0      59.75     4.59    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   43   -6      57.30     4.85    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.16     4.84   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.35     4.73   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.40     4.49    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Macclesfield         34   36   -9      51.88     4.81    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.26     4.38   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.54R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      43.95     4.49   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.72R    0.03  
Grimsby              35   27  -23      37.30     4.15   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.73R    1.11  
Darlington           32   16  -44      23.87     3.92   -64.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   98.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Crawley_Town vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.56     4.14    54.70    65.46    99.99    80.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   70  +34      95.28     4.72    45.33    34.28    99.91    57.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   63  +14      81.73     4.39    19.77     0.08    67.39    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      82.22     4.62    31.08     0.14    73.10    17.51P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   60  +16      80.72     4.59    22.69     0.03    59.87    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   58  +15      80.06     4.59    23.20     0.01    54.76    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.96     4.55    13.68     0.00     8.19     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   54  +22      76.86     4.52    32.44     0.00    30.68     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       35   52   -5      67.11     4.47    -4.90     0.00     0.31     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.10     5.11    16.57     0.00     5.66     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         34   48  +10      63.11     4.74     8.49     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   44   +4      62.06     5.00     4.71     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             34   43   -7      56.64     4.57   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      55.06     4.23   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   42   +5      60.71     4.74     8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           36   42   -7      52.91     4.03   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.44     4.46    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.06     3.60   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.29     3.93   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.61     4.18   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.67R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.14     5.40   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.86R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.35     4.58   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.83R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.17     3.69   -62.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    9.42  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.15     5.81   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.58  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1