Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 March 2010 at 22:19:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.91     3.82    53.35    42.76    73.46    98.56    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.43     3.70    52.34    35.62    68.31    98.46    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.32     3.61    49.98    21.56    57.62    97.45    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.94     4.06    30.26     0.00     0.12     1.47    30.35    81.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.60     4.57    21.06     0.03     0.24     1.77    27.39    72.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.22     3.82    22.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     8.44    56.13     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.47     4.57    24.74     0.03     0.25     2.14    34.05    80.29     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   43   -1      56.70     4.20    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     4.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.60     4.10     7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.99     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.23     4.00     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           28   35   -5      46.78     3.92    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      42.99     3.90   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   30   -8      41.86     4.14   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.04  
Bolton          29   29  -22      37.08     3.40   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.04R    1.01  
Wigan           28   28  -26      37.30     3.74   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.27R    1.91  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.42     3.78   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.34R    0.41  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.59     3.71   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.91R   15.83  
Burnley         29   24  -31      33.41     3.90   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.93R   12.12  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.25     3.97   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.20R   14.71  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.70     3.78   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.17R   53.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 March 2010, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.25     4.44    53.73    94.13    99.25   100.00    99.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   66  +30      86.78     4.47    39.23     4.46    69.09    99.99    79.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.87     4.40    28.99     1.39    29.06    99.87    54.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   59   +8      76.14     4.50    11.12     0.01     1.76    92.66    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.67     4.85    12.28     0.00     0.56    75.82    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   52  +14      71.28     4.78    18.65     0.00     0.26    69.44    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.64     4.48    10.62     0.00     0.01    20.15     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.41     4.52    -7.24     0.00     0.00     8.36     1.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   48   +0      63.26     4.50     0.07     0.00     0.00     8.59     1.37P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.59     4.49     9.25     0.00     0.00    10.33     2.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   47   -1      61.55     4.70    -3.39     0.00     0.00     4.93     0.75P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   45   +2      60.80     4.53     3.33     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.51P    0.28R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   45   -9      58.11     4.47   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.08P    1.90R    0.01  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.86     4.69   -12.70     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.22P    0.73R    0.00  
Preston          35   44   -8      57.83     4.45   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.09P    2.07R    0.00  
QPR              34   43   -4      58.18     4.82    -6.08     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.21P    1.88R    0.00  
Derby            35   42  -10      55.19     4.57   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    6.65R    0.02  
Reading          33   41   -6      57.54     5.06    -8.39     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.16P    3.11R    0.02  
Ipswich          35   41   -7      55.08     4.42    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.16R    0.03  
Watford          33   39   -6      56.69     5.13    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.13P    4.83R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.62     4.49   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.47R    1.14  
Sheff_Wed        35   37  -18      48.91     4.37   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.79R    1.53  
Plymouth         34   30  -17      42.67     4.57   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.04R   21.86  
Peterborough     35   27  -20      37.55     4.29   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   75.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Carlisle vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.56     4.36    48.32    79.46    97.36   100.00    98.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   71  +33      90.92     4.44    40.45    18.75    79.35    99.91    86.30P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.71     4.57    25.37     0.77     8.54    92.53    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   63  +17      83.66     4.75    23.43     0.87    10.42    93.85    32.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   62  +17      80.42     4.41    22.17     0.10     3.09    83.89    23.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   60  +10      76.64     4.70     9.92     0.03     0.65    51.77     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.87     4.61    23.68     0.02     0.59    60.56    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      69.10     4.41     0.03     0.00     0.00     5.04     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.84     4.76    -4.17     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.39     4.94    37.01     0.00     0.00     9.54     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.46     4.80    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   41   -5      53.69     4.37    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.33     4.56    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.70     5.50     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      54.13     4.75    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   38   -9      51.20     4.35   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.56R    0.06  
Brighton         34   38  -11      54.16     4.86   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    0.00  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.84     4.26   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.38R    0.17  
Oldham           33   36  -12      51.40     4.84   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.37R    0.08  
Tranmere         34   36  -25      46.79     4.31   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.29R    1.06  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.55     4.73   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.10R    1.59  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.90     4.63   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.85R    0.97  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.20     4.31   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.71R   12.54  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.91     4.33   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   83.52  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.09     4.48    51.91    63.96    99.59   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.76     4.39    10.47     0.59    42.32    94.16    54.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61   +5      76.55     4.58     5.68     0.09    16.72    78.93    30.38P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      89.96     4.85    58.27    35.15    97.06    99.95    98.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   60   +8      76.88     4.62    10.60     0.11    21.38    81.69    36.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.83     5.16     9.33     0.09    13.28    66.39    26.63P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.36     4.47     9.04     0.00     2.39    40.36    12.32P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.81     4.49     9.58     0.00     0.79    22.69     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.45     4.88    11.55     0.00     2.41    35.99    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.30     4.90     8.22     0.00     2.16    33.61    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   49   +6      63.46     4.55     5.39     0.00     0.08     3.81     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.11     4.72     4.45     0.00     0.47    13.79     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.66     4.89     6.42     0.00     0.22     9.99     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   47   -2      67.67     5.40     0.04     0.00     1.14    17.92     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                35   46   +0      59.62     4.59    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   43   -6      57.35     4.83    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.22     4.82   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.20R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.25     4.66   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.52     4.50    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Macclesfield         34   36   -9      51.87     4.79    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.26     4.35   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.01  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      44.00     4.49   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    0.05  
Grimsby              35   27  -23      37.26     4.15   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R    1.20  
Darlington           32   16  -44      23.89     3.92   -64.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   98.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Crawley_Town vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.69     4.13    54.89    66.29   100.00    80.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   70  +34      95.25     4.73    45.27    33.48    99.90    56.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   63  +14      81.79     4.37    19.87     0.06    68.09    11.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      82.21     4.65    31.03     0.11    72.73    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   60  +16      80.72     4.60    22.70     0.04    59.38    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   58  +15      80.12     4.57    23.24     0.02    55.05    12.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.98     4.60    13.72     0.00     8.60     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   54  +22      76.85     4.48    32.40     0.00    30.27     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       35   52   -5      67.11     4.46    -4.86     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.05     5.15    16.48     0.00     5.56     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         34   48  +10      63.07     4.76     8.44     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   44   +4      61.92     4.95     4.53     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             34   43   -7      56.65     4.57   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      55.02     4.25   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   42   +5      60.66     4.74     8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   42   -7      52.93     4.04   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.53     4.45    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.04     3.60   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.33R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.32     3.92   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.68     4.16   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.08R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.07     5.43   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.34     4.59   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.25R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.18     3.68   -62.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    9.10  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.15     5.82   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.90  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1