Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 March 2010 at 22:19:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Portsmouth vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.84     3.86    53.23    42.27    72.68    98.61    99.82    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.50     3.66    52.45    36.01    69.17    98.56    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.34     3.60    50.00    21.67    57.58    97.64    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.85     4.09    30.16     0.01     0.17     1.53    30.39    81.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.64     4.53    21.08     0.02     0.18     1.73    27.43    73.52     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.20     3.80    22.03     0.00     0.00     0.11     8.52    55.97     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.41     4.55    24.64     0.02     0.21     1.82    33.87    80.21     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   43   -1      56.67     4.16    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.61     4.11     7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     4.17     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.14     3.97     3.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.13     4.22    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      42.94     3.90   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   30   -8      41.93     4.15   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.05  
Bolton          29   29  -22      37.15     3.41   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.49R    1.01  
Wigan           28   28  -26      37.27     3.71   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.11R    1.96  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.40     3.80   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.02R    0.44  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.57     3.73   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.97R   16.51  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.31     3.94   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.31R   14.67  
Burnley         28   23  -31      33.85     4.16   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.39R   11.37  
Portsmouth      28   19  -23      28.74     3.77   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.46R   53.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Crystal_Palace vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.49     4.40    54.12    94.50    99.38   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   66  +30      86.89     4.46    39.43     4.25    69.76    99.98    80.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.88     4.38    28.99     1.24    28.40    99.93    53.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   59   +8      76.17     4.43    11.19     0.01     1.73    93.25    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.54     4.86    12.11     0.00     0.47    75.09    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   52  +14      71.23     4.81    18.58     0.00     0.25    68.92    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.55     4.48    10.46     0.00     0.00    19.67     3.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.48     4.50    -7.11     0.00     0.00     8.54     1.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   48   +0      63.33     4.52     0.19     0.00     0.00     8.87     1.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.60     4.48     9.28     0.00     0.00    10.48     2.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   47   -1      61.64     4.77    -3.27     0.00     0.00     5.34     0.83P    0.18R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   45   +2      60.74     4.55     3.25     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.62P    0.24R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   45   -9      58.13     4.49   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    1.79R    0.01  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.74     4.71   -12.92     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.26P    0.75R    0.00  
Preston          35   44   -8      57.86     4.49    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.10P    1.90R    0.00  
QPR              34   43   -4      58.23     4.80    -5.99     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.18P    1.74R    0.01  
Derby            34   42   -7      56.74     4.88    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.09P    3.84R    0.02  
Ipswich          35   41   -7      55.16     4.35    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.34R    0.04  
Watford          33   39   -6      56.75     5.11    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    4.49R    0.07  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.55     5.26   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    7.76R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.64     4.50   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.31R    1.08  
Sheff_Wed        35   37  -18      48.70     4.36   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.50R    1.65  
Plymouth         34   30  -17      42.51     4.53   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.42R   22.62  
Peterborough     35   27  -20      37.60     4.30   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   74.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Carlisle vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.61     4.33    48.39    79.88    97.61   100.00    98.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   71  +33      90.85     4.45    40.33    18.35    78.75    99.89    85.91P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.79     4.59    25.54     0.82     9.00    92.66    30.68P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   63  +17      83.66     4.74    23.46     0.79    10.22    93.78    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   62  +17      80.47     4.41    22.24     0.12     3.10    84.01    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   60  +10      76.59     4.69     9.88     0.03     0.62    51.61     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.95     4.64    23.80     0.02     0.70    60.79    15.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      69.00     4.39    -0.17     0.00     0.00     4.65     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.91     4.80    -4.07     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.37     4.93    36.96     0.00     0.00     9.59     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.55     4.88    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   41   -5      53.60     4.37    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.53     4.57    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.80     5.49     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.10P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      53.99     4.77    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.27R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   38   -9      51.16     4.35   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.91R    0.06  
Brighton         34   38  -11      54.15     4.83   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.02  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.89     4.26   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.62R    0.21  
Oldham           33   36  -12      51.25     4.80   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.84R    0.08  
Tranmere         34   36  -25      46.82     4.28   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.44R    1.01  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.58     4.70   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.16R    1.51  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.80     4.61   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.40R    1.03  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.22     4.28   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.69R   12.31  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.89     4.30   -45.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   83.76  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.16     4.51    52.02    64.11    99.58   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.80     4.36    10.52     0.59    42.40    94.51    54.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61   +5      76.53     4.57     5.64     0.09    16.43    78.59    30.10P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         32   60  +41      90.01     4.83    58.35    35.04    97.31    99.95    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   60   +8      76.88     4.63    10.64     0.10    21.41    81.86    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.89     5.13     9.38     0.06    13.13    66.64    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.47     4.48     9.20     0.00     2.59    41.36    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.78     4.47     9.51     0.00     0.74    22.21     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.48     4.91    11.63     0.00     2.48    36.11    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.26     4.86     8.12     0.00     2.12    32.95    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   49   +6      63.42     4.54     5.34     0.00     0.07     3.83     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.09     4.72     4.42     0.00     0.43    13.62     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.63     4.88     6.38     0.00     0.20     9.75     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   47   -2      67.64     5.40     0.04     0.00     1.10    17.84     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                35   46   +0      59.69     4.61    -2.73     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   43   -6      57.33     4.79    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.12     4.81   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.27     4.65   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.39     4.49    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Macclesfield         34   36   -9      51.82     4.75    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.31     4.38   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      44.05     4.50   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38R    0.05  
Grimsby              35   27  -23      37.31     4.14   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.09R    1.05  
Darlington           32   16  -44      23.80     3.90   -64.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   98.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 March 2010, Crawley_Town vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +43      97.66     4.14    54.82    65.77   100.00    79.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   70  +34      95.33     4.71    45.42    33.99    99.91    57.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   63  +14      81.87     4.38    20.03     0.05    67.95    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      82.27     4.67    31.13     0.12    73.02    17.49P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   60  +16      80.86     4.55    22.89     0.05    60.63    11.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   58  +15      80.16     4.56    23.31     0.02    54.59    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.86     4.58    13.53     0.00     7.77     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   54  +22      76.88     4.46    32.44     0.00    30.08     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       35   52   -5      67.18     4.49    -4.82     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.13     5.17    16.62     0.00     5.64     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         34   48  +10      62.91     4.75     8.20     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   44   +4      62.01     5.01     4.63     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             34   43   -7      56.72     4.58   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      55.01     4.27   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   42   +5      60.55     4.76     8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           36   42   -7      52.88     4.02   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   41   -7      54.51     4.46    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.05     3.58   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.25     3.91   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.49R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.61     4.14   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.28R    0.00  
Barrow             31   31  -18      48.12     5.38   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Forest_Green       34   30  -27      43.37     4.62   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.81R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.17     3.70   -62.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    9.24  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.02     5.83   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.76  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1