Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 March 2010 at 22:19:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 March 2010, Wigan vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.89     3.83    53.37    42.78    73.01    98.53    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.36     3.70    52.11    34.99    67.92    98.37    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.39     3.59    50.13    22.18    58.40    97.51    99.68    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.95     4.11    30.16     0.01     0.17     1.62    30.48    81.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.79     4.56    21.33     0.03     0.29     1.89    28.43    74.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   48  +16      64.36     3.79    22.23     0.00     0.00     0.14     8.74    57.66     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.40     4.56    24.64     0.01     0.21     1.94    32.73    79.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.48     4.13     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     3.86     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.79     4.42    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.39     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.18     3.98     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.07     4.25    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      42.99     3.92   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Bolton          28   29  -18      38.34     3.68   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91R    0.65  
Wigan           28   28  -26      37.16     3.72   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.71R    2.78  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.46     3.78   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.76R    0.65  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.25     4.38   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.13R    0.48  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.67     3.72   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.40R   19.62  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.39     3.99   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.70R   17.87  
Burnley         28   23  -31      33.91     4.17   -35.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.76R   13.81  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      30.05     4.09   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.98R   44.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.60     4.40    54.27    95.01    99.41   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.82     4.38    28.91     1.18    30.73    99.88    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   63  +29      86.42     4.63    40.61     3.80    67.15    99.96    78.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   56   +7      74.35     4.73     9.97     0.00     1.18    82.57    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.41     4.86    11.89     0.00     0.53    71.24    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   52  +16      73.31     5.08    21.70     0.01     0.98    78.31    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.48     4.46    10.35     0.00     0.01    16.89     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.24     4.47    -7.52     0.00     0.00     6.38     0.84P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        34   48   +1      65.19     4.75     1.88     0.00     0.00    15.31     2.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.53     4.53     9.17     0.00     0.00     8.93     1.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   47   +0      63.72     5.00    -1.26     0.00     0.00    10.31     1.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.75     4.71   -12.88     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.19P    0.71R    0.00  
Doncaster        34   44   +2      61.04     4.81     3.14     0.00     0.00     3.80     0.75P    0.28R    0.00  
Preston          34   43   -8      58.37     4.75    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.11P    1.73R    0.00  
Derby            34   42   -7      56.89     4.90    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    3.54R    0.00  
Bristol_City     34   42  -10      55.91     4.71   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    5.28R    0.02  
QPR              33   40   -6      56.82     5.08    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.14P    4.09R    0.02  
Watford          32   39   -5      58.37     5.35    -5.02     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.32P    2.59R    0.03  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.42     5.28   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.05P    8.05R    0.11  
Ipswich          34   38   -9      52.80     4.64   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.45R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.72     4.49   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.41R    0.78  
Sheff_Wed        34   37  -17      49.01     4.51   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.40R    1.04  
Plymouth         33   30  -15      43.70     4.80   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.12R   12.78  
Peterborough     34   24  -21      35.71     4.57   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   85.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 March 2010, Colchester vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.54     4.33    48.24    83.99    97.82   100.00    98.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   68  +30      89.56     4.70    37.66    13.94    70.99    99.64    80.47P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.83     4.60    25.55     0.97    12.21    93.12    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   63  +17      83.55     4.79    23.20     0.94    13.40    93.73    34.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          33   60  +11      77.93     4.95    10.86     0.10     1.98    63.83    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   59  +15      78.59     4.70    19.83     0.05     2.60    71.61    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.91     4.64    23.75     0.03     0.99    61.33    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   +1      67.60     4.69    -0.81     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.95     4.78    -3.99     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.37     4.91    36.95     0.00     0.01     9.96     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.33     4.87    -0.81     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle         34   41   -3      55.29     4.66    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.50     4.57    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.80     5.49     2.03     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    0.32R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      53.96     4.76    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.33R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    34   38   -7      52.89     4.63    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.30R    0.04  
Brighton         34   38  -11      54.07     4.89   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.01  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.95     4.29   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    0.19  
Tranmere         33   36  -22      47.90     4.55   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.01R    0.72  
Oldham           32   33  -14      49.25     5.06   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.19R    0.41  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.40     4.73   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.11R    1.58  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.88     4.65   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.25R    0.99  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.29     4.32   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.20R   12.07  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.88     4.31   -45.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   83.98  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.08     4.49    51.92    66.99    99.35   100.00    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.77     4.37    10.44     0.61    37.90    93.61    51.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   60   +9      77.36     4.84    10.12     0.33    22.27    81.88    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 34   60   +5      78.25     4.76     7.74     0.27    25.55    85.83    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         31   57  +40      89.23     5.03    58.87    31.72    95.00    99.88    97.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.83     5.08     9.24     0.08    11.18    64.74    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.45     4.51     9.18     0.00     2.08    39.14    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.81     4.49     9.57     0.00     0.64    20.85     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.44     4.90    11.54     0.00     1.95    34.23    10.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.34     4.89     8.29     0.00     1.75    32.02     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.17     4.70     4.55     0.00     0.38    12.80     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.63     4.91     6.31     0.00     0.13     9.30     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   46   +5      61.94     4.80     4.55     0.00     0.03     2.16     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   46   -2      68.64     5.68     0.96     0.00     1.80    22.73     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                34   43   -2      58.47     4.82    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   43   -5      58.60     5.08    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.23     4.81   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.28R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.32     4.67   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.51R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.49     4.49    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.00  
Macclesfield         33   35   -9      51.67     5.03   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.68R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.27     4.39   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.84R    0.01  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      44.12     4.48   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.68R    0.04  
Grimsby              34   27  -21      38.03     4.34   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.65R    0.65  
Darlington           31   15  -44      22.97     4.02   -66.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   99.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +39      96.62     4.36    51.89    39.80    99.95    63.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   70  +35      98.62     4.85    49.89    59.82    99.95    74.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      82.07     4.63    30.89     0.08    63.14    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   60  +17      83.28     4.82    25.48     0.19    70.65    14.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   60  +13      81.32     4.58    20.73     0.03    53.66     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          33   58  +16      82.46     4.79    25.70     0.07    65.47    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.82     4.56    13.45     0.00     5.12     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      33   54  +23      78.89     4.74    34.40     0.01    38.41     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      70.93     5.15    16.33     0.00     3.48     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       34   49   -6      64.83     4.72    -6.84     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         33   47  +10      63.14     4.99     8.13     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   43   +4      62.48     5.21     4.80     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           35   42   -6      54.16     4.32    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Histon             33   40   -8      54.98     4.84   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    35   40  -13      51.90     4.34   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      33   39   +4      58.28     4.97     6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   38   -8      51.73     4.59   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.08     3.63   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.05     3.87   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.70R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.70     4.16   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.05R    0.00  
Barrow             30   31  -14      49.15     5.57   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       33   30  -26      43.92     4.79   -32.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.23R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.22     3.68   -62.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    8.71  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.99     5.81   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.29  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1