Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 March 2010 at 22:19:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 March 2010, Everton vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.80     3.84    53.20    41.71    72.24    98.33    99.71    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.41     3.69    52.25    35.46    68.13    98.27    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.45     3.58    50.23    22.78    58.98    97.37    99.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.88     4.09    30.06     0.01     0.15     1.47    25.91    76.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.77     4.57    21.34     0.02     0.28     1.88    25.03    68.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   48  +17      66.61     4.08    24.64     0.00     0.05     0.82    20.30    73.59     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.41     4.57    24.69     0.02     0.19     1.87    29.48    75.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   41   +4      56.53     4.11     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     3.10     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.84     4.43    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.86     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.13     3.97     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.06     4.25    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      43.02     3.90   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bolton          28   29  -18      38.37     3.70   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.61  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.45     3.80   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.30R    0.55  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.28     4.39   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.18R    0.37  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.81     3.95   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.60R    9.21  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.61     3.70   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.44R   17.56  
Hull            28   24  -33      33.36     3.98   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.56R   16.41  
Burnley         28   23  -31      33.87     4.18   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.48R   12.98  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      29.96     4.04   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.74R   42.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.48     4.40    54.08    94.79    99.37   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.89     4.38    29.04     1.25    31.37    99.91    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   63  +29      86.38     4.61    40.60     3.95    66.54    99.94    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   56   +7      74.46     4.75    10.09     0.01     1.17    82.79    20.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.45     4.85    11.97     0.00     0.58    71.20    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   52  +16      73.19     5.05    21.53     0.01     0.95    77.47    19.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.52     4.47    10.43     0.00     0.01    17.28     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.31     4.51    -7.38     0.00     0.00     6.62     0.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        34   48   +1      65.15     4.79     1.83     0.00     0.00    15.66     2.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.54     4.50     9.17     0.00     0.00     8.73     1.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   47   +0      63.72     5.01    -1.28     0.00     0.00    10.24     1.82P    0.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.76     4.72   -12.89     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.23P    0.77R    0.00  
Doncaster        34   44   +2      61.08     4.80     3.17     0.00     0.00     3.76     0.68P    0.29R    0.00  
Preston          34   43   -8      58.35     4.79    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.12P    1.83R    0.00  
Derby            34   42   -7      56.81     4.88    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P    3.65R    0.01  
Bristol_City     34   42  -10      55.91     4.69   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    5.32R    0.03  
QPR              33   40   -6      56.85     5.04    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.10P    3.94R    0.01  
Watford          32   39   -5      58.24     5.35    -5.19     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.27P    2.79R    0.03  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.48     5.28   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P    7.88R    0.11  
Ipswich          34   38   -9      52.87     4.61   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.19R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.75     4.50   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.47R    0.71  
Sheff_Wed        34   37  -17      48.97     4.52   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.82R    1.07  
Plymouth         33   30  -15      43.77     4.82   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.71R   12.22  
Peterborough     34   24  -21      35.66     4.54   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   85.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Charlton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.48     4.36    48.08    82.67    96.96   100.00    97.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   68  +30      89.56     4.68    37.69    14.19    66.69    99.72    77.88P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.74     4.56    25.45     0.96    10.74    92.78    31.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      85.11     4.96    25.16     1.97    20.52    95.82    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          33   60  +11      78.02     5.00    10.94     0.13     1.97    63.84    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   59  +15      78.58     4.76    19.78     0.05     2.23    70.87    19.24P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.87     4.66    23.70     0.02     0.88    60.45    15.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   +1      67.53     4.69    -0.88     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.98     4.76    -3.94     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.44     4.92    37.07     0.00     0.00     9.81     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.29     4.85    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Carlisle         34   41   -3      55.29     4.65    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.47     4.55    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.71     5.52     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      53.97     4.78    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    4.60R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    34   38   -7      52.82     4.58    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.47     5.05   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.61R    0.01  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      49.01     4.29   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    0.17  
Tranmere         33   36  -22      47.86     4.54   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.36R    0.71  
Oldham           32   33  -14      49.49     5.09   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.54R    0.38  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.38     4.72   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.80R    1.76  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.96     4.62   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.32R    0.87  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.20     4.32   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.68R   12.37  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.88     4.30   -44.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   83.69  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      92.99     4.53    51.77    66.65    99.37   100.00    99.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.89     4.40    10.65     0.65    38.36    93.94    52.10P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   60   +9      77.37     4.83    10.15     0.36    21.54    82.02    36.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 34   60   +5      78.35     4.77     7.86     0.30    25.85    86.29    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         31   57  +40      89.18     5.05    58.82    31.94    94.80    99.84    97.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.80     5.14     9.25     0.08    11.29    64.53    24.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.43     4.50     9.15     0.01     2.10    39.14    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.73     4.50     9.47     0.00     0.62    20.67     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.50     4.92    11.64     0.00     1.97    34.61    10.90P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.42     4.89     8.37     0.00     1.80    32.49     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      66.99     4.71     4.25     0.00     0.35    12.05     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.58     4.91     6.23     0.00     0.12     8.84     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   46   +5      62.01     4.82     4.65     0.00     0.03     2.19     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   46   -2      68.70     5.64     1.06     0.00     1.81    22.61     6.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                34   43   -2      58.42     4.83    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             33   43   -5      58.48     5.06    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.19     4.79   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.23     4.68   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.55     4.51    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53R    0.00  
Macclesfield         33   35   -9      51.71     5.01   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.70R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.27     4.40   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.28R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      44.12     4.50   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.05R    0.04  
Grimsby              34   27  -21      38.13     4.39   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.68R    0.70  
Darlington           31   15  -44      23.03     4.02   -66.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   99.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +39      96.62     4.36    51.89    39.98    99.93    63.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   70  +35      98.64     4.80    49.92    59.69    99.97    73.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      81.98     4.65    30.74     0.08    62.42    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   60  +17      83.30     4.79    25.48     0.14    70.82    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   60  +13      81.39     4.59    20.82     0.02    54.34     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          33   58  +16      82.48     4.78    25.76     0.09    65.26    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.83     4.54    13.44     0.00     5.03     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      33   54  +23      78.90     4.72    34.41     0.01    38.40     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      71.00     5.14    16.40     0.00     3.63     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       34   49   -6      64.88     4.72    -6.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         33   47  +10      63.15     4.97     8.17     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   43   +4      62.43     5.21     4.75     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           35   42   -6      54.08     4.31   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Histon             33   40   -8      54.94     4.79   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    35   40  -13      51.92     4.34   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      33   39   +4      58.26     4.94     6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   38   -8      51.76     4.60   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.05     3.62   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.73R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.07     3.89   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.56R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.80     4.16   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.36R    0.00  
Barrow             30   31  -14      49.01     5.54   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.14R    0.00  
Forest_Green       33   30  -26      43.82     4.74   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.95R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.21     3.68   -62.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    8.90  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.05     5.78   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   91.10  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1