Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 March 2010 at 22:19:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Arsenal vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   63  +43      81.91     3.84    53.34    43.12    73.20    98.31    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.37     3.70    52.18    34.94    67.89    98.16    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   61  +37      80.38     3.59    50.09    21.87    58.13    97.26    99.53    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.93     4.07    30.13     0.01     0.15     1.45    26.26    77.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.84     4.55    21.44     0.03     0.29     1.93    25.14    69.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   48  +17      66.55     4.06    24.56     0.01     0.09     0.86    19.88    73.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.44     4.56    24.72     0.01     0.25     2.04    29.54    76.04     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.78     4.42    -2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.76     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.17     4.01     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   38   +0      55.49     4.35     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.14     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.05     4.29    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      43.08     3.88   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Bolton          28   29  -18      38.43     3.72   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.63R    0.60  
West_Ham        28   27   -9      38.51     3.81   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.34R    0.54  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.23     4.40   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.46R    0.41  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.72     3.93   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.31R    9.67  
Wolverhampton   28   24  -25      32.74     3.75   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.46R   17.69  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.04     4.14   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.57R   13.41  
Burnley         28   23  -31      33.84     4.15   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.01R   13.70  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      29.94     4.05   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.83R   43.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        34   72  +40      97.47     4.42    54.06    94.63    99.36   100.00    99.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   64  +22      83.93     4.37    29.12     1.37    31.26    99.92    55.54P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   63  +29      86.40     4.64    40.59     3.99    66.84    99.94    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   56   +7      74.43     4.74    10.06     0.00     1.10    82.98    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   54   +9      72.58     4.82    12.13     0.00     0.52    72.26    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   52  +16      73.11     5.07    21.40     0.01     0.92    76.94    18.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        35   50  +10      65.49     4.48    10.40     0.00     0.01    17.17     3.43P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   49   -6      63.30     4.48    -7.42     0.00     0.00     6.57     0.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        34   48   +1      65.11     4.79     1.80     0.00     0.00    15.27     2.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   47   +7      63.52     4.48     9.12     0.00     0.00     8.70     1.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   47   +0      63.72     5.00    -1.25     0.00     0.00    10.17     1.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   45  -10      59.75     4.71   -12.92     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.19P    0.75R    0.00  
Doncaster        34   44   +2      61.02     4.79     3.12     0.00     0.00     3.70     0.67P    0.32R    0.00  
Preston          34   43   -8      58.33     4.73    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.12P    1.80R    0.00  
Derby            34   42   -7      56.88     4.86    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    3.47R    0.02  
Bristol_City     34   42  -10      55.85     4.71   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    5.38R    0.02  
QPR              33   40   -6      56.82     5.06    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.13P    4.12R    0.02  
Watford          32   39   -5      58.29     5.36    -5.09     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.28P    2.74R    0.03  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.56     5.25   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.03P    7.54R    0.14  
Ipswich          34   38   -9      52.86     4.63   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.19R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.74     4.51   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.66R    0.67  
Sheff_Wed        34   37  -17      48.94     4.49   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.97R    1.11  
Plymouth         33   30  -15      43.80     4.83   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.68R   12.38  
Peterborough     34   24  -21      35.67     4.58   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   85.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Charlton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          35   75  +37      96.43     4.35    48.04    82.60    96.96   100.00    97.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   68  +30      89.56     4.69    37.70    14.19    67.07    99.67    78.11P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   66  +23      82.79     4.58    25.55     0.93    10.93    92.81    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      84.97     5.00    24.91     2.12    19.98    95.79    39.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          33   60  +11      78.01     5.03    10.94     0.10     2.04    63.63    12.78P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   59  +15      78.46     4.69    19.62     0.05     2.14    70.58    19.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   58  +18      76.91     4.63    23.77     0.01     0.88    60.80    15.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   +1      67.64     4.68    -0.74     0.00     0.00     3.55     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   51   -3      66.95     4.80    -4.02     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   44  +25      69.40     4.92    36.99     0.00     0.00     9.90     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   44   -2      61.35     4.83    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle         34   41   -3      55.34     4.63    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.77R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   41   -6      55.48     4.57    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Brentford        31   39   +0      60.78     5.50     1.96     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   38   -7      53.96     4.76    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    34   38   -7      52.94     4.60    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.56     5.04   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.18R    0.01  
Gillingham       35   37  -11      48.98     4.27   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.42R    0.19  
Tranmere         33   36  -22      47.92     4.57   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.92R    0.73  
Oldham           32   33  -14      49.24     5.05   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.92R    0.38  
Exeter           34   32  -15      45.42     4.73   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.62R    1.61  
Southend         34   32  -16      46.93     4.59   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.68R    0.93  
Wycombe          35   29  -25      40.20     4.30   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.64R   12.25  
Stockport        34   23  -35      33.83     4.32   -45.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   83.86  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             34   69  +39      93.15     4.47    51.99    67.84    99.47   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          35   63   +8      79.77     4.35    10.47     0.61    37.23    93.59    50.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   60   +9      77.41     4.82    10.22     0.28    22.25    81.98    36.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 34   60   +5      78.35     4.76     7.88     0.31    26.21    86.12    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         31   57  +40      89.13     5.06    58.65    30.90    94.69    99.87    97.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   56   +8      74.80     5.12     9.23     0.06    11.21    64.34    24.19P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   55   +7      71.51     4.51     9.28     0.01     2.28    39.58    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          35   52   +7      68.71     4.50     9.41     0.00     0.57    20.36     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   51   +7      70.63     4.87    11.81     0.00     2.08    35.38    11.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            34   51   +4      70.40     4.86     8.35     0.00     1.72    32.33     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   49   +2      67.02     4.70     4.31     0.00     0.36    12.08     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   48   +5      65.63     4.87     6.31     0.00     0.15     8.95     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   46   +5      62.04     4.80     4.71     0.00     0.03     2.22     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   46   -2      68.65     5.69     0.96     0.00     1.74    22.34     6.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                34   43   -2      58.43     4.81    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   43   -5      58.58     5.06    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               34   38   -9      53.19     4.78   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Hereford             34   38  -15      52.32     4.67   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Torquay              35   36   -3      49.50     4.46    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Macclesfield         33   35   -9      51.80     5.02   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.68R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   35  -20      46.22     4.38   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   31  -16      43.97     4.48   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.18R    0.03  
Grimsby              34   27  -21      38.08     4.34   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.89R    0.61  
Darlington           31   15  -44      22.83     3.93   -66.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   99.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +39      96.64     4.37    51.88    39.54    99.97    63.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   70  +35      98.69     4.78    49.97    60.15    99.97    74.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   62  +25      81.97     4.64    30.74     0.05    62.49    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   60  +17      83.28     4.80    25.49     0.14    70.69    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   60  +13      81.31     4.58    20.73     0.03    53.58     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          33   58  +16      82.46     4.78    25.75     0.08    65.31    14.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   58  +14      72.83     4.56    13.45     0.00     5.23     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      33   54  +23      78.93     4.74    34.48     0.01    39.02     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   51  +13      70.99     5.12    16.45     0.00     3.56     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       34   49   -6      64.84     4.71    -6.83     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         33   47  +10      63.11     4.95     8.05     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   43   +4      62.54     5.24     4.88     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   42   -6      54.08     4.31   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Histon             33   40   -8      54.92     4.78   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    35   40  -13      51.90     4.34   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      33   39   +4      58.14     4.97     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   38   -8      51.80     4.62   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   38  -25      47.12     3.62   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   34  -27      44.13     3.89   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.37R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   32  -16      42.74     4.18   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.27R    0.00  
Barrow             30   31  -14      49.09     5.52   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.16R    0.00  
Forest_Green       33   30  -26      43.93     4.76   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.36R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     34   18  -45      25.17     3.68   -62.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    8.85  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.97     5.81   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.15  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1