Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 March 2010 at 22:19:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.41     3.71    52.30    36.93    69.40    98.26    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      81.14     4.05    53.79    37.44    67.64    97.19    99.36    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   58  +35      80.41     3.65    52.31    25.55    62.08    97.32    99.54    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.90     4.10    30.06     0.02     0.22     1.81    26.46    76.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.90     4.50    21.54     0.03     0.35     2.23    25.65    70.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   48  +17      66.54     4.09    24.54     0.00     0.07     1.04    20.07    72.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.39     4.53    24.66     0.02     0.23     2.14    29.10    75.94     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.78     4.44    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.84     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.11     4.00     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   38   +0      55.47     4.33     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.98     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.16     4.23    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      43.06     3.89   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      40.98     4.09   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.18  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.26     4.36   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.35  
Bolton          27   26  -19      35.80     3.91   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.83R    4.18  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.70     3.91   -38.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.67R    9.69  
Wolverhampton   27   24  -24      33.17     3.93   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.45R   16.07  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.11     4.13   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.98R   12.74  
Burnley         27   23  -29      33.75     4.20   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.42R   14.44  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      30.03     4.04   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.77R   42.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        33   69  +35      96.52     4.64    49.92    86.06    98.77   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   63  +31      88.77     4.84    44.24    12.97    83.06    99.98    88.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   61  +21      82.31     4.62    28.15     0.91    14.75    99.39    44.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   56   +8      75.37     4.91    10.63     0.04     1.55    84.91    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   54  +11      74.88     5.10    15.47     0.02     1.40    82.72    19.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   49  +15      71.95     5.31    21.18     0.00     0.46    66.72    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +2      66.61     5.05     3.10     0.00     0.00    22.14     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        34   47   +9      64.44     4.72    10.20     0.00     0.00    11.47     2.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   47   +8      64.62     4.80     9.75     0.00     0.00    12.76     2.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         34   46   -7      61.46     4.80    -8.85     0.00     0.00     3.49     0.51P    0.19R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   45   -5      60.80     4.88    -8.48     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.35P    0.27R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   44   -1      61.94     5.27    -2.56     0.00     0.00     5.89     1.00P    0.20R    0.00  
Bristol_City     33   42   -7      58.07     4.98    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.14P    1.69R    0.02  
Preston          33   42   -8      58.78     5.02    -9.76     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.18P    1.45R    0.01  
Doncaster        33   41   -1      58.48     5.03    -1.17     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.25P    1.15R    0.01  
Watford          31   39   -3      60.05     5.65    -2.50     0.00     0.00     3.82     0.61P    1.28R    0.04  
Derby            33   39   -9      55.05     5.09   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    6.43R    0.11  
Ipswich          33   38   -8      53.72     4.87   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.04R    0.20  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.29     5.27   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    6.43R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.78     4.50   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.17R    1.07  
QPR              32   37   -8      54.06     5.25   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.73R    0.28  
Sheff_Wed        33   34  -19      46.40     4.66   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.86R    5.74  
Plymouth         32   29  -15      44.20     5.10   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.60R   15.29  
Peterborough     33   24  -20      37.15     4.84   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.50R   77.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 March 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          34   72  +34      95.59     4.57    46.45    72.60    93.80    99.99    95.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   67  +30      90.78     4.93    38.91    22.77    71.15    99.46    80.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   63  +21      82.28     4.75    25.61     0.97     7.78    84.80    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      84.93     4.96    24.84     2.41    16.32    92.51    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +15      81.31     5.22    18.11     0.89     6.16    76.89    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     34   58  +20      79.15     4.89    27.11     0.20     2.48    67.38    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   58  +15      78.98     4.97    19.81     0.17     2.25    61.92    16.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   +0      66.44     4.99    -1.12     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   48   -7      63.52     4.93   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      32   44  +26      71.80     5.16    39.63     0.00     0.04    14.78     5.60P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   43   -2      61.42     5.06    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41   -3      56.40     4.75    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   40   -3      55.73     4.96    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      60.02     5.67     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.42R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -6      53.92     4.81    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.62R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.56     4.98   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.55R    0.01  
Hartlepool       33   35  -10      52.08     5.01   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.12R    0.12  
Gillingham       34   34  -13      46.40     4.47   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.39R    1.12  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.22     4.72   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.27R    3.17  
Southend         33   32  -13      48.65     4.91   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.95R    0.53  
Oldham           31   32  -14      49.31     5.29   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.37R    0.53  
Exeter           33   31  -15      46.21     4.96   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.34R    1.51  
Wycombe          34   28  -25      40.64     4.59   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.44R   12.57  
Stockport        33   23  -33      34.30     4.40   -45.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   80.41  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 March 2010, Aldershot vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             33   68  +39      94.90     4.58    54.55    81.84    99.68   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          34   60   +7      78.42     4.67     9.82     0.33    25.55    83.95    39.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   59   +5      78.98     5.05     8.23     0.40    30.58    84.49    41.99P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   57   +8      76.03     5.10     9.55     0.17    14.91    68.13    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   56   +9      77.02     5.36    11.57     0.22    21.39    73.83    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +10      73.91     4.73    13.84     0.02     6.68    55.36    19.69P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         30   54  +37      87.43     5.42    55.53    16.98    88.86    99.21    93.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            33   51   +9      72.82     5.14    15.19     0.02     5.79    47.92    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            33   50   +4      70.46     5.09     7.94     0.00     2.16    28.33     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   49   +5      66.52     4.72     6.52     0.00     0.23     8.43     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   48   +6      66.86     5.12     7.15     0.00     0.49    11.65     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   46   +7      64.12     5.12     7.73     0.00     0.18     5.09     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   46   +1      70.20     5.90     4.23     0.02     3.40    28.43     8.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   46   +0      64.63     4.90     0.84     0.00     0.10     4.55     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                33   42   -2      59.18     5.04    -3.60     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             32   40   -6      56.03     5.27   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Hereford             33   38  -13      54.38     4.95   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnet               33   37   -9      52.97     5.02   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   34  -20      45.24     4.44   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.01  
Torquay              34   33   -5      48.35     4.70    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Macclesfield         32   32  -11      49.44     5.22   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           33   31  -15      45.37     4.76   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.50R    0.01  
Grimsby              33   24  -24      35.17     4.46   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.13R    3.63  
Darlington           30   15  -42      23.93     4.29   -65.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   96.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 March 2010, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         32   70  +35      98.66     4.86    49.89    63.25    99.97    76.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   69  +37      95.83     4.57    51.29    35.62    99.84    59.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   60  +18      85.92     5.02    28.38     0.94    85.16    19.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   33   59  +24      80.54     4.88    30.03     0.05    51.19    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   57  +12      79.95     4.89    20.08     0.02    42.70     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          32   55  +14      82.11     4.95    25.99     0.09    62.63    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   55  +12      71.48     4.81    11.97     0.00     3.64     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      79.96     4.97    35.51     0.03    48.53    11.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   50  +13      72.05     5.40    17.43     0.00     5.93     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       33   49   -4      65.37     4.86    -6.28     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         32   46  +10      62.65     5.12     6.90     0.00     0.10     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   42   +4      63.94     5.44     6.36     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           34   42   -5      55.35     4.56    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   40  -12      52.91     4.60   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Histon             32   39   -8      55.89     5.11   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury          33   38   -6      52.91     4.83   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   37  -25      46.71     3.80   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.69R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   36   +3      56.47     5.25     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    35   33  -27      43.98     4.12   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.07R    0.00  
Barrow             29   31  -13      50.39     5.85   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          34   31  -16      42.68     4.43   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.11     4.92   -35.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.22R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     33   18  -43      25.48     3.78   -62.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R    8.28  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.88     5.78   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.71  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1