Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 March 2010 at 22:19:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.34     3.70    52.10    36.14    68.46    98.28    99.74    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      81.21     4.05    53.87    38.26    68.45    97.31    99.45    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   58  +35      80.40     3.64    52.36    25.55    62.30    97.32    99.50    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      67.00     4.06    30.30     0.01     0.19     1.83    26.90    77.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.74     4.55    21.27     0.02     0.28     2.15    24.64    68.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   48  +17      66.50     4.06    24.47     0.00     0.07     0.97    19.26    72.70     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.53     4.55    24.86     0.02     0.25     2.14    30.34    76.92     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.73     4.42    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.81     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.15     4.00     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   38   +0      55.46     4.35     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.13     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.08     4.20    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      43.06     3.89   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      40.94     4.10   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.16  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.26     4.38   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.14R    0.42  
Bolton          27   26  -19      35.80     3.92   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.15R    4.24  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.71     3.92   -38.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.39R    9.68  
Wolverhampton   27   24  -24      33.21     3.91   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.53R   15.82  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.02     4.13   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.91R   13.52  
Burnley         27   23  -29      33.80     4.21   -37.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.76R   14.35  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      30.09     4.10   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.06R   41.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        33   69  +35      96.34     4.67    49.59    84.99    98.60   100.00    99.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   63  +31      88.82     4.85    44.34    13.80    82.71    99.98    88.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   61  +21      82.38     4.65    28.24     1.14    15.40    99.45    44.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   56   +8      75.37     4.96    10.63     0.03     1.47    84.62    20.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   54  +11      74.87     5.11    15.47     0.03     1.34    82.64    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   49  +15      71.92     5.33    21.11     0.01     0.46    66.56    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +2      66.69     5.10     3.24     0.00     0.02    22.80     3.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        34   47   +9      64.36     4.73    10.12     0.00     0.00    11.50     2.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   47   +8      64.69     4.72     9.83     0.00     0.00    12.78     2.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         34   46   -7      61.42     4.76    -8.93     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.44P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   45   -5      60.87     4.86    -8.37     0.00     0.00     2.64     0.39P    0.31R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   44   -1      61.91     5.30    -2.62     0.00     0.00     5.89     1.02P    0.23R    0.00  
Bristol_City     33   42   -7      58.05     5.01    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.11P    1.80R    0.03  
Preston          33   42   -8      58.64     5.03    -9.99     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.16P    1.56R    0.01  
Doncaster        33   41   -1      58.33     5.05    -1.39     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.20P    1.22R    0.01  
Watford          31   39   -3      59.94     5.62    -2.72     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.51P    1.34R    0.03  
Derby            33   39   -9      55.10     5.16   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.02P    6.54R    0.09  
Ipswich          33   38   -8      53.84     4.87   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.58R    0.17  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.36     5.26   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    6.24R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.68     4.54   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.15R    1.21  
QPR              32   37   -8      54.13     5.27   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    9.63R    0.27  
Sheff_Wed        33   34  -19      46.47     4.69   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.34R    5.99  
Plymouth         32   29  -15      44.25     5.09   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.60R   15.44  
Peterborough     33   24  -20      37.28     4.86   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   76.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Brighton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          34   72  +34      95.38     4.57    46.08    70.81    92.83    99.99    94.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   67  +30      90.86     4.94    39.03    23.98    70.09    99.37    79.47P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   63  +21      82.30     4.75    25.65     1.02     7.60    84.67    25.51P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      84.66     5.04    24.43     2.27    14.86    91.19    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +15      81.58     5.24    18.61     0.95     6.54    78.00    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     33   58  +25      81.17     5.06    33.05     0.81     6.06    79.44    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   58  +15      78.69     4.96    19.45     0.16     2.01    58.07    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   +0      66.33     4.98    -1.26     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -8      62.96     5.21   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          33   43   -2      61.33     5.07    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Southampton      31   41  +21      69.45     5.48    33.20     0.00     0.01     7.40     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           34   41   -3      56.39     4.73    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   40   -3      55.90     4.97    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.48R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      60.04     5.66     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.48R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -6      54.06     4.91    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.57R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.65     5.06   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.69R    0.02  
Hartlepool       33   35  -10      52.18     5.04   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.82R    0.15  
Gillingham       34   34  -13      46.53     4.51   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.48R    1.41  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.31     4.76   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.17R    3.87  
Southend         33   32  -13      48.62     4.91   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.09R    0.62  
Oldham           31   32  -14      49.22     5.28   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.83R    0.69  
Exeter           33   31  -15      46.00     4.93   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.05R    1.99  
Wycombe          34   28  -25      40.49     4.60   -31.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R   15.55  
Stockport        32   23  -32      34.98     4.63   -45.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   75.67  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnet vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             32   65  +35      93.44     4.89    50.51    76.19    98.90   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          34   60   +7      78.49     4.65     9.91     0.58    24.01    84.50    38.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   59   +5      78.97     5.02     8.17     0.75    28.63    84.36    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   57   +8      76.18     5.11     9.78     0.32    14.41    68.76    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   56  +13      78.67     5.60    15.93     1.28    31.25    81.79    44.19P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +10      73.93     4.77    13.80     0.07     6.12    54.55    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         29   51  +36      86.83     5.56    56.36    20.76    85.71    98.91    91.82P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   49   +5      66.55     4.75     6.54     0.00     0.24     8.37     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            32   49   +4      70.75     5.39     7.80     0.01     2.80    30.59     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            32   48   +8      71.72     5.41    15.05     0.01     4.17    39.76    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   48   +6      66.92     5.15     7.27     0.00     0.45    11.78     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   46   +1      70.22     5.86     4.23     0.04     3.09    27.93     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   46   +0      64.57     4.93     0.74     0.00     0.11     4.51     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   43   +5      62.81     5.29     6.20     0.00     0.08     3.42     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                33   42   -2      59.13     5.04    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             31   40   -5      56.86     5.52   -11.27     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               33   37   -9      52.93     5.02   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Hereford             32   35  -14      52.39     5.20   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.47R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   34  -20      45.25     4.46   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.11R    0.02  
Torquay              33   32   -5      48.86     4.97    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.01  
Macclesfield         31   32  -10      49.59     5.38   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.01  
Cheltenham           32   31  -14      47.06     5.08   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.03  
Grimsby              33   24  -24      35.16     4.43   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.09R    5.28  
Darlington           29   15  -40      24.77     4.50   -63.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   94.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Altrincham vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         31   69  +35      99.68     5.09    50.87    77.54    99.95    85.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   66  +31      93.82     4.89    44.31    21.22    99.29    47.61P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   60  +18      85.76     5.05    28.08     0.95    84.18    19.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   32   56  +23      79.16     5.16    29.41     0.06    40.76     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   56  +12      80.31     5.18    20.13     0.06    45.96     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          32   55  +14      82.11     4.96    25.99     0.13    62.94    14.50P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   54  +12      71.90     5.07    11.97     0.00     5.31     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      80.06     4.99    35.64     0.03    49.73    12.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   49  +13      73.74     5.60    19.49     0.00    11.27     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       32   48   -4      65.88     5.16    -5.88     0.00     0.33     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         32   46  +10      62.87     5.16     7.20     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   42   +4      63.81     5.49     6.13     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   40  -12      52.91     4.62   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   39   -6      53.91     4.84   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Histon             31   39   -7      57.25     5.38   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury          32   37   -6      53.47     5.10   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -25      45.96     3.93   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.22R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   35   +3      55.99     5.45     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   33  -21      45.25     4.32   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    0.00  
Barrow             29   31  -13      50.46     5.83   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.00  
Gateshead          33   31  -15      43.91     4.67   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.38R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.09     4.89   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.81R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     33   18  -43      25.46     3.78   -62.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R    7.82  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.72     5.77   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.17  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1