Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 February 2010 at 22:19:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.37     3.70    52.20    36.42    68.97    98.18    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      81.21     4.06    53.86    38.07    68.10    97.38    99.46    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   58  +35      80.39     3.65    52.29    25.46    62.04    97.27    99.56    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   49  +23      66.94     4.10    30.21     0.01     0.22     1.80    26.74    77.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.74     4.54    21.26     0.03     0.33     2.12    24.52    69.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   48  +17      66.52     4.06    24.49     0.00     0.07     0.98    19.55    73.14     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.48     4.55    24.82     0.01     0.27     2.26    30.19    76.35     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.84     4.44    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.01     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   38   +3      52.08     4.01     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   38   +0      55.53     4.37     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.16     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.18     4.26    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   34  -15      43.01     3.91   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      40.97     4.08   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.15  
Sunderland      27   27  -12      40.27     4.39   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.94R    0.41  
Bolton          27   26  -19      35.80     3.89   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.66R    4.05  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.79     3.93   -38.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.58R    9.06  
Wolverhampton   27   24  -24      33.15     3.92   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.23R   15.79  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.05     4.12   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.50R   13.20  
Burnley         27   23  -29      33.77     4.21   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R   14.19  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      29.97     4.06   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   43.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        33   69  +35      96.41     4.65    49.70    85.28    98.67   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   63  +31      88.79     4.85    44.29    13.58    82.74    99.98    88.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   61  +21      82.36     4.64    28.20     1.08    15.24    99.40    43.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   56   +8      75.48     4.87    10.78     0.02     1.49    85.47    20.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   54  +11      74.89     5.17    15.50     0.03     1.39    82.28    20.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   49  +15      71.91     5.31    21.13     0.01     0.44    66.49    15.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +2      66.67     5.05     3.17     0.00     0.01    22.12     3.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        34   47   +9      64.39     4.74    10.18     0.00     0.00    11.51     2.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   47   +8      64.73     4.73     9.90     0.00     0.00    13.17     2.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         34   46   -7      61.43     4.76    -8.94     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.43P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   45   -5      60.87     4.88    -8.38     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.36P    0.28R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   44   -1      61.91     5.33    -2.63     0.00     0.00     6.07     1.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Bristol_City     33   42   -7      58.00     5.01    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    1.81R    0.02  
Preston          33   42   -8      58.66     5.03    -9.91     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.16P    1.47R    0.01  
Doncaster        33   41   -1      58.37     5.02    -1.31     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.21P    1.20R    0.02  
Watford          31   39   -3      59.97     5.63    -2.65     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.56P    1.19R    0.03  
Derby            33   39   -9      55.12     5.17   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    6.45R    0.15  
Ipswich          33   38   -8      53.68     4.87   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    9.25R    0.21  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.33     5.23   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    6.10R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.74     4.55   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.77R    1.18  
QPR              32   37   -8      54.05     5.27   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    9.97R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed        33   34  -19      46.46     4.69   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.42R    5.96  
Plymouth         32   29  -15      44.26     5.12   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R   15.29  
Peterborough     33   24  -20      37.22     4.85   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.40R   76.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Brighton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          34   72  +34      95.42     4.55    46.16    70.60    92.81    99.98    94.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   67  +30      91.02     4.92    39.27    24.42    71.04    99.50    80.37P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   63  +21      82.33     4.72    25.66     0.99     7.53    84.73    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      84.81     4.95    24.67     2.14    14.74    91.85    33.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +15      81.52     5.22    18.50     0.95     6.15    77.21    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     33   58  +25      81.20     5.07    33.08     0.78     5.92    79.67    28.09P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   58  +15      78.66     4.96    19.39     0.13     1.80    57.68    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   +0      66.41     5.00    -1.11     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -8      62.89     5.17   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          33   43   -2      61.43     5.07    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      31   41  +21      69.42     5.49    33.15     0.00     0.01     7.43     2.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41   -3      56.48     4.73    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   40   -3      55.90     4.93    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      60.04     5.69     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.43R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -6      53.91     4.85    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.60     5.03   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.61R    0.02  
Hartlepool       33   35  -10      52.07     5.00   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.16R    0.16  
Gillingham       34   34  -13      46.47     4.48   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.50R    1.40  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.25     4.72   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.70R    3.75  
Southend         33   32  -13      48.56     4.93   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.55R    0.73  
Oldham           31   32  -14      49.24     5.27   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.32R    0.68  
Exeter           33   31  -15      46.03     4.92   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.55R    1.93  
Wycombe          34   28  -25      40.48     4.60   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.98R   15.65  
Stockport        32   23  -32      34.99     4.64   -45.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.23R   75.65  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnet vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             32   65  +35      93.47     4.89    50.52    76.98    98.87    99.99    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          34   60   +7      78.62     4.63    10.10     0.60    24.86    84.73    38.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   59   +5      79.01     5.02     8.27     0.66    28.80    84.70    40.45P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   57   +8      76.05     5.11     9.59     0.24    13.52    67.97    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   56  +13      78.83     5.61    16.19     1.46    32.42    82.42    45.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +10      74.09     4.75    14.09     0.07     6.49    56.36    20.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         29   51  +36      86.69     5.60    56.15    19.93    84.77    98.74    91.09P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   49   +5      66.50     4.73     6.52     0.00     0.22     8.10     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            32   49   +4      70.71     5.36     7.76     0.00     2.56    30.19     9.14P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            32   48   +8      71.66     5.40    14.95     0.01     3.83    39.31    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   48   +6      66.77     5.13     7.00     0.00     0.43    11.03     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   46   +1      70.25     5.84     4.32     0.03     3.04    27.81     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   46   +0      64.58     4.94     0.76     0.00     0.09     4.54     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   43   +5      62.76     5.33     6.16     0.00     0.08     3.34     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                33   42   -2      59.02     5.03    -3.83     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             31   40   -5      56.97     5.53   -11.08     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               33   37   -9      53.07     5.04   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Hereford             32   35  -14      52.30     5.21   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.45R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   34  -20      45.21     4.49   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.01  
Torquay              33   32   -5      48.89     4.99    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Macclesfield         31   32  -10      49.56     5.30   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.01  
Cheltenham           32   31  -14      47.26     5.04   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.02  
Grimsby              33   24  -24      35.15     4.46   -34.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.01R    4.67  
Darlington           29   15  -40      24.62     4.42   -63.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   95.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Altrincham vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         31   69  +35      99.74     5.13    50.96    77.50    99.96    84.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   66  +31      93.80     4.88    44.33    21.17    99.37    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   60  +18      85.78     5.05    28.11     0.99    84.34    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   32   56  +23      79.10     5.15    29.34     0.07    40.13     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   56  +12      80.38     5.18    20.24     0.06    46.37     8.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          32   55  +14      82.13     4.98    25.98     0.12    62.57    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   54  +12      71.92     5.09    11.96     0.00     5.33     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      80.14     4.98    35.75     0.08    49.94    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   49  +13      73.80     5.61    19.54     0.00    11.38     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       32   48   -4      65.77     5.12    -6.06     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         32   46  +10      62.79     5.18     7.14     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   42   +4      63.67     5.47     5.99     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   40  -12      52.88     4.60   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   39   -6      53.90     4.81   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Histon             31   39   -7      57.30     5.39   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury          32   37   -6      53.49     5.10   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -25      45.98     3.95   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   35   +3      56.16     5.43     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   33  -21      45.27     4.35   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.72R    0.00  
Barrow             29   31  -13      50.45     5.83   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.42R    0.00  
Gateshead          33   31  -15      43.81     4.67   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.58R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.00     4.93   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.44R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     33   18  -43      25.46     3.79   -62.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R    7.72  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.71     5.75   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.27  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1