Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 February 2010 at 22:19:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Birmingham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         28   61  +39      81.30     3.70    52.02    36.09    68.42    98.13    99.76    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      81.19     4.05    53.89    38.26    68.52    97.32    99.39    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   58  +35      80.37     3.65    52.25    25.56    62.15    97.36    99.54    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +17      66.74     4.54    21.29     0.03     0.33     2.20    25.84    70.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +22      66.19     4.33    30.59     0.01     0.17     1.58    23.45    72.55     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   45  +16      66.11     4.28    25.58     0.01     0.10     1.00    19.66    71.58     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.53     4.55    24.91     0.03     0.31     2.40    31.95    78.41     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      27   40   -2      54.88     4.45    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   38   +1      56.01     4.53     3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     3.87     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   37   +3      52.36     4.28     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           27   34   -5      47.11     4.25    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34  -14      43.36     4.02   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.01  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      41.01     4.06   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.15  
Sunderland      26   26  -12      40.78     4.63   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.73R    0.38  
Bolton          27   26  -19      35.79     3.90   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    4.27  
Wigan           27   25  -27      34.75     3.91   -38.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.88R    9.39  
Wolverhampton   27   24  -24      33.17     3.92   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.77R   15.90  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.16     4.16   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.64R   12.63  
Burnley         27   23  -29      33.68     4.17   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.14R   14.81  
Portsmouth      27   19  -22      30.05     4.07   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.75R   42.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        33   69  +35      96.51     4.66    49.84    85.59    98.71   100.00    99.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   63  +31      88.86     4.86    44.40    13.35    83.41    99.98    89.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   61  +21      82.27     4.62    28.10     0.98    14.42    99.41    43.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   56   +8      75.52     4.88    10.85     0.04     1.51    85.55    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   54  +11      74.93     5.14    15.56     0.03     1.48    82.81    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   49  +15      72.10     5.32    21.42     0.01     0.47    67.73    15.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +2      66.61     5.05     3.05     0.00     0.00    21.92     3.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        34   47   +9      64.41     4.73    10.18     0.00     0.00    11.30     2.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    34   47   +8      64.54     4.72     9.57     0.00     0.00    12.16     2.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         34   46   -7      61.37     4.76    -9.00     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.43P    0.18R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   45   -5      60.81     4.88    -8.46     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.39P    0.30R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   44   -1      62.01     5.28    -2.45     0.00     0.00     6.07     1.01P    0.20R    0.00  
Bristol_City     33   42   -7      57.99     4.97    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.10P    1.71R    0.04  
Preston          33   42   -8      58.68     5.01    -9.95     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.13P    1.37R    0.01  
Doncaster        33   41   -1      58.35     5.04    -1.35     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.19P    1.25R    0.01  
Watford          31   39   -3      59.88     5.62    -2.83     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.55P    1.32R    0.02  
Derby            33   39   -9      55.08     5.16   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    6.62R    0.11  
Ipswich          33   38   -8      53.68     4.88   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    9.29R    0.20  
Reading          32   38   -9      55.37     5.28   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    6.32R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       34   38  -20      50.67     4.52   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.40R    1.21  
QPR              32   37   -8      53.91     5.24   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   10.13R    0.30  
Sheff_Wed        33   34  -19      46.51     4.70   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.07R    5.97  
Plymouth         32   29  -15      44.43     5.14   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.22R   14.88  
Peterborough     33   24  -20      37.22     4.83   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.58R   77.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Brighton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          34   72  +34      95.44     4.57    46.20    71.36    92.80    99.97    94.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   67  +30      90.90     4.92    39.09    23.73    70.59    99.46    79.84P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   63  +21      82.36     4.72    25.75     1.02     7.84    84.83    26.22P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   62  +17      84.69     4.98    24.45     2.05    14.53    91.57    32.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +15      81.54     5.25    18.55     1.00     6.29    77.21    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     33   58  +25      81.16     5.04    33.02     0.73     5.92    79.18    27.88P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   58  +15      78.80     4.95    19.60     0.11     2.00    58.36    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   +0      66.46     4.93    -1.05     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -8      62.84     5.14   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          33   43   -2      61.41     5.05    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      31   41  +21      69.52     5.49    33.32     0.00     0.02     7.61     2.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41   -3      56.49     4.74    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   40   -3      55.72     4.94    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      59.92     5.69     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.44R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -6      53.92     4.86    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.02  
Brighton         33   37  -11      53.69     5.04   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.39R    0.02  
Hartlepool       33   35  -10      52.16     5.03   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.87R    0.12  
Gillingham       34   34  -13      46.43     4.47   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.25R    1.41  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.22     4.70   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.07R    3.88  
Southend         33   32  -13      48.70     4.91   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.54R    0.66  
Oldham           31   32  -14      49.18     5.28   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.98R    0.76  
Exeter           33   31  -15      46.10     4.96   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.18R    1.81  
Wycombe          34   28  -25      40.53     4.61   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.98R   15.52  
Stockport        32   23  -32      34.96     4.67   -45.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.16R   75.80  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Barnet vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             32   65  +35      93.45     4.89    50.52    76.88    99.00    99.99    99.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          34   60   +7      78.54     4.68    10.02     0.62    24.62    84.42    38.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   59   +5      79.03     5.03     8.28     0.79    29.08    84.77    40.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   57   +8      76.03     5.08     9.58     0.25    13.54    67.97    25.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   56  +13      78.74     5.65    16.00     1.44    31.79    81.99    44.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +10      73.92     4.76    13.78     0.06     6.31    55.07    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         29   51  +36      86.67     5.57    56.08    19.88    84.77    98.84    91.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          34   49   +5      66.43     4.69     6.39     0.00     0.18     7.91     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            32   49   +4      70.72     5.42     7.75     0.01     2.85    30.81     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            32   48   +8      71.64     5.43    14.91     0.01     4.08    39.51    13.76P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   48   +6      66.87     5.13     7.21     0.00     0.41    11.58     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   46   +1      70.26     5.87     4.33     0.04     3.18    28.41     8.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   46   +0      64.61     4.94     0.82     0.00     0.10     4.65     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   43   +5      62.86     5.28     6.27     0.00     0.07     3.37     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                33   42   -2      59.14     5.05    -3.59     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             31   40   -5      56.86     5.48   -11.24     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               33   37   -9      53.00     5.02   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Hereford             32   35  -14      52.30     5.21   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   34  -20      45.23     4.46   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.02  
Torquay              33   32   -5      48.95     5.02    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Macclesfield         31   32  -10      49.66     5.34   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.20R    0.01  
Cheltenham           32   31  -14      47.17     5.07   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.03  
Grimsby              33   24  -24      35.16     4.42   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.17R    5.12  
Darlington           29   15  -40      24.75     4.48   -63.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   94.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2010, Altrincham vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         31   69  +35      99.81     5.08    51.14    78.09    99.96    85.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   66  +31      93.93     4.88    44.45    20.78    99.35    48.40P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   60  +18      85.68     5.03    27.94     0.87    84.16    19.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   32   56  +23      79.11     5.14    29.37     0.05    40.50     8.70P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   56  +12      80.37     5.16    20.21     0.04    46.11     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          32   55  +14      82.12     4.97    26.00     0.10    62.93    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   54  +12      71.97     5.08    12.06     0.00     5.52     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      80.03     5.01    35.60     0.06    49.71    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   49  +13      73.72     5.58    19.44     0.00    11.18     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       32   48   -4      65.76     5.16    -6.08     0.00     0.29     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         32   46  +10      62.75     5.15     7.05     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   42   +4      63.77     5.45     6.08     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   40  -12      52.84     4.63   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   39   -6      53.83     4.85   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Histon             31   39   -7      57.21     5.38   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury          32   37   -6      53.44     5.10   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -25      46.03     3.95   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.85R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   35   +3      56.02     5.40     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   33  -21      45.20     4.34   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.98R    0.00  
Barrow             29   31  -13      50.44     5.84   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.00  
Gateshead          33   31  -15      43.92     4.66   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.06R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.05     4.91   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.33R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     33   18  -43      25.57     3.82   -62.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R    7.84  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.86     5.78   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   92.15  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1