Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 February 2010 at 22:19:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Man_Utd vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         27   61  +41      84.52     3.83    57.61    65.41    90.02    99.68    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      81.05     4.06    53.61    25.24    67.84    97.92    99.59    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   55  +33      78.97     3.96    50.39     9.33    41.59    95.59    99.10    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +22      66.17     4.31    30.70     0.01     0.16     2.05    28.58    79.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   46  +15      63.38     4.69    15.83     0.01     0.06     0.75    11.48    48.73     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   45  +16      65.99     4.23    25.46     0.00     0.07     1.20    23.36    79.07     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.47     4.54    24.90     0.01     0.25     2.81    37.35    83.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   38   +1      56.09     4.52     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     5.58     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   37   +3      52.31     4.27     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      26   37   -3      54.24     4.71    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.85     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           26   34   -3      48.24     4.49    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34  -14      43.24     4.02   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      41.21     4.07   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.08  
Sunderland      26   26  -12      40.88     4.67   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.17R    0.25  
Wigan           26   25  -26      35.46     4.09   -38.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.95R    5.28  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -23      34.14     4.16   -33.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.58R    8.41  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.11     4.15   -36.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.66R    8.87  
Bolton          26   23  -20      34.63     4.14   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.23R    6.55  
Burnley         26   23  -28      35.88     4.52   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.94R    5.54  
Portsmouth      26   16  -23      27.51     4.27   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.24R   65.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Doncaster vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        32   66  +34      95.39     4.91    49.63    80.87    96.29   100.00    97.84P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   61  +24      84.64     4.81    32.45     3.96    29.25    99.79    55.48P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   60  +29      88.22     5.05    43.97    15.05    71.25    99.96    81.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   53   +7      74.06     5.20    10.10     0.03     1.02    77.80    17.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +8      72.15     5.40    10.93     0.01     0.50    66.21    13.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   49  +18      74.63     5.60    26.17     0.08     1.66    81.98    21.72P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        33   47  +10      65.99     5.00    11.54     0.00     0.02    21.75     4.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   45   +1      65.37     5.34     2.69     0.00     0.01    18.59     2.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   44   +6      63.32     5.03     8.18     0.00     0.00    10.13     2.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   43   -1      61.72     5.52    -3.37     0.00     0.00     6.95     1.08P    0.42R    0.00  
Coventry         33   43   -8      60.19     5.05    -9.24     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.37P    0.93R    0.01  
Barnsley         32   42   -6      58.83     5.15   -10.06     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.24P    1.50R    0.03  
Bristol_City     32   41   -7      58.14     5.23    -9.71     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.17P    2.73R    0.06  
Doncaster        32   40   -1      59.15     5.31    -0.81     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.37P    1.48R    0.04  
Watford          30   39   -2      61.05     5.84    -2.10     0.00     0.00     6.40     0.98P    1.19R    0.03  
Derby            32   39   -7      55.89     5.33   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    6.43R    0.14  
Preston          32   39  -11      55.80     5.25   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P    7.39R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       33   38  -19      51.81     4.79   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   24.04R    1.34  
QPR              31   37   -6      55.42     5.56    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.10P    8.22R    0.32  
Ipswich          32   37   -8      54.25     5.16   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P   10.36R    0.37  
Reading          31   35  -14      52.79     5.50   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   19.80R    1.36  
Sheff_Wed        32   34  -14      48.62     5.09   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    46.95R    4.45  
Plymouth         31   29  -14      44.95     5.27   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.94R   16.47  
Peterborough     32   24  -19      38.16     5.01   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.47R   75.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 February 2010, Southend vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          33   69  +33      94.38     4.81    46.09    60.57    86.24    99.92    90.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     32   66  +30      91.36     5.15    39.25    29.04    66.80    99.40    77.50P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   63  +21      82.25     4.74    25.55     1.07     6.42    84.88    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   62  +18      86.72     5.24    26.42     5.89    24.26    95.28    41.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          31   59  +15      82.00     5.59    18.63     1.73     7.43    78.94    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     32   57  +25      81.76     5.33    33.31     1.56     7.58    82.05    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   55  +14      77.77     5.20    19.52     0.15     1.25    50.80    13.02P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   49   +1      67.71     5.27    -0.23     0.00     0.01     3.01     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   43   +2      62.84     5.29     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   42   -9      60.57     5.41   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.37R    0.00  
Southampton      30   38  +17      67.66     5.77    28.83     0.00     0.01     4.90     1.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      60.18     5.74     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.55R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   38   -4      55.13     5.05    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.77R    0.01  
Carlisle         32   37   -5      54.28     5.19    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.96R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   37   -6      54.05     5.14    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.16R    0.01  
Hartlepool       32   35   -9      52.86     5.22   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.99R    0.07  
Gillingham       33   34  -11      47.93     4.77   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R    0.51  
Brighton         32   34  -13      52.07     5.32   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.78R    0.05  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.35     4.71   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.67R    2.31  
Southend         33   32  -13      48.63     4.93   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R    0.42  
Oldham           30   32  -13      50.26     5.54   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    0.35  
Exeter           32   31  -13      47.38     5.23   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.59R    0.77  
Wycombe          33   28  -24      41.65     4.87   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.83R    8.96  
Stockport        31   20  -33      32.76     4.82   -46.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R   86.55  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 February 2010, Crewe vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             31   62  +34      92.36     5.16    50.35    74.74    97.66    99.96    98.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          33   60   +8      79.71     4.94    10.80     2.00    33.33    89.09    46.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   58   +5      79.58     5.26     8.62     1.71    32.45    87.35    43.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         32   57   +9      77.92     5.43    11.38     1.27    24.07    79.56    36.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   53  +12      76.75     5.89    14.43     1.12    20.47    72.59    33.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   52   +9      72.45     4.99    13.05     0.05     4.09    45.47    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         28   48  +31      85.26     5.86    51.22    18.89    77.03    97.76    86.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   46   +4      65.50     4.99     6.46     0.00     0.14     6.99     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   46   +2      71.71     6.18     5.45     0.20     5.86    39.57    13.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            31   46   +2      69.57     5.64     6.39     0.01     2.01    25.72     7.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      66.33     5.25     2.40     0.00     0.36    10.61     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            31   45   +7      69.50     5.69    13.11     0.02     2.00    28.16     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   45   +5      65.27     5.38     6.28     0.00     0.26     8.41     2.33P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            31   43   +6      64.32     5.58     7.37     0.00     0.26     7.36     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                32   41   -2      59.79     5.32    -3.15     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             30   37   -6      56.47     5.77   -10.35     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               32   36   -9      53.19     5.26   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.28R    0.00  
Hereford             31   35   -9      53.51     5.40   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   33  -20      45.39     4.74   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.02R    0.03  
Macclesfield         30   32   -9      50.49     5.60   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.01  
Cheltenham           31   31  -13      47.80     5.26   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.11R    0.05  
Torquay              32   29   -6      47.27     5.32    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.04  
Grimsby              32   24  -22      36.03     4.69   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R    5.17  
Darlington           28   15  -39      25.12     4.67   -64.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   94.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 February 2010, Wrexham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         31   69  +35      99.86     5.13    51.28    76.48    99.92    84.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   66  +31      93.85     4.86    44.31    19.49    99.16    46.49P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   60  +19      88.95     5.17    32.05     3.46    92.57    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   56  +13      82.21     5.42    21.97     0.21    55.81    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   55  +23      79.55     5.45    29.42     0.12    39.14     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          31   54  +14      82.28     5.22    25.90     0.21    58.29    12.84P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      80.01     4.95    35.68     0.05    42.95    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.31     5.31    11.95     0.00     5.50     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      72.06     5.93    16.35     0.00     6.07     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         31   45  +10      64.62     5.38     9.43     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       31   45   -5      63.57     5.36    -7.85     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   41   +4      64.13     5.73     6.09     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      58.99     5.63    -6.90     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   39   -6      53.73     4.80   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.28     4.84   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Salisbury          31   36   -6      53.76     5.32   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   36  -22      48.08     4.28   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   35   +3      56.21     5.44     4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          33   31  -15      43.84     4.66   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   30  -22      42.38     4.44   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R    0.00  
Barrow             28   28  -16      47.31     5.96   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.13     4.89   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.49R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.58     3.85   -65.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   10.14  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.95     5.76   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   89.85  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1