Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 February 2010 at 22:19:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Man_Utd vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         27   61  +41      84.58     3.83    57.72    66.08    90.39    99.71    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   60  +42      80.99     4.07    53.55    24.43    67.04    97.86    99.58    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   55  +33      78.99     3.97    50.54     9.47    41.97    95.53    99.09    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   46  +22      66.14     4.30    30.66     0.01     0.19     2.10    28.35    79.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   46  +15      63.44     4.68    15.99     0.00     0.08     0.76    11.92    49.26     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   45  +16      65.93     4.22    25.32     0.00     0.08     1.19    23.59    78.37     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   45  +16      67.38     4.54    24.77     0.01     0.25     2.84    36.92    83.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   38   +1      56.17     4.52     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     5.78     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   37   +3      52.34     4.26     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.87     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      26   37   -3      54.25     4.70    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.97     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           26   34   -3      48.32     4.54    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34  -14      43.21     4.00   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
West_Ham        27   27   -8      41.05     4.05   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.09  
Sunderland      26   26  -12      40.94     4.68   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.21  
Wigan           26   25  -26      35.42     4.12   -38.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.53R    5.50  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -23      34.05     4.16   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.57R    8.74  
Hull            27   24  -29      34.05     4.16   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.54R    9.09  
Bolton          26   23  -20      34.76     4.13   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.50R    6.27  
Burnley         26   23  -28      35.98     4.53   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.91R    5.30  
Portsmouth      26   16  -23      27.49     4.25   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   64.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Doncaster vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        32   66  +34      95.42     4.90    49.66    80.86    96.48   100.00    97.93P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   61  +24      84.52     4.84    32.32     3.73    28.31    99.76    54.64P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   60  +29      88.31     5.03    44.11    15.33    71.99    99.96    82.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   53   +7      74.27     5.18    10.37     0.02     1.00    78.91    18.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +8      72.26     5.39    11.10     0.01     0.57    66.62    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   49  +18      74.67     5.58    26.24     0.05     1.62    82.04    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        33   47  +10      66.01     4.98    11.61     0.00     0.01    21.77     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   45   +1      65.39     5.29     2.70     0.00     0.01    17.94     2.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   44   +6      63.30     5.01     8.17     0.00     0.00    10.02     1.88P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   43   -1      61.75     5.52    -3.34     0.00     0.01     6.83     1.09P    0.43R    0.00  
Coventry         33   43   -8      60.23     5.05    -9.20     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.31P    0.85R    0.01  
Barnsley         32   42   -6      58.89     5.14    -9.97     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.17P    1.46R    0.02  
Bristol_City     32   41   -7      58.20     5.24    -9.62     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.18P    2.67R    0.05  
Doncaster        32   40   -1      59.10     5.31    -0.90     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.37P    1.40R    0.03  
Watford          30   39   -2      60.99     5.85    -2.17     0.00     0.00     6.20     0.90P    1.13R    0.03  
Derby            32   39   -7      55.68     5.35   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.07P    6.88R    0.15  
Preston          32   39  -11      55.94     5.21   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    6.70R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       33   38  -19      51.71     4.77   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.71R    1.32  
QPR              31   37   -6      55.19     5.50    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.06P    8.65R    0.39  
Ipswich          32   37   -8      54.37     5.15   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    9.69R    0.33  
Reading          31   35  -14      52.72     5.47   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   20.10R    1.33  
Sheff_Wed        32   34  -14      48.54     5.07   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.76R    4.40  
Plymouth         31   29  -14      44.92     5.29   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R   16.63  
Peterborough     32   24  -19      38.16     5.04   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.32R   75.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          33   69  +33      94.35     4.83    46.04    60.41    86.35    99.94    90.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     32   66  +30      91.40     5.17    39.23    29.42    68.09    99.53    78.48P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   62  +18      86.75     5.22    26.47     6.13    24.64    95.76    42.81P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   60  +20      80.82     5.01    24.83     0.72     4.58    78.15    21.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          31   59  +15      81.97     5.53    18.64     1.63     7.46    81.00    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     32   57  +25      81.61     5.33    33.12     1.55     7.59    82.59    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   55  +14      77.74     5.19    19.49     0.13     1.29    53.30    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   49   +1      67.84     5.25    -0.09     0.00     0.00     3.48     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   43   +2      62.88     5.28     2.97     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   42   -9      60.65     5.41   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.35R    0.00  
Southampton      30   38  +17      67.58     5.79    28.68     0.00     0.01     5.25     1.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        30   38   +0      60.10     5.69     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.53R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   38   -4      55.08     5.02    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.01  
Carlisle         32   37   -5      54.33     5.14    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    32   37   -6      54.09     5.15    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.02  
Hartlepool       32   35   -9      52.80     5.24   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.55R    0.07  
Gillingham       33   34  -11      47.84     4.76   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.98R    0.59  
Brighton         32   34  -13      52.08     5.33   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.43R    0.08  
Tranmere         32   33  -23      45.40     4.71   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.09R    2.31  
Southend         32   32  -12      49.83     5.19   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    0.36  
Oldham           30   32  -13      50.27     5.54   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.19R    0.38  
Exeter           32   31  -13      47.36     5.19   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.56R    0.76  
Wycombe          33   28  -24      41.66     4.85   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.33R    8.98  
Stockport        31   20  -33      32.80     4.86   -46.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R   86.44  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Aldershot vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             31   62  +34      92.40     5.13    50.45    75.63    98.00    99.98    98.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          33   60   +8      79.85     4.92    10.98     1.95    36.45    90.37    48.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   58   +5      79.55     5.30     8.59     1.75    34.35    87.67    45.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         31   54   +8      75.82     5.59     9.58     0.63    15.86    68.15    27.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   53  +12      76.57     5.86    14.17     1.02    21.01    72.51    34.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   52   +9      72.40     5.01    12.94     0.06     4.47    46.60    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         28   48  +31      85.20     5.89    51.17    18.74    78.01    97.80    86.96P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   46   +4      65.53     4.97     6.51     0.00     0.18     7.86     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   46   +2      71.74     6.13     5.48     0.18     6.05    40.72    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            31   46   +2      69.63     5.60     6.48     0.01     2.25    27.30     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      66.26     5.23     2.27     0.00     0.42    10.92     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            31   45   +7      69.57     5.69    13.22     0.01     2.34    29.85     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   45   +5      65.25     5.39     6.24     0.00     0.29     8.90     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            31   43   +6      64.35     5.63     7.38     0.00     0.26     8.02     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                31   41   -1      61.59     5.62    -1.54     0.00     0.06     2.82     0.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             30   37   -6      56.53     5.74   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               32   36   -9      53.27     5.29   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Hereford             31   35   -9      53.55     5.40   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.37R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   33  -20      45.30     4.74   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.03  
Macclesfield         30   32   -9      50.38     5.59   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.01  
Cheltenham           31   31  -13      47.99     5.32   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.06  
Torquay              32   29   -6      47.18     5.28    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.05  
Grimsby              32   24  -22      35.93     4.67   -33.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.22R    5.24  
Darlington           28   15  -39      25.26     4.67   -64.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   94.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2010, Gateshead vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         31   69  +35      99.80     5.13    51.19    80.50    99.94    86.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   63  +30      92.20     5.15    43.35    14.86    97.82    41.92P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   60  +19      88.94     5.16    32.03     3.96    92.47    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   56  +13      82.12     5.41    21.84     0.24    55.47    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   55  +23      79.46     5.41    29.32     0.11    38.68     8.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          31   54  +14      82.30     5.25    25.98     0.25    58.62    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      32   53  +23      80.14     4.92    35.86     0.06    44.67    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.39     5.36    12.07     0.00     5.66     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      72.00     5.86    16.22     0.00     5.73     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         31   45  +10      64.75     5.33     9.61     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       31   45   -5      63.54     5.39    -7.90     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   41   +5      65.46     5.98     7.15     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      59.06     5.62    -6.81     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   39   -6      53.81     4.79   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.21     4.83   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Salisbury          31   36   -6      53.73     5.35   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   36  -22      48.01     4.28   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   35   +3      56.08     5.40     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          33   31  -15      43.73     4.67   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.45R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   30  -22      42.40     4.47   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    0.00  
Barrow             28   28  -16      47.30     5.99   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.45R    0.00  
Forest_Green       32   27  -27      41.27     4.90   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.50R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.57     3.88   -65.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   10.53  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.05     5.77   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   89.46  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1