Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 19 February 2010 at 22:19:04 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 February 2010, Wigan vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 26 58 +39 83.64 4.06 56.65 46.47 83.33 99.36 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 57 +41 83.34 4.41 57.50 45.48 81.25 99.03 99.81 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 52 +31 78.78 4.10 51.78 8.03 34.90 95.11 98.96 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 45 +15 64.09 5.00 16.25 0.01 0.14 1.43 18.25 59.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 44 +16 65.97 4.54 24.95 0.01 0.14 1.66 28.64 79.01 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 43 +19 64.66 4.61 27.58 0.00 0.06 1.26 20.50 70.93 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 42 +13 66.62 4.71 23.00 0.01 0.16 2.14 33.26 81.06 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 25 37 -2 55.18 4.95 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 5.98 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 35 -1 53.45 4.81 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 3.05 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 26 34 +2 50.87 4.57 1.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.75 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 25 31 -4 46.36 4.75 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.41R 0.01 Blackburn 26 31 -17 41.52 4.23 -27.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.54R 0.17 Sunderland 25 26 -10 40.96 4.75 -16.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.24R 0.53 Wigan 25 25 -23 36.61 4.43 -35.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.42R 5.94 West_Ham 25 24 -8 40.16 4.43 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.47R 0.72 Wolverhampton 25 24 -21 34.96 4.43 -32.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.85R 10.59 Hull 26 24 -26 35.23 4.41 -34.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.43R 9.54 Bolton 25 23 -17 36.32 4.53 -26.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.11R 5.93 Burnley 25 23 -25 36.22 4.65 -34.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.75R 7.70 Portsmouth 25 16 -22 28.91 4.53 -29.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.78R 58.87Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 February 2010, Crystal_Palace vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 31 63 +31 94.59 5.10 47.94 68.18 94.12 100.00 96.40P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 31 60 +30 90.50 5.25 46.47 28.50 82.80 99.98 88.73P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 32 58 +23 83.46 5.09 32.11 2.90 17.93 99.40 47.73P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 50 +6 72.34 5.45 9.00 0.02 0.48 66.28 14.25P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 30 49 +20 77.83 5.77 31.30 0.40 4.34 91.81 28.49P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 47 +7 70.49 5.86 9.34 0.01 0.31 53.55 10.13P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 45 +1 65.41 5.27 2.73 0.00 0.00 18.69 2.68P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 32 44 +8 64.87 5.28 10.33 0.00 0.00 18.10 3.26P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 44 +7 64.03 5.21 8.25 0.00 0.00 13.52 2.56P 0.06R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 43 +0 63.98 5.81 -1.16 0.00 0.01 14.36 2.26P 0.18R 0.00 Doncaster 30 40 +1 62.50 5.84 2.09 0.00 0.00 10.55 1.69P 0.53R 0.01 Coventry 32 40 -9 57.74 5.25 -11.52 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.12P 3.12R 0.09 Derby 31 39 -6 57.29 5.58 -9.68 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.21P 4.27R 0.08 Barnsley 31 39 -8 55.65 5.27 -14.94 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.05P 7.09R 0.25 Preston 31 39 -8 56.53 5.40 -13.12 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.12P 5.70R 0.14 Watford 29 38 -2 61.40 6.09 -2.18 0.00 0.00 7.99 1.12P 1.33R 0.03 Bristol_City 31 38 -8 55.56 5.41 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.07P 7.80R 0.33 Scunthorpe 31 36 -19 52.73 5.36 -25.61 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 20.32R 1.36 Reading 30 35 -12 53.90 5.73 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.04P 15.50R 1.01 QPR 30 34 -7 53.33 5.76 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.05P 15.81R 1.02 Sheff_Wed 31 34 -13 50.41 5.38 -20.17 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 33.15R 2.57 Ipswich 30 33 -9 52.72 5.71 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 19.43R 1.33 Plymouth 30 28 -14 45.05 5.57 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 69.50R 17.77 Peterborough 32 24 -19 38.30 5.01 -26.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.08R 74.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Carlisle vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 31 66 +34 96.34 5.21 51.09 68.02 91.77 99.98 94.38P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 62 +28 92.05 5.54 40.19 26.36 71.88 99.55 80.74P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 31 59 +17 85.85 5.43 26.61 3.19 18.77 95.15 39.11P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 31 57 +19 82.37 5.47 26.81 1.32 8.36 87.19 28.05P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 29 53 +10 79.81 5.97 15.52 0.58 4.14 72.36 16.83P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 30 52 +13 77.87 5.72 19.06 0.16 1.92 60.94 16.04P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 30 51 +21 78.45 5.87 29.24 0.37 3.14 67.78 21.11P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 46 +1 68.34 5.77 1.21 0.00 0.03 7.95 1.27P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 42 -8 61.95 5.65 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.09P 0.20R 0.00 Walsall 30 40 +2 63.46 5.86 4.20 0.00 0.00 2.01 0.46P 0.08R 0.00 Brentford 29 38 +1 61.34 5.96 1.48 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.18P 0.34R 0.00 Carlisle 30 37 +0 57.32 5.74 -3.39 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.83R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 36 -5 56.23 5.66 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 2.90R 0.00 Yeovil 31 35 -3 53.74 5.48 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.59R 0.01 Southampton 28 34 +15 65.77 6.33 25.80 0.00 0.00 5.31 1.69P 0.09R 0.00 Southend 30 32 -9 51.27 5.59 -13.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 15.15R 0.10 Hartlepool 30 32 -10 52.36 5.73 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.52R 0.07 Oldham 28 32 -10 51.78 5.97 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.13R 0.10 Exeter 31 31 -12 50.24 5.51 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.24R 0.16 Gillingham 31 30 -12 46.77 5.32 -18.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.78R 0.66 Brighton 30 30 -14 48.06 5.56 -20.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.98R 0.33 Tranmere 30 30 -22 44.40 5.24 -33.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.25R 2.22 Wycombe 31 24 -25 39.02 5.27 -34.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.48R 12.39 Stockport 29 17 -31 30.69 5.19 -48.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.46R 83.94 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 February 2010, Bury vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 29 59 +34 94.90 5.49 55.07 80.87 98.86 99.98 99.31P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 57 +5 80.52 5.60 9.44 1.55 39.65 89.53 49.79P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 31 56 +5 78.81 5.39 8.24 0.99 27.02 83.96 39.23P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 52 +12 77.38 6.17 14.83 0.90 23.95 75.32 37.10P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 51 +9 72.53 5.25 12.61 0.03 4.84 47.02 16.19P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 30 51 +7 75.27 5.84 10.17 0.35 12.83 64.24 25.10P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 27 47 +31 86.07 6.18 52.04 15.17 79.09 97.84 87.19P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 44 +8 71.86 6.22 15.00 0.07 6.32 44.45 16.73P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 30 44 +7 67.39 5.92 8.76 0.01 1.27 18.56 5.66P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 31 43 +3 64.81 5.48 4.73 0.00 0.22 7.40 2.02P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 43 +3 67.65 6.01 4.57 0.00 1.25 18.66 5.48P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 43 +0 64.37 5.45 0.79 0.00 0.20 6.56 1.66P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 43 +0 70.36 6.41 3.82 0.08 3.97 32.88 10.34P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 29 40 +4 65.11 6.01 6.79 0.00 0.51 10.80 3.55P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 30 38 -2 59.95 5.84 -2.63 0.00 0.02 1.90 0.42P 0.02R 0.00 Hereford 29 35 -6 57.40 5.96 -7.68 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.15P 0.12R 0.00 Bradford 28 34 -6 53.92 6.09 -14.73 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.06P 0.38R 0.00 Barnet 30 33 -8 52.11 5.75 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.80R 0.01 Lincoln_City 30 32 -16 46.91 5.23 -26.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.13R 0.05 Macclesfield 28 30 -9 50.57 6.05 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.33R 0.03 Torquay 31 28 -6 47.40 5.57 -8.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.82R 0.07 Cheltenham 29 27 -15 45.75 5.84 -22.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.12R 0.19 Grimsby 30 22 -22 36.58 5.16 -32.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.77R 5.56 Darlington 27 15 -38 25.51 4.73 -64.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.51R 94.09Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Altrincham vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 30 66 +33 98.25 5.38 49.27 73.42 99.79 81.82P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 63 +30 92.07 5.13 43.17 19.45 98.05 44.62P 0.00 0.00 York 31 60 +19 88.73 5.18 31.73 5.43 92.34 26.68P 0.00 0.00 Luton 30 56 +14 84.10 5.64 23.77 1.12 70.36 14.88P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 31 55 +23 79.32 5.41 29.13 0.14 39.20 8.55P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 53 +12 72.43 5.37 12.16 0.00 6.05 0.87P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 30 51 +12 80.40 5.52 23.43 0.22 45.35 10.11P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 30 50 +24 79.30 5.43 36.01 0.21 40.19 10.86P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 30 46 +10 72.03 5.85 16.26 0.00 6.28 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 45 -3 65.04 5.61 -5.57 0.00 0.32 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 29 44 +11 67.75 5.91 12.44 0.00 1.80 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Histon 30 39 -4 58.82 5.59 -7.10 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Tamworth 32 39 -4 55.17 5.04 -8.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 33 39 -12 53.18 4.87 -18.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Wrexham 28 38 +3 63.13 6.23 4.18 0.00 0.26 0.05P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 31 36 -6 53.64 5.32 -10.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 34 +3 57.08 5.75 5.03 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.07R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 34 33 -24 45.56 4.51 -30.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 32 29 -22 42.29 4.68 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.36R 0.00 Gateshead 31 28 -14 44.08 5.25 -21.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.15R 0.00 Barrow 28 28 -16 47.51 6.02 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.62R 0.00 Forest_Green 31 26 -27 41.01 5.15 -36.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.32R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 32 17 -43 24.68 3.87 -64.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 11.03 Chester 28 -3 -19 15.27 5.79 -28.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 88.97 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1