Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 February 2010 at 22:18:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Stoke vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   58  +39      83.79     4.05    57.11    47.93    84.25    99.43    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   57  +41      83.29     4.40    57.42    44.16    80.51    99.07    99.84    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   52  +31      78.78     4.11    51.66     7.88    34.77    95.11    98.97    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   45  +15      64.09     5.00    16.30     0.01     0.14     1.50    18.70    59.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   44  +16      65.82     4.53    24.70     0.00     0.11     1.52    27.91    78.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   43  +19      64.57     4.62    27.51     0.00     0.07     1.18    20.69    70.40     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   42  +13      66.53     4.75    22.89     0.02     0.15     2.16    33.17    81.12     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   37   -2      55.29     4.96    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.60     6.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   35   -1      53.58     4.80     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.28     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.87     4.55     2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           25   31   -4      46.38     4.78    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.42R    0.01  
Blackburn       26   31  -17      41.51     4.25   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.74R    0.18  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.88     4.78   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.95R    0.57  
West_Ham        25   24   -8      40.16     4.48   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.76  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -21      34.92     4.37   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.37R   10.25  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.67     4.83   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    4.84  
Hull            26   24  -26      35.27     4.42   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.65R    9.30  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.20     4.64   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R    7.75  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.24     4.80   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.07R    7.23  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      28.89     4.55   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.10R   59.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Blackpool vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        31   60  +30      90.58     5.22    46.69    34.09    83.69    99.98    89.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        30   60  +28      93.50     5.36    45.53    61.42    91.21   100.00    94.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   58  +23      83.47     5.12    32.14     3.86    19.44    99.30    48.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   50   +6      72.20     5.44     8.83     0.03     0.40    62.87    13.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49  +20      77.80     5.78    31.31     0.56     4.86    90.67    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   47   +7      70.34     5.84     9.17     0.02     0.30    50.24     9.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   45   +1      65.37     5.26     2.68     0.00     0.01    17.10     2.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        32   44   +8      64.88     5.27    10.40     0.00     0.01    16.76     3.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    32   44   +7      64.07     5.22     8.35     0.00     0.00    12.81     2.47P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.88     6.09     3.11     0.01     0.07    27.36     4.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster        30   40   +1      62.45     5.84     2.02     0.00     0.00     9.54     1.56P    0.45R    0.00  
Coventry         31   40   -6      58.50     5.39    -9.43     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.22P    2.02R    0.06  
Derby            31   39   -6      57.27     5.57    -9.74     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.18P    3.71R    0.08  
Barnsley         31   39   -8      55.51     5.28   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.05P    6.48R    0.32  
Preston          31   39   -8      56.65     5.39   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.10P    4.59R    0.11  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.31     6.13    -2.32     0.00     0.00     7.46     1.09P    1.31R    0.05  
Bristol_City     31   38   -8      55.60     5.45   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    7.18R    0.40  
Scunthorpe       31   36  -19      52.74     5.36   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   18.75R    1.36  
QPR              30   34   -7      53.41     5.80   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P   14.55R    0.96  
Sheff_Wed        31   34  -13      50.35     5.34   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   30.98R    2.52  
Ipswich          30   33   -9      52.74     5.70   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   17.50R    1.24  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.73     5.86   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.67R    3.69  
Plymouth         30   28  -14      45.20     5.57   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.60R   17.11  
Peterborough     32   24  -19      38.44     5.09   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R   72.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Carlisle vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          31   66  +34      96.39     5.17    51.13    68.17    92.12    99.98    94.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   62  +28      92.23     5.53    40.45    26.53    72.80    99.60    81.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   59  +17      85.86     5.41    26.67     3.10    18.36    95.46    39.21P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   57  +19      82.31     5.48    26.72     1.19     8.03    87.22    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   53  +10      79.54     5.94    15.11     0.48     3.80    70.88    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   52  +13      77.90     5.70    19.08     0.16     1.88    61.36    16.17P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     30   51  +21      78.44     5.83    29.21     0.36     2.98    68.44    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   46   +1      68.31     5.76     1.12     0.00     0.03     7.90     1.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   42   -8      62.00     5.70   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.08P    0.24R    0.00  
Walsall          30   40   +2      63.57     5.73     4.37     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford        29   38   +1      61.36     5.93     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         30   37   +0      57.46     5.74    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    1.65R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   36   -5      56.23     5.65    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    2.90R    0.01  
Yeovil           31   35   -3      53.64     5.44    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.86R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.77     6.33    25.82     0.00     0.01     5.49     1.76P    0.10R    0.00  
Southend         30   32   -9      51.16     5.57   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.41R    0.10  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.37     5.69   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.14R    0.06  
Oldham           28   32  -10      51.82     5.92   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.78R    0.09  
Exeter           31   31  -12      50.29     5.54   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.98R    0.19  
Gillingham       31   30  -12      46.76     5.29   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.99R    0.70  
Brighton         30   30  -14      47.93     5.61   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   34.68R    0.37  
Tranmere         30   30  -22      44.36     5.23   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.28R    2.26  
Wycombe          31   24  -25      39.01     5.27   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.21R   12.66  
Stockport        29   17  -31      30.78     5.16   -48.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   83.55  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Hereford vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.86     5.44    54.99    73.43    98.65    99.98    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          31   56   +5      78.95     5.37     8.41     0.74    25.97    84.05    38.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   54   +4      78.87     5.83     8.40     0.78    27.46    81.63    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   51  +12      78.64     6.37    16.24     1.35    29.61    79.93    42.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +10      73.81     5.47    13.48     0.10     7.91    54.99    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   51   +7      75.18     5.84    10.04     0.26    11.64    62.68    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.42     6.20    55.62    23.24    86.75    98.94    92.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            29   44   +8      71.80     6.21    14.91     0.04     5.63    43.17    16.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   44   +7      67.32     5.94     8.54     0.00     1.16    17.82     5.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   43   +3      64.87     5.48     4.80     0.00     0.18     7.17     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            29   43   +3      67.86     6.00     4.91     0.01     1.16    19.36     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   43   +0      64.45     5.42     0.95     0.00     0.13     6.32     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +0      70.15     6.36     3.51     0.03     3.28    30.86     9.40P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   40   +4      64.94     6.07     6.55     0.00     0.43    10.27     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                30   38   -2      59.94     5.86    -2.65     0.00     0.03     1.87     0.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             29   35   -6      57.36     5.97    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P    0.08R    0.00  
Bradford             28   34   -6      53.90     6.05   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    0.27R    0.00  
Barnet               30   33   -8      52.16     5.63   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.53R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         30   32  -16      46.97     5.26   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.38R    0.03  
Macclesfield         28   30   -9      50.47     6.04   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.81R    0.03  
Torquay              30   27   -6      47.05     5.76    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.11  
Cheltenham           29   27  -15      45.86     5.80   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.64R    0.19  
Grimsby              29   21  -22      35.24     5.16   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.48R    8.35  
Darlington           27   15  -38      25.64     4.76   -64.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   91.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2010, Altrincham vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         30   66  +33      98.20     5.37    49.15    72.56    99.81    81.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   63  +30      92.22     5.16    43.39    20.18    98.10    45.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   60  +19      88.79     5.14    31.79     5.53    93.02    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   56  +14      84.02     5.68    23.65     1.16    69.63    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   55  +23      79.48     5.42    29.36     0.18    40.34     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.32     5.36    11.97     0.00     5.89     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          30   51  +12      80.33     5.47    23.28     0.19    44.89     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      30   50  +24      79.23     5.43    35.92     0.19    40.06    10.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      71.89     5.83    16.11     0.00     5.77     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   45   -3      65.05     5.65    -5.55     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         29   44  +11      67.71     5.91    12.39     0.00     1.82     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      58.83     5.62    -7.11     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           32   39   -4      55.24     5.01    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.25     4.89   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.23     6.22     4.31     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury          31   36   -6      53.77     5.31   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   34   +3      57.17     5.72     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -24      45.47     4.48   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.84R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    32   29  -22      42.25     4.70   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.40R    0.00  
Gateshead          31   28  -14      44.11     5.26   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.98R    0.00  
Barrow             28   28  -16      47.42     5.99   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.67R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   26  -27      40.96     5.13   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.70R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.66     3.87   -64.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   10.92  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.26     5.80   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   89.08  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1