Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 February 2010 at 22:18:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 February 2010, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   58  +39      83.71     4.06    57.05    47.87    83.99    99.32    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   57  +41      83.26     4.41    57.41    44.13    80.67    98.99    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   52  +31      78.79     4.07    51.70     7.99    34.87    94.99    99.04    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   44  +16      65.97     4.51    24.95     0.00     0.09     1.54    28.21    78.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   44  +15      64.26     5.25    15.97     0.00     0.19     1.76    19.74    60.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   43  +19      64.66     4.64    27.69     0.00     0.06     1.21    20.53    70.57     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   42  +13      66.51     4.74    22.79     0.00     0.13     2.18    31.90    80.18     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   37   -2      55.34     4.96    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63     6.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   35   -1      53.41     4.79     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     3.01     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.95     4.54     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   31  -17      41.51     4.22   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.69R    0.17  
Stoke           24   30   -4      46.77     5.08    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.50R    0.02  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.94     4.79   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.56  
West_Ham        25   24   -8      40.16     4.47   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.76  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -21      35.04     4.39   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.56R    9.98  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.72     4.81   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.02R    4.72  
Hull            26   24  -26      35.16     4.42   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.12R    9.45  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.17     4.62   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.29R    7.55  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.27     4.85   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.75R    7.18  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      28.82     4.56   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.34R   59.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        30   60  +28      93.49     5.33    45.48    59.53    92.03   100.00    95.05P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   59  +30      90.92     5.52    46.52    36.56    84.30    99.96    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   55  +22      82.42     5.34    32.02     2.92    15.92    98.23    45.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   49   +6      72.87     5.69     9.23     0.05     0.72    65.31    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   48  +20      78.07     6.03    31.15     0.90     6.36    90.01    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   46   +7      70.90     6.14     9.45     0.04     0.54    51.75    10.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   45   +2      66.08     5.47     2.64     0.00     0.01    19.83     2.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   44   +9      65.70     5.47    10.69     0.00     0.03    19.86     4.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.82     6.12     2.96     0.00     0.08    26.10     4.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        31   41   +6      63.17     5.53     8.19     0.00     0.00    10.39     1.88P    0.16R    0.00  
Coventry         31   40   -6      58.57     5.42    -9.36     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.24P    2.20R    0.04  
Preston          30   39   -6      58.07     5.65   -10.44     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.20P    3.38R    0.04  
Barnsley         30   39   -7      57.20     5.56   -13.69     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.13P    4.33R    0.09  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.23     6.07    -2.45     0.00     0.00     6.57     0.96P    1.15R    0.02  
Doncaster        29   37   -1      60.19     6.09    -0.88     0.00     0.00     5.04     0.75P    1.79R    0.04  
Bristol_City     30   37   -8      55.96     5.72   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.10P    7.15R    0.21  
Derby            30   36   -8      54.90     5.74   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    9.38R    0.19  
QPR              30   34   -7      53.43     5.79   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   14.74R    0.56  
Sheff_Wed        30   34  -11      52.25     5.69   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   20.27R    0.86  
Ipswich          29   33   -7      55.00     6.01    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P   10.53R    0.50  
Scunthorpe       30   33  -20      51.15     5.67   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.68R    2.02  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.56     5.84   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   32.17R    2.56  
Plymouth         29   27  -14      45.21     5.78   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.53R   12.28  
Peterborough     31   21  -21      36.27     5.26   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.43R   80.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 February 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          31   66  +34      96.27     5.21    50.95    55.95    91.75    99.98    94.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   62  +29      95.09     5.69    43.70    41.08    85.95    99.86    90.85P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   57  +19      82.35     5.49    26.75     0.87     6.44    88.89    27.70P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   56  +16      84.19     5.72    25.61     1.44    10.04    92.64    31.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   53  +10      79.59     5.97    15.13     0.38     2.99    74.10    15.78P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   52  +13      77.87     5.69    19.06     0.11     1.29    65.11    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   48  +20      76.77     6.14    28.15     0.17     1.51    60.23    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   46   +1      68.34     5.77     1.13     0.00     0.02     9.43     1.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   42   -8      62.06     5.63   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.14P    0.18R    0.00  
Brentford        29   38   +1      61.29     5.93     1.38     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.22P    0.34R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   37   +1      58.79     5.99    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    1.22R    0.00  
Walsall          29   37   +1      60.42     5.96     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.17P    0.53R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   36   -5      56.26     5.69    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   35   -2      55.13     5.74    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.07R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.64     6.33    25.62     0.00     0.00     6.24     1.96P    0.10R    0.00  
Southend         30   32   -9      51.13     5.57   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.65R    0.10  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.46     5.77   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.59R    0.06  
Oldham           28   32  -10      51.77     5.88   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.14R    0.09  
Exeter           31   31  -12      50.32     5.53   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.25R    0.11  
Gillingham       31   30  -12      46.81     5.32   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    0.63  
Brighton         30   30  -14      47.90     5.55   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.57R    0.35  
Tranmere         30   30  -22      44.55     5.24   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.53R    2.06  
Wycombe          31   24  -25      39.16     5.28   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   12.18  
Stockport        29   17  -31      30.67     5.15   -48.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   84.41  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.87     5.43    55.00    73.55    98.56    99.97    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          31   56   +5      78.98     5.36     8.44     0.74    24.09    81.54    36.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   54   +4      78.57     5.83     7.93     0.67    23.94    77.62    34.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   51  +12      78.68     6.42    16.28     1.46    28.60    77.55    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +10      73.92     5.50    13.61     0.09     7.45    51.88    19.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   51   +7      75.22     5.83    10.11     0.22    10.87    59.18    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.46     6.18    55.73    22.91    85.83    98.80    91.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            28   44  +10      74.23     6.44    18.72     0.20    10.94    55.36    23.80P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   43   +3      65.04     5.51     5.04     0.00     0.15     6.42     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            29   43   +3      67.99     6.07     5.09     0.01     1.20    17.97     5.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   43   +1      65.72     5.75     1.70     0.00     0.40     9.05     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   43   +1      72.58     6.62     6.14     0.15     6.87    42.13    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   41   +6      66.03     6.16     8.13     0.00     0.65    11.95     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   40   +4      64.91     6.03     6.47     0.00     0.41     8.68     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                30   38   -2      59.98     5.83    -2.64     0.00     0.02     1.53     0.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             28   34   -6      53.73     6.09   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnet               30   33   -8      52.08     5.71   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.40R    0.01  
Hereford             28   32   -8      54.57     6.16   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.25R    0.00  
Macclesfield         28   30   -9      50.72     6.01   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.31R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         29   29  -17      44.38     5.37   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.34R    0.18  
Torquay              30   27   -6      47.03     5.74    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76R    0.11  
Cheltenham           29   27  -15      45.68     5.78   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.21  
Grimsby              29   21  -22      35.13     5.07   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.46R    8.03  
Darlington           27   15  -38      25.56     4.74   -64.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   91.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         29   63  +32      96.94     5.70    48.82    64.32    99.40    75.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   63  +30      92.27     5.12    43.43    23.20    98.05    47.84P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   59  +19      89.65     5.43    32.58     9.71    93.27    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   55  +24      80.51     5.63    29.82     0.54    46.49    10.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   55  +14      83.91     5.87    23.03     1.67    67.08    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.31     5.38    11.96     0.01     5.68     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          30   51  +12      80.33     5.55    23.23     0.28    43.21     9.56P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      30   50  +24      79.26     5.46    35.89     0.27    38.93    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      72.02     5.92    16.26     0.00     6.14     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   45   -3      65.03     5.64    -5.63     0.00     0.29     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         28   41   +8      66.16     6.16     9.45     0.00     1.20     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           31   39   -3      56.65     5.32    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      58.73     5.65    -7.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.26     4.88   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.21     6.21     4.31     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   34   +3      57.23     5.77     5.30     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury          30   33   -7      52.14     5.63   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -24      45.52     4.49   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.74R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   29  -19      43.42     4.91   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.33R    0.00  
Barrow             27   28  -15      48.61     6.27   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.23R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   26  -27      40.99     5.15   -36.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.15R    0.01  
Gateshead          30   25  -15      42.58     5.48   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.58R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.63     3.89   -64.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   10.96  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.26     5.78   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   89.03  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1