Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 February 2010 at 22:18:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 February 2010, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   58  +39      83.72     4.05    56.96    47.96    84.18    99.36    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   57  +41      83.24     4.41    57.25    44.25    80.62    98.88    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   52  +31      78.79     4.07    51.70     7.76    34.67    94.96    98.96    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   44  +16      65.82     4.56    24.69     0.00     0.10     1.49    27.04    77.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   44  +15      64.43     5.27    16.32     0.02     0.19     1.81    20.79    61.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   43  +19      64.63     4.65    27.64     0.00     0.09     1.24    20.49    70.36     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   42  +13      66.54     4.75    22.87     0.01     0.15     2.26    32.24    80.42     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   37   -2      55.24     4.94    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     6.01     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   35   -1      53.48     4.80     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.25     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.96     4.54     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.78     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   31  -17      41.52     4.26   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.20  
Stoke           24   30   -4      46.69     5.06    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.44R    0.01  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.94     4.81   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.90R    0.63  
West_Ham        25   24   -8      40.26     4.49   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.55R    0.78  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -21      34.94     4.39   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.13R   10.33  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.56     4.78   -35.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.17R    5.02  
Hull            26   24  -26      35.10     4.40   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.21R   10.09  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.18     4.64   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R    7.84  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.37     4.81   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.89R    6.95  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      29.00     4.54   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.79R   58.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        30   60  +28      93.60     5.36    45.67    61.01    92.14   100.00    95.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   59  +30      90.73     5.55    46.20    34.97    83.50    99.96    88.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   55  +22      82.43     5.34    32.06     2.94    16.21    98.29    45.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   49   +6      73.19     5.72     9.63     0.06     0.86    67.06    15.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   48  +20      78.06     6.08    31.10     0.99     6.64    89.59    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   46   +7      70.93     6.10     9.49     0.02     0.52    52.02    10.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   45   +2      65.96     5.47     2.50     0.00     0.00    18.96     2.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   44   +9      65.65     5.45    10.60     0.00     0.02    19.28     3.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.91     6.13     3.10     0.00     0.10    26.06     4.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool        31   41   +6      63.12     5.53     8.11     0.00     0.01    10.01     1.82P    0.22R    0.00  
Coventry         31   40   -6      58.51     5.42    -9.44     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.22P    2.20R    0.03  
Preston          30   39   -6      58.03     5.67   -10.45     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.23P    3.35R    0.05  
Barnsley         30   39   -7      57.29     5.60   -13.55     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.13P    4.11R    0.07  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.30     6.12    -2.34     0.00     0.00     6.80     0.97P    1.21R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   37   -1      60.30     6.12    -0.71     0.00     0.00     5.16     0.86P    1.63R    0.04  
Bristol_City     30   37   -8      55.89     5.72   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.10P    7.11R    0.24  
Derby            30   36   -8      55.03     5.71   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P    9.00R    0.21  
QPR              30   34   -7      53.29     5.77   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P   14.83R    0.59  
Sheff_Wed        30   34  -11      52.24     5.70   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   20.29R    0.88  
Ipswich          29   33   -7      54.67     5.99    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P   11.45R    0.58  
Scunthorpe       30   33  -20      51.04     5.69   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   29.45R    2.03  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.75     5.85   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.72R    2.40  
Plymouth         29   27  -14      45.10     5.74   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.09R   12.57  
Peterborough     31   21  -21      36.36     5.29   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   80.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Brentford vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          31   66  +34      96.33     5.18    51.10    55.41    90.33    99.97    93.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   62  +29      95.12     5.65    43.81    40.58    84.13    99.88    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.40     5.72    28.91     2.10    11.43    93.12    33.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   56  +16      84.13     5.74    25.51     1.32     8.89    92.30    30.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   53  +10      79.76     5.94    15.43     0.39     2.83    74.92    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   52  +13      77.78     5.72    18.93     0.09     1.11    63.89    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   48  +20      76.67     6.14    28.01     0.12     1.27    58.39    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   46   +1      68.21     5.70     0.97     0.00     0.01     8.45     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   39   -9      59.60     5.89   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P    1.03R    0.00  
Brentford        29   38   +1      61.61     5.91     1.83     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.23P    0.28R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   37   +1      58.94     5.95    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    1.16R    0.00  
Walsall          29   37   +1      60.32     5.99     0.90     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.18P    0.54R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   36   -5      56.38     5.70    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    2.86R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   35   -2      55.08     5.70    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.86R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.59     6.39    25.52     0.00     0.01     5.92     1.81P    0.12R    0.00  
Southend         30   32   -9      51.25     5.56   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.25R    0.07  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.42     5.73   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.08  
Oldham           28   32  -10      51.66     5.92   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.84R    0.11  
Exeter           31   31  -12      50.38     5.56   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.69R    0.14  
Gillingham       31   30  -12      46.81     5.32   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.88R    0.66  
Brighton         30   30  -14      47.86     5.54   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.03R    0.40  
Tranmere         30   30  -22      44.56     5.28   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.33R    2.01  
Wycombe          31   24  -25      39.17     5.28   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.11R   11.60  
Stockport        29   17  -31      30.60     5.12   -48.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   84.90  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.83     5.43    54.88    73.40    98.59    99.99    99.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          31   56   +5      78.90     5.40     8.33     0.79    24.38    81.49    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   54   +4      78.67     5.86     8.11     0.84    24.96    78.23    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   51  +12      78.49     6.39    15.94     1.32    27.53    77.20    40.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +10      73.90     5.51    13.66     0.09     7.63    52.27    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   51   +7      75.23     5.81    10.14     0.25    10.93    59.67    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.35     6.26    55.64    22.97    85.32    98.54    91.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            28   44  +10      74.12     6.41    18.51     0.17    10.99    55.18    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   43   +3      65.06     5.51     5.08     0.00     0.17     6.64     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            29   43   +3      67.89     6.05     4.96     0.00     1.17    17.43     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   43   +1      65.70     5.72     1.68     0.00     0.43     8.87     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   43   +1      72.40     6.64     5.83     0.16     6.71    40.96    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   41   +6      66.14     6.13     8.27     0.00     0.69    12.50     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   40   +4      65.01     6.09     6.63     0.00     0.46     9.18     3.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                30   38   -2      59.82     5.85    -2.95     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             28   34   -6      53.70     6.05   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Barnet               30   33   -8      52.19     5.65   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.40R    0.00  
Hereford             28   32   -8      54.78     6.18   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Macclesfield         28   30   -9      50.67     6.01   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.41R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         29   29  -17      44.49     5.35   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.28R    0.16  
Torquay              30   27   -6      47.09     5.72    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.10  
Cheltenham           29   27  -15      45.72     5.77   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.16R    0.18  
Grimsby              29   21  -22      35.21     5.14   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.01R    8.03  
Darlington           27   15  -38      25.57     4.73   -64.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   91.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         29   63  +32      96.83     5.74    48.64    63.71    99.35    74.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   63  +30      92.30     5.13    43.44    24.05    98.04    48.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   59  +19      89.52     5.45    32.36     9.51    93.03    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   55  +24      80.49     5.63    29.79     0.53    46.78    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   55  +14      83.85     5.87    22.97     1.63    67.07    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.44     5.34    12.16     0.00     5.67     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          30   51  +12      80.34     5.51    23.25     0.29    43.27     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      30   50  +24      79.38     5.44    36.05     0.28    39.56    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      71.84     5.82    16.01     0.00     5.55     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   45   -3      65.04     5.60    -5.56     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         28   41   +8      66.14     6.14     9.39     0.00     1.05     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           31   39   -3      56.65     5.30    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      58.76     5.61    -7.20     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.26     4.88   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.41     6.18     4.53     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   34   +3      57.24     5.75     5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Salisbury          30   33   -7      52.11     5.59   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -24      45.47     4.49   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   29  -19      43.43     4.93   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.36R    0.00  
Barrow             27   28  -15      48.75     6.30   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   26  -27      40.90     5.14   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.19R    0.00  
Gateshead          30   25  -15      42.64     5.51   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.53R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.68     3.87   -64.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   10.30  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.10     5.75   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   89.69  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1