Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 February 2010 at 22:19:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 February 2010, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   58  +39      83.85     4.05    57.26    48.49    84.24    99.35    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   57  +41      83.30     4.36    57.45    43.70    80.86    99.03    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   52  +31      78.83     4.06    51.84     7.79    34.42    95.02    99.09    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   44  +16      65.90     4.54    24.87     0.01     0.10     1.49    27.71    78.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   44  +15      64.31     5.27    16.05     0.01     0.19     1.81    20.40    60.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   43  +19      64.59     4.61    27.57     0.00     0.07     1.26    20.33    70.38     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   42  +13      66.52     4.70    22.79     0.00     0.12     2.04    32.04    80.39     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   37   -2      55.22     4.90    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49     5.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   35   -1      53.49     4.78     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.01     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.96     4.57     2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   31  -17      41.55     4.26   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.18  
Stoke           24   30   -4      46.84     5.01    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.43R    0.01  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.86     4.78   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.82R    0.60  
West_Ham        25   24   -8      40.18     4.48   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.86R    0.75  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -21      35.01     4.37   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.34R    9.74  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.63     4.81   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.80R    4.80  
Hull            26   24  -26      35.19     4.39   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.22R    9.31  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.15     4.65   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.78R    7.64  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.28     4.81   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.41R    6.80  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      28.74     4.54   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.73R   60.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnsley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        30   60  +28      93.55     5.35    45.59    59.82    92.14   100.00    95.19P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   59  +30      90.88     5.56    46.39    36.28    84.33    99.95    89.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   55  +22      82.36     5.38    31.95     2.90    15.84    98.33    45.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   49   +6      72.97     5.71     9.35     0.04     0.73    65.77    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   48  +20      78.02     6.03    31.08     0.91     6.37    89.68    29.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   46   +7      70.94     6.09     9.48     0.04     0.49    52.07    10.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   45   +2      66.14     5.48     2.74     0.00     0.02    20.25     3.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   44   +9      65.59     5.45    10.53     0.00     0.02    19.17     3.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.80     6.08     2.99     0.00     0.06    25.62     4.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool        31   41   +6      63.07     5.53     8.06     0.00     0.00    10.02     1.75P    0.19R    0.00  
Coventry         31   40   -6      58.61     5.44    -9.27     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.20P    2.14R    0.04  
Preston          30   39   -6      58.22     5.66   -10.21     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.26P    3.06R    0.04  
Barnsley         30   39   -7      57.31     5.58   -13.51     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.15P    4.11R    0.10  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.32     6.07    -2.30     0.00     0.01     6.78     0.99P    1.12R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   37   -1      60.25     6.09    -0.81     0.00     0.00     5.09     0.84P    1.64R    0.04  
Bristol_City     30   37   -8      56.04     5.71   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P    6.92R    0.19  
Derby            30   36   -8      54.96     5.71   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    9.24R    0.22  
QPR              30   34   -7      53.43     5.77   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   14.37R    0.57  
Sheff_Wed        30   34  -11      52.19     5.67   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   20.46R    0.82  
Ipswich          29   33   -7      54.93     6.03    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.13P   10.71R    0.45  
Scunthorpe       30   33  -20      50.96     5.59   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   29.49R    1.93  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.60     5.85   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   31.64R    2.53  
Plymouth         29   27  -14      45.06     5.73   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.39R   12.55  
Peterborough     31   21  -21      36.26     5.27   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.37R   80.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Brentford vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          31   66  +34      96.28     5.17    50.97    55.16    90.55    99.98    93.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   62  +29      95.10     5.65    43.70    40.71    83.89    99.90    89.57P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.27     5.75    28.72     2.10    11.02    93.02    32.57P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   56  +16      84.24     5.71    25.70     1.42     9.31    92.41    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   53  +10      79.75     5.98    15.40     0.39     2.79    74.29    15.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   52  +13      77.70     5.73    18.78     0.08     1.02    63.19    15.74P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   48  +20      76.69     6.16    28.05     0.14     1.39    58.63    17.54P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   46   +1      68.33     5.75     1.19     0.00     0.01     9.32     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   39   -9      59.69     5.92   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.98R    0.00  
Brentford        29   38   +1      61.50     5.94     1.69     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.28P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   37   +1      59.02     6.03    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    1.11R    0.00  
Walsall          29   37   +1      60.38     5.96     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.19P    0.56R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   36   -5      56.36     5.64    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    2.75R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   35   -2      55.01     5.73    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.08R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.58     6.34    25.48     0.00     0.00     6.10     2.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Southend         30   32   -9      51.26     5.57   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.14R    0.06  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.42     5.76   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.54R    0.10  
Oldham           28   32  -10      51.82     5.92   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.17R    0.10  
Exeter           31   31  -12      50.36     5.53   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.91R    0.17  
Gillingham       31   30  -12      46.78     5.29   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.83R    0.70  
Brighton         30   30  -14      47.84     5.55   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.67R    0.40  
Tranmere         30   30  -22      44.45     5.24   -33.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.29R    2.11  
Wycombe          31   24  -25      39.11     5.29   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R   12.26  
Stockport        29   17  -31      30.70     5.18   -48.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   84.11  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.98     5.42    55.16    73.78    98.63    99.98    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          31   56   +5      78.91     5.39     8.34     0.76    23.76    81.19    36.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   54   +4      78.69     5.89     8.10     0.75    24.77    77.89    35.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   51  +12      78.62     6.37    16.18     1.28    27.87    77.53    40.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +10      73.93     5.48    13.64     0.09     7.39    51.97    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   51   +7      75.20     5.84    10.09     0.25    10.73    59.17    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.48     6.22    55.75    22.71    85.82    98.66    91.57P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            28   44  +10      74.33     6.48    18.83     0.21    11.61    55.98    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   43   +3      65.05     5.50     5.06     0.00     0.15     6.56     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            29   43   +3      67.95     6.00     5.02     0.01     1.13    17.33     5.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   43   +1      65.65     5.69     1.57     0.00     0.34     8.86     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   43   +1      72.59     6.61     6.17     0.16     6.76    42.21    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   41   +6      66.07     6.16     8.25     0.00     0.63    12.25     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   40   +4      64.83     6.06     6.36     0.00     0.40     8.63     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                30   38   -2      59.86     5.88    -2.79     0.00     0.03     1.39     0.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             28   34   -6      53.75     6.04   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.23R    0.00  
Barnet               30   33   -8      52.10     5.70   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.43R    0.00  
Hereford             28   32   -8      54.62     6.20   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.28R    0.01  
Macclesfield         28   30   -9      50.58     6.07   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.45R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         29   29  -17      44.50     5.42   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.41R    0.15  
Torquay              30   27   -6      46.98     5.72    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.13  
Cheltenham           29   27  -15      45.77     5.79   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.17  
Grimsby              29   21  -22      35.22     5.15   -35.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.95R    7.66  
Darlington           27   15  -38      25.40     4.73   -64.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   91.85  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2010, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         29   63  +32      96.86     5.71    48.68    63.90    99.33    74.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   63  +30      92.28     5.15    43.41    23.69    98.07    48.14P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   59  +19      89.56     5.43    32.47     9.54    93.19    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   55  +24      80.37     5.71    29.62     0.65    45.82    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   55  +14      83.79     5.90    22.89     1.71    66.42    13.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   53  +12      72.38     5.38    12.08     0.00     5.85     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          30   51  +12      80.44     5.54    23.41     0.26    44.18     9.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      30   50  +24      79.34     5.43    35.95     0.24    39.47    10.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   46  +10      71.94     5.90    16.16     0.00     5.96     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   45   -3      64.90     5.58    -5.74     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         28   41   +8      66.17     6.15     9.44     0.00     1.06     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           31   39   -3      56.76     5.34    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             30   39   -4      58.81     5.62    -7.18     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   39  -12      53.31     4.90   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.43     6.27     4.59     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   34   +3      57.11     5.81     5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury          30   33   -7      52.18     5.60   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -24      45.44     4.47   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   29  -19      43.44     4.92   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.24R    0.00  
Barrow             27   28  -15      48.65     6.27   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.08R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   26  -27      40.89     5.15   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.47R    0.01  
Gateshead          30   25  -15      42.69     5.54   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.29R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     32   17  -43      24.68     3.88   -64.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   10.54  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.14     5.77   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   89.45  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1