Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 February 2010 at 22:18:53 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 February 2010, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   58  +39      83.74     4.07    57.05    48.31    84.09    99.35    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   57  +41      83.17     4.42    57.24    43.41    80.22    98.88    99.80    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   52  +31      78.81     4.11    51.78     8.25    35.09    94.88    98.93    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   44  +16      65.92     4.55    24.83     0.00     0.11     1.59    27.76    78.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   44  +15      64.41     5.30    16.22     0.02     0.24     1.98    20.84    60.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   43  +19      64.59     4.61    27.57     0.00     0.09     1.29    19.93    70.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   42  +13      66.54     4.74    22.87     0.00     0.16     2.02    32.09    80.71     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   37   -2      55.13     4.95    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     5.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   35   -1      53.50     4.84     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     3.15     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.91     4.55     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   31  -17      41.58     4.26   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.21  
Stoke           24   30   -4      46.81     5.08    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.48R    0.01  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.95     4.77   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.60  
West_Ham        25   24   -8      40.18     4.48   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.88R    0.75  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -21      35.03     4.37   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.37R    9.81  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.61     4.78   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.65R    4.93  
Hull            26   24  -26      35.13     4.41   -34.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.18R    9.90  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.18     4.66   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.35R    7.77  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.26     4.83   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.88R    7.36  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      28.94     4.55   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.04R   58.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Cardiff vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   59  +30      90.89     5.57    46.44    32.80    79.42    99.96    86.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        29   59  +28      94.13     5.54    45.79    60.93    90.00    99.99    94.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   55  +23      84.45     5.57    34.05     5.39    23.81    99.21    51.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   48  +20      78.06     6.09    31.06     0.80     5.68    90.93    28.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   48   +6      72.79     5.90     8.76     0.07     0.79    67.05    14.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        28   43   +3      68.70     6.35     4.72     0.01     0.19    40.08     7.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.77     6.11     2.89     0.00     0.05    28.32     4.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        30   42   +0      64.54     5.73     0.67     0.00     0.01    16.20     2.23P    0.18R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   41   +8      64.97     5.74    11.07     0.00     0.03    19.96     4.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool        30   40   +6      63.56     5.79     8.18     0.00     0.01    13.98     2.56P    0.24R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   39   -5      59.93     5.85    -9.37     0.00     0.00     4.21     0.52P    1.72R    0.04  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.30     6.06    -2.28     0.00     0.00     7.82     1.13P    1.12R    0.02  
Preston          29   38   -6      58.56     5.92   -10.43     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.36P    3.25R    0.08  
Bristol_City     29   37   -6      57.39     5.97   -10.12     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.23P    4.68R    0.14  
Coventry         30   37   -7      57.02     5.70   -10.34     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.21P    4.72R    0.12  
Derby            30   36   -8      54.90     5.73   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.06P    9.28R    0.25  
Doncaster        28   34   -2      57.68     6.29    -3.23     0.00     0.00     2.93     0.50P    4.45R    0.15  
QPR              29   34   -6      55.09     6.08    -9.87     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.17P    9.58R    0.33  
Sheff_Wed        30   34  -11      52.41     5.68   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.01P   19.31R    0.65  
Ipswich          29   33   -7      54.79     6.03    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P   10.66R    0.48  
Scunthorpe       29   33  -16      52.47     5.89   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   21.04R    1.21  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.69     5.89   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   30.92R    2.21  
Plymouth         28   24  -16      41.99     5.89   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   82.82R   26.89  
Peterborough     30   21  -20      37.15     5.51   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   67.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Brighton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          30   63  +33      95.39     5.42    51.17    45.20    84.53    99.90    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   61  +29      96.11     6.00    44.67    48.98    84.37    99.85    89.63P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.30     5.73    28.82     2.17    10.66    91.61    31.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   55  +16      85.88     5.90    27.58     2.78    14.47    94.26    35.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          28   52  +10      79.57     6.18    14.47     0.49     2.90    69.17    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   49  +12      76.85     5.99    19.04     0.09     0.87    53.82    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   47  +20      77.98     6.37    29.47     0.29     2.09    63.72    19.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   46   +6      71.13     6.08     8.56     0.01     0.09    18.60     3.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   39   -9      59.49     5.87   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.88R    0.00  
Walsall          28   37   +2      62.20     6.22     2.74     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.37P    0.29R    0.00  
Brentford        28   37   +1      62.90     6.19     3.12     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.39P    0.20R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   35   -5      55.83     5.87    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.58R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.57     6.34    25.53     0.00     0.00     5.05     1.55P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           29   34   -2      56.07     5.98    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.22R    0.01  
Carlisle         28   34   -4      55.61     6.22    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    4.70R    0.01  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.52     5.71   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.35R    0.04  
Southend         29   31   -9      52.39     5.84   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.37R    0.06  
Exeter           30   31  -11      51.07     5.71   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.75R    0.12  
Brighton         29   30  -13      48.54     5.80   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.86R    0.22  
Oldham           27   29  -11      49.61     6.08   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.91R    0.23  
Gillingham       30   29  -12      46.59     5.53   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.12R    0.67  
Tranmere         29   29  -22      44.19     5.44   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.97R    1.94  
Wycombe          30   23  -25      38.73     5.42   -35.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.17R   11.54  
Stockport        28   16  -31      29.89     5.25   -50.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   85.15  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.69     5.47    54.82    71.93    98.18    99.97    98.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          30   56   +6      80.51     5.61     9.71     1.61    33.93    88.38    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   54   +5      80.13     6.10     9.25     1.58    32.77    84.92    43.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   48  +11      77.22     6.58    15.46     0.92    20.70    72.42    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   48   +8      72.47     5.72    11.90     0.07     4.84    44.63    15.56P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   48   +6      73.76     6.16     9.37     0.15     8.02    52.50    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.40     6.26    55.68    23.39    84.84    98.82    91.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          30   43   +6      67.58     5.72    10.00     0.00     0.64    17.32     5.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   43   +2      67.97     6.02     4.22     0.01     1.16    19.39     5.49P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   42   +1      73.29     6.94     6.70     0.28     8.72    49.45    17.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            27   41   +7      70.97     6.71    13.00     0.06     4.70    38.02    13.58P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            28   40   +2      65.97     6.31     3.48     0.00     0.68    13.17     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   38   +4      65.68     6.25     8.53     0.00     0.60    12.77     3.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            28   37   +3      62.73     6.29     4.77     0.00     0.20     6.02     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                29   35   -3      57.39     6.07    -5.25     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.21P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford             27   33   -6      55.17     6.30   -13.55     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P    0.26R    0.00  
Hereford             27   32   -6      55.91     6.48    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnet               29   32   -8      53.05     5.99   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.45R    0.00  
Macclesfield         27   29   -9      50.94     6.35   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.58R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         28   29  -16      45.60     5.66   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.36R    0.15  
Torquay              29   27   -5      48.87     6.02    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.40R    0.07  
Cheltenham           28   26  -15      45.62     5.99   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.78R    0.26  
Grimsby              28   20  -22      34.79     5.38   -37.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R   10.44  
Darlington           26   15  -36      25.87     4.92   -65.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   89.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Ebbsfleet_United vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          30   63  +31      93.99     5.41    45.15    32.22    98.97    54.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   60  +30      95.79     5.94    47.52    47.79    99.12    63.52P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   59  +20      92.08     5.66    35.44    18.17    97.36    37.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   52  +23      78.42     5.92    28.18     0.28    38.23     7.77P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   52  +13      82.52     6.20    22.42     1.02    63.00    12.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   50  +10      70.26     5.62     9.41     0.00     4.30     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      29   49  +24      79.99     5.73    36.29     0.41    50.54    13.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          29   48  +10      78.66     5.81    21.14     0.11    37.44     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   43   +9      71.43     6.05    16.95     0.00     6.99     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   42   -4      63.07     5.91    -7.17     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         27   41   +9      67.89     6.42    10.95     0.00     3.10     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           30   39   -1      58.86     5.58    -3.44     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon             29   39   -2      59.41     5.83    -6.48     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.72     6.25     4.99     0.00     0.54     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   36  -13      51.91     5.18   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   +3      57.19     6.04     4.66     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Salisbury          29   30   -9      50.47     5.81   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -25      42.72     4.64   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.97R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   29  -18      44.29     5.20   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    0.00  
Barrow             26   28  -13      50.26     6.54   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82R    0.00  
Forest_Green       30   26  -26      41.12     5.26   -37.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.37R    0.01  
Gateshead          29   25  -14      43.67     5.77   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.53R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     31   17  -41      25.93     4.24   -63.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R    8.51  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.19     5.82   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   91.49  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1