Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 February 2010 at 22:18:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Fulham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         25   58  +40      86.10     4.26    59.70    61.22    92.80    99.67    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   56  +41      83.69     4.64    57.54    35.04    82.16    98.27    99.59    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   49  +30      77.86     4.35    52.21     3.70    23.93    88.37    96.61    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +17      66.50     4.80    24.48     0.01     0.30     3.50    25.56    75.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   44  +15      64.33     5.27    16.10     0.02     0.20     2.12    16.02    54.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   43  +20      67.21     4.86    30.65     0.01     0.37     4.70    33.95    81.58     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +13      66.73     5.03    22.69     0.01     0.24     3.31    27.05    76.05     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      24   37   +0      57.20     5.32     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.22    10.27     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          26   34   +2      50.97     4.55     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   32   -2      50.78     5.06    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           24   30   -4      46.88     5.06    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.34R    0.02  
Blackburn       25   28  -18      40.26     4.56   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.50R    0.68  
Sunderland      25   26  -10      40.80     4.79   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.46  
Wigan           24   24  -23      37.51     4.80   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.81R    3.98  
Hull            25   24  -25      36.32     4.73   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.16R    5.53  
Burnley         25   23  -25      36.07     4.64   -34.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.81R    6.66  
Bolton          24   22  -17      36.39     4.86   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.76R    5.76  
West_Ham        24   21  -10      38.19     4.79   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.80R    2.04  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -22      32.42     4.58   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.07R   22.27  
Portsmouth      25   16  -22      28.86     4.54   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.23R   52.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Cardiff vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   59  +30      90.89     5.51    46.49    32.10    79.19    99.96    86.31P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        29   59  +28      94.26     5.57    46.01    61.51    90.05    99.99    94.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   55  +23      84.60     5.54    34.30     5.53    24.31    99.38    52.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   48  +20      78.02     6.11    31.01     0.77     5.44    90.72    28.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   48   +6      72.84     5.90     8.84     0.06     0.68    67.33    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   43   +3      68.75     6.40     4.76     0.02     0.22    40.35     7.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   43   +2      66.79     6.12     2.94     0.00     0.08    28.33     4.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        30   42   +0      64.39     5.67     0.43     0.00     0.00    15.47     2.15P    0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   41   +8      65.06     5.71    11.23     0.00     0.02    20.06     3.90P    0.11R    0.00  
Blackpool        30   40   +6      63.48     5.81     8.03     0.00     0.01    13.90     2.42P    0.25R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   39   -5      59.85     5.89    -9.48     0.00     0.00     4.17     0.46P    1.88R    0.03  
Watford          29   38   -2      61.31     6.10    -2.28     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.08P    1.14R    0.03  
Preston          29   38   -6      58.47     5.98   -10.58     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.37P    3.25R    0.05  
Bristol_City     29   37   -6      57.43     5.94   -10.04     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.25P    4.55R    0.09  
Coventry         30   37   -7      57.04     5.69   -10.28     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.21P    4.54R    0.10  
Derby            30   36   -8      55.04     5.77   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.09P    8.98R    0.19  
Doncaster        28   34   -2      57.72     6.31    -3.11     0.00     0.00     3.05     0.47P    4.34R    0.13  
QPR              29   34   -6      55.16     6.04    -9.78     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.16P    9.26R    0.31  
Sheff_Wed        30   34  -11      52.26     5.64   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   19.34R    0.71  
Ipswich          29   33   -7      54.73     6.00    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P   10.77R    0.44  
Scunthorpe       29   33  -16      52.70     5.94   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   19.88R    1.08  
Reading          29   32  -14      50.57     5.86   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   31.90R    2.23  
Plymouth         28   24  -16      41.84     5.83   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.35R   26.56  
Peterborough     30   21  -20      37.01     5.45   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.25R   68.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Brighton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          30   63  +33      95.44     5.43    51.34    45.41    84.66    99.92    89.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   61  +29      96.15     5.98    44.79    48.73    84.25    99.85    89.46P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.43     5.71    28.96     2.15    10.88    92.22    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   55  +16      85.87     5.88    27.61     2.88    14.46    94.32    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          28   52  +10      79.46     6.23    14.26     0.42     2.65    68.30    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   49  +12      76.90     5.94    19.04     0.08     0.87    54.44    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   47  +20      77.97     6.32    29.45     0.33     2.14    63.87    19.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   46   +6      71.02     6.03     8.39     0.00     0.09    17.84     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   39   -9      59.55     5.87   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.85R    0.00  
Walsall          28   37   +2      62.13     6.22     2.64     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.37P    0.29R    0.00  
Brentford        28   37   +1      62.80     6.20     2.99     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.43P    0.23R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    29   35   -5      55.81     5.85    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.58R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.57     6.38    25.50     0.00     0.00     5.16     1.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Yeovil           29   34   -2      56.04     6.01    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         28   34   -4      55.66     6.21    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.74R    0.01  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.54     5.73   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.31R    0.08  
Southend         29   31   -9      52.37     5.79   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.38R    0.05  
Exeter           30   31  -11      51.22     5.72   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   14.96R    0.09  
Brighton         29   30  -13      48.52     5.75   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.77R    0.27  
Oldham           27   29  -11      49.66     6.14   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.86R    0.26  
Gillingham       30   29  -12      46.62     5.58   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.49R    0.72  
Tranmere         29   29  -22      44.15     5.49   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.25R    2.18  
Wycombe          30   23  -25      38.67     5.42   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.33R   11.60  
Stockport        28   16  -31      29.86     5.26   -50.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   84.73  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.76     5.47    54.81    72.24    98.27   100.00    98.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          30   56   +6      80.54     5.63     9.80     1.64    33.85    88.36    46.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   54   +5      80.11     6.06     9.26     1.45    32.53    85.03    43.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   48  +11      77.31     6.58    15.65     0.96    21.18    72.76    34.93P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   48   +8      72.43     5.76    11.81     0.07     4.94    44.42    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   48   +6      73.58     6.10     9.02     0.15     7.61    51.21    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         26   46  +31      88.45     6.23    55.81    23.23    85.02    98.93    91.26P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          30   43   +6      67.56     5.77     9.93     0.00     0.68    17.18     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   43   +2      68.04     6.05     4.38     0.01     1.31    19.94     5.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   42   +1      73.17     6.87     6.57     0.20     8.36    48.48    17.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            27   41   +7      70.96     6.72    12.98     0.05     4.58    38.52    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            28   40   +2      66.23     6.31     3.86     0.00     0.83    13.89     4.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            28   38   +4      65.74     6.31     8.69     0.00     0.64    13.24     3.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            28   37   +3      62.76     6.33     4.78     0.00     0.20     5.94     1.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                29   35   -3      57.63     6.05    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.21P    0.06R    0.00  
Bradford             27   33   -6      55.21     6.31   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.23R    0.00  
Hereford             27   32   -6      55.89     6.47    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.16P    0.23R    0.00  
Barnet               29   32   -8      52.88     5.95   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.39R    0.00  
Macclesfield         27   29   -9      50.85     6.34   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.50R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         28   29  -16      45.43     5.61   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.13  
Torquay              29   27   -5      48.77     5.97    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.38R    0.06  
Cheltenham           28   26  -15      45.66     6.01   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.25  
Grimsby              28   20  -22      34.58     5.35   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.53R   11.48  
Darlington           26   15  -36      26.03     4.97   -65.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   88.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2010, Ebbsfleet_United vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          30   63  +31      93.95     5.41    45.04    31.44    99.01    53.49P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   60  +30      95.85     5.95    47.69    48.30    99.11    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   59  +20      92.09     5.67    35.35    18.37    97.23    38.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   52  +23      78.47     5.92    28.25     0.28    38.79     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   52  +13      82.66     6.12    22.66     1.08    64.00    12.45P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   50  +10      70.25     5.58     9.39     0.00     4.12     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      29   49  +24      79.99     5.66    36.27     0.39    50.26    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          29   48  +10      78.63     5.81    21.11     0.13    36.56     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   43   +9      71.41     6.09    16.93     0.01     6.87     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   42   -4      63.08     5.81    -7.12     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         27   41   +9      67.89     6.54    10.95     0.00     3.27     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           30   39   -1      58.90     5.64    -3.37     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             29   39   -2      59.36     5.81    -6.53     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            28   38   +3      63.49     6.24     4.65     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   36  -13      51.94     5.19   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   +3      57.22     6.00     4.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Salisbury          29   30   -9      50.44     5.86   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -25      42.77     4.64   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.96R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   29  -18      44.32     5.16   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.09R    0.00  
Barrow             26   28  -13      50.23     6.50   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.00  
Forest_Green       30   26  -26      41.24     5.28   -37.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.05R    0.01  
Gateshead          29   25  -14      43.66     5.80   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.74R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     31   17  -41      25.89     4.21   -63.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R    8.34  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.11     5.79   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   91.65  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1