Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 February 2010 at 22:18:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2010, Birmingham vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         25   58  +40      86.28     4.27    60.11    62.27    92.98    99.67    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   56  +41      83.72     4.61    57.63    34.09    82.42    98.35    99.67    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   49  +30      77.89     4.37    52.17     3.60    23.47    88.52    96.72    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +17      66.35     4.83    24.16     0.01     0.27     3.45    25.30    75.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   43  +20      67.04     4.87    30.39     0.01     0.39     4.53    32.79    81.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   41  +13      63.81     5.48    16.20     0.01     0.16     1.96    15.31    52.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +13      66.90     5.03    22.87     0.01     0.30     3.47    28.89    78.07     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      24   37   +0      57.21     5.29     1.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.34    10.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   32   -2      50.76     5.02    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.01     0.02R    0.00  
Fulham          25   31   -1      49.68     4.85    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke           23   29   -4      46.93     5.38    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.68R    0.04  
Blackburn       25   28  -18      40.27     4.53   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.15R    0.64  
Sunderland      24   25  -10      41.19     5.08   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.45R    0.77  
Hull            25   24  -25      36.30     4.70   -33.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.09R    5.82  
Burnley         24   23  -22      37.20     4.89   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.63R    4.96  
Wigan           23   23  -23      37.98     5.13   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    4.27  
Bolton          23   22  -15      36.88     5.05   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.20R    5.67  
West_Ham        24   21  -10      38.33     4.81   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.75R    2.05  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -22      32.26     4.57   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.75R   24.77  
Portsmouth      24   15  -22      29.16     4.87   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.51R   51.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Barnsley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        28   59  +31      97.85     5.60    52.25    77.56    94.73   100.00    97.05P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   56  +28      90.36     5.79    46.74    16.21    67.73    99.91    78.95P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     29   55  +24      86.79     5.79    36.51     5.95    32.32    99.55    58.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   45  +18      77.72     6.24    31.42     0.24     4.37    88.30    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   45   +5      70.59     6.16     7.17     0.02     0.29    49.48    10.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   43   +3      68.70     6.39     4.73     0.00     0.15    37.80     6.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        27   42   +3      69.74     6.73     5.61     0.01     0.33    44.27     7.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   42   +1      65.78     6.01     1.43     0.00     0.02    21.19     3.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        29   40   +8      65.58     6.10    11.19     0.00     0.02    22.50     4.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Barnsley         28   39   -4      60.77     6.10    -9.20     0.00     0.00     5.72     0.77P    0.82R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    29   38   +7      63.54     6.01    10.35     0.00     0.01    13.76     2.83P    0.20R    0.01  
Bristol_City     28   37   -4      59.21     6.28    -7.55     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.58P    1.86R    0.06  
Watford          28   35   -4      59.56     6.36    -4.59     0.00     0.00     4.76     0.61P    1.87R    0.06  
Preston          28   35   -7      56.60     6.21   -11.96     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.20P    4.76R    0.20  
QPR              28   34   -5      57.37     6.33    -7.43     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.32P    3.79R    0.15  
Coventry         29   34   -8      54.40     5.93   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P    8.52R    0.56  
Doncaster        27   33   -2      57.48     6.57    -4.13     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.45P    3.87R    0.22  
Derby            29   33  -11      51.62     5.88   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   18.59R    1.29  
Scunthorpe       28   33  -14      53.05     6.11   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   14.54R    1.22  
Sheff_Wed        29   31  -13      50.15     5.91   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   26.47R    2.31  
Ipswich          28   30   -8      52.24     6.21   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   16.20R    1.54  
Reading          28   29  -15      49.03     6.10   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   34.49R    5.08  
Plymouth         27   24  -15      43.02     6.12   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.32R   22.72  
Peterborough     29   21  -18      37.58     5.65   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.53R   64.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Brentford vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          30   63  +33      95.37     5.43    51.19    45.32    85.32    99.93    90.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   61  +29      96.14     5.96    44.73    49.41    85.32    99.85    90.28P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.28     5.70    28.80     2.08    10.87    92.22    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   52  +14      84.83     6.09    26.44     2.17    11.68    92.08    32.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   49  +12      76.90     5.98    19.01     0.09     0.95    56.19    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          27   49   +8      77.98     6.42    12.38     0.32     1.96    60.45    12.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     27   46  +20      79.03     6.66    30.58     0.61     3.79    70.42    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   46   +6      71.01     6.09     8.36     0.00     0.10    19.05     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   39   -8      61.43     6.22   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.11P    0.54R    0.00  
Brentford        28   37   +1      62.86     6.22     3.12     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.48P    0.23R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   35   -5      55.95     5.84    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.51R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.58     6.30    25.51     0.00     0.00     5.39     1.61P    0.12R    0.00  
Walsall          27   34   +1      60.05     6.44     0.90     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.18P    0.97R    0.00  
Yeovil           29   34   -2      56.04     5.99    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.43R    0.01  
Carlisle         28   34   -4      55.53     6.20    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    5.08R    0.01  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.53     5.75   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.66R    0.04  
Southend         28   31   -7      53.36     6.07   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.55R    0.03  
Exeter           30   31  -11      51.19     5.72   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    0.11  
Oldham           26   29   -9      50.39     6.34   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.08R    0.21  
Gillingham       29   29  -11      48.98     5.81   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.03R    0.27  
Brighton         28   29  -13      48.38     6.01   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.61R    0.28  
Tranmere         28   26  -23      41.61     5.67   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.91R    5.45  
Wycombe          30   23  -25      38.79     5.46   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.53R   10.92  
Stockport        28   16  -31      29.93     5.30   -50.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   82.65  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.75     5.44    54.88    63.05    98.71    99.99    99.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          29   53   +5      77.62     5.88     6.93     0.65    21.37    78.48    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 28   51   +4      78.93     6.42     8.91     1.05    30.71    82.08    41.50P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         25   46  +32      90.97     6.43    58.54    33.92    92.33    99.55    95.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   45   +9      75.23     6.92    12.91     0.46    16.84    64.52    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   45   +6      70.81     5.96     9.80     0.02     3.93    38.82    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         28   45   +5      71.19     6.33     6.96     0.06     5.08    40.66    13.67P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   42   +5      75.84     7.19    12.68     0.70    19.48    67.85    31.33P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            27   41   +7      71.18     6.75    13.36     0.06     6.08    43.48    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            27   40   +4      67.80     6.56     6.16     0.01     2.28    24.39     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          29   40   +2      64.75     6.06     4.03     0.00     0.43    10.82     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   40   +1      66.16     6.33     2.85     0.00     1.03    16.30     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   38   +4      65.98     6.29     9.08     0.00     0.90    16.66     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            27   37   +4      64.78     6.56     6.75     0.00     0.80    13.34     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                29   35   -3      57.47     6.10    -5.17     0.00     0.02     1.06     0.28P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford             27   33   -6      55.13     6.37   -13.58     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P    0.31R    0.01  
Barnet               28   32   -6      54.19     6.23    -9.43     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.06P    0.39R    0.00  
Hereford             27   32   -6      55.95     6.39    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.18P    0.24R    0.00  
Macclesfield         26   29   -8      51.69     6.59   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    1.55R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         27   28  -16      46.17     5.95   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.43R    0.24  
Torquay              29   27   -5      48.66     6.00    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.93R    0.06  
Cheltenham           27   26  -14      47.31     6.35   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.95R    0.21  
Grimsby              28   20  -22      34.88     5.37   -37.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.06R   10.74  
Darlington           25   14  -36      25.83     5.15   -65.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   88.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         27   60  +31      98.07     6.15    49.96    62.15    99.61    73.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   60  +29      92.92     5.65    43.77    21.77    98.47    46.90P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   59  +20      92.08     5.65    35.29    14.95    97.78    35.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   50  +12      71.32     5.73    10.94     0.00     7.25     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      29   49  +24      80.03     5.71    36.32     0.33    54.82    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   28   49  +21      77.55     6.13    27.41     0.18    36.53     7.24P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   49  +12      80.37     6.38    20.63     0.53    52.01     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          29   48  +10      78.50     5.86    20.93     0.08    39.81     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   43   +9      71.64     6.08    17.28     0.01     8.62     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   42   -4      63.21     5.83    -6.94     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         27   41   +9      67.72     6.47    10.67     0.00     3.62     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           29   38   -1      58.66     5.83    -4.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            27   37   +3      64.35     6.51     5.33     0.00     1.02     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon             28   36   -3      57.47     6.07    -8.06     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   +3      57.26     5.96     4.72     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   33  -17      50.40     5.38   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.00  
Salisbury          29   30   -9      50.44     5.85   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   30  -24      44.33     4.93   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.11R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   29  -16      44.94     5.33   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    0.00  
Barrow             26   28  -13      50.47     6.63   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.00  
Forest_Green       30   26  -26      41.24     5.29   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.82R    0.01  
Gateshead          29   25  -14      43.61     5.77   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     30   17  -37      27.07     4.54   -59.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R    6.40  
Chester            28   -3  -19      14.91     5.82   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   93.57  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1