Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 February 2010 at 22:19:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Bolton vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   56  +41      83.68     4.67    57.56    39.65    80.82    98.23    99.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   55  +38      84.80     4.63    58.42    51.52    84.43    98.79    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   49  +32      78.72     4.60    53.40     8.75    33.46    90.31    97.20    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +17      66.54     4.83    24.50     0.03     0.36     3.27    26.18    76.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   43  +20      67.12     4.85    30.54     0.02     0.40     4.30    32.84    82.30     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   41  +13      63.79     5.46    16.18     0.01     0.18     1.78    14.80    51.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +13      66.92     5.04    22.87     0.02     0.36     3.27    28.54    78.36     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   -1      56.26     5.54     1.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.90     9.05     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         24   32   -2      50.98     5.08    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.17     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham          25   31   -1      49.58     4.84    -0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke           23   29   -4      47.22     5.38    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.58R    0.02  
Blackburn       25   28  -18      40.34     4.54   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.05R    0.67  
Sunderland      24   25  -10      41.18     5.06   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.50R    0.80  
Hull            25   24  -25      36.31     4.72   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.96R    6.16  
Burnley         24   23  -22      37.10     4.84   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.37R    5.14  
Wigan           23   23  -23      37.85     5.08   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.10R    4.48  
Bolton          23   22  -15      36.82     5.03   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.28R    6.10  
West_Ham        24   21  -10      38.26     4.81   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.34R    2.34  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -21      32.87     4.74   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.96R   21.98  
Portsmouth      24   15  -22      29.17     4.83   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.78R   52.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Barnsley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        28   59  +31      97.82     5.56    52.16    77.02    94.57   100.00    97.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   56  +28      90.51     5.74    46.89    16.81    68.78    99.91    79.79P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     29   55  +24      86.69     5.78    36.35     5.87    31.62    99.52    57.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   45  +18      77.61     6.31    31.27     0.27     4.24    87.61    26.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   45   +5      70.61     6.14     7.16     0.01     0.29    49.44    10.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   43   +3      68.60     6.33     4.60     0.00     0.12    36.95     6.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        27   42   +3      69.86     6.71     5.78     0.02     0.31    44.87     8.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   42   +1      65.86     6.02     1.56     0.00     0.01    21.26     3.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        29   40   +8      65.81     6.11    11.56     0.00     0.03    23.53     4.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnsley         28   39   -4      60.70     6.12    -9.37     0.00     0.01     5.69     0.75P    0.89R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    29   38   +7      63.66     6.06    10.58     0.00     0.02    14.17     3.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Bristol_City     28   37   -4      59.29     6.27    -7.45     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.54P    1.73R    0.06  
Watford          28   35   -4      59.54     6.38    -4.61     0.00     0.00     4.60     0.64P    1.99R    0.10  
Preston          28   35   -7      56.66     6.24   -11.84     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.24P    4.72R    0.19  
QPR              28   34   -5      57.33     6.28    -7.50     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.31P    3.70R    0.14  
Coventry         29   34   -8      54.53     5.89   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.05P    8.04R    0.46  
Doncaster        27   33   -2      57.43     6.59    -4.17     0.00     0.00     3.00     0.45P    3.81R    0.19  
Derby            29   33  -11      51.40     5.86   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   18.99R    1.28  
Scunthorpe       28   33  -14      52.95     6.04   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P   14.48R    1.19  
Sheff_Wed        29   31  -13      50.11     5.92   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   26.32R    2.34  
Ipswich          28   30   -8      52.25     6.33   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   16.25R    1.69  
Reading          28   29  -15      48.93     6.11   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   34.94R    5.14  
Plymouth         27   24  -15      43.01     6.13   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.30R   22.63  
Peterborough     29   21  -18      37.57     5.67   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.52R   64.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Brentford vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          30   63  +33      95.36     5.48    51.13    45.85    85.12    99.92    89.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   61  +29      96.06     5.98    44.64    48.81    85.24    99.87    90.11P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   57  +20      84.21     5.74    28.67     2.11    10.88    92.00    31.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   52  +14      84.77     6.14    26.36     2.19    11.85    91.78    32.44P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   49  +12      76.88     5.99    18.99     0.09     0.96    55.91    14.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          27   49   +8      78.07     6.43    12.50     0.29     2.02    60.88    12.52P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     27   46  +20      79.03     6.67    30.60     0.65     3.85    70.33    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   46   +6      71.07     6.02     8.45     0.01     0.07    19.23     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   39   -8      61.49     6.22   -11.89     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.15P    0.52R    0.00  
Brentford        28   37   +1      62.87     6.20     3.11     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.44P    0.26R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   35   -5      56.01     5.82    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    3.36R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34  +15      65.50     6.38    25.41     0.00     0.00     5.52     1.82P    0.13R    0.00  
Walsall          27   34   +1      60.02     6.46     0.87     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    1.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           29   34   -2      55.95     6.01    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.64R    0.00  
Carlisle         28   34   -4      55.59     6.20    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.96R    0.00  
Hartlepool       30   32  -10      52.64     5.77   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.55R    0.03  
Southend         28   31   -7      53.44     6.03   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.35R    0.01  
Exeter           30   31  -11      51.17     5.74   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.58R    0.09  
Oldham           26   29   -9      50.52     6.37   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.61R    0.16  
Gillingham       29   29  -11      49.07     5.85   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.01R    0.27  
Brighton         28   29  -13      48.43     6.02   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.13R    0.25  
Tranmere         28   26  -23      41.55     5.68   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.41R    5.39  
Wycombe          30   23  -25      38.74     5.44   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.78R   10.69  
Stockport        28   16  -31      29.78     5.26   -50.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   83.10  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             29   59  +34      94.77     5.42    54.90    63.03    98.64    99.99    99.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          29   53   +5      77.69     5.90     7.00     0.60    21.60    78.87    34.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 28   51   +4      79.02     6.40     9.08     0.96    31.41    82.33    42.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         25   46  +32      90.99     6.38    58.61    34.16    92.42    99.59    95.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   45   +9      75.00     6.90    12.51     0.45    15.74    63.56    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   45   +6      70.80     5.96     9.78     0.04     3.91    38.64    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         28   45   +5      71.17     6.37     6.95     0.08     5.32    40.72    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   42   +5      75.78     7.19    12.58     0.63    19.03    67.34    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            27   41   +7      71.28     6.77    13.50     0.05     6.28    44.22    16.74P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            27   40   +4      67.81     6.59     6.21     0.01     2.27    24.44     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          29   40   +2      64.66     6.02     3.91     0.00     0.42    10.40     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   40   +1      66.06     6.34     2.68     0.00     1.11    16.15     4.77P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   38   +4      65.91     6.33     8.94     0.00     0.89    16.54     5.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            27   37   +4      64.86     6.63     6.88     0.00     0.92    14.04     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                29   35   -3      57.52     6.09    -5.02     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.29P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford             27   33   -6      55.22     6.38   -13.44     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.19P    0.30R    0.00  
Barnet               28   32   -6      54.20     6.25    -9.44     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.09P    0.40R    0.00  
Hereford             27   32   -6      55.97     6.42    -9.44     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.21P    0.23R    0.00  
Macclesfield         26   29   -8      51.66     6.60   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    1.53R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         27   28  -16      46.13     5.87   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.22R    0.19  
Torquay              29   27   -5      48.82     6.02    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.75R    0.06  
Cheltenham           27   26  -14      47.34     6.38   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.01R    0.20  
Grimsby              28   20  -22      34.78     5.39   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.40R   10.94  
Darlington           25   14  -36      25.83     5.13   -65.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R   88.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         27   60  +31      98.14     6.12    50.08    62.98    99.63    74.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   60  +29      92.74     5.71    43.53    20.93    98.23    45.98P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   59  +20      92.08     5.63    35.20    14.91    97.78    36.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   50  +12      71.31     5.80    10.94     0.00     7.49     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      29   49  +24      80.24     5.73    36.65     0.32    56.07    15.24P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   28   49  +21      77.56     6.11    27.46     0.18    36.47     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   49  +12      80.24     6.44    20.45     0.56    50.94     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          29   48  +10      78.48     5.89    20.81     0.12    39.84     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   43   +9      71.64     6.05    17.27     0.00     8.67     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   42   -4      63.22     5.87    -6.89     0.00     0.38     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         27   41   +9      67.90     6.38    10.95     0.00     3.49     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           29   38   -1      58.70     5.86    -4.19     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            27   37   +3      64.30     6.45     5.24     0.00     0.91     0.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon             28   36   -3      57.58     6.07    -7.87     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   +3      57.07     6.03     4.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   33  -17      50.53     5.40   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Salisbury          29   30   -9      50.47     5.89   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   30  -24      44.33     4.96   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.01R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   29  -16      44.85     5.33   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    0.00  
Barrow             26   28  -13      50.42     6.56   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       30   26  -26      41.24     5.29   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.43R    0.01  
Gateshead          29   25  -14      43.44     5.77   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.33R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     30   17  -37      27.05     4.55   -59.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.20R    6.68  
Chester            28   -3  -19      15.04     5.82   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   93.30  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1