Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 5 February 2010 at 22:18:41 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 February 2010, Fulham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 24 55 +38 85.04 4.58 58.80 56.77 85.86 98.62 99.76 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +36 82.94 4.80 54.04 33.43 75.15 96.47 99.19 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 49 +32 78.85 4.58 53.35 9.60 36.45 87.97 96.60 99.81 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 42 +20 67.89 5.11 31.15 0.08 0.91 6.08 35.45 82.01 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 41 +16 65.64 5.07 24.69 0.01 0.27 2.49 17.82 67.36 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 41 +14 66.44 5.82 19.57 0.09 0.89 4.83 25.60 67.40 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 23 40 +13 66.81 5.28 22.26 0.02 0.46 3.50 24.82 73.22 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -1 56.18 5.56 1.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.65 8.04 0.00 0.00 Everton 23 32 -1 51.55 5.27 -2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.49 0.01R 0.00 Fulham 24 30 -1 50.06 5.15 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.62 0.08R 0.00 Blackburn 24 28 -15 41.76 4.79 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.61R 0.34 Stoke 22 26 -7 44.79 5.60 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.99R 0.14 Sunderland 23 24 -10 42.68 5.42 -14.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.67R 0.57 Wigan 22 22 -23 37.20 5.25 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.98R 5.90 West_Ham 23 21 -9 39.80 5.13 -14.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.56R 1.46 Bolton 22 21 -15 37.32 5.37 -27.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.60R 5.03 Wolverhampton 23 21 -21 32.76 4.71 -35.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.15R 20.39 Hull 24 21 -26 33.71 4.93 -36.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.43R 16.18 Burnley 23 20 -23 35.26 5.16 -33.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.38R 10.81 Portsmouth 23 15 -17 30.18 5.04 -26.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.54R 39.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 February 2010, Newcastle vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 28 59 +31 97.81 5.58 52.19 79.40 95.30 100.00 97.47P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 53 +27 89.47 5.93 47.00 14.35 65.24 99.78 77.45P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 28 52 +23 86.18 5.94 37.09 5.85 33.15 99.38 58.97P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 45 +18 78.00 6.25 31.93 0.38 5.64 89.33 28.94P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +3 68.27 6.32 4.33 0.00 0.17 34.82 6.94P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 41 +1 66.92 6.29 2.67 0.00 0.05 27.87 4.07P 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 28 40 +9 67.81 6.38 13.57 0.01 0.14 35.97 6.98P 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 40 +2 66.62 6.56 3.11 0.00 0.09 27.45 4.62P 0.05R 0.00 Leicester 26 39 +2 67.06 6.95 3.06 0.00 0.16 30.22 5.44P 0.09R 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 37 +7 64.35 6.31 11.06 0.00 0.02 18.06 3.77P 0.19R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 36 -4 60.16 6.58 -6.75 0.00 0.01 6.19 0.88P 1.49R 0.04 Barnsley 27 36 -5 58.84 6.40 -10.95 0.00 0.00 3.86 0.51P 2.32R 0.07 Watford 27 35 -3 61.38 6.64 -2.91 0.00 0.00 8.69 1.25P 1.22R 0.05 Preston 27 35 -5 58.15 6.39 -9.43 0.00 0.00 3.32 0.50P 2.83R 0.07 QPR 27 34 -4 59.54 6.62 -5.21 0.00 0.01 5.53 0.73P 2.05R 0.07 Doncaster 26 33 -1 60.19 6.78 -1.06 0.00 0.00 7.12 1.14P 1.69R 0.06 Coventry 28 33 -8 54.41 6.15 -13.51 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.11P 8.52R 0.40 Scunthorpe 27 33 -13 54.60 6.31 -20.82 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.10P 9.27R 0.49 Derby 28 32 -11 51.02 6.04 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 20.28R 1.06 Sheff_Wed 28 31 -12 50.38 6.03 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 23.55R 1.51 Ipswich 27 29 -8 52.47 6.58 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.06P 15.41R 1.24 Reading 27 26 -16 46.13 6.21 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 51.05R 8.40 Plymouth 26 24 -14 43.76 6.40 -24.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 65.34R 15.16 Peterborough 28 18 -19 35.65 5.97 -31.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.59R 71.40League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Colchester vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 29 63 +34 97.01 5.74 52.68 46.47 86.88 99.94 91.10P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 60 +29 97.68 6.19 46.50 49.40 87.09 99.93 91.62P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 56 +20 84.54 5.99 28.57 1.67 9.31 92.18 30.28P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 28 52 +14 84.96 6.13 26.60 1.29 9.22 92.83 30.91P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 48 +8 78.76 6.68 12.96 0.31 2.12 66.29 13.31P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 28 46 +11 74.68 6.25 17.07 0.02 0.35 42.22 9.93P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 45 +20 80.86 6.87 33.05 0.84 4.98 79.84 27.04P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 43 +4 69.33 6.29 6.19 0.00 0.03 13.99 2.47P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 38 -8 61.44 6.43 -12.78 0.00 0.00 1.36 0.17P 0.76R 0.00 Brentford 27 34 -3 59.79 6.35 -2.88 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.16P 1.20R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 34 -5 56.94 6.14 -8.05 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 3.23R 0.01 Southampton 27 33 +15 66.38 6.57 26.26 0.00 0.01 8.00 2.50P 0.11R 0.00 Walsall 26 33 +1 61.48 6.76 2.32 0.00 0.00 2.05 0.41P 0.82R 0.00 Carlisle 27 33 -4 54.62 6.37 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 7.69R 0.04 Yeovil 28 31 -5 53.50 6.24 -8.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 9.60R 0.10 Southend 28 31 -7 53.68 6.04 -10.69 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 8.67R 0.05 Hartlepool 29 31 -10 51.98 5.92 -13.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.52R 0.15 Exeter 29 30 -11 51.22 5.95 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.92R 0.23 Gillingham 28 29 -7 51.19 6.12 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.91R 0.28 Brighton 27 28 -13 48.19 6.26 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 35.73R 0.83 Oldham 25 26 -10 48.20 6.58 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.20R 1.03 Tranmere 27 26 -22 43.16 5.88 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.03R 5.37 Wycombe 29 23 -22 40.86 5.74 -30.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.55R 9.30 Stockport 27 16 -29 31.04 5.55 -48.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.05R 82.61 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Crewe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 28 56 +32 94.07 5.67 54.80 61.00 97.46 99.96 98.41P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 28 52 +5 78.98 6.16 8.32 1.43 25.32 81.94 37.15P 0.00 0.00 Bury 27 48 +3 76.92 6.62 7.32 0.65 18.15 70.70 28.91P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 45 +11 79.20 7.16 18.98 2.28 32.26 80.56 45.02P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 24 43 +31 90.29 6.60 59.30 33.60 89.08 99.23 93.51P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 42 +5 69.03 6.20 8.54 0.03 1.97 26.53 8.19P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 42 +4 70.19 6.56 6.87 0.04 3.47 33.06 10.57P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 26 41 +10 74.15 7.01 18.94 0.29 11.84 58.51 25.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 40 +5 69.68 6.86 8.02 0.06 3.69 31.88 10.68P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 39 +4 74.33 7.44 11.82 0.58 12.96 57.33 23.51P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 27 38 +5 67.20 6.62 9.80 0.01 1.53 20.91 6.80P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 26 37 +5 66.75 6.89 8.60 0.01 1.48 19.82 6.89P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 28 37 +1 62.12 6.31 1.42 0.00 0.15 5.27 1.38P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 37 +0 64.47 6.56 1.70 0.00 0.55 10.59 2.98P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 28 35 -1 57.94 6.23 -5.11 0.00 0.02 1.26 0.25P 0.10R 0.00 Bradford 26 33 -5 56.93 6.68 -11.97 0.00 0.04 1.42 0.31P 0.20R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 29 -7 53.57 6.87 -14.13 0.00 0.02 0.47 0.09P 1.14R 0.01 Hereford 26 29 -7 54.14 6.66 -10.84 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.09P 0.78R 0.00 Barnet 27 29 -9 50.95 6.46 -14.83 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.04P 1.83R 0.01 Lincoln_City 26 28 -15 46.98 6.06 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.54R 0.04 Torquay 28 27 -4 50.24 6.29 -6.80 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 2.18R 0.01 Cheltenham 26 25 -14 46.90 6.55 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.40R 0.09 Grimsby 27 20 -21 35.35 5.57 -38.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.05R 3.75 Darlington 24 11 -38 21.86 5.00 -72.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.76R 96.10Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Histon vs York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 28 60 +30 95.54 5.86 46.73 29.82 99.24 54.32P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 59 +31 99.47 6.33 51.66 63.16 99.72 75.16P 0.00 0.00 York 28 56 +19 89.90 5.97 33.49 6.29 94.25 27.58P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 50 +14 74.61 6.04 15.90 0.02 18.65 2.70P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 28 48 +11 80.34 6.11 22.59 0.19 52.81 10.95P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 46 +22 79.63 5.92 36.47 0.19 51.32 13.60P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 27 46 +18 76.18 6.33 24.94 0.07 28.95 5.30P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 46 +11 78.90 6.76 19.73 0.25 42.98 8.13P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 42 +9 70.88 6.33 15.55 0.00 7.62 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 39 -5 61.28 6.13 -8.49 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 26 38 +4 64.53 6.70 3.41 0.00 1.46 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +4 66.70 6.79 7.70 0.00 2.62 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 28 35 -2 55.69 6.02 -7.15 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.11R 0.00 Histon 27 35 -3 58.66 6.39 -6.69 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 33 +4 58.50 6.31 5.46 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 30 32 -17 49.77 5.59 -24.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59R 0.00 Salisbury 28 30 -4 53.03 6.16 -6.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Barrow 25 28 -12 51.72 6.85 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.84R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 27 -25 42.15 5.20 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.76R 0.02 Eastbourne_Boro 28 26 -17 42.82 5.56 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.37R 0.02 Forest_Green 29 26 -24 41.65 5.43 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.02R 0.04 Gateshead 28 22 -16 40.55 5.93 -26.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.54R 0.07 Grays_Athletic 29 17 -34 28.09 4.82 -56.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.33R 9.68 Chester 27 -3 -18 17.04 6.18 -26.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 90.17 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1