Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 4 February 2010 at 22:18:45 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 February 2010, Fulham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 24 55 +38 84.95 4.67 58.65 56.33 85.18 98.40 99.73 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +36 82.90 4.86 54.02 33.53 75.16 96.08 99.06 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 49 +32 78.86 4.59 53.41 9.89 37.06 88.11 96.70 99.78 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 42 +20 67.89 5.10 31.10 0.07 0.90 6.13 35.32 81.86 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 41 +16 65.67 5.07 24.72 0.03 0.32 2.51 18.06 67.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 41 +14 66.46 5.80 19.58 0.11 0.88 5.02 25.49 67.55 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 23 40 +13 66.82 5.32 22.31 0.04 0.50 3.70 24.95 73.06 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -1 56.12 5.52 1.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.62 7.66 0.00R 0.00 Everton 23 32 -1 51.50 5.28 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.45 0.04R 0.00 Fulham 24 30 -1 50.16 5.16 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 24 28 -15 41.87 4.82 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.63R 0.33 Stoke 22 26 -7 44.86 5.60 -11.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.95R 0.13 Sunderland 23 24 -10 42.64 5.39 -14.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.63R 0.49 Wigan 22 22 -23 37.14 5.27 -37.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.14R 5.93 West_Ham 23 21 -9 39.79 5.14 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.58R 1.52 Bolton 22 21 -15 37.40 5.40 -27.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.24R 4.92 Wolverhampton 23 21 -21 32.87 4.73 -35.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.10R 19.89 Hull 24 21 -26 33.72 4.95 -36.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.39R 16.14 Burnley 23 20 -23 35.07 5.14 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.54R 11.14 Portsmouth 23 15 -17 30.14 4.99 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.72R 39.52Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 February 2010, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 27 56 +27 95.71 5.98 47.00 69.38 90.25 99.99 94.23P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 53 +27 89.38 5.95 46.91 20.11 64.35 99.81 76.40P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 28 52 +23 86.06 5.95 36.89 8.72 34.11 99.32 58.44P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 45 +22 79.83 6.38 36.69 1.74 10.49 92.77 35.32P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +3 68.38 6.39 4.54 0.01 0.20 35.10 7.17P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 41 +1 67.09 6.31 2.98 0.00 0.08 28.36 4.13P 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 28 40 +9 67.87 6.33 13.68 0.01 0.14 35.34 6.52P 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 40 +2 66.62 6.64 3.13 0.01 0.12 27.12 4.48P 0.07R 0.00 Leicester 26 39 +2 66.81 6.91 2.80 0.01 0.20 28.05 5.05P 0.09R 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 37 +7 64.44 6.28 11.19 0.01 0.03 17.68 3.42P 0.15R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 36 -4 60.37 6.55 -6.39 0.00 0.01 6.25 0.83P 1.33R 0.03 Barnsley 27 36 -5 59.00 6.45 -10.65 0.00 0.01 4.09 0.48P 2.22R 0.08 Watford 27 35 -3 61.34 6.62 -3.00 0.00 0.00 8.38 1.06P 1.09R 0.02 Preston 27 35 -5 57.99 6.41 -9.68 0.00 0.00 3.03 0.41P 2.94R 0.06 QPR 27 34 -4 59.50 6.57 -5.31 0.00 0.00 5.13 0.67P 1.96R 0.07 Doncaster 26 33 -1 60.24 6.82 -0.96 0.00 0.01 7.23 1.12P 1.63R 0.04 Coventry 28 33 -8 54.40 6.18 -13.40 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.09P 8.55R 0.37 Scunthorpe 27 33 -13 54.65 6.36 -20.70 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.09P 8.95R 0.49 Derby 28 32 -11 50.98 6.07 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 20.43R 1.12 Sheff_Wed 28 31 -12 50.31 5.99 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 23.87R 1.47 Ipswich 27 29 -8 52.30 6.51 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.06P 15.72R 1.22 Reading 27 26 -16 46.08 6.26 -26.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 51.40R 8.44 Plymouth 26 24 -14 43.82 6.41 -24.87 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 64.49R 14.73 Peterborough 28 18 -19 35.54 5.89 -31.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.03R 71.86League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Colchester vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 29 63 +34 97.11 5.70 52.77 46.92 87.87 99.95 91.73P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 60 +29 97.68 6.17 46.54 49.22 87.05 99.92 91.66P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 56 +20 84.44 5.93 28.40 1.38 8.61 92.38 29.56P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 28 52 +14 84.93 6.19 26.62 1.42 9.19 92.62 31.44P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 48 +8 78.69 6.69 12.92 0.24 2.06 65.78 13.10P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 28 46 +11 74.67 6.21 17.06 0.03 0.39 42.48 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 45 +20 80.73 6.89 32.92 0.79 4.79 79.31 26.55P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 43 +4 69.42 6.29 6.35 0.00 0.03 14.77 2.59P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 38 -8 61.50 6.47 -12.68 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.19P 0.73R 0.00 Brentford 27 34 -3 59.64 6.38 -3.07 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.17P 1.31R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 34 -5 57.03 6.19 -7.85 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 3.33R 0.01 Southampton 27 33 +15 66.25 6.59 26.05 0.00 0.01 7.87 2.45P 0.13R 0.00 Walsall 26 33 +1 61.42 6.78 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.08 0.41P 0.92R 0.00 Carlisle 27 33 -4 54.39 6.37 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 8.26R 0.03 Yeovil 28 31 -5 53.66 6.23 -8.68 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 9.27R 0.08 Southend 28 31 -7 53.51 6.05 -11.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 9.53R 0.06 Hartlepool 29 31 -10 52.11 5.95 -13.61 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 13.33R 0.15 Exeter 29 30 -11 51.25 6.03 -14.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.99R 0.25 Gillingham 28 29 -7 51.27 6.10 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.79R 0.25 Brighton 27 28 -13 48.31 6.20 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.14R 0.68 Oldham 25 26 -10 48.26 6.59 -18.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.37R 1.13 Tranmere 27 26 -22 43.29 5.88 -35.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.48R 5.14 Wycombe 29 23 -22 40.86 5.76 -30.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.30R 9.20 Stockport 27 16 -29 31.03 5.54 -48.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.11R 83.01 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Crewe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 28 56 +32 94.07 5.66 54.79 60.39 97.54 99.97 98.51P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 28 52 +5 79.12 6.14 8.52 1.49 26.49 82.77 38.50P 0.00 0.00 Bury 27 48 +3 77.02 6.64 7.43 0.69 18.56 71.31 29.35P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 45 +11 78.86 7.12 18.43 1.99 30.66 79.54 43.57P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 24 43 +31 90.47 6.63 59.67 34.41 89.41 99.36 93.76P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 42 +5 69.10 6.21 8.64 0.02 2.08 27.12 8.45P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 42 +4 70.09 6.54 6.74 0.04 3.32 32.49 10.26P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 26 41 +10 74.08 6.98 18.82 0.31 11.48 58.33 24.86P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 40 +5 69.82 6.81 8.27 0.06 3.81 32.78 11.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 39 +4 74.41 7.41 11.91 0.58 13.24 57.94 23.85P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 27 38 +5 67.02 6.59 9.54 0.01 1.41 20.15 6.37P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 26 37 +5 66.50 6.83 8.23 0.00 1.30 18.68 6.25P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 28 37 +1 62.21 6.26 1.52 0.00 0.14 5.31 1.46P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 37 +0 64.35 6.56 1.58 0.00 0.48 10.37 2.91P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 28 35 -1 58.00 6.23 -5.03 0.00 0.02 1.37 0.34P 0.10R 0.00 Bradford 26 33 -5 57.05 6.69 -11.79 0.00 0.04 1.40 0.36P 0.17R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 29 -7 53.68 6.84 -13.89 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.09P 0.93R 0.00 Hereford 26 29 -7 54.14 6.71 -10.85 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 0.74R 0.00 Barnet 27 29 -9 51.12 6.44 -14.59 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 1.76R 0.01 Lincoln_City 26 28 -15 46.82 6.04 -26.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.70R 0.05 Torquay 28 27 -4 50.16 6.29 -6.94 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.28R 0.02 Cheltenham 26 25 -14 46.95 6.54 -23.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 6.27R 0.06 Grimsby 27 20 -21 35.26 5.55 -38.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.26R 3.61 Darlington 24 11 -38 21.88 4.92 -72.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.79R 96.25Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Histon vs York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 28 60 +30 95.64 5.86 46.83 30.83 99.32 55.19P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 59 +31 99.39 6.43 51.61 62.21 99.64 74.32P 0.00 0.00 York 28 56 +19 89.82 5.96 33.30 6.23 94.05 27.17P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 50 +14 74.70 6.03 16.02 0.01 19.08 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 28 48 +11 80.16 6.06 22.32 0.16 51.54 10.49P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 46 +22 79.52 5.93 36.31 0.20 50.68 13.58P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 27 46 +18 76.36 6.29 25.23 0.09 29.90 5.88P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 46 +11 78.94 6.69 19.83 0.26 43.28 8.06P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 42 +9 71.02 6.32 15.78 0.00 8.13 1.57P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 39 -5 61.14 6.09 -8.66 0.00 0.18 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 26 38 +4 64.59 6.72 3.47 0.00 1.48 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +4 66.77 6.70 7.75 0.00 2.54 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 28 35 -2 55.69 6.01 -7.14 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.10R 0.00 Histon 27 35 -3 58.53 6.39 -6.92 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 33 +4 58.63 6.24 5.65 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 30 32 -17 49.65 5.57 -25.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.60R 0.00 Salisbury 28 30 -4 53.03 6.16 -6.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48R 0.00 Barrow 25 28 -12 51.69 6.85 -20.40 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.94R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 27 -25 42.19 5.21 -33.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.04R 0.03 Eastbourne_Boro 28 26 -17 42.76 5.56 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.42R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 26 -24 41.65 5.47 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.86R 0.06 Gateshead 28 22 -16 40.38 5.92 -26.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.50R 0.06 Grays_Athletic 29 17 -34 28.18 4.87 -56.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.12R 10.03 Chester 27 -3 -18 17.19 6.19 -26.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 89.79 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1