Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 3 February 2010 at 22:18:38 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Hull vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 24 55 +38 84.90 4.65 58.52 55.78 84.74 98.42 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +36 82.94 4.83 54.11 33.99 75.64 96.47 99.13 99.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 49 +32 78.81 4.63 53.45 10.00 37.07 87.59 96.43 99.81 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 42 +20 67.98 5.14 31.22 0.07 0.91 6.37 36.28 82.39 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 41 +16 65.70 5.03 24.75 0.02 0.29 2.58 18.01 68.11 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 41 +14 66.35 5.80 19.38 0.10 0.87 4.88 24.75 67.01 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 23 40 +13 66.80 5.30 22.24 0.03 0.48 3.66 24.93 72.71 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -1 56.12 5.56 1.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.68 7.91 0.00 0.00 Everton 23 32 -1 51.54 5.25 -2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.52 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 24 28 -15 41.81 4.81 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.91R 0.43 Fulham 23 27 -2 49.16 5.40 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.24R 0.01 Stoke 22 26 -7 44.87 5.58 -11.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 1.94R 0.15 Sunderland 23 24 -10 42.69 5.43 -14.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.82R 0.56 Wigan 22 22 -23 37.24 5.31 -37.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.25R 6.40 West_Ham 23 21 -9 39.80 5.14 -15.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.00R 1.60 Bolton 22 21 -15 37.40 5.33 -27.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.64R 5.20 Wolverhampton 23 21 -21 32.71 4.76 -35.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.28R 21.99 Hull 24 21 -26 33.76 4.94 -36.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.92R 16.83 Burnley 23 20 -23 35.07 5.18 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.69R 12.32 Portsmouth 22 15 -16 31.00 5.26 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.27R 34.50Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Preston vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 27 56 +27 95.51 6.03 46.68 71.68 90.67 99.99 94.37P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 28 52 +23 86.29 5.98 37.32 10.83 40.30 99.25 62.16P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 27 50 +26 87.59 6.32 45.44 15.21 54.79 99.37 69.97P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 45 +22 80.08 6.33 37.19 2.18 12.90 93.06 37.71P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +3 68.42 6.38 4.55 0.02 0.26 33.97 6.89P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 41 +1 66.96 6.36 2.79 0.01 0.09 26.81 3.83P 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 27 40 +10 69.54 6.63 15.13 0.05 0.57 44.69 8.94P 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 40 +2 66.49 6.60 2.92 0.01 0.14 25.49 4.08P 0.07R 0.00 Leicester 26 39 +2 66.65 6.91 2.50 0.02 0.22 26.71 4.42P 0.11R 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 37 +7 64.28 6.27 10.98 0.00 0.04 16.19 3.13P 0.18R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 36 -4 60.23 6.54 -6.58 0.00 0.01 5.64 0.71P 1.47R 0.05 Barnsley 27 36 -5 58.88 6.38 -10.80 0.00 0.00 3.68 0.44P 2.28R 0.06 Watford 27 35 -3 61.47 6.68 -2.80 0.00 0.01 8.31 1.04P 1.11R 0.04 Preston 27 35 -5 58.06 6.38 -9.48 0.00 0.00 2.80 0.37P 2.92R 0.06 QPR 27 34 -4 59.68 6.65 -4.96 0.00 0.00 5.18 0.66P 2.06R 0.07 Doncaster 26 33 -1 60.18 6.82 -1.07 0.00 0.00 6.75 1.07P 1.70R 0.06 Coventry 28 33 -8 54.45 6.14 -13.34 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.08P 8.36R 0.42 Scunthorpe 27 33 -13 54.74 6.39 -20.47 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.07P 9.01R 0.39 Derby 28 32 -11 51.15 6.06 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.01P 19.55R 0.98 Sheff_Wed 28 31 -12 50.20 6.04 -21.54 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00P 24.61R 1.67 Ipswich 27 29 -8 52.25 6.49 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 15.74R 1.24 Reading 27 26 -16 46.07 6.22 -26.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 51.28R 8.32 Plymouth 26 24 -14 43.84 6.42 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 64.52R 14.55 Peterborough 28 18 -19 35.47 5.92 -31.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.97R 72.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Colchester vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 29 63 +34 97.07 5.69 52.71 45.92 87.42 99.95 91.50P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 60 +29 97.89 6.18 46.85 50.22 87.66 99.93 92.01P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 56 +20 84.37 6.01 28.27 1.41 8.62 92.02 29.53P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 28 52 +14 85.07 6.16 26.83 1.41 9.25 93.16 31.95P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 48 +8 78.66 6.71 12.87 0.29 2.10 65.91 13.08P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 28 46 +11 74.56 6.22 16.86 0.01 0.32 42.05 9.72P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 45 +20 80.63 6.88 32.69 0.74 4.59 79.12 26.40P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 43 +4 69.52 6.26 6.50 0.00 0.03 14.86 2.59P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 38 -8 61.25 6.46 -13.08 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.18P 0.81R 0.00 Brentford 27 34 -3 59.61 6.35 -3.11 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.14P 1.32R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 34 -5 56.84 6.09 -8.20 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 3.25R 0.02 Southampton 27 33 +15 66.39 6.54 26.26 0.00 0.00 8.02 2.33P 0.12R 0.00 Walsall 26 33 +1 61.58 6.82 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.33 0.47P 0.86R 0.00 Carlisle 27 33 -4 54.55 6.35 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 7.89R 0.03 Yeovil 28 31 -5 53.49 6.18 -8.92 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.34R 0.06 Southend 28 31 -7 53.45 6.00 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 9.36R 0.08 Hartlepool 29 31 -10 52.11 5.94 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.44R 0.18 Exeter 29 30 -11 51.30 6.04 -14.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.92R 0.27 Gillingham 28 29 -7 51.34 6.07 -10.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.27R 0.21 Brighton 27 28 -13 48.20 6.22 -23.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.04R 0.72 Oldham 25 26 -10 48.37 6.55 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 34.47R 1.14 Tranmere 27 26 -22 43.30 5.85 -35.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.64R 5.27 Wycombe 29 23 -22 40.71 5.72 -30.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.28R 9.90 Stockport 27 16 -29 31.17 5.58 -48.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.98R 82.12 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Crewe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 28 56 +32 94.10 5.71 54.93 60.96 97.35 99.97 98.45P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 28 52 +5 79.21 6.14 8.69 1.48 26.71 82.87 38.62P 0.00 0.00 Bury 27 48 +3 77.00 6.68 7.43 0.71 18.41 70.70 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 45 +11 79.02 7.20 18.73 2.14 31.28 79.70 44.14P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 24 43 +31 90.31 6.61 59.38 33.65 88.71 99.26 93.26P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 42 +5 69.16 6.20 8.75 0.02 2.07 27.44 8.85P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 42 +4 70.10 6.55 6.74 0.05 3.15 32.44 10.07P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 26 41 +10 74.16 6.98 18.89 0.29 11.49 58.49 24.79P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 40 +5 69.95 6.84 8.44 0.04 4.02 33.07 11.27P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 39 +4 74.38 7.50 11.89 0.65 13.29 57.30 23.69P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 27 38 +5 67.06 6.62 9.57 0.01 1.45 20.39 6.36P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 26 37 +5 66.59 6.87 8.33 0.00 1.40 19.18 6.45P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 28 37 +1 62.10 6.30 1.39 0.00 0.14 5.13 1.43P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 37 +0 64.38 6.54 1.58 0.00 0.46 10.43 2.82P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 28 35 -1 57.88 6.23 -5.24 0.00 0.03 1.31 0.31P 0.11R 0.00 Bradford 26 33 -5 56.93 6.61 -12.03 0.00 0.03 1.21 0.27P 0.23R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 29 -7 53.50 6.89 -14.22 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.15P 1.05R 0.00 Hereford 26 29 -7 54.27 6.70 -10.66 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.11P 0.69R 0.00 Barnet 27 29 -9 50.93 6.38 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 1.69R 0.01 Lincoln_City 26 28 -15 46.82 6.07 -26.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 6.68R 0.03 Torquay 28 27 -4 50.19 6.28 -6.88 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.17R 0.01 Cheltenham 26 25 -14 46.95 6.54 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 6.40R 0.07 Grimsby 27 20 -21 35.34 5.55 -38.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.17R 3.70 Darlington 24 11 -38 21.90 4.96 -72.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.80R 96.18Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Histon vs York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 28 60 +30 95.50 5.84 46.71 29.55 99.32 54.17P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 59 +31 99.54 6.32 51.73 63.60 99.69 75.54P 0.00 0.00 York 28 56 +19 89.95 5.90 33.51 6.14 94.60 27.50P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 50 +14 74.55 6.04 15.83 0.02 18.97 2.84P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 28 48 +11 80.11 6.08 22.24 0.21 51.58 10.48P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 46 +22 79.54 5.92 36.34 0.17 50.98 13.73P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 27 46 +18 76.18 6.36 24.93 0.10 29.27 5.60P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 46 +11 78.90 6.66 19.79 0.21 43.21 7.87P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 42 +9 70.92 6.25 15.63 0.00 7.64 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 39 -5 61.29 6.11 -8.46 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 26 38 +4 64.58 6.73 3.44 0.00 1.53 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +4 66.88 6.78 7.95 0.00 2.80 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 28 35 -2 55.90 6.01 -6.88 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.09R 0.00 Histon 27 35 -3 58.75 6.38 -6.55 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.06R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 33 +4 58.56 6.26 5.56 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 30 32 -17 49.68 5.55 -24.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61R 0.00 Salisbury 28 30 -4 52.96 6.14 -6.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55R 0.00 Barrow 25 28 -12 51.48 6.83 -20.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.04R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 27 -25 42.22 5.20 -33.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.13R 0.02 Eastbourne_Boro 28 26 -17 42.86 5.60 -28.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.11R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 26 -24 41.70 5.45 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.53R 0.06 Gateshead 28 22 -16 40.30 5.90 -26.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.75R 0.09 Grays_Athletic 29 17 -34 28.11 4.84 -56.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.24R 9.77 Chester 27 -3 -18 17.17 6.17 -26.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.85R 90.03 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1