Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 February 2010 at 22:18:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Hull vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         24   55  +38      84.90     4.65    58.52    55.78    84.74    98.42    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         24   53  +36      82.94     4.83    54.11    33.99    75.64    96.47    99.13    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   49  +32      78.81     4.63    53.45    10.00    37.07    87.59    96.43    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   42  +20      67.98     5.14    31.22     0.07     0.91     6.37    36.28    82.39     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   41  +16      65.70     5.03    24.75     0.02     0.29     2.58    18.01    68.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   41  +14      66.35     5.80    19.38     0.10     0.87     4.88    24.75    67.01     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +13      66.80     5.30    22.24     0.03     0.48     3.66    24.93    72.71     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   -1      56.12     5.56     1.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.68     7.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   -1      51.54     5.25    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.52     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   28  -15      41.81     4.81   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.91R    0.43  
Fulham          23   27   -2      49.16     5.40    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.24R    0.01  
Stoke           22   26   -7      44.87     5.58   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.94R    0.15  
Sunderland      23   24  -10      42.69     5.43   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.82R    0.56  
Wigan           22   22  -23      37.24     5.31   -37.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.25R    6.40  
West_Ham        23   21   -9      39.80     5.14   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.00R    1.60  
Bolton          22   21  -15      37.40     5.33   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.64R    5.20  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -21      32.71     4.76   -35.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.28R   21.99  
Hull            24   21  -26      33.76     4.94   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.92R   16.83  
Burnley         23   20  -23      35.07     5.18   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.69R   12.32  
Portsmouth      22   15  -16      31.00     5.26   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.27R   34.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Preston vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        27   56  +27      95.51     6.03    46.68    71.68    90.67    99.99    94.37P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   52  +23      86.29     5.98    37.32    10.83    40.30    99.25    62.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        27   50  +26      87.59     6.32    45.44    15.21    54.79    99.37    69.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   45  +22      80.08     6.33    37.19     2.18    12.90    93.06    37.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   42   +3      68.42     6.38     4.55     0.02     0.26    33.97     6.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   41   +1      66.96     6.36     2.79     0.01     0.09    26.81     3.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        27   40  +10      69.54     6.63    15.13     0.05     0.57    44.69     8.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   40   +2      66.49     6.60     2.92     0.01     0.14    25.49     4.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        26   39   +2      66.65     6.91     2.50     0.02     0.22    26.71     4.42P    0.11R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   37   +7      64.28     6.27    10.98     0.00     0.04    16.19     3.13P    0.18R    0.00  
Bristol_City     27   36   -4      60.23     6.54    -6.58     0.00     0.01     5.64     0.71P    1.47R    0.05  
Barnsley         27   36   -5      58.88     6.38   -10.80     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.44P    2.28R    0.06  
Watford          27   35   -3      61.47     6.68    -2.80     0.00     0.01     8.31     1.04P    1.11R    0.04  
Preston          27   35   -5      58.06     6.38    -9.48     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.37P    2.92R    0.06  
QPR              27   34   -4      59.68     6.65    -4.96     0.00     0.00     5.18     0.66P    2.06R    0.07  
Doncaster        26   33   -1      60.18     6.82    -1.07     0.00     0.00     6.75     1.07P    1.70R    0.06  
Coventry         28   33   -8      54.45     6.14   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.08P    8.36R    0.42  
Scunthorpe       27   33  -13      54.74     6.39   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.07P    9.01R    0.39  
Derby            28   32  -11      51.15     6.06   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   19.55R    0.98  
Sheff_Wed        28   31  -12      50.20     6.04   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00P   24.61R    1.67  
Ipswich          27   29   -8      52.25     6.49   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   15.74R    1.24  
Reading          27   26  -16      46.07     6.22   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   51.28R    8.32  
Plymouth         26   24  -14      43.84     6.42   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.52R   14.55  
Peterborough     28   18  -19      35.47     5.92   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.97R   72.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Colchester vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          29   63  +34      97.07     5.69    52.71    45.92    87.42    99.95    91.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     27   60  +29      97.89     6.18    46.85    50.22    87.66    99.93    92.01P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         29   56  +20      84.37     6.01    28.27     1.41     8.62    92.02    29.53P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   52  +14      85.07     6.16    26.83     1.41     9.25    93.16    31.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          26   48   +8      78.66     6.71    12.87     0.29     2.10    65.91    13.08P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         28   46  +11      74.56     6.22    16.86     0.01     0.32    42.05     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     26   45  +20      80.63     6.88    32.69     0.74     4.59    79.12    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          28   43   +4      69.52     6.26     6.50     0.00     0.03    14.86     2.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   38   -8      61.25     6.46   -13.08     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.18P    0.81R    0.00  
Brentford        27   34   -3      59.61     6.35    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.14P    1.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   34   -5      56.84     6.09    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    3.25R    0.02  
Southampton      27   33  +15      66.39     6.54    26.26     0.00     0.00     8.02     2.33P    0.12R    0.00  
Walsall          26   33   +1      61.58     6.82     2.50     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.47P    0.86R    0.00  
Carlisle         27   33   -4      54.55     6.35   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    7.89R    0.03  
Yeovil           28   31   -5      53.49     6.18    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.34R    0.06  
Southend         28   31   -7      53.45     6.00   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.36R    0.08  
Hartlepool       29   31  -10      52.11     5.94   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.44R    0.18  
Exeter           29   30  -11      51.30     6.04   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.92R    0.27  
Gillingham       28   29   -7      51.34     6.07   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.27R    0.21  
Brighton         27   28  -13      48.20     6.22   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.04R    0.72  
Oldham           25   26  -10      48.37     6.55   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   34.47R    1.14  
Tranmere         27   26  -22      43.30     5.85   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.64R    5.27  
Wycombe          29   23  -22      40.71     5.72   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R    9.90  
Stockport        27   16  -29      31.17     5.58   -48.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   82.12  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Crewe vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             28   56  +32      94.10     5.71    54.93    60.96    97.35    99.97    98.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          28   52   +5      79.21     6.14     8.69     1.48    26.71    82.87    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   48   +3      77.00     6.68     7.43     0.71    18.41    70.70    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   45  +11      79.02     7.20    18.73     2.14    31.28    79.70    44.14P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         24   43  +31      90.31     6.61    59.38    33.65    88.71    99.26    93.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   42   +5      69.16     6.20     8.75     0.02     2.07    27.44     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   42   +4      70.10     6.55     6.74     0.05     3.15    32.44    10.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            26   41  +10      74.16     6.98    18.89     0.29    11.49    58.49    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   40   +5      69.95     6.84     8.44     0.04     4.02    33.07    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   39   +4      74.38     7.50    11.89     0.65    13.29    57.30    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   38   +5      67.06     6.62     9.57     0.01     1.45    20.39     6.36P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   37   +5      66.59     6.87     8.33     0.00     1.40    19.18     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   37   +1      62.10     6.30     1.39     0.00     0.14     5.13     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   37   +0      64.38     6.54     1.58     0.00     0.46    10.43     2.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                28   35   -1      57.88     6.23    -5.24     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.31P    0.11R    0.00  
Bradford             26   33   -5      56.93     6.61   -12.03     0.00     0.03     1.21     0.27P    0.23R    0.00  
Macclesfield         25   29   -7      53.50     6.89   -14.22     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.15P    1.05R    0.00  
Hereford             26   29   -7      54.27     6.70   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    0.69R    0.00  
Barnet               27   29   -9      50.93     6.38   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    1.69R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         26   28  -15      46.82     6.07   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.68R    0.03  
Torquay              28   27   -4      50.19     6.28    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.17R    0.01  
Cheltenham           26   25  -14      46.95     6.54   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.40R    0.07  
Grimsby              27   20  -21      35.34     5.55   -38.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.17R    3.70  
Darlington           24   11  -38      21.90     4.96   -72.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   96.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 February 2010, Histon vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          28   60  +30      95.50     5.84    46.71    29.55    99.32    54.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   59  +31      99.54     6.32    51.73    63.60    99.69    75.54P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   56  +19      89.95     5.90    33.51     6.14    94.60    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   50  +14      74.55     6.04    15.83     0.02    18.97     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          28   48  +11      80.11     6.08    22.24     0.21    51.58    10.48P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   46  +22      79.54     5.92    36.34     0.17    50.98    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   46  +18      76.18     6.36    24.93     0.10    29.27     5.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   46  +11      78.90     6.66    19.79     0.21    43.21     7.87P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   42   +9      70.92     6.25    15.63     0.00     7.64     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   39   -5      61.29     6.11    -8.46     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         26   38   +4      64.58     6.73     3.44     0.00     1.53     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   37   +4      66.88     6.78     7.95     0.00     2.80     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -2      55.90     6.01    -6.88     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Histon             27   35   -3      58.75     6.38    -6.55     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   +4      58.56     6.26     5.56     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   32  -17      49.68     5.55   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Salisbury          28   30   -4      52.96     6.14    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Barrow             25   28  -12      51.48     6.83   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   27  -25      42.22     5.20   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.13R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   26  -17      42.86     5.60   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.11R    0.03  
Forest_Green       29   26  -24      41.70     5.45   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.53R    0.06  
Gateshead          28   22  -16      40.30     5.90   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.75R    0.09  
Grays_Athletic     29   17  -34      28.11     4.84   -56.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R    9.77  
Chester            27   -3  -18      17.17     6.17   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   90.03  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1