Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 31 January 2010 at 22:18:29 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 January 2010, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 23 54 +38 86.79 4.75 61.50 66.46 90.33 99.23 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 53 +36 82.93 4.86 54.08 26.28 73.59 96.13 99.08 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 49 +32 78.86 4.60 53.31 7.12 33.77 87.91 96.72 99.78 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 42 +20 67.70 5.20 30.74 0.04 0.84 5.88 34.60 80.67 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 41 +16 65.70 5.04 24.76 0.01 0.26 2.55 18.36 68.39 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 41 +14 66.43 5.78 19.47 0.06 0.74 4.71 25.47 67.66 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 23 40 +13 66.78 5.38 22.22 0.04 0.47 3.55 25.12 73.19 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -1 56.21 5.56 1.86 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.69 8.00 0.00R 0.00 Everton 23 32 -1 51.51 5.30 -2.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.66 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 24 28 -15 41.93 4.84 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.33R 0.29 Fulham 23 27 -2 49.08 5.46 -0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.27R 0.02 Stoke 21 25 -7 44.76 5.90 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 2.58R 0.26 Sunderland 22 23 -10 43.84 5.69 -13.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 3.52R 0.43 Wigan 22 22 -23 37.20 5.33 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.51R 6.06 West_Ham 23 21 -9 39.78 5.15 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.54R 1.60 Bolton 22 21 -15 37.36 5.34 -27.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.93R 4.77 Wolverhampton 23 21 -21 32.78 4.73 -35.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.48R 19.62 Burnley 23 20 -23 35.22 5.15 -33.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.28R 10.72 Hull 23 20 -26 32.68 5.03 -39.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.66R 23.07 Portsmouth 22 15 -16 30.92 5.25 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.90R 33.17Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Cardiff vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 27 56 +27 95.56 6.02 46.78 71.99 90.86 99.98 94.57P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 28 52 +23 86.21 5.96 37.13 9.78 39.35 99.13 61.45P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 27 50 +26 87.86 6.29 45.80 16.02 56.00 99.34 70.45P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 45 +22 79.90 6.37 36.88 2.10 12.26 92.20 36.62P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +3 68.33 6.34 4.44 0.02 0.24 31.95 6.47P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 41 +4 69.36 6.54 7.47 0.03 0.31 39.78 6.32P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 27 40 +10 69.29 6.63 14.78 0.04 0.52 41.73 8.32P 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 40 +2 66.71 6.66 3.21 0.01 0.15 25.22 4.24P 0.08R 0.00 Leicester 26 39 +2 66.54 6.96 2.42 0.02 0.22 24.81 4.34P 0.13R 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 37 +7 64.34 6.23 11.06 0.00 0.04 15.29 3.02P 0.17R 0.01 Bristol_City 27 36 -4 60.29 6.54 -6.52 0.00 0.01 5.23 0.64P 1.36R 0.03 Preston 26 35 -2 61.22 6.74 -3.59 0.00 0.02 7.67 1.13P 1.01R 0.02 QPR 27 34 -4 59.53 6.61 -5.21 0.00 0.01 4.52 0.65P 1.85R 0.05 Doncaster 26 33 -1 60.10 6.80 -1.17 0.00 0.01 6.10 0.91P 1.79R 0.06 Barnsley 26 33 -8 55.53 6.59 -16.46 0.00 0.00 1.31 0.15P 7.22R 0.42 Coventry 28 33 -8 54.31 6.11 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.07P 8.25R 0.40 Scunthorpe 27 33 -13 54.68 6.28 -20.67 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.05P 8.79R 0.45 Watford 26 32 -6 58.59 6.86 -7.86 0.00 0.00 3.94 0.50P 3.31R 0.16 Derby 28 32 -11 51.11 6.04 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 19.53R 1.07 Sheff_Wed 28 31 -12 50.29 5.98 -21.35 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 23.43R 1.52 Ipswich 27 29 -8 52.36 6.53 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.07P 15.36R 1.12 Reading 27 26 -16 46.07 6.29 -26.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.59R 8.96 Plymouth 26 24 -14 44.08 6.40 -24.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 62.57R 13.90 Peterborough 28 18 -19 35.63 5.98 -31.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.49R 71.83League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 29 63 +34 97.09 5.66 52.72 46.53 87.34 99.97 91.55P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 60 +29 97.67 6.17 46.43 49.13 86.81 99.94 91.36P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 28 55 +20 84.74 6.28 28.30 2.03 10.50 91.62 30.40P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 49 +13 84.12 6.45 26.86 1.26 7.96 89.94 29.90P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 48 +8 78.74 6.71 12.96 0.29 1.99 65.25 12.94P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 28 46 +11 74.88 6.25 17.40 0.02 0.40 43.14 10.32P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 45 +20 80.98 6.81 33.27 0.73 4.93 79.75 27.23P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 43 +4 69.56 6.27 6.59 0.00 0.05 14.44 2.59P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 26 38 -3 64.51 6.86 -4.86 0.00 0.01 4.58 0.69P 0.26R 0.00 Brentford 27 34 -3 59.88 6.34 -2.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.14P 1.11R 0.00 Southampton 27 33 +15 66.18 6.60 25.99 0.00 0.00 7.36 2.29P 0.14R 0.00 Carlisle 26 33 -3 54.97 6.59 -12.94 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 7.12R 0.04 Walsall 25 32 +1 61.57 7.15 1.87 0.00 0.00 2.76 0.50P 1.03R 0.00 Yeovil 28 31 -5 53.28 6.31 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 9.97R 0.09 Southend 28 31 -7 53.48 6.00 -11.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 8.84R 0.09 Hartlepool 29 31 -10 52.42 5.95 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 11.97R 0.13 Leyton_Orient 27 31 -10 53.62 6.32 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 10.20R 0.11 Exeter 29 30 -11 51.09 5.97 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.97R 0.22 Gillingham 28 29 -7 51.27 6.15 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.18R 0.19 Brighton 27 28 -13 48.28 6.28 -23.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.73R 0.83 Oldham 25 26 -10 48.34 6.58 -18.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 33.55R 1.02 Tranmere 27 26 -22 43.17 5.83 -36.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.61R 5.20 Wycombe 29 23 -22 40.94 5.79 -30.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.20R 8.87 Stockport 27 16 -29 30.93 5.54 -48.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.11R 83.20 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Aldershot vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 27 56 +33 96.57 5.87 58.03 70.15 98.77 99.99 99.23P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 27 49 +3 75.92 6.40 4.27 0.32 13.55 67.75 24.35P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 24 45 +13 82.24 7.38 23.54 3.66 51.32 90.06 62.38P 0.00 0.00 Bury 26 45 +2 74.18 6.90 4.47 0.23 10.09 57.45 19.72P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 24 43 +31 90.45 6.58 59.58 25.04 90.04 99.38 94.17P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 42 +5 69.12 6.21 8.67 0.01 1.96 29.42 9.06P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 42 +4 70.31 6.54 7.04 0.03 3.04 36.27 11.11P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 26 41 +10 74.01 7.03 18.75 0.17 11.24 60.31 25.16P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 40 +5 69.62 6.89 7.89 0.04 3.75 33.94 11.33P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 39 +4 74.27 7.49 11.74 0.35 12.58 59.41 23.70P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 27 38 +5 67.15 6.64 9.73 0.00 1.44 22.73 7.08P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 37 +5 66.53 6.90 8.26 0.00 1.47 20.66 7.05P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 28 37 +1 62.04 6.29 1.23 0.00 0.14 5.69 1.45P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 37 +0 64.30 6.61 1.36 0.00 0.48 11.77 2.97P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 27 34 -1 58.74 6.57 -4.51 0.00 0.06 2.39 0.58P 0.12R 0.00 Bradford 26 33 -5 57.12 6.59 -11.70 0.00 0.03 1.57 0.38P 0.19R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 29 -7 53.67 6.91 -13.91 0.00 0.02 0.58 0.14P 1.06R 0.00 Barnet 27 29 -9 50.90 6.44 -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 2.02R 0.01 Lincoln_City 25 28 -13 48.59 6.39 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 4.58R 0.02 Torquay 27 26 -4 50.03 6.53 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 2.70R 0.02 Hereford 25 26 -9 52.18 6.92 -13.40 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 1.83R 0.00 Cheltenham 26 25 -14 46.99 6.56 -23.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.39R 0.07 Grimsby 27 20 -21 35.32 5.57 -38.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.30R 3.83 Darlington 24 11 -38 21.93 4.99 -72.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.79R 96.04Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Altrincham vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 28 60 +30 95.51 5.79 46.74 28.58 99.29 53.28P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 59 +31 99.47 6.36 51.62 61.94 99.68 74.26P 0.00 0.00 York 27 55 +19 90.85 6.21 34.32 8.64 94.90 29.72P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 50 +15 76.25 6.31 17.38 0.07 26.15 4.04P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 28 48 +11 80.21 6.15 22.40 0.23 50.40 10.52P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 46 +22 79.60 5.92 36.42 0.21 49.49 13.22P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 27 46 +18 76.31 6.35 25.11 0.08 28.50 5.38P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 46 +11 78.83 6.71 19.69 0.23 40.98 7.70P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 42 +9 71.01 6.28 15.75 0.01 7.34 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 39 -5 61.39 6.10 -8.34 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 26 38 +4 64.54 6.61 3.45 0.00 1.27 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 28 35 -2 55.69 6.00 -7.17 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Wrexham 25 34 +3 64.61 7.09 6.12 0.00 1.61 0.33P 0.01R 0.00 Histon 26 34 -3 58.26 6.62 -7.79 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.05R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 33 +4 58.50 6.31 5.39 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.05R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 30 32 -17 49.71 5.55 -24.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54R 0.00 Salisbury 28 30 -4 53.21 6.13 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44R 0.00 Barrow 25 28 -12 51.83 6.88 -20.20 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.89R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 27 -25 42.17 5.16 -33.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.36R 0.04 Eastbourne_Boro 28 26 -17 42.77 5.59 -28.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.95R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 26 -24 41.62 5.46 -37.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.28R 0.06 Gateshead 28 22 -16 40.57 5.89 -26.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.21R 0.07 Grays_Athletic 29 17 -34 28.06 4.83 -56.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.25R 9.92 Chester 27 -3 -18 17.08 6.18 -26.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 89.88 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1