Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 January 2010 at 22:18:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Birmingham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   54  +38      86.73     4.78    61.35    67.72    90.54    99.16    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         23   50  +34      80.21     5.28    50.13    13.81    47.22    89.63    96.82    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   49  +34      81.19     4.80    57.34    18.30    59.95    94.00    98.52    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   42  +20      67.72     5.15    30.81     0.05     0.89     6.29    35.44    82.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   41  +16      65.73     5.08    24.85     0.01     0.25     2.66    19.37    69.40     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +13      66.88     5.31    22.31     0.02     0.45     4.05    26.36    74.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   38  +12      65.67     5.99    18.93     0.09     0.70     4.20    22.80    63.34     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   -1      56.06     5.49     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.73     7.97     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         23   32   -1      51.66     5.27    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.84     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   28  -15      41.81     4.81   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.54R    0.35  
Fulham          23   27   -2      49.22     5.41    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.23R    0.01  
Stoke           21   25   -7      44.94     5.91   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.47R    0.25  
Sunderland      22   23  -10      43.93     5.69   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.38R    0.38  
Wigan           22   22  -23      37.18     5.30   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.11R    6.31  
West_Ham        23   21   -9      39.79     5.12   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    1.54  
Bolton          22   21  -15      37.46     5.35   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.69R    4.93  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -21      32.71     4.71   -35.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.57R   20.63  
Burnley         23   20  -23      35.12     5.21   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.41R   11.67  
Hull            23   20  -26      32.59     5.02   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.10R   23.87  
Portsmouth      21   15  -14      31.55     5.45   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.85R   30.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Cardiff vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        27   56  +27      95.56     5.96    46.73    71.76    90.67    99.98    94.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   52  +23      86.27     5.96    37.25    10.00    39.91    99.18    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        27   50  +26      87.83     6.30    45.75    16.15    56.10    99.26    70.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   45  +22      79.88     6.35    36.85     2.01    11.85    92.03    36.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   42   +3      68.14     6.30     4.17     0.01     0.22    30.45     6.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   41   +4      69.46     6.58     7.64     0.01     0.33    40.16     6.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        27   40  +10      69.25     6.64    14.72     0.04     0.48    41.42     8.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   40   +2      66.73     6.63     3.28     0.01     0.17    25.29     4.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester        26   39   +2      66.76     6.96     2.70     0.01     0.21    25.87     4.52P    0.11R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   37   +7      64.49     6.24    11.34     0.00     0.02    15.68     3.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City     27   36   -4      60.32     6.58    -6.47     0.00     0.01     5.30     0.74P    1.43R    0.03  
Preston          26   35   -2      61.22     6.76    -3.63     0.00     0.02     7.59     1.12P    1.06R    0.01  
QPR              27   34   -4      59.49     6.60    -5.30     0.00     0.00     4.45     0.54P    1.94R    0.06  
Doncaster        26   33   -1      60.24     6.78    -0.99     0.00     0.01     6.37     1.02P    1.46R    0.06  
Barnsley         26   33   -8      55.48     6.52   -16.56     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.15P    7.08R    0.36  
Coventry         28   33   -8      54.22     6.11   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.06P    8.37R    0.39  
Scunthorpe       27   33  -13      54.68     6.32   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.07P    8.87R    0.48  
Watford          26   32   -6      58.67     6.88    -7.72     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.51P    3.20R    0.17  
Derby            28   32  -11      51.00     6.01   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   19.45R    1.15  
Sheff_Wed        28   31  -12      50.19     6.01   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.07R    1.63  
Ipswich          27   29   -8      52.36     6.51   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   15.19R    1.28  
Reading          27   26  -16      46.21     6.31   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    49.53R    8.44  
Plymouth         26   24  -14      43.84     6.41   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.71R   14.99  
Peterborough     28   18  -19      35.68     5.95   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.31R   70.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          29   63  +34      97.10     5.69    52.74    46.20    86.91    99.96    91.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     27   60  +29      97.77     6.19    46.56    49.51    86.74    99.94    91.38P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   55  +20      84.79     6.24    28.40     2.00    10.42    91.87    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   49  +13      84.37     6.44    27.27     1.16     8.38    90.46    30.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          26   48   +8      78.75     6.73    12.95     0.29     2.07    65.43    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         28   46  +11      74.66     6.22    17.05     0.03     0.40    41.74     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     26   45  +20      80.99     6.87    33.29     0.81     5.04    79.73    27.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          28   43   +4      69.66     6.23     6.69     0.00     0.02    14.79     2.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   38   -3      64.38     6.83    -5.08     0.00     0.01     4.30     0.59P    0.26R    0.00  
Brentford        27   34   -3      59.81     6.41    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.19P    1.14R    0.00  
Southampton      27   33  +15      66.33     6.63    26.21     0.00     0.00     8.00     2.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Carlisle         26   33   -3      54.97     6.58   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    7.17R    0.04  
Walsall          25   32   +1      61.57     7.07     1.83     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.46P    1.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           28   31   -5      53.23     6.21    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.69R    0.09  
Southend         28   31   -7      53.43     6.03   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     8.92R    0.07  
Hartlepool       29   31  -10      52.21     5.95   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.43R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient    27   31  -10      53.72     6.35   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.04R    0.12  
Exeter           29   30  -11      51.18     6.01   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.73R    0.22  
Gillingham       28   29   -7      51.43     6.14   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   15.51R    0.23  
Brighton         27   28  -13      48.21     6.27   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   34.81R    0.74  
Oldham           25   26  -10      48.08     6.57   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.32R    1.17  
Tranmere         27   26  -22      43.20     5.89   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.89R    5.30  
Wycombe          29   23  -22      40.92     5.81   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.99R    9.33  
Stockport        27   16  -29      31.02     5.60   -48.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   82.55  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Aldershot vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             27   56  +33      96.45     5.91    57.79    69.51    98.61    99.98    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          27   49   +3      76.01     6.38     4.39     0.34    13.75    68.23    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   45  +13      82.46     7.38    23.88     4.01    52.25    90.45    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   45   +2      74.12     6.94     4.35     0.25     9.98    57.29    19.40P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         24   43  +31      90.38     6.60    59.52    25.29    89.78    99.33    94.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   42   +5      69.09     6.23     8.64     0.01     2.03    29.36     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   42   +4      70.46     6.59     7.25     0.03     3.38    37.17    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            26   41  +10      74.02     6.99    18.74     0.16    11.07    60.20    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   40   +5      69.60     6.79     7.87     0.04     3.47    33.47    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   39   +4      74.20     7.47    11.63     0.35    12.24    58.67    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   38   +5      67.27     6.54     9.90     0.00     1.40    22.99     7.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            26   37   +5      66.44     6.88     8.10     0.00     1.32    20.27     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   37   +1      62.26     6.24     1.59     0.00     0.14     5.97     1.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   37   +0      64.34     6.58     1.45     0.00     0.46    11.65     3.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                27   34   -1      58.64     6.57    -4.74     0.00     0.04     2.32     0.56P    0.14R    0.00  
Bradford             26   33   -5      57.00     6.63   -11.87     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.34P    0.22R    0.00  
Macclesfield         25   29   -7      53.46     6.89   -14.32     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.15P    1.15R    0.01  
Barnet               27   29   -9      51.11     6.40   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    1.70R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         25   28  -13      48.53     6.46   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.70R    0.03  
Torquay              27   26   -4      49.96     6.54    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.82R    0.02  
Hereford             25   26   -9      52.03     6.96   -13.55     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.09P    2.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           26   25  -14      47.03     6.55   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     6.39R    0.09  
Grimsby              27   20  -21      35.41     5.58   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.08R    3.70  
Darlington           24   11  -38      21.92     4.98   -71.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.77R   96.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2010, Altrincham vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          28   60  +30      95.56     5.85    46.70    29.51    99.23    54.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   59  +31      99.42     6.41    51.59    61.13    99.63    73.47P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   55  +19      90.94     6.15    34.42     8.62    95.00    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   50  +15      76.37     6.26    17.58     0.04    26.47     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          28   48  +11      80.06     6.13    22.16     0.19    48.74    10.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   46  +22      79.55     5.90    36.39     0.18    49.38    13.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   46  +18      76.51     6.36    25.41     0.08    29.54     5.77P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   46  +11      78.85     6.65    19.68     0.24    41.39     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   42   +9      70.92     6.32    15.62     0.00     7.29     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   39   -5      61.59     6.10    -8.01     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         26   38   +4      64.49     6.70     3.33     0.00     1.22     0.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -2      55.64     6.00    -7.28     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Wrexham            25   34   +3      64.84     7.05     6.38     0.00     1.68     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Histon             26   34   -3      58.08     6.57    -8.07     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   +4      58.54     6.26     5.44     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   32  -17      49.69     5.63   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.00  
Salisbury          28   30   -4      53.00     6.17    -6.57     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Barrow             25   28  -12      51.80     6.86   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   27  -25      42.20     5.18   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.19R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   26  -17      42.61     5.55   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.66R    0.02  
Forest_Green       29   26  -24      41.64     5.41   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.92R    0.05  
Gateshead          28   22  -16      40.64     5.89   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.89R    0.05  
Grays_Athletic     29   17  -34      28.15     4.83   -56.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.27R    9.39  
Chester            27   -3  -18      17.00     6.15   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   90.46  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1