Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 29 January 2010 at 22:18:34 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 51 +37 86.52 4.96 63.11 67.44 89.76 99.04 99.82 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 50 +34 80.35 5.23 50.29 14.80 49.94 90.38 97.35 99.86 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 49 +34 80.90 4.85 56.65 17.59 57.84 93.42 98.53 99.94 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 41 +20 68.33 5.37 31.37 0.09 1.29 8.32 43.49 86.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 38 +14 65.04 5.23 24.97 0.01 0.26 2.34 18.49 69.18 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 38 +12 65.87 5.93 19.36 0.04 0.71 4.58 25.51 69.02 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 37 +11 64.28 5.60 18.97 0.01 0.20 1.86 15.41 59.98 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 22 33 -1 56.25 5.79 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.24 11.59 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 29 -2 49.72 5.58 -4.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.44 0.23R 0.01 Fulham 22 27 +0 51.38 5.70 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 2.50 0.13R 0.00 Blackburn 23 27 -15 41.75 5.08 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.71R 0.62 Stoke 21 25 -7 44.62 5.84 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 3.01R 0.21 Sunderland 22 23 -10 43.85 5.65 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 3.99R 0.42 Wigan 21 22 -22 39.16 5.65 -36.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.17R 3.66 Bolton 21 21 -13 37.66 5.46 -28.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.51R 4.83 West_Ham 22 20 -9 41.34 5.36 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.89R 1.06 Wolverhampton 22 20 -21 32.31 4.94 -36.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.99R 26.21 Burnley 22 20 -22 35.52 5.32 -34.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.61R 11.04 Hull 22 19 -26 33.25 5.29 -38.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.19R 21.87 Portsmouth 21 15 -14 31.58 5.43 -25.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.56R 30.06Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Newcastle vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 26 55 +27 96.49 6.24 47.78 71.30 90.63 99.98 94.42P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 27 52 +24 88.82 6.22 39.98 16.46 55.39 99.49 71.82P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 26 47 +24 86.84 6.56 44.83 10.69 42.99 98.49 61.97P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 42 +21 79.03 6.62 37.09 1.39 9.04 88.55 33.28P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +3 68.14 6.36 4.20 0.01 0.18 28.75 5.82P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 41 +6 70.57 6.83 9.02 0.06 0.66 44.81 7.84P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 26 39 +10 70.25 6.88 15.70 0.07 0.70 45.26 9.32P 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 25 38 +2 66.33 7.12 1.62 0.01 0.22 22.39 3.74P 0.11R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 37 +0 65.12 6.96 1.29 0.01 0.08 18.16 3.17P 0.16R 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 36 +7 65.55 6.54 12.37 0.00 0.08 19.66 3.98P 0.10R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 35 -4 60.16 6.76 -7.46 0.00 0.00 5.02 0.60P 1.39R 0.05 QPR 26 34 -3 62.27 6.91 -2.01 0.00 0.01 9.47 1.21P 0.67R 0.02 Doncaster 25 33 +0 60.97 7.06 -1.12 0.00 0.02 7.55 1.22P 1.11R 0.06 Barnsley 25 33 -7 57.00 6.91 -15.47 0.00 0.00 2.31 0.25P 4.51R 0.32 Preston 25 32 -4 59.13 7.01 -6.31 0.00 0.01 4.47 0.64P 2.17R 0.09 Watford 26 32 -6 58.67 6.90 -7.75 0.00 0.00 3.66 0.47P 2.54R 0.18 Coventry 27 32 -8 54.46 6.43 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.08P 7.12R 0.55 Scunthorpe 26 30 -14 51.89 6.56 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 15.60R 1.73 Ipswich 26 29 -6 54.20 6.85 -9.59 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.14P 8.67R 0.81 Derby 27 29 -12 48.22 6.15 -22.41 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 30.60R 3.69 Sheff_Wed 27 28 -13 48.51 6.28 -22.70 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 29.55R 3.78 Plymouth 25 24 -13 45.20 6.75 -23.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 49.86R 12.14 Reading 26 23 -17 44.22 6.57 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 56.18R 15.38 Peterborough 27 18 -17 36.77 6.20 -29.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.65R 61.20League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Brentford vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Norwich 28 60 +33 96.80 5.84 54.40 50.51 84.16 99.91 89.40P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 26 57 +27 95.93 6.49 44.12 40.36 76.34 99.75 84.55P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 27 54 +20 86.78 6.42 31.32 4.88 18.72 94.74 38.06P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 26 49 +15 85.59 6.54 29.17 2.94 13.60 92.83 35.68P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 25 47 +8 79.10 7.05 12.90 0.52 2.90 66.28 13.89P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 27 43 +10 73.19 6.56 16.24 0.03 0.31 33.33 7.80P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 42 +19 79.28 7.15 32.24 0.74 3.83 71.37 22.52P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 42 +4 70.73 6.55 7.79 0.00 0.08 19.77 3.53P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 38 -2 67.28 7.06 -1.51 0.01 0.05 9.84 1.42P 0.08R 0.00 Brentford 27 34 -3 59.84 6.38 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.16P 1.02R 0.00 Carlisle 25 32 -3 55.91 6.85 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.07P 5.75R 0.02 Walsall 24 31 +1 61.81 7.34 1.58 0.00 0.00 3.16 0.63P 1.11R 0.01 Yeovil 27 31 -4 54.67 6.46 -8.49 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 6.60R 0.03 Hartlepool 28 31 -9 52.53 6.15 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 11.71R 0.10 Southampton 26 30 +13 65.91 6.73 26.44 0.00 0.01 7.37 2.23P 0.13R 0.00 Southend 27 30 -7 53.68 6.31 -11.15 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 8.87R 0.05 Leyton_Orient 26 30 -10 53.44 6.56 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 10.90R 0.12 Exeter 28 29 -11 50.81 6.20 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.08R 0.27 Gillingham 27 28 -7 51.99 6.46 -10.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.80R 0.19 Brighton 26 28 -12 49.61 6.52 -22.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 26.75R 0.41 Oldham 25 26 -10 48.18 6.59 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.42R 0.96 Tranmere 26 25 -22 41.98 6.00 -39.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.40R 7.31 Wycombe 28 20 -23 37.98 5.95 -33.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.84R 18.57 Stockport 26 16 -27 31.60 5.71 -48.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.52R 71.95 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Burton_Albion vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 27 56 +33 96.37 5.89 57.70 72.00 98.75 99.99 99.20P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 26 46 +2 73.69 6.68 2.39 0.21 8.95 54.80 18.20P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 24 45 +13 82.11 7.38 23.29 3.86 51.04 89.73 61.93P 0.00 0.00 Bury 26 45 +2 74.09 6.93 4.33 0.25 10.58 57.22 19.86P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 42 +6 71.14 6.49 10.64 0.04 4.61 42.59 14.13P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 23 40 +29 89.53 6.76 58.88 22.91 87.82 99.08 92.91P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 25 40 +10 76.00 7.15 21.39 0.45 18.98 70.62 33.93P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 40 +5 69.71 6.80 8.06 0.04 3.81 34.89 11.47P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 26 39 +3 68.04 6.80 4.92 0.01 1.85 25.93 7.47P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 26 38 +6 69.24 6.81 12.02 0.01 3.31 33.87 11.20P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 23 36 +3 71.78 7.74 9.35 0.22 8.15 46.99 17.09P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 27 36 +1 63.13 6.57 2.38 0.00 0.36 8.80 2.50P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 36 +0 64.31 6.85 0.72 0.00 0.71 12.65 3.42P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 25 34 +3 64.47 7.09 5.65 0.00 0.86 14.52 4.61P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 26 34 +0 60.74 6.87 -2.46 0.00 0.18 5.38 1.35P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 25 30 -6 54.42 6.84 -14.66 0.00 0.02 0.81 0.21P 0.63R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 29 -7 53.86 6.94 -13.67 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.17P 0.90R 0.00 Barnet 26 29 -7 52.02 6.64 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 1.18R 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 28 -13 48.57 6.46 -24.33 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.92R 0.03 Torquay 26 26 -3 52.26 6.84 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.10P 1.33R 0.01 Hereford 24 26 -7 54.03 7.26 -10.54 0.00 0.01 0.80 0.18P 0.95R 0.00 Cheltenham 26 25 -14 46.88 6.52 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 5.31R 0.11 Grimsby 26 19 -21 34.30 5.63 -41.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.00R 5.07 Darlington 24 11 -38 21.94 5.02 -72.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.72R 94.78Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Histon vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 28 60 +30 95.39 5.85 46.57 28.89 99.11 52.97P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 59 +31 99.34 6.37 51.45 61.29 99.59 73.31P 0.00 0.00 York 27 55 +19 90.71 6.22 34.25 8.29 94.15 29.01P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 28 48 +11 80.71 6.02 23.28 0.23 53.11 11.23P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 47 +12 74.26 6.51 13.79 0.04 16.96 2.72P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 46 +22 79.51 5.89 36.44 0.17 47.65 12.28P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 46 +12 82.67 6.84 24.38 1.06 63.61 14.07P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 26 43 +13 73.22 6.61 17.71 0.03 14.78 2.51P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 42 +9 70.74 6.27 15.43 0.00 6.43 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 39 -5 61.20 6.08 -8.62 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 25 38 +6 67.45 6.97 7.84 0.00 3.65 0.66P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 28 35 -2 55.94 5.97 -6.83 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Histon 26 34 -3 58.71 6.61 -7.24 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 33 +4 58.38 6.30 5.23 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 29 32 -12 51.91 5.85 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49R 0.00 Wrexham 24 31 +1 61.41 7.23 2.27 0.00 0.58 0.11P 0.03R 0.00 Salisbury 28 30 -4 52.71 6.11 -7.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Barrow 25 28 -12 51.40 6.79 -21.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.75R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 28 26 -17 42.87 5.56 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.65R 0.03 Forest_Green 28 26 -21 43.04 5.72 -34.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.28R 0.03 Ebbsfleet_United 30 24 -26 38.85 5.25 -37.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.13R 0.18 Gateshead 28 22 -16 40.85 5.96 -25.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.19R 0.05 Grays_Athletic 29 17 -34 27.85 4.83 -57.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.16R 11.21 Chester 27 -3 -18 17.46 6.24 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 88.50 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1