Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 January 2010 at 22:18:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         22   51  +37      86.50     4.97    63.15    67.34    89.68    98.98    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         23   50  +34      80.21     5.25    50.11    14.35    48.21    89.97    97.21    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   49  +34      81.00     4.84    56.83    18.08    59.51    93.42    98.49    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +20      68.46     5.36    31.60     0.14     1.38     8.49    44.34    86.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   38  +14      65.03     5.29    24.99     0.01     0.22     2.42    18.04    68.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   38  +12      65.82     5.97    19.28     0.08     0.78     4.64    25.11    68.39     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   37  +11      64.35     5.63    19.08     0.01     0.22     1.99    15.40    60.21     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      22   33   -1      56.42     5.81     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.40    12.12     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         22   29   -2      49.55     5.57    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.42     0.19R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27   +0      51.55     5.66     3.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.70     0.11R    0.01  
Blackburn       23   27  -15      41.66     5.05   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.88R    0.59  
Stoke           21   25   -7      44.61     5.86   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     3.24R    0.25  
Sunderland      22   23  -10      43.77     5.69   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     4.12R    0.48  
Wigan           21   22  -22      39.12     5.64   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.30R    3.65  
Bolton          21   21  -13      37.62     5.53   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.77R    5.22  
West_Ham        22   20   -9      41.28     5.42   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.42R    1.10  
Wolverhampton   22   20  -21      32.36     4.88   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R   25.65  
Burnley         22   20  -22      35.35     5.33   -34.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.05R   11.76  
Hull            22   19  -26      33.39     5.32   -38.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.79R   21.34  
Portsmouth      21   15  -14      31.64     5.45   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.65R   29.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Newcastle vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        26   55  +27      96.48     6.17    47.79    71.42    90.88    99.99    94.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     27   52  +24      88.84     6.17    40.00    16.45    55.63    99.53    72.50P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        26   47  +24      86.78     6.59    44.71    10.57    42.63    98.52    61.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   42  +21      78.95     6.64    36.87     1.39     8.98    87.91    33.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   42   +3      68.02     6.37     4.08     0.01     0.17    28.23     5.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   41   +6      70.50     6.83     8.96     0.06     0.61    44.57     7.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   39  +10      70.06     6.90    15.41     0.07     0.69    43.87     8.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        25   38   +2      66.76     7.10     2.23     0.01     0.21    24.45     4.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   37   +0      65.26     6.94     1.54     0.00     0.09    18.57     3.22P    0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   36   +7      65.49     6.49    12.28     0.00     0.06    19.45     3.77P    0.10R    0.01  
Bristol_City     26   35   -4      60.05     6.81    -7.62     0.00     0.00     5.13     0.66P    1.33R    0.05  
QPR              26   34   -3      62.36     6.88    -1.88     0.00     0.03     9.53     1.15P    0.72R    0.03  
Doncaster        25   33   +0      60.94     7.07    -1.13     0.00     0.02     7.72     1.15P    1.09R    0.03  
Barnsley         25   33   -7      57.11     6.88   -15.36     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.24P    4.17R    0.29  
Preston          25   32   -4      59.07     7.11    -6.40     0.00     0.00     4.62     0.72P    2.29R    0.14  
Watford          26   32   -6      58.80     6.90    -7.49     0.00     0.01     3.65     0.49P    2.40R    0.14  
Coventry         27   32   -8      54.48     6.40   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.08P    6.97R    0.52  
Scunthorpe       26   30  -14      51.80     6.49   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.01P   15.45R    1.57  
Ipswich          26   29   -6      54.22     6.82    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.14P    8.52R    0.80  
Derby            27   29  -12      48.04     6.16   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   31.67R    3.91  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -13      48.41     6.31   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.14R    3.89  
Plymouth         25   24  -13      45.34     6.76   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.20R   11.88  
Reading          26   23  -17      44.25     6.55   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.87R   15.16  
Peterborough     27   18  -17      36.72     6.18   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.84R   61.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Brentford vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          28   60  +33      96.76     5.84    54.32    50.73    83.94    99.91    89.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     26   57  +27      95.78     6.47    43.92    39.90    76.05    99.71    84.08P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   54  +20      86.70     6.45    31.15     4.96    18.47    94.33    37.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       26   49  +15      85.52     6.56    29.02     3.00    13.87    92.35    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          25   47   +8      79.32     6.97    13.28     0.60     3.19    67.47    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43  +10      73.21     6.55    16.30     0.03     0.29    33.09     7.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     25   42  +19      79.40     7.22    32.39     0.76     4.08    71.37    23.28P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   42   +4      70.81     6.53     7.91     0.01     0.06    19.80     3.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   25   38   -2      67.33     7.12    -1.38     0.01     0.05     9.81     1.53P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford        27   34   -3      59.92     6.35    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.99R    0.00  
Carlisle         25   32   -3      55.84     6.90   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    5.94R    0.03  
Walsall          24   31   +1      61.82     7.40     1.60     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.67P    1.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   31   -4      54.57     6.49    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.91R    0.04  
Hartlepool       28   31   -9      52.61     6.12   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   11.26R    0.09  
Southampton      26   30  +13      65.89     6.73    26.40     0.00     0.00     7.29     2.16P    0.15R    0.00  
Southend         27   30   -7      53.51     6.30   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.33R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient    26   30  -10      53.55     6.63   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   10.77R    0.11  
Exeter           28   29  -11      50.73     6.16   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.11R    0.29  
Gillingham       27   28   -7      52.02     6.44   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   13.79R    0.21  
Brighton         26   28  -12      49.71     6.54   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.37R    0.38  
Oldham           25   26  -10      48.30     6.60   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.98R    0.92  
Tranmere         26   25  -22      42.09     5.94   -39.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R    6.72  
Wycombe          28   20  -23      37.82     5.91   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   18.74  
Stockport        26   16  -27      31.48     5.71   -48.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.65R   72.41  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Burton_Albion vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             27   56  +33      96.42     5.95    57.73    71.41    98.64    99.98    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          26   46   +2      73.88     6.67     2.61     0.22     9.15    56.01    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   45  +13      82.25     7.36    23.53     3.96    51.39    90.17    62.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   45   +2      74.03     6.96     4.21     0.26    10.19    57.30    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   42   +6      70.97     6.49    10.36     0.04     4.37    41.56    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         23   40  +29      89.75     6.79    59.33    23.38    88.10    99.09    92.91P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            25   40  +10      76.20     7.20    21.61     0.47    19.44    71.38    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   40   +5      69.60     6.80     7.83     0.03     3.66    34.11    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   39   +3      67.93     6.81     4.70     0.01     1.83    25.62     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            26   38   +6      69.28     6.84    12.02     0.02     3.43    33.96    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   36   +3      71.73     7.75     9.29     0.20     7.75    46.59    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          27   36   +1      62.89     6.52     1.99     0.00     0.27     8.19     2.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   36   +0      64.34     6.91     0.76     0.00     0.68    12.94     3.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   34   +3      64.56     7.13     5.83     0.00     0.85    14.76     4.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                26   34   +0      60.79     6.84    -2.38     0.00     0.20     5.52     1.40P    0.08R    0.00  
Bradford             25   30   -6      54.56     6.85   -14.44     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.18P    0.61R    0.00  
Macclesfield         25   29   -7      53.78     6.94   -13.82     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.15P    0.82R    0.01  
Barnet               26   29   -7      51.78     6.61   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    1.32R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         25   28  -13      48.68     6.46   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.88R    0.03  
Torquay              26   26   -3      52.13     6.80    -5.82     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.09P    1.41R    0.01  
Hereford             24   26   -7      53.82     7.19   -10.84     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.17P    1.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           26   25  -14      46.98     6.51   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.05R    0.04  
Grimsby              26   19  -21      34.26     5.66   -41.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.04R    5.23  
Darlington           24   11  -38      22.02     4.98   -71.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   94.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 January 2010, Histon vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          28   60  +30      95.35     5.82    46.45    28.56    99.17    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   59  +31      99.36     6.32    51.50    62.12    99.64    73.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   55  +19      90.44     6.16    33.83     7.68    94.03    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          28   48  +11      80.54     6.13    23.01     0.22    51.76    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   47  +12      74.37     6.52    13.97     0.03    17.33     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   46  +22      79.71     5.90    36.76     0.22    48.69    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   46  +12      82.62     6.84    24.31     1.13    63.36    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   43  +13      73.26     6.64    17.80     0.04    15.11     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   42   +9      70.85     6.24    15.60     0.00     6.56     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   39   -5      61.20     6.12    -8.57     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         25   38   +6      67.51     6.88     7.85     0.00     3.54     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -2      55.82     5.99    -6.96     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Histon             26   34   -3      58.55     6.55    -7.47     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   +4      58.26     6.24     4.99     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   32  -12      52.01     5.92   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   31   +1      61.53     7.14     2.39     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury          28   30   -4      52.81     6.10    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Barrow             25   28  -12      51.57     6.85   -20.82     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   26  -17      42.71     5.49   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.77R    0.01  
Forest_Green       28   26  -21      43.02     5.75   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.72R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   24  -26      38.95     5.28   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.51R    0.17  
Gateshead          28   22  -16      40.79     5.89   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.30R    0.06  
Grays_Athletic     29   17  -34      28.00     4.80   -57.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.05R   10.48  
Chester            27   -3  -18      17.34     6.18   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   89.23  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1