Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 January 2010 at 22:18:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Bolton vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   50  +34      80.38     5.25    50.29    17.40    51.51    90.01    97.22    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   48  +34      81.08     5.17    56.62    23.14    60.08    92.53    97.93    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   48  +34      85.37     5.26    60.43    59.13    85.29    97.96    99.55    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +20      68.46     5.39    31.63     0.15     1.57     9.02    43.42    85.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   38  +14      65.11     5.28    25.06     0.03     0.28     2.63    17.97    67.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   38  +12      65.63     6.00    18.95     0.08     0.75     4.55    23.43    65.97     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +11      64.73     5.97    19.18     0.07     0.50     3.10    17.92    61.18     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      21   33   +2      57.65     5.99     4.32     0.00     0.01     0.19     2.39    16.42     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          22   27   +0      51.37     5.66     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.37     0.11R    0.01  
Everton         21   26   -4      48.21     5.89    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.94     0.70R    0.04  
Stoke           21   25   -7      44.94     5.92   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.83R    0.27  
Blackburn       22   24  -16      40.33     5.39   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32R    1.70  
Sunderland      21   23   -8      45.14     5.98   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28     3.04R    0.33  
Wigan           20   22  -21      39.90     5.92   -36.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.63R    3.30  
Bolton          21   21  -13      37.54     5.53   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.13R    5.31  
West_Ham        22   20   -9      41.25     5.38   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.01R    1.06  
Wolverhampton   22   20  -21      32.44     4.95   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.54R   24.90  
Burnley         22   20  -22      35.38     5.31   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.36R   11.42  
Hull            22   19  -26      33.27     5.32   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.22R   21.79  
Portsmouth      21   15  -14      31.65     5.48   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.12R   29.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        25   52  +25      95.18     6.49    46.17    65.53    87.00    99.95    91.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     27   52  +24      88.91     6.16    40.13    19.63    57.49    99.54    73.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        26   47  +24      86.87     6.59    44.88    13.10    44.70    98.58    63.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   42  +21      78.76     6.60    36.53     1.54     8.69    87.47    32.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          27   42   +3      68.36     6.29     4.48     0.01     0.22    29.49     5.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   41   +6      70.40     6.79     8.78     0.08     0.65    43.29     7.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   39  +10      69.91     6.91    15.19     0.07     0.70    42.43     8.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        25   38   +2      66.60     7.07     2.04     0.02     0.21    23.39     4.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   37   +2      66.36     7.07     3.21     0.02     0.21    23.01     4.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   36   +7      65.44     6.51    12.22     0.01     0.07    18.84     3.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City     26   35   -4      60.13     6.78    -7.50     0.00     0.00     5.08     0.65P    1.31R    0.07  
QPR              26   34   -3      62.34     6.96    -1.85     0.01     0.03     9.70     1.25P    0.72R    0.03  
Doncaster        25   33   +0      60.86     7.02    -1.22     0.00     0.02     7.22     1.19P    1.13R    0.05  
Barnsley         25   33   -7      57.27     6.88   -14.95     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.25P    3.91R    0.29  
Preston          25   32   -4      58.85     7.09    -6.75     0.00     0.01     4.22     0.65P    2.35R    0.12  
Watford          26   32   -6      58.75     6.90    -7.62     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.49P    2.43R    0.15  
Coventry         27   32   -8      54.41     6.42   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.09P    7.25R    0.54  
Ipswich          26   29   -6      54.36     6.79    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.11P    8.10R    0.77  
Derby            27   29  -12      48.05     6.16   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   31.34R    3.89  
Sheff_Wed        26   28  -11      50.50     6.59   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   20.20R    2.36  
Scunthorpe       25   27  -16      49.71     6.78   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   25.83R    3.94  
Plymouth         25   24  -13      45.15     6.69   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   50.11R   11.90  
Reading          26   23  -17      44.29     6.59   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.56R   15.21  
Peterborough     27   18  -17      36.78     6.21   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.45R   60.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Brentford vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          28   60  +33      96.74     5.84    54.29    49.85    83.64    99.90    89.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     26   57  +27      95.99     6.47    44.24    40.82    76.44    99.77    84.36P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   54  +20      86.84     6.46    31.45     5.04    18.96    94.76    37.85P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       26   49  +15      85.58     6.60    29.18     3.07    13.77    92.28    35.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          25   47   +8      79.07     6.94    12.84     0.46     2.79    66.10    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43  +10      73.39     6.57    16.56     0.03     0.29    34.28     8.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     25   42  +19      79.44     7.16    32.49     0.74     4.00    71.86    22.72P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          27   42   +4      70.73     6.50     7.78     0.00     0.06    19.20     3.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   25   38   -2      67.30     7.10    -1.44     0.00     0.05     9.66     1.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford        27   34   -3      59.80     6.36    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.20P    1.12R    0.00  
Carlisle         25   32   -3      55.62     6.82   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    6.24R    0.03  
Walsall          24   31   +1      61.97     7.35     1.85     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.70P    1.11R    0.01  
Yeovil           27   31   -4      54.74     6.53    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    6.65R    0.06  
Hartlepool       28   31   -9      52.52     6.09   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   11.46R    0.07  
Southampton      26   30  +13      65.87     6.79    26.37     0.00     0.00     7.22     2.16P    0.19R    0.00  
Southend         27   30   -7      53.67     6.27   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.78R    0.08  
Leyton_Orient    26   30  -10      53.57     6.57   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   10.53R    0.11  
Exeter           28   29  -11      50.81     6.19   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.19R    0.24  
Gillingham       27   28   -7      51.78     6.43   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.36R    0.17  
Brighton         26   28  -12      49.68     6.50   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.11R    0.43  
Oldham           25   26  -10      48.33     6.64   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    32.53R    0.87  
Tranmere         26   25  -22      41.96     5.94   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.78R    7.28  
Wycombe          28   20  -23      37.84     5.94   -33.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.22R   18.92  
Stockport        26   16  -27      31.54     5.71   -48.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   71.73  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             27   56  +33      96.50     5.88    57.97    72.46    98.91    99.99    99.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          26   46   +2      73.80     6.73     2.51     0.21     9.16    55.86    18.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   45  +13      82.04     7.32    23.24     3.78    50.48    89.87    61.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   45   +2      73.93     6.87     4.08     0.20     9.95    56.70    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   42   +6      71.22     6.48    10.76     0.05     4.91    42.77    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         23   40  +29      89.57     6.82    58.96    22.56    87.83    99.03    92.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            25   40  +10      76.07     7.16    21.45     0.49    19.26    70.98    34.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   40   +5      69.89     6.77     8.30     0.04     3.84    35.59    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   39   +3      67.88     6.84     4.64     0.01     1.96    25.50     7.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            26   38   +6      69.36     6.88    12.22     0.01     3.54    34.68    11.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   36   +3      71.76     7.73     9.35     0.17     8.08    46.46    16.95P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          27   36   +1      63.02     6.54     2.17     0.00     0.33     8.69     2.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   34   +3      64.58     7.14     5.86     0.01     0.93    14.82     4.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                26   34   +0      60.59     6.78    -2.67     0.00     0.20     4.98     1.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   33   -1      63.48     7.09     0.91     0.00     0.57    11.20     3.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             25   30   -6      54.44     6.82   -14.65     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.16P    0.66R    0.01  
Macclesfield         25   29   -7      53.61     6.87   -14.08     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.17P    0.87R    0.00  
Barnet               26   29   -7      51.91     6.65   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    1.32R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         24   28  -12      49.41     6.72   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    3.22R    0.02  
Torquay              26   26   -3      52.32     6.89    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.09P    1.27R    0.01  
Hereford             24   26   -7      53.81     7.19   -10.84     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.20P    1.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   25  -14      46.96     6.57   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.67R    0.07  
Grimsby              26   19  -21      34.28     5.66   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.11R    5.32  
Darlington           24   11  -38      22.05     5.04   -71.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   94.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2010, Gateshead vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          28   60  +30      95.58     5.85    46.81    29.54    99.34    54.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   59  +31      99.38     6.39    51.52    61.67    99.65    73.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   55  +19      90.53     6.17    33.94     7.81    94.90    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          28   48  +11      80.34     6.12    22.72     0.22    54.06    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   47  +12      74.32     6.52    13.87     0.03    19.36     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   46  +22      79.63     5.89    36.62     0.19    52.09    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   43  +13      73.32     6.64    17.91     0.03    17.08     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   43  +10      79.93     7.23    20.74     0.52    49.89    10.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   42   +9      70.88     6.28    15.62     0.00     7.78     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   39   -5      61.40     6.11    -8.29     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         25   38   +6      67.39     6.96     7.74     0.00     4.30     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -2      55.90     6.00    -6.86     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Histon             25   34   -1      60.70     6.93    -4.17     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   +4      58.15     6.26     4.81     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   32  -12      52.05     5.92   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   31   +1      61.45     7.22     2.33     0.00     0.71     0.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury          28   30   -4      52.90     6.15    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Barrow             25   28  -12      51.40     6.76   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   26  -17      42.78     5.52   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.59R    0.02  
Forest_Green       28   26  -21      43.03     5.72   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.42R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   24  -26      38.85     5.28   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.22R    0.20  
Gateshead          28   22  -16      40.87     5.95   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.07R    0.05  
Grays_Athletic     29   17  -34      27.96     4.79   -57.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.07R   10.58  
Chester            27   -3  -18      17.50     6.16   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   89.11  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1