Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 21 January 2010 at 22:18:25 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 January 2010, Arsenal vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 22 48 +34 81.10 5.19 56.64 23.09 62.73 92.64 97.79 99.88 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 48 +34 85.48 5.25 60.55 61.18 86.51 98.08 99.58 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 47 +30 79.72 5.45 48.47 15.34 47.22 87.59 95.87 99.67 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 38 +18 67.27 5.65 30.30 0.14 1.23 7.40 34.26 78.65 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 38 +12 65.79 5.98 19.31 0.10 0.92 5.30 24.52 66.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 37 +14 66.37 5.55 26.65 0.10 0.83 5.24 26.71 73.72 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 36 +11 64.83 5.91 19.38 0.05 0.53 3.49 18.39 60.64 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 21 33 +2 57.68 6.01 4.40 0.00 0.02 0.23 2.46 15.95 0.00 0.00 Fulham 21 27 +2 52.43 5.96 4.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.36 4.08 0.09R 0.01 Everton 21 26 -4 48.12 5.86 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.80 0.74R 0.06 Stoke 21 25 -7 44.89 5.90 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 2.87R 0.25 Blackburn 22 24 -16 40.31 5.39 -25.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 12.69R 1.75 Sunderland 21 23 -8 44.91 5.96 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19 3.12R 0.34 Wigan 20 22 -21 39.83 5.93 -36.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 18.21R 3.08 Burnley 21 20 -21 36.21 5.63 -35.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.01R 9.81 West_Ham 21 19 -9 41.44 5.78 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.35R 1.47 Wolverhampton 21 19 -21 31.98 5.12 -38.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.52R 29.03 Hull 21 19 -22 33.74 5.46 -37.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.94R 18.66 Bolton 20 18 -14 36.83 5.83 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.40R 7.65 Portsmouth 20 14 -14 32.02 5.81 -25.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.07R 27.89Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 January 2010, Blackpool vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 25 52 +25 95.01 6.52 46.03 67.21 88.86 99.93 93.13P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 26 49 +19 86.50 6.53 33.93 12.81 44.18 98.44 63.44P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 25 46 +24 87.84 6.85 46.15 18.95 58.45 98.67 72.31P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 40 +3 69.33 6.87 4.87 0.07 0.73 35.54 8.09P 0.01R 0.00 Cardiff 25 39 +15 74.96 7.09 26.68 0.66 4.65 70.65 22.68P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 25 38 +3 68.38 7.10 5.16 0.04 0.61 32.21 5.99P 0.04R 0.00 Leicester 24 38 +3 68.31 7.46 3.52 0.08 0.73 32.13 6.86P 0.05R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 37 +2 66.28 7.16 3.15 0.04 0.24 22.68 4.45P 0.12R 0.01 Blackpool 25 36 +9 68.77 7.22 14.92 0.09 0.91 36.49 8.82P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 25 35 +2 64.30 7.21 2.94 0.01 0.15 15.87 3.14P 0.33R 0.01 QPR 25 34 +2 64.82 7.22 5.14 0.02 0.20 17.92 3.31P 0.35R 0.02 Doncaster 24 33 +3 64.06 7.41 4.68 0.02 0.19 16.25 3.58P 0.41R 0.02 Middlesbrough 25 32 +4 62.57 7.07 6.77 0.01 0.07 11.22 2.34P 0.54R 0.02 Watford 25 32 -5 59.65 7.21 -7.32 0.00 0.02 5.35 0.82P 2.09R 0.18 Coventry 26 31 -8 54.34 6.61 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.14P 7.72R 0.89 Barnsley 24 30 -8 54.97 7.14 -17.13 0.00 0.00 1.42 0.20P 8.39R 1.07 Preston 24 29 -5 57.25 7.39 -7.79 0.00 0.01 3.02 0.49P 4.66R 0.51 Derby 26 29 -11 49.86 6.47 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 22.94R 3.42 Ipswich 25 28 -6 53.70 7.11 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.18P 10.74R 1.52 Scunthorpe 25 27 -16 49.24 6.83 -27.90 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 28.63R 5.74 Sheff_Wed 25 25 -12 48.85 6.94 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 29.20R 6.48 Reading 25 23 -14 45.76 6.88 -24.22 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 46.18R 13.59 Plymouth 24 21 -14 43.04 6.99 -25.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 61.69R 24.90 Peterborough 25 18 -15 40.01 6.83 -26.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.85R 41.63League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 January 2010, Oldham vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 25 57 +30 99.64 6.56 50.67 61.74 86.34 99.97 91.55P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 54 +31 94.47 6.36 53.98 25.80 65.96 99.70 77.68P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 26 54 +21 90.19 6.63 36.18 9.48 32.88 98.42 50.74P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 24 45 +13 84.62 7.15 27.86 2.31 10.43 90.86 30.88P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 24 44 +5 75.29 7.22 6.52 0.13 0.92 49.72 8.44P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 42 +19 79.47 7.15 32.59 0.52 3.18 76.42 23.60P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 25 39 +5 71.74 6.97 10.84 0.01 0.15 31.32 5.79P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 25 37 +7 69.82 6.99 13.11 0.01 0.09 22.67 4.92P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 35 -4 65.23 7.37 -4.20 0.00 0.01 8.62 1.21P 0.36R 0.00 Brentford 25 33 -2 60.60 6.83 -3.42 0.00 0.00 2.19 0.39P 1.14R 0.00 Walsall 23 31 +2 63.29 7.67 2.79 0.00 0.02 6.83 1.27P 0.77R 0.00 Hartlepool 26 30 -7 55.18 6.65 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 6.90R 0.04 Southampton 25 29 +13 66.14 6.92 26.28 0.00 0.01 11.04 3.25P 0.18R 0.00 Southend 25 29 -5 56.13 6.80 -8.06 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.05P 5.29R 0.03 Exeter 26 29 -9 53.91 6.75 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 9.81R 0.10 Yeovil 25 28 -4 54.98 7.10 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 7.85R 0.09 Carlisle 23 28 -4 55.04 7.46 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.10P 9.18R 0.11 Leyton_Orient 25 27 -11 50.05 6.68 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 24.51R 0.48 Brighton 25 27 -12 50.24 6.76 -22.50 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 24.17R 0.50 Gillingham 25 26 -7 51.78 6.92 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 16.52R 0.30 Oldham 24 26 -9 50.05 6.90 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.59R 0.51 Tranmere 24 22 -22 40.12 6.39 -42.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.69R 12.08 Wycombe 27 19 -23 37.57 6.20 -34.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.14R 18.95 Stockport 24 14 -27 31.46 6.31 -50.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.86R 66.80 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 January 2010, Macclesfield vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 25 52 +30 96.48 6.36 56.85 77.29 98.36 99.95 98.92P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 25 46 +3 75.20 6.93 3.58 0.51 15.26 62.75 24.67P 0.00 0.00 Bury 25 42 +1 72.64 7.23 3.49 0.22 9.18 48.93 16.75P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 24 40 +9 73.69 7.29 14.00 0.43 13.19 56.63 24.30P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 22 39 +11 79.37 7.88 22.06 2.94 37.91 80.66 49.95P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 39 +5 69.26 6.79 9.20 0.04 3.65 32.12 10.82P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 24 38 +4 69.93 7.43 5.98 0.11 5.34 36.21 12.26P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 22 37 +26 87.22 7.29 54.52 17.25 79.75 97.29 86.96P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 23 37 +10 76.28 7.70 22.07 0.95 23.28 69.96 36.59P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 24 34 +5 68.73 7.43 12.10 0.03 4.20 32.17 11.16P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 33 +2 69.98 8.10 8.05 0.20 6.90 38.19 14.10P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 23 32 +3 64.72 7.77 4.64 0.02 1.65 16.90 5.78P 0.02R 0.00 Northampton 25 32 +0 63.10 7.17 3.15 0.01 0.65 10.60 3.11P 0.03R 0.00 Crewe 25 31 -3 60.08 7.03 -3.74 0.00 0.19 4.79 1.20P 0.13R 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 30 -2 60.82 7.39 -1.92 0.00 0.30 6.60 1.84P 0.10R 0.00 Bradford 24 30 -5 56.15 7.17 -12.97 0.00 0.05 1.74 0.40P 0.46R 0.00 Barnet 24 28 -6 53.15 7.17 -13.62 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.18P 1.13R 0.01 Macclesfield 23 27 -7 53.60 7.47 -15.39 0.00 0.02 0.99 0.22P 1.46R 0.02 Hereford 23 26 -6 54.98 7.44 -10.31 0.00 0.06 1.43 0.37P 0.89R 0.01 Torquay 24 25 -2 54.92 7.41 -3.03 0.00 0.02 1.27 0.39P 0.88R 0.01 Cheltenham 25 25 -11 48.44 6.89 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 4.31R 0.09 Lincoln_City 23 25 -13 46.96 6.88 -26.41 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 7.26R 0.16 Grimsby 25 19 -20 34.57 5.77 -41.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.93R 7.74 Darlington 22 11 -34 23.25 5.47 -70.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.38R 91.95Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 January 2010, Chester vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 27 57 +28 93.83 6.17 44.40 29.07 98.33 51.67P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 56 +27 97.97 6.72 47.94 60.55 99.37 72.11P 0.00 0.00 York 26 52 +18 88.68 6.55 32.63 7.95 90.79 27.63P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 27 46 +23 81.81 6.18 38.82 1.12 67.62 19.74P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 26 45 +11 80.16 6.59 22.85 0.60 54.38 12.13P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 26 44 +8 72.48 6.77 9.44 0.04 14.00 2.12P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 40 +9 78.31 7.48 19.59 0.59 42.27 8.50P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 24 39 +10 72.73 7.21 15.77 0.07 17.38 3.11P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 38 +6 70.36 6.79 13.83 0.01 8.41 1.60P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 38 -5 61.15 6.36 -9.19 0.00 0.34 0.04P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 24 35 +5 67.01 7.25 8.38 0.00 4.43 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 34 +2 63.53 7.29 1.07 0.00 1.84 0.29P 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 27 34 -2 57.58 6.32 -5.15 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 33 +5 59.93 6.59 6.44 0.00 0.24 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 27 32 -10 55.39 6.48 -14.72 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.13R 0.00 Barrow 24 28 -9 52.80 7.06 -17.91 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.92R 0.00 Wrexham 22 27 +0 58.02 7.89 -1.83 0.00 0.46 0.11P 0.23R 0.00 Salisbury 27 27 -7 50.35 6.38 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 27 25 -17 42.51 5.74 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.49R 0.07 Forest_Green 26 23 -21 40.86 6.10 -36.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.12R 0.34 Gateshead 26 22 -13 43.83 6.50 -22.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.19R 0.09 Ebbsfleet_United 29 21 -27 36.62 5.47 -38.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.61R 1.33 Grays_Athletic 27 17 -27 29.61 5.23 -52.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.80R 12.10 Chester 26 -3 -14 19.34 6.49 -21.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.29R 86.05 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1