Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 17 January 2010 at 22:18:23 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 January 2010, Aston_Villa vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 48 +34 85.36 5.26 60.42 58.41 85.36 97.63 99.51 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 47 +30 79.85 5.38 48.72 15.61 46.19 86.95 96.25 99.78 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 21 45 +32 81.47 5.20 59.67 25.44 64.03 92.61 98.10 99.90 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 38 +20 68.84 5.93 32.73 0.37 2.69 12.05 46.45 85.26 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 38 +12 65.65 6.01 19.05 0.09 0.84 4.68 22.92 67.16 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 36 +11 64.78 5.90 19.33 0.04 0.51 3.16 17.58 62.92 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 21 34 +12 64.27 5.86 23.78 0.04 0.35 2.72 16.55 61.22 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 21 33 +2 57.77 6.02 4.52 0.00 0.02 0.18 2.32 17.92 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 21 27 +2 52.26 5.94 4.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.25 4.34 0.09R 0.00 Everton 21 26 -4 48.31 5.92 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.06 0.74R 0.03 Stoke 21 25 -7 44.77 5.81 -12.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 2.89R 0.23 Blackburn 22 24 -16 40.23 5.37 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 12.77R 1.81 Sunderland 21 23 -8 44.94 5.97 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.26 3.09R 0.35 Wigan 20 22 -21 40.02 5.98 -35.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 17.42R 3.02 Burnley 21 20 -21 36.38 5.65 -34.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.01R 9.52 West_Ham 21 19 -9 41.48 5.71 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.11R 1.41 Wolverhampton 21 19 -21 32.10 5.20 -38.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.52R 28.41 Hull 21 19 -22 33.76 5.45 -37.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.56R 18.49 Bolton 19 18 -12 36.22 5.94 -31.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.29R 10.09 Portsmouth 20 14 -14 32.26 5.87 -25.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.50R 26.64Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 24 51 +25 96.12 6.77 46.92 71.66 90.66 99.92 94.28P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 26 49 +19 86.25 6.54 33.65 10.18 42.92 98.07 61.65P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 24 45 +24 87.54 7.06 44.96 17.02 56.01 98.22 70.25P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 40 +3 69.45 6.92 5.05 0.07 0.72 34.05 7.88P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 25 39 +15 75.03 7.04 26.86 0.58 4.76 69.23 21.89P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 25 38 +3 68.42 7.05 5.33 0.05 0.59 30.16 5.78P 0.02R 0.00 Leicester 24 38 +3 68.35 7.38 3.58 0.08 0.76 30.02 6.06P 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 37 +2 66.39 7.06 3.31 0.01 0.29 21.14 4.20P 0.09R 0.00 Blackpool 24 36 +10 72.26 7.44 19.36 0.32 2.72 53.60 14.94P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_City 25 35 +2 63.96 7.18 2.44 0.00 0.13 13.45 2.66P 0.34R 0.01 QPR 25 34 +2 64.83 7.17 5.19 0.01 0.18 16.55 3.04P 0.22R 0.01 Doncaster 24 33 +3 63.84 7.41 4.35 0.01 0.16 14.45 3.14P 0.39R 0.02 Middlesbrough 25 32 +4 62.70 7.06 6.99 0.00 0.07 10.71 2.50P 0.44R 0.02 Watford 25 32 -5 59.63 7.16 -7.33 0.00 0.02 4.70 0.77P 1.84R 0.15 Coventry 26 31 -8 54.35 6.63 -14.61 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.13P 7.08R 0.72 Barnsley 24 30 -8 54.85 7.15 -17.31 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.19P 7.70R 0.95 Preston 24 29 -5 57.27 7.28 -7.77 0.00 0.01 2.75 0.46P 3.82R 0.38 Derby 26 29 -11 49.69 6.49 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 21.54R 3.22 Ipswich 25 28 -6 53.92 7.10 -10.70 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.14P 9.09R 1.17 Scunthorpe 25 27 -16 49.35 6.75 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 25.41R 4.89 Reading 25 23 -14 45.95 6.88 -23.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 42.36R 12.04 Sheff_Wed 24 22 -13 45.29 7.06 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 46.36R 14.56 Plymouth 24 21 -14 43.15 6.96 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 58.72R 22.04 Peterborough 25 18 -15 39.92 6.84 -26.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.52R 39.80League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2010, Hartlepool vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 24 57 +32 103.07 6.72 56.00 80.36 93.56 99.97 95.97P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 51 +26 90.45 6.81 44.38 8.07 40.01 98.16 56.92P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 24 48 +19 88.40 7.05 36.67 4.96 27.15 96.12 45.31P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 45 +18 89.28 7.11 38.13 5.89 32.36 96.93 52.77P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 23 41 +4 73.98 7.41 5.89 0.06 0.82 40.91 6.54P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 25 39 +5 71.84 6.95 11.16 0.02 0.24 30.16 5.42P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 23 38 +18 80.25 7.58 35.26 0.62 5.55 77.15 24.84P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 24 36 +7 70.19 7.20 13.09 0.01 0.16 23.53 4.76P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 34 -4 64.43 7.61 -6.52 0.00 0.03 7.21 0.89P 0.46R 0.00 Walsall 22 31 +3 66.37 7.94 6.53 0.00 0.08 12.76 2.38P 0.29R 0.00 Brentford 24 30 -4 58.19 7.09 -6.35 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.18P 2.42R 0.01 Hartlepool 25 30 -6 55.41 6.80 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.05P 5.37R 0.06 Southend 24 29 -4 56.47 6.96 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.06P 4.13R 0.05 Southampton 24 28 +13 66.51 7.30 26.47 0.00 0.03 12.52 3.50P 0.19R 0.00 Yeovil 24 28 -2 57.31 7.31 -3.94 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.16P 3.63R 0.03 Carlisle 22 28 -2 56.81 7.66 -9.25 0.00 0.01 1.20 0.21P 4.94R 0.07 Gillingham 25 26 -7 51.73 6.98 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 14.08R 0.39 Exeter 25 26 -11 50.24 6.83 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 19.68R 0.57 Oldham 23 25 -9 51.40 7.21 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 16.54R 0.56 Brighton 24 24 -13 47.11 6.90 -26.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 36.56R 1.89 Leyton_Orient 24 24 -13 47.61 6.94 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 33.44R 1.85 Tranmere 23 21 -22 39.94 6.56 -43.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.09R 15.02 Wycombe 26 19 -22 38.10 6.32 -35.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.83R 19.93 Stockport 23 14 -26 32.85 6.59 -49.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.33R 59.58 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2010, Barnet vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 24 51 +30 97.18 6.62 57.71 75.31 98.16 99.96 98.84P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 25 46 +3 75.02 6.84 3.36 0.40 11.80 62.18 21.65P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 24 40 +9 73.26 7.36 13.33 0.32 9.77 54.49 21.03P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 21 39 +12 84.51 7.95 29.48 7.82 61.10 92.87 70.57P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 39 +5 69.47 6.79 9.52 0.04 2.88 33.49 10.53P 0.00 0.00 Bury 24 39 +0 71.22 7.44 2.85 0.14 5.42 41.79 12.64P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 24 38 +4 70.18 7.46 6.37 0.11 4.61 37.44 11.88P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 22 37 +26 87.22 7.27 54.58 14.58 76.77 97.48 85.63P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 36 +10 76.03 8.07 21.11 1.08 19.33 68.24 33.09P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 24 34 +5 68.75 7.38 12.28 0.03 3.16 32.21 10.32P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 33 +2 69.60 8.08 7.50 0.14 5.06 36.44 12.02P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 23 30 +0 62.62 7.64 0.97 0.01 0.58 10.68 2.94P 0.07R 0.00 Crewe 24 30 -3 60.23 7.28 -4.22 0.00 0.18 5.47 1.28P 0.14R 0.00 Bradford 23 30 -4 57.65 7.50 -11.81 0.00 0.12 3.25 0.77P 0.38R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 29 +1 62.23 7.94 1.50 0.01 0.66 10.95 3.40P 0.07R 0.00 Northampton 24 29 -2 60.41 7.39 -0.57 0.00 0.25 5.96 1.70P 0.11R 0.00 Barnet 24 28 -6 53.23 7.13 -13.56 0.00 0.02 0.73 0.16P 1.16R 0.00 Macclesfield 22 27 -5 56.19 7.86 -11.53 0.00 0.09 2.70 0.65P 0.75R 0.00 Torquay 24 25 -2 54.84 7.43 -3.18 0.00 0.01 1.30 0.35P 0.85R 0.00 Hereford 22 25 -6 55.92 7.86 -9.48 0.00 0.06 2.24 0.53P 0.83R 0.00 Cheltenham 25 25 -11 48.50 6.82 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00P 4.03R 0.02 Lincoln_City 23 25 -13 46.92 6.83 -26.55 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 7.49R 0.05 Grimsby 25 19 -20 34.63 5.78 -41.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.21R 2.14 Darlington 21 8 -35 18.75 5.12 -77.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 97.78Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 27 57 +28 93.81 6.20 44.44 18.85 98.55 45.96P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 56 +28 101.63 6.82 52.84 75.36 99.84 83.16P 0.00 0.00 York 26 52 +18 88.73 6.50 32.70 4.69 92.04 25.44P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 25 44 +10 73.95 7.03 11.52 0.05 21.87 3.25P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 43 +21 80.22 6.48 36.90 0.33 59.95 16.29P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 25 42 +10 78.67 7.00 21.93 0.29 47.46 10.65P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 40 +9 78.42 7.58 19.72 0.39 45.51 9.16P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 24 39 +10 72.35 7.19 15.10 0.04 17.34 2.99P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 38 +6 70.04 6.80 13.35 0.00 8.88 1.61P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 38 -5 61.30 6.40 -8.95 0.00 0.39 0.05P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 24 35 +5 66.96 7.29 8.31 0.00 5.15 0.99P 0.00R 0.00 Histon 24 34 +2 63.64 7.28 1.22 0.00 2.15 0.31P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 33 +5 60.03 6.54 6.50 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.01R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 27 32 -10 55.30 6.40 -14.87 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Tamworth 26 31 -3 53.82 6.43 -9.67 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.32R 0.00 Barrow 24 28 -9 52.84 7.05 -17.86 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.87R 0.00 Wrexham 22 27 +0 58.00 7.80 -1.91 0.00 0.47 0.10P 0.21R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 27 25 -17 42.51 5.80 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.59R 0.18 Salisbury 26 24 -8 47.99 6.59 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.03 Gateshead 25 22 -12 45.76 6.85 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.42R 0.09 Ebbsfleet_United 28 21 -26 37.50 5.67 -38.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.25R 1.81 Forest_Green 25 20 -22 39.05 6.46 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.90R 1.44 Grays_Athletic 27 17 -27 29.75 5.23 -51.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.16R 17.92 Chester 25 -3 -13 21.57 6.83 -19.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.93R 78.52 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1