Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 14 January 2010 at 22:18:20 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 January 2010, Man_City vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 45 +29 84.54 5.58 55.97 56.30 81.78 94.45 98.35 99.89 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 44 +27 79.15 5.57 48.12 16.15 45.27 77.82 91.65 99.19 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 42 +30 80.51 5.52 59.25 25.04 60.08 85.13 94.75 99.51 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 38 +14 68.10 6.31 23.43 0.55 3.00 10.32 28.52 72.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 +20 71.21 6.04 37.15 1.61 7.46 22.15 52.02 88.07 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 35 +11 66.44 6.15 21.43 0.23 1.56 5.99 18.95 64.23 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 33 +12 64.97 6.12 24.31 0.12 0.84 3.92 14.01 56.16 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 21 33 +2 57.54 5.97 4.31 0.00 0.01 0.14 1.11 11.69 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 20 27 +4 55.07 6.27 8.79 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.64 7.57 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 20 24 -7 45.00 6.18 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 2.84R 0.26 Sunderland 20 23 -3 45.90 6.14 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 1.97R 0.20 Everton 20 23 -6 45.72 6.25 -10.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 2.34R 0.25 Blackburn 21 21 -18 37.63 5.59 -29.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.18R 5.32 Burnley 20 20 -18 36.54 5.71 -34.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.35R 8.46 Wolverhampton 20 19 -19 34.70 5.71 -34.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.27R 14.13 Wigan 19 19 -23 37.25 6.18 -39.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.79R 8.91 West_Ham 20 18 -9 40.54 5.87 -15.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 11.03R 2.03 Bolton 18 18 -10 37.16 6.26 -30.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 29.26R 7.85 Hull 20 18 -22 32.35 5.51 -41.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.09R 26.74 Portsmouth 20 14 -14 32.13 5.82 -25.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.85R 25.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 January 2010, Leicester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 24 51 +25 96.28 6.75 47.08 71.94 90.49 99.94 94.17P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 25 46 +18 86.11 6.75 34.88 10.08 41.68 97.70 61.80P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 24 45 +24 87.42 7.09 44.89 16.16 54.02 98.08 68.44P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 24 38 +15 76.40 7.28 28.64 1.02 6.97 74.95 24.89P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 23 38 +4 69.89 7.69 4.95 0.12 1.35 38.00 8.02P 0.04R 0.00 Swansea 24 37 +2 67.22 7.15 3.35 0.02 0.37 24.35 5.35P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 23 35 +10 73.55 7.71 20.86 0.58 4.00 60.15 17.41P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 24 35 +2 66.64 7.32 3.97 0.02 0.34 22.82 4.12P 0.12R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 24 34 +1 64.36 7.43 1.69 0.02 0.20 15.27 3.15P 0.30R 0.01 QPR 24 33 +2 64.28 7.44 3.57 0.01 0.19 15.53 2.70P 0.41R 0.01 Middlesbrough 24 32 +5 64.41 7.29 8.44 0.01 0.14 16.25 3.50P 0.27R 0.02 Bristol_City 24 32 +0 61.57 7.38 -0.56 0.00 0.04 8.32 1.47P 0.86R 0.06 Watford 24 32 -4 60.74 7.36 -6.79 0.00 0.03 6.59 0.83P 1.30R 0.12 Coventry 25 31 -7 55.67 6.85 -13.52 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.18P 4.96R 0.53 Doncaster 23 30 +2 62.70 7.64 4.13 0.01 0.14 12.08 2.52P 0.72R 0.06 Barnsley 23 30 -7 57.54 7.50 -14.18 0.00 0.02 3.07 0.46P 4.25R 0.49 Preston 23 29 -3 59.01 7.58 -4.91 0.00 0.02 4.78 0.85P 2.52R 0.22 Derby 25 26 -14 46.44 6.66 -26.92 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.94R 9.99 Scunthorpe 24 26 -16 48.75 6.99 -29.65 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 27.72R 6.25 Ipswich 24 25 -7 52.38 7.31 -11.40 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.11P 12.98R 2.28 Reading 24 23 -13 46.02 7.01 -25.14 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 40.88R 12.44 Plymouth 23 21 -13 44.78 7.26 -24.26 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 47.64R 16.78 Sheff_Wed 23 19 -14 42.49 7.22 -28.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 60.21R 27.21 Peterborough 24 18 -12 42.99 7.29 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 55.87R 23.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2010, Leeds_United vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 24 57 +32 103.20 6.64 56.21 80.97 93.87 99.98 96.25P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 51 +26 90.31 6.73 44.10 7.43 38.92 98.69 56.25P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 24 48 +19 88.70 7.08 37.28 5.09 29.04 97.25 47.19P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 45 +18 89.21 7.17 38.15 5.93 32.18 97.58 52.64P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 23 38 +18 79.85 7.59 34.68 0.52 5.10 78.97 24.69P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 22 38 +2 71.97 7.72 3.22 0.04 0.51 35.56 5.53P 0.03R 0.00 Millwall 24 36 +7 70.37 7.29 13.33 0.01 0.18 29.07 5.95P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 24 36 +0 67.26 7.19 1.16 0.00 0.05 15.07 2.18P 0.09R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 34 -4 64.27 7.55 -6.76 0.00 0.02 8.57 1.04P 0.46R 0.00 Walsall 22 31 +3 66.59 7.88 6.88 0.01 0.09 15.88 2.88P 0.27R 0.00 Hartlepool 24 30 -1 59.42 7.23 -2.76 0.00 0.00 2.45 0.40P 1.93R 0.02 Brentford 24 30 -4 58.01 7.04 -6.60 0.00 0.00 1.40 0.23P 2.73R 0.02 Southend 24 29 -4 56.50 6.99 -8.86 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.11P 4.43R 0.05 Southampton 24 28 +13 66.56 7.29 26.54 0.00 0.04 15.22 4.12P 0.16R 0.00 Yeovil 24 28 -2 57.42 7.34 -3.86 0.00 0.00 1.36 0.20P 3.93R 0.05 Carlisle 22 28 -2 56.48 7.64 -9.79 0.00 0.01 1.45 0.24P 5.90R 0.08 Gillingham 24 26 -5 53.34 7.16 -9.66 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 10.47R 0.24 Exeter 25 26 -11 50.37 6.87 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 20.20R 0.56 Oldham 23 25 -9 51.74 7.26 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 16.41R 0.48 Brighton 24 24 -13 47.17 6.97 -26.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.97R 2.02 Leyton_Orient 24 24 -13 47.66 6.90 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 34.59R 1.65 Tranmere 23 21 -22 39.92 6.59 -43.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.23R 15.32 Wycombe 26 19 -22 38.08 6.33 -35.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.53R 20.12 Stockport 23 14 -26 32.83 6.65 -49.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.65R 59.39 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Bournemouth vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 24 51 +30 97.15 6.69 57.69 74.82 97.74 99.96 98.54P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 24 46 +4 77.40 7.21 5.82 1.07 19.98 73.96 30.72P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 21 39 +12 84.52 7.87 29.52 7.94 60.15 93.45 69.88P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 38 +5 69.74 7.02 9.38 0.04 3.26 36.21 11.28P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 22 37 +26 87.27 7.27 54.74 14.49 75.84 97.53 85.11P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 23 37 +7 71.48 7.59 11.14 0.22 6.85 45.67 16.19P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 36 +10 76.33 8.04 21.65 1.05 19.69 70.13 33.93P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 -1 68.46 7.72 0.10 0.06 3.07 29.72 8.29P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 35 +3 68.63 7.72 5.40 0.11 3.17 31.32 9.58P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 24 34 +5 68.95 7.35 12.60 0.03 3.07 34.29 10.79P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 33 +2 69.35 8.12 7.00 0.13 4.84 35.61 11.77P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 23 30 -1 61.69 7.54 -2.01 0.00 0.43 8.81 2.20P 0.08R 0.00 Bradford 23 30 -4 57.67 7.35 -11.75 0.00 0.09 3.02 0.68P 0.27R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 29 +1 62.08 7.99 1.24 0.01 0.64 11.13 3.34P 0.06R 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 29 +0 63.11 7.95 1.16 0.02 0.79 13.25 3.69P 0.06R 0.00 Northampton 24 29 -2 60.52 7.37 -0.47 0.00 0.21 6.44 1.64P 0.09R 0.00 Barnet 23 28 -5 55.64 7.48 -10.90 0.00 0.03 1.85 0.47P 0.57R 0.00 Macclesfield 22 27 -5 56.34 7.77 -11.18 0.00 0.06 2.66 0.65P 0.66R 0.00 Torquay 23 25 -1 56.11 7.76 -2.49 0.00 0.06 2.59 0.70P 0.63R 0.00 Hereford 22 25 -6 56.01 7.80 -9.43 0.00 0.07 2.23 0.53P 0.79R 0.00 Cheltenham 24 24 -11 49.42 7.12 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 3.70R 0.02 Lincoln_City 22 22 -14 43.64 6.96 -29.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.93R 0.14 Grimsby 24 18 -20 34.64 5.99 -42.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.33R 2.60 Darlington 21 8 -35 18.98 5.21 -77.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.83R 97.24Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 January 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 27 57 +28 94.00 6.15 44.71 20.34 98.77 47.34P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 56 +28 101.36 6.80 52.33 74.73 99.80 82.47P 0.00 0.00 York 25 49 +15 87.33 6.84 29.90 3.75 87.82 23.15P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 25 44 +10 73.98 7.02 11.54 0.05 22.56 3.51P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 43 +21 80.27 6.44 37.09 0.44 60.88 16.64P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 25 42 +10 78.92 6.86 22.33 0.27 49.64 11.22P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 40 +9 78.30 7.54 19.54 0.37 45.23 9.13P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 24 39 +10 72.43 7.20 15.35 0.04 17.99 3.27P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 38 +6 70.08 6.78 13.38 0.01 9.16 1.74P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 38 -5 61.29 6.39 -8.98 0.00 0.38 0.04P 0.00R 0.00 Histon 24 34 +2 63.49 7.26 0.92 0.00 2.03 0.34P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 33 +6 63.01 6.80 10.24 0.00 1.31 0.24P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 23 32 +4 65.40 7.51 7.48 0.00 3.76 0.80P 0.01R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 26 32 -7 56.38 6.69 -12.22 0.00 0.07 0.00P 0.10R 0.00 Tamworth 26 31 -3 53.99 6.48 -9.47 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.28R 0.00 Barrow 24 28 -9 53.00 7.11 -17.66 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.82R 0.00 Wrexham 22 27 +0 57.80 7.82 -2.12 0.00 0.51 0.10P 0.19R 0.00 Salisbury 26 24 -8 48.01 6.57 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.85R 0.01 Gateshead 25 22 -12 45.84 6.82 -20.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.56R 0.07 Eastbourne_Boro 26 22 -18 39.48 5.87 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.73R 0.87 Ebbsfleet_United 27 21 -25 38.37 5.86 -37.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.51R 1.47 Forest_Green 25 20 -22 39.11 6.43 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.40R 1.57 Grays_Athletic 27 17 -27 29.71 5.25 -51.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.94R 17.80 Chester 25 -3 -13 21.58 6.83 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.60R 78.21 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1