Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 January 2010 at 22:18:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 January 2010, Man_City vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         20   45  +29      84.56     5.54    56.10    56.21    81.73    94.61    98.36    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   44  +27      79.26     5.56    48.25    16.85    46.44    78.61    91.90    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   42  +30      80.38     5.57    58.90    24.51    59.07    84.58    94.39    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   38  +14      68.10     6.27    23.47     0.54     2.92    10.12    28.44    72.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   37  +20      71.19     6.00    37.17     1.58     7.51    21.84    51.48    88.18     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   35  +11      66.52     6.17    21.62     0.19     1.45     6.06    19.58    64.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   33  +12      64.96     6.07    24.35     0.12     0.85     3.89    13.87    55.81     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      21   33   +2      57.72     6.07     4.58     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.38    12.38     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          20   27   +4      54.95     6.20     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.58     6.89     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           20   24   -7      44.88     6.17   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.96R    0.32  
Sunderland      20   23   -3      46.15     6.13    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.82R    0.15  
Everton         20   23   -6      45.50     6.20   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     2.43R    0.26  
Blackburn       21   21  -18      37.67     5.59   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.06R    5.14  
Burnley         20   20  -18      36.58     5.68   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.87R    8.10  
Wolverhampton   20   19  -19      34.63     5.68   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.58R   14.39  
Wigan           19   19  -23      37.23     6.18   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    30.83R    8.70  
West_Ham        20   18   -9      40.62     5.90   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.27R    2.11  
Bolton          18   18  -10      37.07     6.19   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.42R    7.97  
Hull            20   18  -22      32.23     5.48   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.81R   27.24  
Portsmouth      20   14  -14      32.23     5.89   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.94R   25.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 January 2010, Leicester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        24   51  +25      96.24     6.77    47.07    71.35    90.17    99.94    94.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   46  +18      86.12     6.77    34.90    10.36    41.63    97.62    61.67P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        24   45  +24      87.50     7.04    44.98    16.54    54.36    98.20    68.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   38  +15      76.47     7.28    28.69     1.05     6.90    75.54    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        23   38   +4      70.00     7.72     5.16     0.12     1.46    38.83     8.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          24   37   +2      67.19     7.15     3.25     0.02     0.38    24.34     5.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35  +10      73.51     7.71    20.81     0.50     3.98    59.80    17.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   35   +2      66.50     7.37     3.71     0.03     0.38    22.40     4.10P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   34   +1      64.24     7.39     1.44     0.02     0.15    14.82     2.88P    0.32R    0.02  
QPR              24   33   +2      64.47     7.43     3.93     0.01     0.17    16.25     2.87P    0.31R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    24   32   +5      64.20     7.35     8.08     0.00     0.17    15.49     3.26P    0.32R    0.02  
Bristol_City     24   32   +0      61.32     7.37    -0.91     0.00     0.04     7.94     1.49P    0.98R    0.08  
Watford          24   32   -4      60.79     7.43    -6.67     0.00     0.04     7.09     1.00P    1.33R    0.11  
Coventry         25   31   -7      55.77     6.88   -13.38     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.16P    5.08R    0.58  
Doncaster        23   30   +2      62.35     7.63     3.57     0.01     0.12    11.04     2.26P    0.77R    0.05  
Barnsley         23   30   -7      57.71     7.55   -13.89     0.00     0.02     3.44     0.48P    4.06R    0.53  
Preston          23   29   -3      59.12     7.68    -4.72     0.00     0.04     5.18     0.92P    2.61R    0.29  
Derby            25   26  -14      46.50     6.59   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    38.71R   10.09  
Scunthorpe       24   26  -16      48.94     7.01   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.17R    6.37  
Ipswich          24   25   -7      52.02     7.40   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P   14.70R    2.81  
Reading          24   23  -13      46.07     6.96   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.04R   12.49  
Plymouth         23   21  -13      44.86     7.27   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   47.58R   16.89  
Sheff_Wed        23   19  -14      42.61     7.28   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   59.75R   26.97  
Peterborough     24   18  -12      43.19     7.27   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.05R   22.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2010, Leeds_United vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     24   57  +32     103.11     6.59    56.07    80.96    94.13   100.00    96.43P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          25   51  +26      90.30     6.83    44.10     7.37    39.29    98.55    56.54P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         24   48  +19      88.52     7.11    36.92     5.10    28.35    97.10    46.13P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   45  +18      89.20     7.20    38.16     5.94    31.96    97.36    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     23   38  +18      80.07     7.59    35.01     0.57     5.28    79.35    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          22   38   +2      72.11     7.72     3.40     0.05     0.58    36.27     5.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         24   36   +7      70.30     7.25    13.20     0.01     0.21    28.23     5.80P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          24   36   +0      67.40     7.20     1.47     0.00     0.06    15.46     2.21P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   23   34   -4      64.35     7.52    -6.66     0.00     0.03     8.45     1.06P    0.49R    0.00  
Walsall          22   31   +3      66.62     7.95     6.96     0.00     0.07    16.17     3.06P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       24   30   -1      59.32     7.25    -2.83     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.39P    2.05R    0.02  
Brentford        24   30   -4      58.14     7.04    -6.45     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.24P    2.51R    0.02  
Southend         24   29   -4      56.65     7.06    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.13P    4.28R    0.04  
Southampton      24   28  +13      66.49     7.30    26.40     0.00     0.03    15.20     4.13P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   28   -2      57.24     7.32    -4.12     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.15P    4.00R    0.04  
Carlisle         22   28   -2      56.71     7.69    -9.44     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.23P    5.50R    0.07  
Gillingham       24   26   -5      53.27     7.17    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   10.60R    0.25  
Exeter           25   26  -11      50.28     6.82   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.04R    0.58  
Oldham           23   25   -9      51.45     7.23   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.45R    0.53  
Brighton         24   24  -13      47.10     6.91   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.78R    2.06  
Leyton_Orient    24   24  -13      47.62     6.88   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.83R    1.89  
Tranmere         23   21  -22      39.90     6.59   -43.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.09R   15.23  
Wycombe          26   19  -22      38.10     6.32   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.14R   20.41  
Stockport        23   14  -26      32.94     6.57   -49.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.62R   58.84  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Bournemouth vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             24   51  +30      97.17     6.61    57.76    75.37    98.03    99.97    98.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          24   46   +4      77.44     7.18     5.98     1.05    20.14    74.28    31.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   39  +12      84.45     7.99    29.41     8.19    59.95    93.01    69.77P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   38   +5      69.79     7.01     9.43     0.05     3.36    36.17    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         22   37  +26      87.14     7.25    54.53    13.82    76.01    97.43    85.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            23   37   +7      71.72     7.55    11.42     0.19     7.17    47.18    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            22   36  +10      76.14     8.02    21.31     0.98    19.18    69.46    33.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 23   36   -1      68.56     7.74     0.23     0.06     3.21    30.39     8.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         23   35   +3      68.37     7.63     5.03     0.07     2.98    29.87     8.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   34   +5      68.84     7.43    12.46     0.05     3.23    33.77    10.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   33   +2      69.32     7.99     6.97     0.14     4.47    35.34    11.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                23   30   -1      61.79     7.56    -1.87     0.01     0.40     9.25     2.44P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford             23   30   -4      57.52     7.38   -12.06     0.00     0.09     3.03     0.65P    0.29R    0.00  
Port_Vale            22   29   +1      62.20     7.91     1.44     0.01     0.60    11.06     3.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   29   +0      63.32     7.93     1.54     0.00     0.76    13.78     3.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton          24   29   -2      60.62     7.32    -0.32     0.00     0.22     6.51     1.64P    0.07R    0.00  
Barnet               23   28   -5      55.71     7.43   -10.73     0.00     0.04     1.84     0.47P    0.57R    0.00  
Macclesfield         22   27   -5      56.39     7.73   -11.11     0.00     0.08     2.71     0.68P    0.58R    0.00  
Torquay              23   25   -1      56.24     7.72    -2.25     0.00     0.04     2.50     0.71P    0.58R    0.00  
Hereford             22   25   -6      56.06     7.78    -9.32     0.00     0.04     2.31     0.56P    0.76R    0.00  
Cheltenham           24   24  -11      49.14     7.07   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    3.92R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   22  -14      43.67     7.02   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.49R    0.20  
Grimsby              24   18  -20      34.72     6.03   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.70R    2.31  
Darlington           21    8  -35      18.77     5.12   -77.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   97.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 January 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          27   57  +28      94.07     6.13    44.79    19.79    98.72    47.68P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         24   56  +28     101.54     6.74    52.79    75.45    99.86    83.33P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   49  +15      87.41     6.77    30.08     3.64    88.50    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   44  +10      73.95     6.98    11.46     0.05    22.50     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      26   43  +21      80.14     6.48    36.93     0.39    60.32    16.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          25   42  +10      78.64     6.93    21.92     0.25    48.23    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   40   +9      78.41     7.58    19.65     0.36    46.17     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   39  +10      72.34     7.08    15.16     0.05    17.69     2.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   38   +6      70.05     6.77    13.35     0.01     9.26     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       27   38   -5      61.24     6.38    -9.01     0.00     0.45     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon             24   34   +2      63.46     7.28     0.93     0.00     2.08     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   33   +6      63.26     6.84    10.63     0.00     1.36     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         23   32   +4      65.55     7.52     7.70     0.00     4.23     0.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   32   -7      56.20     6.63   -12.65     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Tamworth           26   31   -3      53.87     6.50    -9.63     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.30R    0.00  
Barrow             24   28   -9      52.91     7.05   -17.64     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.72R    0.00  
Wrexham            22   27   +0      57.84     7.85    -2.16     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.20R    0.00  
Salisbury          26   24   -8      47.90     6.55   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.02  
Gateshead          25   22  -12      45.72     6.83   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.81R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    26   22  -18      39.55     5.90   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68R    0.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   21  -25      38.61     5.86   -37.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.93R    1.42  
Forest_Green       25   20  -22      38.95     6.38   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.68R    1.56  
Grays_Athletic     27   17  -27      29.69     5.21   -51.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R   18.58  
Chester            25   -3  -13      21.76     6.81   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.50R   77.54  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1