Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 January 2010 at 22:18:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 January 2010, Man_City vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         20   45  +29      84.75     5.48    56.40    57.62    83.08    95.27    98.64    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   44  +27      79.09     5.59    48.05    15.85    45.03    77.33    91.29    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   42  +30      80.40     5.55    59.09    24.13    59.00    84.83    94.65    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   38  +14      68.12     6.27    23.47     0.50     2.93    10.05    28.37    73.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   37  +20      71.30     5.99    37.33     1.58     7.66    22.57    52.44    88.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   35  +11      66.43     6.15    21.41     0.21     1.42     5.96    19.03    63.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   33  +12      64.94     6.09    24.27     0.10     0.85     3.75    13.77    55.63     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      21   33   +2      57.72     6.02     4.52     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.22    12.40     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          20   27   +4      54.95     6.19     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.58     6.86     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           20   24   -7      44.88     6.20   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     2.99R    0.27  
Sunderland      20   23   -3      46.01     6.16    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.97R    0.20  
Everton         20   23   -6      45.70     6.23   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     2.36R    0.24  
Blackburn       21   21  -18      37.86     5.60   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.78R    4.70  
Burnley         20   20  -18      36.53     5.72   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.24R    8.41  
Wolverhampton   20   19  -19      34.66     5.65   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.07R   13.97  
Wigan           19   19  -23      37.01     6.11   -40.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.41R    9.06  
West_Ham        20   18   -9      40.62     5.90   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.99R    1.90  
Bolton          18   18  -10      37.19     6.28   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    29.20R    7.79  
Hull            20   18  -22      32.20     5.49   -41.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.96R   27.40  
Portsmouth      20   14  -14      32.08     5.80   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.00R   26.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 January 2010, Leicester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        24   51  +25      96.17     6.75    46.94    71.14    90.15    99.91    93.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   46  +18      86.16     6.72    34.99    10.22    41.41    97.73    61.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        24   45  +24      87.60     7.06    45.16    16.82    54.97    98.21    69.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   38  +15      76.48     7.28    28.64     0.99     6.85    75.17    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        23   38   +4      69.89     7.67     4.99     0.17     1.27    37.80     7.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          24   37   +2      67.21     7.21     3.27     0.05     0.43    24.47     5.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35  +10      73.44     7.74    20.70     0.53     3.88    59.71    17.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   35   +2      66.60     7.33     3.95     0.04     0.32    23.06     4.08P    0.13R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   34   +1      64.29     7.37     1.50     0.01     0.18    14.90     2.99P    0.30R    0.01  
QPR              24   33   +2      64.35     7.40     3.69     0.01     0.16    15.72     2.70P    0.35R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    24   32   +5      64.24     7.32     8.21     0.01     0.14    15.66     3.39P    0.29R    0.01  
Bristol_City     24   32   +0      61.64     7.41    -0.43     0.00     0.07     8.56     1.60P    0.92R    0.07  
Watford          24   32   -4      60.75     7.42    -6.75     0.00     0.03     6.90     0.94P    1.29R    0.10  
Coventry         25   31   -7      55.69     6.88   -13.54     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.21P    4.91R    0.55  
Doncaster        23   30   +2      62.51     7.63     3.83     0.00     0.10    11.66     2.46P    0.78R    0.06  
Barnsley         23   30   -7      57.87     7.49   -13.63     0.00     0.02     3.33     0.50P    3.79R    0.46  
Preston          23   29   -3      59.12     7.59    -4.72     0.00     0.03     5.06     0.93P    2.38R    0.22  
Derby            25   26  -14      46.37     6.59   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.03R   10.18  
Scunthorpe       24   26  -16      48.70     7.00   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   28.02R    6.56  
Ipswich          24   25   -7      52.16     7.40   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P   13.74R    2.65  
Reading          24   23  -13      46.11     7.02   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   40.47R   12.17  
Plymouth         23   21  -13      44.86     7.30   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.48R   16.58  
Sheff_Wed        23   19  -14      42.52     7.31   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.28R   27.07  
Peterborough     24   18  -12      43.02     7.24   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.73R   23.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2010, Leeds_United vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     24   57  +32     103.14     6.72    56.14    80.44    93.57    99.99    96.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          25   51  +26      90.39     6.79    44.18     7.74    39.98    98.70    56.96P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         24   48  +19      88.55     7.08    36.99     5.08    28.49    97.19    46.55P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   45  +18      89.10     7.19    37.99     6.10    31.67    97.46    52.24P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     23   38  +18      79.88     7.62    34.65     0.57     5.38    78.78    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          22   38   +2      72.17     7.77     3.56     0.05     0.57    36.34     5.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         24   36   +7      70.25     7.25    13.14     0.01     0.15    28.09     5.75P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          24   36   +0      67.49     7.18     1.57     0.01     0.05    15.70     2.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   23   34   -4      64.26     7.60    -6.81     0.00     0.03     8.65     1.02P    0.52R    0.00  
Walsall          22   31   +3      66.69     7.96     7.08     0.00     0.07    16.35     2.98P    0.32R    0.00  
Hartlepool       24   30   -1      59.24     7.21    -2.97     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.36P    2.06R    0.01  
Brentford        24   30   -4      58.12     7.04    -6.47     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.26P    2.61R    0.02  
Southend         24   29   -4      56.53     6.96    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.13P    4.27R    0.04  
Southampton      24   28  +13      66.48     7.26    26.37     0.00     0.03    14.85     4.13P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   28   -2      57.24     7.31    -4.14     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.20P    4.10R    0.04  
Carlisle         22   28   -2      56.70     7.68    -9.39     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.25P    5.60R    0.10  
Gillingham       24   26   -5      53.17     7.13    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   10.94R    0.26  
Exeter           25   26  -11      50.30     6.87   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   20.60R    0.60  
Oldham           23   25   -9      51.57     7.23   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   16.81R    0.48  
Brighton         24   24  -13      47.28     6.88   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    37.15R    1.92  
Leyton_Orient    24   24  -13      47.84     6.91   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.72R    1.63  
Tranmere         23   21  -22      39.73     6.51   -43.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.16R   15.88  
Wycombe          26   19  -22      38.18     6.33   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.24R   20.14  
Stockport        23   14  -26      32.93     6.57   -49.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.56R   58.88  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Bournemouth vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             24   51  +30      97.20     6.67    57.87    75.30    97.95    99.98    98.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          24   46   +4      77.36     7.27     5.80     1.18    20.09    73.53    31.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   39  +12      84.48     7.89    29.50     7.81    60.21    93.20    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   38   +5      69.69     7.07     9.31     0.05     3.52    35.98    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         22   37  +26      87.06     7.32    54.37    14.11    75.35    97.28    84.49P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            23   37   +7      71.45     7.60    11.00     0.21     7.09    45.49    16.47P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            22   36  +10      76.18     8.02    21.40     1.04    19.16    69.96    33.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 23   36   -1      68.44     7.75     0.09     0.07     3.11    29.87     8.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         23   35   +3      68.48     7.61     5.19     0.04     3.18    30.56     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   34   +5      68.77     7.39    12.34     0.03     3.13    33.57    10.68P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   33   +2      69.52     8.00     7.31     0.14     4.75    36.56    11.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                23   30   -1      61.96     7.51    -1.52     0.00     0.45     9.40     2.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Bradford             23   30   -4      57.66     7.41   -11.86     0.00     0.09     3.09     0.65P    0.30R    0.00  
Port_Vale            22   29   +1      62.24     8.01     1.51     0.00     0.71    11.40     3.44P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   29   +0      63.21     7.89     1.30     0.01     0.75    13.44     3.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton          24   29   -2      60.63     7.37    -0.30     0.00     0.21     6.71     1.75P    0.08R    0.00  
Barnet               23   28   -5      55.82     7.45   -10.58     0.00     0.04     1.96     0.43P    0.54R    0.00  
Macclesfield         22   27   -5      56.36     7.82   -11.11     0.00     0.10     2.86     0.70P    0.67R    0.00  
Torquay              23   25   -1      56.15     7.78    -2.42     0.00     0.06     2.57     0.66P    0.58R    0.00  
Hereford             22   25   -6      55.99     7.82    -9.45     0.00     0.05     2.39     0.58P    0.70R    0.00  
Cheltenham           24   24  -11      49.36     7.16   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.88R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         22   22  -14      43.49     7.05   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.04R    0.17  
Grimsby              24   18  -20      34.74     6.05   -42.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.20R    2.31  
Darlington           21    8  -35      18.81     5.12   -77.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   97.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 January 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          27   57  +28      93.99     6.14    44.74    20.55    98.80    47.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         24   56  +28     101.40     6.83    52.52    74.61    99.78    82.58P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   49  +15      87.35     6.83    29.98     3.62    88.04    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   44  +10      73.96     6.99    11.53     0.04    22.21     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      26   43  +21      80.45     6.40    37.38     0.44    62.02    17.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          25   42  +10      78.74     6.92    22.07     0.26    48.31    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   40   +9      78.45     7.59    19.76     0.42    45.77     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   39  +10      72.37     7.13    15.16     0.04    17.42     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   38   +6      70.31     6.73    13.78     0.00     9.41     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       27   38   -5      61.24     6.39    -9.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Histon             24   34   +2      63.45     7.28     0.89     0.00     2.08     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   33   +6      63.13     6.81    10.46     0.00     1.19     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         23   32   +4      65.52     7.49     7.62     0.00     3.86     0.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   32   -7      56.37     6.62   -12.36     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           26   31   -3      53.94     6.47    -9.56     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Barrow             24   28   -9      52.81     7.01   -17.87     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Wrexham            22   27   +0      57.72     7.82    -2.29     0.00     0.51     0.11P    0.15R    0.00  
Salisbury          26   24   -8      47.86     6.54   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.05  
Gateshead          25   22  -12      45.69     6.82   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    26   22  -18      39.59     5.90   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.10R    0.86  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   21  -25      38.45     5.85   -37.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.83R    1.40  
Forest_Green       25   20  -22      38.90     6.39   -38.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.38R    1.55  
Grays_Athletic     27   17  -27      29.73     5.24   -51.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.02R   17.98  
Chester            25   -3  -13      21.66     6.81   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   78.07  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25
Gateshead          -1