Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 10 January 2010 at 22:18:33 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2010, Arsenal vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 45 +29 84.57 5.55 56.09 56.24 81.71 94.65 98.54 99.93 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 44 +27 79.37 5.51 48.50 17.31 47.28 79.36 92.58 99.35 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 42 +30 80.36 5.53 59.06 24.07 58.36 84.72 94.70 99.48 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 +20 71.35 6.03 37.46 1.58 7.84 22.81 54.15 88.89 0.00 0.00 Man_City 19 35 +11 67.13 6.52 21.65 0.45 2.48 8.43 24.58 68.20 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 35 +11 66.55 6.14 21.63 0.24 1.50 6.17 19.80 66.56 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 33 +12 64.82 6.08 24.05 0.10 0.79 3.63 13.68 56.27 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 21 33 +2 57.65 6.01 4.46 0.00 0.02 0.18 1.34 12.82 0.00 0.00 Fulham 20 27 +4 55.00 6.22 8.66 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.60 7.60 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 20 24 -7 44.83 6.19 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 3.12R 0.30 Sunderland 20 23 -3 45.86 6.10 -7.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30 2.15R 0.25 Everton 20 23 -6 45.72 6.21 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.39 2.31R 0.26 Blackburn 20 21 -15 38.53 5.80 -27.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.73R 4.17 Burnley 20 20 -18 36.60 5.70 -34.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.26R 8.42 Wolverhampton 20 19 -19 34.67 5.66 -34.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.66R 14.14 Wigan 19 19 -23 37.21 6.17 -39.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 31.38R 8.72 West_Ham 20 18 -9 40.49 5.88 -15.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 11.62R 2.23 Bolton 18 18 -10 37.06 6.15 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 29.85R 7.98 Hull 20 18 -22 32.34 5.55 -41.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.20R 27.11 Portsmouth 20 14 -14 32.05 5.75 -25.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.67R 26.41Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 January 2010, Leicester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 24 51 +25 96.19 6.81 47.03 71.24 90.15 99.94 93.98P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 25 46 +18 85.96 6.73 34.69 10.15 40.78 97.55 60.81P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 24 45 +24 87.52 7.00 45.03 16.72 54.90 98.22 69.16P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 24 38 +15 76.57 7.30 28.87 1.03 6.94 75.51 24.99P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 23 38 +4 70.10 7.74 5.22 0.16 1.40 38.74 8.31P 0.03R 0.00 Swansea 24 37 +2 67.10 7.20 3.15 0.03 0.38 23.82 5.22P 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 23 35 +10 73.71 7.71 21.12 0.59 4.30 61.03 17.97P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 24 35 +2 66.68 7.29 4.06 0.02 0.34 22.75 4.06P 0.11R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 24 34 +1 64.20 7.39 1.42 0.01 0.18 14.73 2.87P 0.28R 0.02 QPR 24 33 +2 64.38 7.44 3.71 0.02 0.22 15.75 2.79P 0.36R 0.02 Middlesbrough 24 32 +5 64.31 7.32 8.30 0.01 0.17 15.44 3.29P 0.25R 0.02 Bristol_City 24 32 +0 61.65 7.41 -0.48 0.00 0.04 8.49 1.64P 0.97R 0.06 Watford 24 32 -4 60.88 7.43 -6.55 0.00 0.02 6.97 1.05P 1.30R 0.10 Coventry 25 31 -7 55.75 6.88 -13.37 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.17P 4.76R 0.52 Doncaster 23 30 +2 62.33 7.67 3.55 0.01 0.11 11.18 2.36P 0.81R 0.07 Barnsley 23 30 -7 57.76 7.50 -13.77 0.00 0.01 3.21 0.45P 3.79R 0.46 Preston 23 29 -3 59.01 7.55 -4.93 0.00 0.03 4.58 0.73P 2.37R 0.24 Derby 25 26 -14 46.13 6.56 -27.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 40.50R 10.65 Scunthorpe 24 26 -16 48.93 7.07 -29.32 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 26.96R 6.14 Ipswich 24 25 -7 52.26 7.31 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.12P 12.95R 2.28 Reading 24 23 -13 45.90 7.00 -25.35 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 41.34R 12.74 Plymouth 23 21 -13 44.82 7.34 -24.20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 47.53R 17.04 Sheff_Wed 23 19 -14 42.38 7.29 -28.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 60.76R 27.73 Peterborough 24 18 -12 43.18 7.23 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 54.85R 21.90League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2010, Leeds_United vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 24 57 +32 103.02 6.73 55.99 80.37 93.79 99.99 96.08P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 51 +26 90.48 6.79 44.39 8.05 40.88 98.65 57.82P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 24 48 +19 88.45 7.08 36.83 5.13 27.93 97.06 46.26P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 45 +18 88.92 7.23 37.64 5.82 31.00 97.20 51.79P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 23 38 +18 79.95 7.59 34.86 0.56 5.39 79.26 24.91P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 22 38 +2 72.04 7.76 3.30 0.05 0.61 35.75 5.61P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 24 36 +7 70.30 7.26 13.26 0.01 0.23 28.36 5.82P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 24 36 +0 67.51 7.16 1.64 0.00 0.04 15.72 2.32P 0.09R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 34 -4 64.39 7.51 -6.58 0.00 0.04 8.61 1.07P 0.42R 0.00 Walsall 22 31 +3 66.52 7.92 6.75 0.00 0.07 15.75 2.89P 0.29R 0.00 Hartlepool 24 30 -1 59.44 7.21 -2.72 0.00 0.00 2.37 0.39P 1.94R 0.01 Brentford 24 30 -4 58.09 7.13 -6.46 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.28P 2.89R 0.01 Southend 24 29 -4 56.50 7.00 -8.92 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.12P 4.38R 0.04 Southampton 24 28 +13 66.58 7.28 26.54 0.00 0.02 15.30 4.04P 0.19R 0.00 Yeovil 24 28 -2 57.34 7.30 -3.93 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.21P 3.95R 0.04 Carlisle 22 28 -2 56.92 7.73 -9.16 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.27P 5.34R 0.06 Gillingham 24 26 -5 53.25 7.25 -9.84 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.07P 10.82R 0.26 Exeter 25 26 -11 50.27 6.89 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 20.57R 0.65 Oldham 23 25 -9 51.65 7.22 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 16.73R 0.51 Brighton 24 24 -13 47.32 6.92 -26.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 37.02R 1.72 Leyton_Orient 24 24 -13 47.76 6.90 -24.40 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 34.09R 1.61 Tranmere 23 21 -22 39.70 6.58 -43.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.17R 15.59 Wycombe 26 19 -22 38.11 6.33 -35.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.46R 19.79 Stockport 23 14 -26 32.75 6.65 -50.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.63R 59.69 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Bournemouth vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 24 51 +30 97.13 6.68 57.76 74.43 97.74 99.96 98.48P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 24 46 +4 77.45 7.23 5.95 1.12 20.11 73.87 30.87P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 21 39 +12 84.79 7.88 29.95 8.33 61.32 93.72 71.05P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 38 +5 69.83 7.00 9.54 0.04 3.30 36.35 11.38P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 22 37 +26 87.15 7.29 54.47 14.45 75.38 97.46 84.81P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 23 37 +7 71.38 7.57 10.90 0.20 6.66 45.31 15.89P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 36 +10 76.19 8.03 21.44 1.07 19.05 69.56 32.98P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 -1 68.68 7.74 0.47 0.09 3.25 30.56 8.80P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 23 35 +3 68.27 7.73 4.84 0.08 2.91 29.58 8.65P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 24 34 +5 69.08 7.36 12.89 0.02 3.26 34.54 11.13P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 33 +2 69.61 8.08 7.45 0.15 4.73 36.82 12.11P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 23 30 -1 61.85 7.51 -1.81 0.00 0.39 8.95 2.20P 0.06R 0.00 Bradford 23 30 -4 57.59 7.44 -11.92 0.00 0.11 3.14 0.71P 0.26R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 29 +1 62.01 7.99 1.11 0.01 0.61 10.92 3.24P 0.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 29 +0 63.10 7.89 1.09 0.01 0.73 12.94 3.56P 0.04R 0.00 Northampton 24 29 -2 60.74 7.37 -0.10 0.00 0.19 6.61 1.73P 0.09R 0.00 Barnet 23 28 -5 55.74 7.50 -10.69 0.00 0.06 1.85 0.47P 0.49R 0.00 Macclesfield 22 27 -5 56.36 7.84 -11.20 0.00 0.09 2.70 0.60P 0.64R 0.00 Torquay 23 25 -1 56.14 7.73 -2.39 0.00 0.04 2.50 0.67P 0.64R 0.00 Hereford 22 25 -6 56.11 7.81 -9.23 0.00 0.07 2.49 0.63P 0.71R 0.00 Cheltenham 24 24 -11 49.29 7.10 -19.76 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 3.52R 0.02 Lincoln_City 22 22 -14 43.26 6.90 -30.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.98R 0.20 Grimsby 24 18 -20 34.59 6.02 -43.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.67R 2.44 Darlington 21 8 -35 18.83 5.18 -77.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.83R 97.33Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 January 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 27 57 +28 93.88 6.12 44.53 19.65 98.76 46.86P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 56 +28 101.46 6.82 52.66 75.45 99.79 83.03P 0.00 0.00 York 25 49 +15 87.35 6.80 29.94 3.62 87.78 22.91P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 25 44 +10 73.98 6.99 11.53 0.05 22.33 3.46P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 43 +21 80.45 6.52 37.42 0.47 62.01 17.40P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 25 42 +10 78.71 6.95 22.03 0.30 47.98 10.71P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 40 +9 78.31 7.50 19.56 0.42 45.18 9.31P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 24 39 +10 72.49 7.09 15.35 0.04 17.85 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 38 +6 70.28 6.73 13.70 0.01 9.58 1.74P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 38 -5 61.34 6.35 -8.89 0.00 0.47 0.06P 0.00R 0.00 Histon 24 34 +2 63.58 7.29 1.07 0.00 2.14 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 33 +6 63.17 6.81 10.52 0.00 1.25 0.22P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 23 32 +4 65.70 7.47 7.88 0.00 4.21 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 26 32 -7 56.23 6.69 -12.60 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.11R 0.00 Tamworth 26 31 -3 53.76 6.44 -9.84 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.27R 0.00 Barrow 24 28 -9 52.79 6.99 -17.90 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.79R 0.01 Wrexham 22 27 +0 57.74 7.82 -2.25 0.00 0.50 0.08P 0.15R 0.00 Salisbury 26 24 -8 47.70 6.54 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.00P 3.07R 0.04 Gateshead 25 22 -12 45.97 6.83 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.04R 0.06 Eastbourne_Boro 26 22 -18 39.42 5.88 -33.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.09R 0.85 Ebbsfleet_United 27 21 -25 38.53 5.93 -37.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.70R 1.39 Forest_Green 25 20 -22 38.90 6.39 -38.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.38R 1.56 Grays_Athletic 27 17 -27 29.82 5.25 -51.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.56R 17.45 Chester 25 -3 -13 21.55 6.75 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.83R 78.64 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1