Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 7 January 2010 at 22:18:24 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 January 2010, Stoke vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 45 +29 84.52 5.48 55.92 46.02 77.48 94.23 98.45 99.92 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 43 +27 79.93 5.78 48.85 16.35 43.31 79.65 92.71 99.31 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 19 41 +30 82.97 5.61 64.62 36.18 70.24 91.29 97.29 99.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 +20 71.19 5.97 37.28 0.95 5.42 18.69 51.25 88.38 0.00 0.00 Man_City 19 35 +11 67.46 6.48 22.23 0.28 1.87 7.36 25.09 69.08 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 20 35 +11 66.75 6.16 22.05 0.16 1.09 5.32 19.99 66.49 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 33 +12 64.93 6.10 24.33 0.04 0.57 3.17 13.19 55.92 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 20 32 +2 57.65 6.32 4.01 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.50 13.42 0.00 0.00 Fulham 20 27 +4 54.79 6.24 8.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.53 6.90 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 20 24 -7 44.88 6.21 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.21 3.24R 0.39 Sunderland 20 23 -3 46.02 6.18 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 1.98R 0.22 Everton 19 22 -6 43.50 6.27 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 5.46R 0.76 Blackburn 20 21 -15 38.33 5.72 -28.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.88R 4.29 Burnley 20 20 -18 36.50 5.69 -35.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.01R 8.73 Wolverhampton 20 19 -19 34.77 5.65 -34.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.26R 14.25 Wigan 19 19 -23 37.37 6.15 -39.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 30.12R 8.49 West_Ham 20 18 -9 40.69 5.86 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 10.75R 1.97 Bolton 18 18 -10 37.14 6.24 -31.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 29.70R 7.96 Hull 20 18 -22 32.25 5.49 -41.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.05R 27.76 Portsmouth 20 14 -14 32.35 5.85 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.52R 25.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2009, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 24 51 +25 96.17 6.79 46.98 65.19 90.59 99.93 94.12P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 23 45 +26 90.52 7.17 49.70 27.61 71.99 99.17 81.28P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 24 43 +16 83.02 7.08 30.65 4.85 22.32 93.38 46.59P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 23 37 +15 77.65 7.55 30.13 1.47 8.38 78.21 27.69P 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 22 37 +4 71.06 7.96 6.09 0.23 1.72 43.23 9.25P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 24 37 +2 67.34 7.15 3.44 0.02 0.35 23.63 5.26P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 24 35 +2 66.86 7.32 4.27 0.03 0.30 22.99 4.20P 0.12R 0.01 Blackpool 22 34 +10 73.34 8.06 19.94 0.57 3.74 57.87 16.19P 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 24 34 +1 64.18 7.34 1.41 0.00 0.11 13.92 2.74P 0.26R 0.02 QPR 24 33 +2 64.46 7.38 3.89 0.02 0.16 15.52 2.79P 0.35R 0.03 Middlesbrough 24 32 +5 63.99 7.28 7.71 0.00 0.12 14.19 2.97P 0.28R 0.02 Bristol_City 24 32 +0 61.48 7.39 -0.69 0.00 0.03 7.97 1.59P 0.83R 0.06 Watford 24 32 -4 60.85 7.41 -6.65 0.00 0.03 6.83 0.96P 1.17R 0.11 Doncaster 23 30 +2 62.21 7.70 3.38 0.00 0.09 10.85 2.35P 0.84R 0.05 Barnsley 22 30 -5 59.80 7.81 -10.65 0.00 0.04 6.06 0.90P 2.32R 0.24 Preston 23 29 -3 59.16 7.58 -4.70 0.00 0.03 4.78 0.87P 2.15R 0.23 Coventry 24 28 -9 53.17 7.09 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.11P 9.95R 1.57 Derby 24 26 -11 49.49 7.01 -21.05 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 21.99R 4.50 Ipswich 23 24 -7 51.88 7.57 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.10P 14.70R 2.89 Reading 24 23 -13 46.07 6.99 -25.14 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 39.37R 11.24 Scunthorpe 23 23 -19 45.25 7.12 -35.81 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 46.28R 15.51 Plymouth 23 21 -13 44.69 7.26 -24.35 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 47.17R 16.19 Sheff_Wed 23 19 -14 42.44 7.31 -28.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 59.47R 26.39 Peterborough 24 18 -12 43.32 7.23 -20.64 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 52.68R 20.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Hartlepool vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 23 56 +32 105.87 6.73 60.41 88.61 96.91 99.99 98.10P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 24 48 +24 89.52 6.98 43.47 4.31 35.72 97.91 53.80P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 24 48 +19 88.29 7.07 36.67 3.06 27.97 96.97 45.97P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 45 +18 89.21 7.17 38.20 3.68 32.72 97.50 53.35P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 23 38 +18 79.98 7.57 34.89 0.30 5.61 79.18 25.11P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 22 38 +2 71.93 7.79 3.13 0.04 0.56 35.43 5.76P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 24 36 +7 70.36 7.29 13.27 0.00 0.23 28.78 5.78P 0.04R 0.00 MK_Dons 24 36 +0 67.47 7.16 1.55 0.00 0.08 15.67 2.42P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 34 -4 64.47 7.48 -6.54 0.00 0.03 8.90 1.12P 0.43R 0.00 Walsall 22 31 +3 66.71 7.95 7.09 0.01 0.12 16.10 3.04P 0.32R 0.00 Hartlepool 24 30 -1 59.08 7.23 -3.23 0.00 0.00 2.18 0.30P 2.08R 0.02 Brentford 24 30 -4 58.24 7.08 -6.32 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.29P 2.59R 0.01 Southend 24 29 -4 56.68 6.95 -8.54 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.13P 3.88R 0.05 Southampton 24 28 +13 66.55 7.34 26.53 0.00 0.03 15.53 4.28P 0.19R 0.00 Yeovil 24 28 -2 57.16 7.34 -4.24 0.00 0.00 1.24 0.18P 4.03R 0.06 Carlisle 22 28 -2 56.77 7.65 -9.38 0.00 0.00 1.60 0.26P 5.07R 0.08 Gillingham 24 26 -5 53.14 7.17 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 10.82R 0.22 Exeter 24 26 -9 50.97 7.09 -17.09 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 18.19R 0.44 Oldham 23 25 -9 51.46 7.30 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 17.34R 0.45 Brighton 24 24 -13 47.20 6.97 -26.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.14R 1.71 Leyton_Orient 24 24 -13 47.76 6.95 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 33.61R 1.48 Tranmere 23 21 -22 39.93 6.60 -43.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.83R 14.00 Wycombe 25 18 -22 36.49 6.31 -39.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.95R 26.74 Stockport 23 14 -26 32.96 6.60 -49.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.43R 54.75 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2010, Bournemouth vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 24 51 +30 97.13 6.69 57.78 74.94 97.84 99.97 98.56P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 24 46 +4 77.57 7.26 6.16 1.12 20.71 75.01 31.90P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 21 39 +12 84.61 7.91 29.73 8.13 60.52 93.63 70.40P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 38 +5 69.62 7.02 9.23 0.07 3.19 35.51 11.01P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 22 37 +26 87.07 7.26 54.28 14.18 75.43 97.50 84.90P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 23 37 +7 71.25 7.67 10.73 0.22 6.76 44.39 15.79P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 22 36 +10 76.07 8.07 21.21 1.04 18.78 69.08 32.84P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 36 -1 68.86 7.72 0.74 0.07 3.37 31.63 8.86P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 35 +3 68.41 7.69 5.08 0.04 3.10 30.69 9.05P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 24 34 +5 68.77 7.39 12.36 0.03 3.10 33.61 10.81P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 33 +2 69.36 8.14 7.06 0.13 4.78 35.98 11.83P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 23 30 -1 61.61 7.53 -2.21 0.01 0.41 8.83 2.18P 0.11R 0.00 Bradford 23 30 -4 57.68 7.45 -11.67 0.00 0.13 3.29 0.73P 0.35R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 29 +1 62.20 7.94 1.43 0.01 0.59 11.16 3.39P 0.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 29 +0 63.47 7.93 1.73 0.01 0.89 13.94 3.87P 0.06R 0.00 Northampton 24 29 -2 60.69 7.30 -0.19 0.00 0.15 6.39 1.60P 0.07R 0.00 Barnet 23 28 -5 55.73 7.45 -10.73 0.00 0.04 1.92 0.43P 0.62R 0.00 Macclesfield 22 27 -5 56.28 7.74 -11.25 0.00 0.06 2.49 0.56P 0.61R 0.00 Torquay 23 25 -1 56.22 7.70 -2.29 0.00 0.07 2.53 0.71P 0.61R 0.00 Hereford 22 25 -6 56.06 7.81 -9.33 0.00 0.06 2.30 0.55P 0.78R 0.00 Cheltenham 24 24 -11 49.29 7.07 -19.71 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 3.59R 0.01 Lincoln_City 22 22 -14 43.62 7.02 -29.51 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 15.46R 0.18 Grimsby 24 18 -20 34.76 6.08 -42.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.81R 2.27 Darlington 21 8 -35 18.74 5.09 -77.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.87R 97.54Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 January 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Stevenage 27 57 +28 94.02 6.13 44.80 20.32 98.76 47.32P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 56 +28 101.35 6.81 52.39 74.63 99.81 82.41P 0.00 0.00 York 25 49 +15 87.44 6.77 30.08 3.72 88.29 23.67P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 25 44 +10 73.83 7.01 11.22 0.04 21.68 3.20P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 43 +21 80.40 6.47 37.35 0.52 61.03 16.85P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 25 42 +10 78.90 6.95 22.31 0.32 49.32 10.94P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 40 +9 78.44 7.55 19.74 0.40 46.41 9.35P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 24 39 +10 72.26 7.17 14.99 0.03 17.31 3.08P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 38 +6 70.14 6.80 13.46 0.02 9.23 1.74P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 38 -5 61.21 6.38 -9.07 0.00 0.43 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Histon 24 34 +2 63.43 7.19 0.86 0.00 1.87 0.29P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 33 +6 63.20 6.75 10.59 0.00 1.27 0.22P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 23 32 +4 65.52 7.51 7.65 0.00 3.98 0.78P 0.01R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 26 32 -7 56.32 6.64 -12.40 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.10R 0.00 Tamworth 26 31 -3 54.04 6.52 -9.42 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Barrow 24 28 -9 52.93 7.03 -17.74 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.74R 0.00 Wrexham 22 27 +0 57.81 7.81 -2.15 0.00 0.47 0.09P 0.16R 0.00 Salisbury 26 24 -8 48.01 6.54 -13.55 0.00 0.01 0.00 2.60R 0.04 Gateshead 25 22 -12 45.95 6.83 -20.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.18R 0.07 Eastbourne_Boro 26 22 -18 39.50 5.88 -33.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.56R 0.85 Ebbsfleet_United 27 21 -25 38.41 5.87 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.73R 1.36 Forest_Green 25 20 -22 38.78 6.35 -38.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.89R 1.58 Grays_Athletic 27 17 -27 29.63 5.22 -51.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.13R 18.07 Chester 25 -3 -13 21.64 6.76 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.65R 78.03 Adjustments: Gateshead 0 - 0 Hayes_&_Yeading Salisbury -10 Chester -25 Gateshead -1