Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 16 November 2009 at 22:17:30 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 November 2009, Liverpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 12 30 +21 88.85 7.71 63.11 54.10 82.94 93.57 97.70 99.76 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 25 +22 85.60 8.12 79.53 36.60 71.75 87.70 94.46 99.07 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 12 25 +11 77.46 8.33 39.64 6.19 26.00 57.10 76.51 94.47 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 22 +6 68.12 9.01 25.52 0.81 5.03 16.41 34.49 69.57 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 12 21 +8 65.26 9.13 21.87 0.47 3.25 11.04 23.76 57.99 0.02R 0.00 Man_City 11 20 +7 66.98 9.64 24.26 0.97 5.16 15.68 31.67 64.59 0.03R 0.00 Liverpool 12 19 +9 67.63 8.96 34.15 0.84 5.47 16.19 33.34 69.69 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 12 17 +1 52.80 9.19 -2.13 0.00 0.12 0.62 2.28 12.30 1.44R 0.11 Stoke 12 16 -3 47.07 9.00 -11.23 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.55 4.13 4.89R 0.50 Burnley 12 16 -10 43.38 8.82 -28.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.19 1.65 11.95R 1.86 Fulham 11 15 +0 54.52 9.80 2.96 0.02 0.22 1.28 4.08 17.34 1.16R 0.09 Everton 11 15 -2 44.49 9.04 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.35 2.69 8.90R 1.21 Wigan 12 14 -9 41.81 8.74 -25.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.11 14.87R 2.35 Blackburn 11 13 -11 41.22 9.16 -29.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.17 1.40 18.26R 3.41 Birmingham 12 12 -4 43.96 8.92 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 1.68 9.61R 1.28 Bolton 11 11 -9 39.35 9.12 -33.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.69 24.78R 5.43 Hull 12 11 -15 27.96 7.44 -54.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 75.93R 38.66 West_Ham 12 10 -4 44.24 8.70 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 1.72 9.12R 1.32 Wolverhampton 12 10 -10 32.22 8.02 -38.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 54.39R 17.56 Portsmouth 12 7 -8 29.78 8.16 -30.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 64.62R 26.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 November 2009, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 16 33 +15 94.23 9.11 45.69 45.06 69.94 96.98 78.99P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 16 31 +17 89.81 9.70 47.32 27.28 52.15 91.91 63.82P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 16 27 +14 83.44 9.77 42.12 10.32 25.73 79.65 40.03P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 16 27 +12 82.44 10.09 36.72 8.78 22.70 76.05 37.07P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 16 27 +9 79.05 10.16 26.46 4.43 13.27 64.11 25.37P 0.03R 0.00 Leicester 16 27 +5 74.66 10.14 15.36 1.63 5.95 45.99 15.69P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 16 26 +4 72.02 10.30 11.96 1.13 3.91 35.50 11.15P 0.18R 0.01 Nottm_Forest 16 25 +3 69.12 9.89 8.38 0.35 1.65 24.94 7.06P 0.21R 0.01 Swansea 16 25 +2 68.25 9.50 6.70 0.26 1.23 20.87 5.97P 0.19R 0.01 Middlesbrough 16 24 +5 66.69 10.11 7.57 0.33 1.47 19.36 5.31P 0.59R 0.06 Preston 16 24 +1 64.91 10.01 0.54 0.17 0.85 14.24 3.17P 1.01R 0.09 Watford 16 24 -2 62.44 9.87 -7.44 0.11 0.48 9.19 1.78P 1.87R 0.21 Crystal_Palace 16 22 -1 64.03 10.00 1.54 0.10 0.53 11.97 2.84P 1.17R 0.12 Sheff_Utd 16 18 -3 56.56 9.95 -8.88 0.01 0.07 3.49 0.68P 6.56R 1.19 Barnsley 16 18 -8 48.76 9.48 -27.19 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.07P 23.45R 6.31 Sheff_Wed 16 17 -2 55.03 9.68 -7.76 0.01 0.03 2.16 0.42P 8.02R 1.50 Coventry 16 17 -7 50.77 9.58 -18.80 0.01 0.02 0.79 0.17P 17.10R 4.07 Derby 16 17 -8 47.49 9.25 -26.09 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.05P 27.03R 7.46 Scunthorpe 16 17 -12 48.98 9.75 -30.29 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.08P 24.36R 6.92 Doncaster 16 15 -3 51.16 9.65 -10.03 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.20P 14.91R 3.34 Plymouth 16 15 -11 45.50 9.48 -28.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 35.23R 11.33 Reading 16 14 -10 45.03 9.50 -25.54 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 36.52R 11.99 Ipswich 16 12 -11 40.25 9.34 -35.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 57.13R 27.37 Peterborough 16 11 -9 43.07 9.72 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 44.38R 18.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2009, Southampton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 15 36 +21 104.39 8.78 61.89 75.55 90.17 99.76 93.69P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 16 32 +13 89.21 9.49 40.66 8.66 35.22 91.31 49.98P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 16 29 +13 88.20 9.22 43.99 6.86 30.70 90.74 48.84P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 16 29 +1 73.40 9.86 6.31 0.25 2.30 38.42 8.03P 0.16R 0.00 Norwich 16 28 +10 76.83 9.94 22.61 0.69 5.31 54.26 14.49P 0.05R 0.00 Huddersfield 16 27 +19 87.09 9.20 52.28 6.86 28.11 88.77 48.10P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 16 25 +10 77.78 9.82 27.91 0.98 6.30 59.34 21.85P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 25 -2 64.89 9.91 -5.80 0.05 0.45 12.93 2.01P 1.51R 0.02 Hartlepool 16 23 +2 61.36 9.79 -1.99 0.02 0.16 7.19 1.51P 3.08R 0.03 Walsall 16 23 +1 65.83 9.87 3.77 0.03 0.40 15.24 3.04P 1.16R 0.00 Swindon 15 22 -1 63.36 10.39 -3.38 0.04 0.45 11.14 2.27P 2.95R 0.03 Yeovil 16 21 -1 60.22 9.95 -3.89 0.00 0.10 6.20 1.13P 4.22R 0.09 Southend 16 20 +1 61.24 9.81 0.87 0.02 0.17 7.47 1.54P 3.16R 0.05 Oldham 16 20 -3 56.17 9.55 -8.70 0.00 0.01 2.37 0.43P 8.50R 0.20 Gillingham 16 18 -3 58.36 9.90 -4.95 0.00 0.05 4.21 0.71P 6.74R 0.10 Brentford 16 18 -5 53.35 9.56 -14.04 0.00 0.01 1.35 0.22P 14.41R 0.57 Exeter 16 18 -6 54.13 9.86 -14.19 0.00 0.01 1.77 0.29P 14.08R 0.38 Carlisle 16 17 -4 51.76 9.66 -15.78 0.00 0.01 1.05 0.22P 18.95R 0.82 Brighton 16 17 -7 48.01 9.33 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.05P 32.93R 1.55 Leyton_Orient 16 16 -12 46.88 9.31 -31.13 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 37.67R 2.74 Stockport 16 14 -13 40.04 8.81 -38.77 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 67.56R 9.70 Southampton 16 12 +5 59.91 9.75 16.47 0.01 0.07 5.83 1.59P 4.21R 0.12 Tranmere 16 10 -23 28.89 7.76 -66.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.69R 60.04 Wycombe 16 8 -16 34.82 8.88 -41.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.90R 23.57 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 16 32 +12 85.83 9.87 32.86 20.55 53.81 87.45 62.48P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 16 32 +7 79.63 10.14 16.89 7.88 28.79 69.55 38.42P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 16 29 +13 82.67 9.97 33.69 13.73 42.17 80.73 52.87P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 16 29 +8 80.79 9.84 24.22 8.72 33.00 74.99 44.39P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 16 29 +4 79.00 10.13 17.94 6.42 26.61 67.68 35.26P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 16 27 +19 89.71 9.12 57.34 36.30 72.18 94.95 80.20P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 16 26 +6 73.86 9.90 16.81 2.17 13.14 49.02 21.68P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 16 25 +6 74.22 10.24 18.17 2.52 14.20 51.06 24.67P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 16 25 -1 62.88 10.20 -7.25 0.21 1.99 14.00 4.30P 0.25R 0.01 Aldershot 16 23 +6 66.42 10.19 9.04 0.54 4.17 23.43 8.86P 0.10R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 22 +0 63.57 10.02 0.48 0.19 1.96 14.83 4.75P 0.24R 0.02 Bradford 16 22 -1 65.31 10.17 2.07 0.38 3.05 19.21 6.38P 0.22R 0.02 Port_Vale 16 20 +1 62.77 10.12 3.87 0.14 1.56 13.57 4.70P 0.33R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 16 20 -2 57.65 10.10 -9.02 0.05 0.51 5.90 1.66P 1.24R 0.12 Northampton 16 19 -2 61.20 10.15 -1.01 0.06 1.07 10.76 3.17P 0.66R 0.06 Hereford 16 19 -3 56.14 9.92 -9.26 0.03 0.34 4.08 1.19P 1.59R 0.16 Macclesfield 16 19 -6 54.28 9.74 -16.06 0.01 0.15 2.65 0.67P 2.82R 0.33 Crewe 16 18 -1 57.73 9.92 -4.81 0.04 0.51 6.00 1.64P 1.11R 0.09 Morecambe 16 18 -6 59.33 9.95 -7.21 0.05 0.62 7.23 1.93P 1.08R 0.16 Lincoln_City 16 17 -10 44.77 9.02 -28.50 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.05P 15.27R 2.33 Cheltenham 16 16 -11 44.85 9.26 -34.12 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.05P 15.75R 2.48 Torquay 16 15 -5 53.50 10.09 -9.12 0.01 0.14 2.48 0.70P 3.42R 0.55 Grimsby 16 12 -16 34.89 8.45 -49.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.56R 17.90 Darlington 16 8 -18 25.11 7.25 -57.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.33R 75.73Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2009, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 19 43 +23 100.95 7.84 57.79 67.03 99.14 77.84P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 19 38 +18 90.74 8.45 42.60 14.18 88.66 37.57P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 19 38 +14 90.96 8.40 39.52 13.70 89.28 36.26P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 19 36 +11 80.75 8.89 23.35 1.77 52.11 10.83P 0.00 0.00 Luton 19 35 +7 81.44 8.67 21.52 1.90 54.30 12.72P 0.00 0.00 York 20 34 +8 77.25 8.42 20.00 0.49 35.65 7.61P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 19 32 +9 72.01 8.49 13.48 0.19 16.30 3.16P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 19 30 +6 71.43 8.59 13.20 0.15 14.95 2.96P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 19 27 +11 69.08 8.78 19.20 0.10 10.92 2.55P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 18 27 +10 75.45 8.95 27.62 0.48 30.81 7.12P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 19 25 +1 62.57 8.62 2.64 0.00 2.25 0.47P 0.04R 0.00 Histon 19 25 +0 61.98 8.68 -0.82 0.00 2.28 0.30P 0.06R 0.00 Tamworth 19 25 +0 60.77 8.48 -2.95 0.00 1.48 0.26P 0.08R 0.00 Crawley_Town 19 25 -8 55.92 8.45 -16.83 0.00 0.29 0.04P 0.46R 0.00 Wrexham 18 22 +0 58.37 9.14 -2.07 0.00 1.12 0.23P 0.38R 0.00 Barrow 19 22 -9 52.81 8.52 -19.92 0.00 0.11 0.02P 1.41R 0.04 Salisbury 19 20 +0 54.04 8.58 -4.67 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.86R 0.01 Hayes_&_Yeading 18 17 -7 50.79 8.96 -15.99 0.00 0.11 0.01P 2.98R 0.11 Eastbourne_Boro 19 17 -13 40.54 7.64 -33.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.44R 1.38 Gateshead 18 15 -11 48.07 8.90 -21.79 0.00 0.05 0.01P 5.62R 0.32 Forest_Green 19 13 -22 33.78 7.44 -52.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.28R 10.37 Grays_Athletic 19 12 -19 35.30 7.54 -45.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.25R 7.94 Ebbsfleet_United 19 9 -23 26.23 6.61 -51.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.46R 45.57 Chester 20 -4 -6 27.70 8.03 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.70R 34.25 Adjustments: Salisbury -10 Chester -25