Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 October 2009 at 22:17:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2009, Bolton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   24  +16      84.56     9.08    56.10    37.42    59.55    75.13    86.19    97.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   22  +10      80.35     9.13    47.21    18.84    39.97    59.91    75.13    93.13     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   19  +16      80.49     9.93    68.26    24.21    44.70    60.87    73.92    91.24     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   19   +7      69.10    10.20    29.40     2.62     8.65    18.04    30.82    61.97     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18  +11      76.19     9.34    50.21     9.59    25.31    42.78    60.13    86.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   18   +7      71.00    10.76    31.16     4.75    13.10    24.52    38.31    67.96     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      9   17   +5      66.49    11.33    20.72     2.28     7.22    14.27    24.13    51.65     0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland      10   16   +3      57.65    10.29     5.02     0.19     0.86     2.40     5.64    20.70     0.40R    0.02  
Stoke           10   15   -2      53.46    10.36    -1.95     0.04     0.32     1.00     2.50    11.03     1.15R    0.05  
Wigan           10   13   -5      47.51     9.92   -14.24     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.64     3.91     3.46R    0.27  
Burnley         10   12  -12      38.90     9.42   -37.56     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.42    20.27R    3.73  
Bolton           9   11   -1      47.19    10.65   -13.21     0.02     0.09     0.28     0.83     4.57     5.68R    0.54  
Fulham           9   11   -2      47.06    11.00   -10.17     0.03     0.12     0.41     1.15     5.28     5.53R    0.57  
Everton          9   11   -3      38.38     9.70   -33.21     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.65    21.36R    3.66  
Birmingham      10   10   -4      42.48     9.87   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.14     1.16    10.54R    1.23  
Blackburn        9   10  -11      37.92     9.55   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.40    22.72R    4.18  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -7      31.11     8.83   -40.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    50.00R   13.39  
Hull            10    8  -14      27.30     8.23   -55.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.18R   26.61  
West_Ham         9    6   -4      43.24    10.57   -11.38     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.30     2.06    10.56R    1.68  
Portsmouth      10    4  -10      23.66     8.00   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.03R   44.07  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 October 2009, Reading vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        14   27  +12      91.61    10.07    44.65    34.18    57.14    92.50    68.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          14   26  +15      88.55    10.12    49.07    23.66    45.26    88.20    57.08P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        14   25  +11      81.23    10.66    31.59     8.69    20.25    68.26    32.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +7      73.86    10.79    16.75     2.54     6.95    40.85    14.32P    0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        14   24   +5      72.54    10.64    12.84     1.74     5.04    35.37    12.65P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City     14   24   +4      75.02    10.85    15.48     2.30     7.02    44.71    15.96P    0.07R    0.00  
QPR              13   23  +12      86.79    11.04    44.38    20.24    38.99    82.99    51.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        14   23   +6      77.69    10.96    23.03     4.31    11.38    55.49    22.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston          14   23   +3      70.06    10.95     8.33     1.23     3.69    27.87     8.25P    0.23R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     14   23   +3      67.56    10.65     5.25     0.52     1.85    20.24     5.78P    0.42R    0.02  
Watford          14   21   +1      62.91    11.00    -3.56     0.23     0.86    11.48     2.66P    1.88R    0.17  
Swansea          14   19   -1      59.25    10.32    -2.78     0.05     0.25     5.15     1.52P    2.78R    0.25  
Sheff_Utd        14   17   -2      57.82    10.84    -9.33     0.06     0.26     4.91     0.99P    5.36R    0.75  
Crystal_Palace   13   17   -2      58.85    11.25    -6.04     0.12     0.46     6.45     1.62P    4.38R    0.50  
Coventry         14   17   -4      57.72    10.71    -8.74     0.06     0.26     4.52     1.02P    4.98R    0.61  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -7      54.84    10.61   -18.81     0.01     0.07     2.58     0.39P    8.90R    1.52  
Sheff_Wed        14   16   -1      57.26    10.62    -5.74     0.06     0.20     4.57     1.11P    5.22R    0.70  
Doncaster        14   14   -2      53.50    10.64    -7.29     0.00     0.06     2.21     0.57P    9.71R    1.51  
Derby            14   14   -8      48.51    10.39   -24.84     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.10P   21.98R    4.99  
Barnsley         14   14   -9      45.52    10.30   -32.33     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.04P   32.39R    7.88  
Peterborough     14   11   -6      46.85    10.80   -20.58     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P   27.35R    6.96  
Reading          14   10  -12      40.61    10.18   -32.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   50.23R   18.63  
Plymouth         14    9  -13      38.11     9.78   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    60.33R   25.82  
Ipswich          14    8  -12      37.23    10.01   -40.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   63.49R   29.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     14   33  +17     100.29     9.53    53.30    52.79    77.33    98.83    84.48P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         14   29  +11      90.30    10.17    39.67    13.98    36.08    90.48    51.01P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       14   28  +14      94.57     9.66    52.90    25.85    57.24    96.09    69.91P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          14   26   +4      76.34    10.71    14.49     1.10     4.74    49.68    14.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          14   22   +6      74.82    10.78    22.07     0.76     3.75    45.45    11.17P    0.23R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   14   22   -2      65.73    10.74    -3.16     0.13     0.75    15.74     2.75P    1.51R    0.03  
Huddersfield     14   21  +12      81.76    10.43    41.92     4.01    13.19    71.59    28.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         14   21   +9      75.81    10.35    25.61     1.08     4.72    48.82    18.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           14   20   -1      60.14    10.57    -5.53     0.03     0.15     6.71     1.30P    4.26R    0.17  
Hartlepool       14   19   +1      61.20    10.66    -0.66     0.01     0.17     8.41     1.88P    3.61R    0.10  
Swindon          14   19   -4      60.06    10.78    -8.43     0.01     0.14     6.67     1.18P    5.10R    0.21  
Yeovil           14   18   +2      60.74    10.85     0.42     0.04     0.27     8.20     1.73P    3.79R    0.13  
Southend         14   17   +1      60.95    10.68     0.53     0.02     0.23     8.33     1.75P    3.72R    0.18  
Walsall          14   17   -2      59.79    10.79    -3.16     0.02     0.11     6.81     1.29P    5.05R    0.18  
Brentford        14   17   -2      56.82    10.48    -7.21     0.01     0.07     3.64     0.73P    7.75R    0.52  
Gillingham       14   15   -3      58.95    10.98    -3.65     0.01     0.08     6.28     1.01P    6.42R    0.24  
Leyton_Orient    14   15  -11      47.66    10.12   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P   30.89R    3.83  
Carlisle         14   14   -5      46.41    10.13   -24.48     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   34.16R    4.09  
Exeter           14   14   -9      45.57    10.05   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   38.30R    4.66  
Stockport        14   14   -9      43.72     9.89   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   45.76R    6.78  
Brighton         14   13   -9      41.39     9.61   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   55.41R    9.78  
Southampton      14   11   +7      69.45    10.19    32.92     0.14     0.98    26.73     8.23P    0.63R    0.02  
Tranmere         14   10  -18      30.41     8.60   -65.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    90.59R   54.71  
Wycombe          14    8   -9      39.13     9.72   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   62.64R   14.35  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          14   31  +11      87.74    10.93    30.41    20.16    54.44    86.52    63.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            14   28  +11      84.97    10.76    33.56    13.00    45.39    81.30    54.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             14   26  +10      79.01    10.84    24.85     5.47    24.79    64.36    35.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         14   25  +19      94.54     9.42    65.37    46.93    81.66    97.22    87.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   25   +7      79.54    10.56    23.83     4.87    25.30    66.32    36.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               14   24   +7      77.74    10.90    22.35     3.94    20.95    59.57    31.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +6      73.77    10.60    15.58     1.85    11.92    45.03    19.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         14   23   +2      72.24    10.83    10.03     1.10     8.99    39.15    15.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 14   23   -1      61.23    11.00   -11.70     0.13     1.52    10.88     3.22P    0.45R    0.02  
Aldershot            14   21   +6      66.32    11.28     7.08     0.55     4.46    23.03     8.83P    0.16R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   21   +1      70.32    11.01     9.63     0.82     6.95    33.04    12.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             14   20   -1      66.97    10.75     4.03     0.35     3.69    22.66     7.67P    0.18R    0.01  
Port_Vale            14   19   +2      63.97    10.84     4.31     0.20     2.35    15.99     5.95P    0.26R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -1      61.02    11.03    -5.73     0.11     1.45    10.64     3.43P    0.76R    0.03  
Northampton          14   18   -1      68.70    10.77    10.66     0.45     5.06    28.20     9.98P    0.11R    0.00  
Macclesfield         14   17   -6      54.55    10.60   -17.46     0.01     0.29     3.28     0.91P    2.73R    0.18  
Lincoln_City         14   16   -8      48.18    10.02   -22.85     0.00     0.03     0.71     0.18P    7.68R    0.55  
Crewe                14   15   -4      54.64    10.81   -13.22     0.01     0.29     3.90     0.98P    2.35R    0.14  
Hereford             14   15   -4      54.58    10.37   -11.43     0.01     0.19     3.19     0.80P    1.92R    0.11  
Cheltenham           14   15   -7      49.91    10.33   -24.34     0.01     0.08     1.36     0.34P    5.68R    0.44  
Morecambe            14   12   -9      52.94    10.59   -15.97     0.01     0.15     2.29     0.61P    4.02R    0.45  
Torquay              14   11   -6      49.58    10.68   -15.22     0.01     0.05     1.33     0.35P    6.14R    0.76  
Grimsby              14   10  -16      32.18     8.84   -58.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.79R   15.54  
Darlington           14    5  -18      20.79     7.23   -64.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   81.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     104.91     8.09    67.98    77.27    99.44    84.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.24     8.97    39.70     7.17    80.41    30.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      90.84     9.34    38.93     9.46    83.87    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.94     9.48    20.47     0.73    38.98     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.40     9.18    28.81     3.09    66.58    16.73P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.02     9.14    27.35     0.73    43.91    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.66     9.14    10.80     0.06     9.51     1.78P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.45     9.24    37.18     1.36    51.29    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.95     9.28     3.72     0.02     4.42     0.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.67     9.37    19.14     0.07     9.22     1.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.76     9.28     4.28     0.01     3.84     0.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.72     9.22    -3.89     0.00     2.14     0.31P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.73     9.18     0.57     0.00     2.42     0.44P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.75     9.01   -17.67     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.80R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.45     9.01   -20.79     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.70R    0.03  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      61.69    10.21     3.63     0.01     3.00     0.70P    0.27R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.05     9.25    -1.46     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.74R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.60     8.29   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55R    0.60  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.31     9.24   -27.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.07R    0.66  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.64     8.85   -33.87     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.05R    1.67  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.84     8.84   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.20R    2.08  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.32     7.92   -54.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.40R    8.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.01     7.15   -52.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.22R   22.61  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.77     8.89   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R   64.31  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25