Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 October 2009 at 22:17:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2009, Bolton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   24  +16      84.35     9.15    55.94    36.51    58.25    73.81    84.95    96.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   22  +10      80.28     9.10    47.09    18.43    39.35    58.87    74.58    93.13     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   19  +16      80.33     9.86    67.69    23.86    43.55    59.70    73.29    90.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   19   +7      69.05    10.32    29.48     2.75     8.69    17.94    30.28    61.49     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18  +11      76.96     9.36    52.35    10.64    27.81    45.70    63.03    87.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   18   +7      71.32    10.81    31.66     5.35    14.11    25.61    39.21    68.47     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      9   17   +5      66.66    11.17    20.93     2.20     6.94    14.03    23.92    51.99     0.07R    0.01  
Sunderland      10   16   +3      57.62    10.40     5.09     0.17     0.80     2.47     5.51    20.55     0.45R    0.03  
Stoke           10   15   -2      53.07    10.38    -2.56     0.03     0.21     0.76     2.08    10.04     1.34R    0.10  
Wigan           10   13   -5      47.42     9.98   -14.52     0.01     0.04     0.18     0.61     3.91     3.69R    0.35  
Burnley         10   12  -12      38.84     9.22   -37.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.33    19.30R    3.54  
Bolton           9   11   -1      47.57    10.72   -12.49     0.02     0.09     0.34     0.92     4.69     5.47R    0.56  
Fulham           9   11   -2      47.33    10.99    -9.84     0.02     0.12     0.38     0.99     5.03     5.29R    0.48  
Everton          9   11   -3      37.88     9.71   -34.65     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.74    22.39R    3.72  
Birmingham      10   10   -4      42.40    10.05   -12.41     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.37    10.87R    1.20  
Blackburn        9   10  -11      37.88     9.68   -38.39     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.48    22.97R    4.33  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -7      31.18     8.59   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    48.94R   12.18  
Hull            10    8  -14      27.42     8.25   -55.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    66.79R   25.34  
West_Ham         9    6   -4      43.53    10.59   -10.76     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.24     2.10    10.20R    1.62  
Portsmouth      10    4  -10      23.12     7.83   -40.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    82.19R   46.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 October 2009, Reading vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        14   27  +12      91.89    10.18    45.12    35.28    57.61    92.61    69.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          14   26  +15      88.79    10.25    49.61    23.93    46.03    88.14    57.75P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        14   25  +11      81.05    10.89    31.33     8.32    20.03    67.63    32.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +7      73.68    10.77    16.44     2.51     6.78    40.07    14.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        14   24   +5      72.39    10.82    12.68     1.60     4.84    35.39    12.51P    0.14R    0.01  
Bristol_City     14   24   +4      74.87    10.84    15.37     2.32     6.90    43.86    15.52P    0.09R    0.01  
QPR              13   23  +12      86.55    11.17    43.89    19.12    37.42    82.24    50.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        14   23   +6      77.94    11.06    23.43     4.54    12.24    56.48    23.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          14   23   +3      69.95    11.15     8.14     1.24     3.67    27.81     8.07P    0.37R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     14   23   +3      67.98    10.62     5.79     0.50     1.90    21.30     6.27P    0.34R    0.02  
Watford          14   21   +1      63.07    10.93    -3.18     0.28     0.94    11.63     2.74P    1.64R    0.18  
Swansea          14   19   -1      58.73    10.60    -3.34     0.09     0.30     5.16     1.54P    3.28R    0.28  
Sheff_Utd        14   17   -2      58.08    10.91    -8.94     0.08     0.32     5.44     1.22P    5.22R    0.73  
Crystal_Palace   13   17   -2      58.95    11.47    -5.88     0.09     0.41     6.93     1.71P    4.71R    0.59  
Coventry         14   17   -4      57.48    10.83    -9.11     0.06     0.26     4.39     1.00P    5.68R    0.76  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -7      54.92    10.72   -18.80     0.01     0.08     2.79     0.42P    8.94R    1.42  
Sheff_Wed        14   16   -1      57.22    10.57    -5.89     0.03     0.19     4.30     0.95P    5.11R    0.62  
Doncaster        14   14   -2      53.81    10.49    -6.95     0.00     0.04     2.05     0.50P    9.18R    1.37  
Derby            14   14   -8      48.24    10.35   -25.33     0.01     0.02     0.68     0.14P   22.58R    4.87  
Barnsley         14   14   -9      45.53    10.31   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   32.03R    8.07  
Peterborough     14   11   -6      46.93    10.73   -20.55     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P   26.59R    6.73  
Reading          14   10  -12      40.72    10.17   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   49.37R   18.29  
Plymouth         14    9  -13      37.91     9.93   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   61.30R   26.75  
Ipswich          14    8  -12      37.30     9.95   -40.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   63.24R   29.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Brentford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     13   30  +13      94.31    10.69    41.76    34.37    58.11    93.86    68.72P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         14   29  +11      89.83    10.28    38.83    18.25    39.91    88.98    53.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       14   28  +14      94.42     9.61    52.44    34.58    61.51    95.81    72.38P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          14   26   +4      76.28    10.63    14.40     1.87     6.39    47.76    15.33P    0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          14   22   +6      74.99    10.73    22.36     1.37     5.08    44.57    12.36P    0.16R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   13   22   +2      70.46    11.31     7.34     1.05     3.11    28.86     7.34P    0.68R    0.02  
Huddersfield     14   21  +12      82.00    10.40    42.42     6.07    16.47    71.32    31.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         14   21   +9      75.60    10.40    25.38     1.78     6.00    47.36    18.41P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           14   20   -1      60.77    10.66    -4.53     0.06     0.36     7.33     1.68P    3.81R    0.15  
Hartlepool       14   19   +1      61.71    10.52     0.06     0.04     0.28     8.32     1.90P    3.09R    0.09  
Swindon          14   19   -4      60.08    10.84    -8.33     0.08     0.28     6.65     1.39P    5.08R    0.26  
Yeovil           14   18   +2      60.90    10.85     0.81     0.05     0.34     8.17     1.82P    3.90R    0.14  
Southend         14   17   +1      61.25    10.65     1.10     0.05     0.31     8.02     1.73P    3.47R    0.13  
Walsall          14   17   -2      59.02    10.75    -4.39     0.01     0.12     5.76     1.17P    5.83R    0.26  
Brentford        14   17   -2      57.35    10.47    -6.41     0.02     0.11     3.89     0.87P    7.05R    0.42  
Gillingham       14   15   -3      58.06    10.86    -5.38     0.01     0.07     4.96     0.84P    7.41R    0.32  
Leyton_Orient    14   15  -11      47.85    10.16   -31.22     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.06P   30.41R    3.58  
Carlisle         14   14   -5      46.08    10.05   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   35.82R    4.19  
Exeter           14   14   -9      45.19    10.03   -30.20     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   39.88R    5.00  
Stockport        14   14   -9      44.17     9.81   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   44.46R    5.89  
Brighton         14   13   -9      41.63     9.56   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   55.27R    9.57  
Southampton      14   11   +7      69.59    10.51    33.44     0.33     1.53    26.99     9.21P    0.74R    0.02  
Tranmere         14   10  -18      30.42     8.54   -65.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.67R   55.17  
Wycombe          14    8   -9      39.26     9.92   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   62.13R   14.79  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          14   31  +11      87.92    10.74    30.59    20.89    55.57    87.32    64.77P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            14   28  +11      84.77    10.80    33.09    12.74    44.69    81.06    53.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             14   26  +10      79.20    10.96    25.12     6.12    25.84    64.82    36.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         14   25  +19      94.17     9.45    64.62    45.64    80.58    96.94    86.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   25   +7      79.39    10.68    23.62     4.77    25.06    65.85    35.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               14   24   +7      77.90    10.94    22.52     3.85    21.27    60.68    32.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +6      73.84    10.72    15.75     2.03    12.34    45.33    20.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         14   23   +2      72.32    10.84    10.17     1.20     9.12    39.76    15.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury                 14   23   -1      61.36    10.80   -11.46     0.15     1.52    10.80     3.24P    0.43R    0.02  
Aldershot            14   21   +6      66.15    11.12     6.75     0.54     4.10    22.11     8.18P    0.15R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   21   +1      69.96    11.03     9.14     0.81     6.55    32.18    12.20P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             14   20   -1      66.46    10.87     3.18     0.36     3.54    21.55     7.31P    0.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   19   +2      64.01    10.80     4.31     0.16     2.25    16.11     5.97P    0.23R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -1      61.56    11.10    -4.72     0.15     1.66    11.87     3.70P    0.73R    0.03  
Northampton          14   18   -1      68.48    10.91    10.27     0.52     4.90    27.95     9.84P    0.18R    0.01  
Macclesfield         14   17   -6      54.20    10.66   -17.98     0.02     0.23     3.27     0.82P    2.97R    0.20  
Lincoln_City         14   16   -8      48.08    10.00   -22.98     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.21P    8.20R    0.69  
Crewe                14   15   -4      54.90    10.70   -12.75     0.02     0.31     3.80     0.97P    2.41R    0.18  
Hereford             14   15   -4      54.36    10.52   -11.71     0.02     0.23     3.22     0.88P    2.45R    0.21  
Cheltenham           14   15   -7      49.88    10.32   -24.42     0.00     0.06     1.29     0.29P    5.89R    0.58  
Morecambe            14   12   -9      53.06    10.46   -15.64     0.01     0.12     2.18     0.54P    3.91R    0.44  
Torquay              14   11   -6      49.54    10.56   -15.34     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.28P    6.30R    0.88  
Grimsby              14   10  -16      32.54     8.87   -58.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.85R   16.11  
Darlington           14    5  -18      21.35     7.42   -63.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.96R   80.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.17     7.97    68.33    78.08    99.53    85.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.39     8.90    39.92     6.81    81.02    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      90.96     9.22    38.94     9.38    84.66    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      79.11     9.44    20.86     0.86    39.15     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.15     9.24    28.46     2.70    65.20    16.06P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.48     9.05    28.19     0.73    45.25    11.19P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.76     9.14    10.95     0.05     9.72     1.85P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.28     9.25    36.94     1.30    50.95    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.85     9.16     3.71     0.02     4.13     0.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      69.09     9.37    19.89     0.05    10.04     2.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.49     9.14     3.87     0.00     3.30     0.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.55     9.15    -4.27     0.00     1.81     0.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.66     8.96     0.43     0.01     2.20     0.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.41     8.98   -18.14     0.00     0.25     0.02P    0.80R    0.02  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.42     9.01   -20.81     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.66R    0.03  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      60.97     9.91     2.65     0.00     2.17     0.52P    0.23R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.47     9.20    -0.76     0.00     0.48     0.08P    0.62R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.40     8.42   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.46R    0.74  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.44     9.13   -26.94     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.69R    0.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.69     8.84   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.02R    1.78  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.68     8.84   -36.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.34R    1.95  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.15     7.94   -55.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.59R    8.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.42     7.23   -52.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.44R   21.59  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.71     8.82   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.94R   64.86  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25