Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 October 2009 at 22:17:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2009, Bolton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   24  +16      84.33     9.14    55.91    36.67    58.74    74.41    85.70    96.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   22  +10      80.18     9.19    46.92    18.61    39.80    59.11    74.88    93.18     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   19  +16      80.43    10.08    68.16    24.58    45.34    61.28    73.90    90.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   19   +7      68.81    10.33    28.98     2.74     8.53    17.58    30.05    61.42     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18  +11      76.41     9.34    50.85     9.96    25.95    44.07    61.72    87.33     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         9   18   +7      70.79    10.82    30.60     4.74    13.05    24.64    37.97    67.68     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      9   17   +5      66.57    11.25    20.79     2.45     7.29    14.65    24.64    52.12     0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland      10   16   +3      57.44    10.39     4.78     0.15     0.77     2.42     5.80    20.49     0.43R    0.02  
Stoke           10   15   -2      53.26    10.36    -2.21     0.06     0.29     0.93     2.34    10.50     1.25R    0.07  
Wigan           10   13   -5      47.85     9.95   -13.46     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.56     4.29     3.34R    0.25  
Burnley         10   12  -12      38.71     9.28   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.47    20.27R    3.52  
Bolton           9   11   -1      47.25    10.60   -13.07     0.01     0.08     0.25     0.78     4.49     5.90R    0.51  
Fulham           9   11   -2      47.38    10.91    -9.64     0.01     0.07     0.32     0.99     5.13     5.22R    0.49  
Everton          9   11   -3      38.27     9.72   -33.37     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.72    21.47R    3.41  
Birmingham      10   10   -4      42.87    10.01   -11.62     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.21     1.58    10.20R    1.07  
Blackburn        9   10  -11      37.66     9.66   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.52    24.01R    4.84  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -7      31.30     8.94   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    49.06R   13.05  
Hull            10    8  -14      27.79     8.22   -54.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.96R   23.89  
West_Ham         9    6   -4      43.64    10.52   -10.56     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.25     2.10    10.33R    1.83  
Portsmouth      10    4  -10      23.11     7.72   -40.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47R   47.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        14   27  +12      91.92    10.20    45.01    34.82    57.28    92.68    69.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          14   26  +15      88.93    10.16    49.72    24.40    46.13    88.62    58.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        14   25  +11      81.48    10.94    32.02     9.21    21.01    68.98    33.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +7      74.06    10.92    16.95     2.51     7.13    42.27    14.77P    0.11R    0.01  
Bristol_City     14   24   +4      74.98    11.06    15.43     2.42     7.08    45.13    15.94P    0.09R    0.01  
QPR              13   23  +12      86.82    11.00    44.54    19.25    38.23    83.12    50.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        14   23   +6      77.87    11.08    23.37     4.13    11.85    56.28    23.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          14   23   +3      69.60    11.02     7.48     1.02     3.32    27.15     7.73P    0.35R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     14   23   +3      67.63    10.71     5.28     0.47     1.80    20.75     5.99P    0.41R    0.02  
Leicester        13   21   +4      70.64    11.29    11.49     1.27     4.07    30.97    10.98P    0.32R    0.02  
Watford          14   21   +1      63.16    10.87    -3.13     0.23     0.82    11.95     2.55P    1.79R    0.16  
Swansea          14   19   -1      59.19    10.28    -2.79     0.05     0.21     5.28     1.46P    2.77R    0.23  
Sheff_Utd        14   17   -2      58.13    10.73    -8.73     0.05     0.24     5.11     0.97P    5.15R    0.72  
Crystal_Palace   13   17   -2      59.05    11.54    -5.79     0.06     0.34     7.11     1.80P    5.07R    0.64  
Coventry         14   17   -4      57.15    10.66    -9.71     0.05     0.18     3.94     0.89P    5.86R    0.80  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -7      55.04    10.63   -18.50     0.01     0.06     2.71     0.40P    9.06R    1.48  
Sheff_Wed        14   16   -1      56.85    10.51    -6.60     0.02     0.15     4.07     0.85P    5.74R    0.79  
Doncaster        14   14   -2      53.40    10.49    -7.53     0.02     0.06     2.07     0.53P    9.93R    1.53  
Derby            14   14   -8      48.41    10.35   -24.89     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.10P   22.62R    5.04  
Barnsley         14   14   -9      45.06    10.11   -33.21     0.01     0.01     0.32     0.05P   34.18R    8.88  
Peterborough     14   11   -6      46.70    10.69   -20.79     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.11P   27.82R    7.13  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.50    10.70   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   43.68R   15.64  
Plymouth         14    9  -13      38.11     9.81   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.13R   25.89  
Ipswich          14    8  -12      37.20    10.17   -40.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.85R   31.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Brentford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     13   30  +13      94.65    10.57    42.23    35.93    59.97    94.39    70.06P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         14   29  +11      89.31    10.38    38.07    17.09    38.23    87.95    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       14   28  +14      94.30     9.70    52.41    34.00    60.85    95.38    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          14   26   +4      75.87    10.67    13.80     1.74     5.66    46.00    14.30P    0.11R    0.00  
Norwich          14   22   +6      74.86    10.73    22.23     1.33     4.87    43.83    12.12P    0.16R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   13   22   +2      70.85    11.25     8.02     1.08     3.46    29.79     7.79P    0.63R    0.02  
Huddersfield     14   21  +12      82.38    10.38    43.00     6.28    17.32    72.78    32.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         14   21   +9      75.93    10.50    25.78     1.88     6.32    48.65    19.31P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           14   20   -1      60.45    10.77    -5.06     0.08     0.32     7.23     1.68P    3.99R    0.18  
Hartlepool       14   19   +1      61.50    10.74    -0.27     0.04     0.28     8.32     2.04P    3.58R    0.10  
Swindon          14   19   -4      60.24    10.69    -8.09     0.07     0.24     6.45     1.30P    5.05R    0.23  
Yeovil           14   18   +2      60.93    10.65     0.80     0.07     0.32     7.80     1.75P    3.54R    0.14  
Southend         14   17   +1      61.46    10.73     1.39     0.08     0.36     8.50     1.98P    3.49R    0.17  
Walsall          14   17   -2      59.26    10.49    -4.00     0.02     0.13     5.67     1.07P    4.97R    0.18  
Brentford        14   17   -2      57.13    10.43    -6.74     0.01     0.08     3.62     0.71P    7.38R    0.46  
Gillingham       14   15   -3      57.96    10.93    -5.50     0.01     0.10     5.10     0.89P    7.74R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    14   15  -11      47.87    10.12   -31.22     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.05P   30.40R    3.77  
Carlisle         14   14   -5      46.32     9.94   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   34.72R    3.75  
Exeter           14   14   -9      45.33     9.92   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   39.24R    4.67  
Stockport        14   14   -9      43.83     9.67   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   45.59R    6.15  
Brighton         14   13   -9      41.48     9.59   -37.49     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   55.55R    9.02  
Southampton      14   11   +7      69.78    10.39    33.74     0.31     1.48    27.16     9.47P    0.67R    0.02  
Tranmere         14   10  -18      30.29     8.59   -66.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.88R   56.13  
Wycombe          14    8   -9      39.26     9.89   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   62.20R   14.64  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          14   31  +11      87.76    10.71    30.40    20.13    54.16    86.86    63.49P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            14   28  +11      85.16    10.78    33.81    13.38    45.72    81.66    54.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             14   26  +10      79.22    10.88    25.19     5.61    25.78    64.84    35.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         14   25  +19      94.49     9.44    65.30    46.56    81.39    97.12    87.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   25   +7      79.70    10.64    24.10     5.04    25.61    66.78    37.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               14   24   +7      77.71    10.90    22.28     3.57    20.60    59.58    31.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +6      73.63    10.69    15.34     1.87    11.56    44.41    19.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         14   23   +2      72.37    10.82    10.23     1.08     9.22    39.58    15.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury                 14   23   -1      61.21    10.84   -11.69     0.14     1.36    10.60     3.03P    0.42R    0.01  
Aldershot            14   21   +6      65.96    11.23     6.37     0.51     4.20    21.74     8.21P    0.14R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   21   +1      70.06    11.05     9.25     0.79     6.58    32.47    12.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             14   20   -1      66.51    10.89     3.25     0.32     3.67    21.64     7.44P    0.13R    0.01  
Port_Vale            14   19   +2      64.29    10.82     4.73     0.24     2.51    16.77     6.34P    0.19R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -1      61.51    10.95    -4.75     0.10     1.38    11.26     3.46P    0.60R    0.03  
Northampton          14   18   -1      68.94    10.95    11.27     0.58     5.26    29.20    10.53P    0.16R    0.01  
Macclesfield         14   17   -6      54.63    10.57   -17.33     0.02     0.23     3.28     0.89P    2.56R    0.16  
Lincoln_City         14   16   -8      48.12    10.13   -23.05     0.00     0.04     0.66     0.17P    8.07R    0.64  
Crewe                14   15   -4      54.91    10.73   -12.74     0.02     0.28     3.79     0.99P    2.31R    0.18  
Hereford             14   15   -4      54.18    10.44   -12.11     0.02     0.19     3.02     0.81P    2.18R    0.16  
Cheltenham           14   15   -7      49.82    10.42   -24.60     0.00     0.07     1.29     0.31P    5.77R    0.37  
Morecambe            14   12   -9      52.85    10.63   -16.03     0.01     0.12     2.09     0.54P    4.08R    0.43  
Torquay              14   11   -6      49.56    10.73   -15.30     0.00     0.07     1.34     0.39P    6.45R    0.84  
Grimsby              14   10  -16      32.11     8.81   -59.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.43R   15.87  
Darlington           14    5  -18      20.83     7.17   -64.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   81.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.31     7.95    68.54    78.63    99.55    86.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.18     8.93    39.62     6.60    80.30    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      91.08     9.31    39.14     9.22    84.50    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      79.13     9.45    20.84     0.74    39.58     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.03     9.19    28.30     2.72    64.49    15.74P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.29     9.09    27.83     0.62    44.99    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.79     9.17    10.97     0.08     9.98     2.06P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.50     9.24    37.39     1.25    51.59    13.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.86     9.14     3.62     0.03     4.10     0.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.99     9.41    19.74     0.07    10.14     2.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.47     9.06     3.83     0.01     3.26     0.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.84     9.11    -3.70     0.01     2.07     0.29P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.61     9.08     0.27     0.01     2.22     0.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.63     9.01   -17.82     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.83R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.40     9.05   -20.93     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.78R    0.04  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      60.94     9.98     2.58     0.01     2.35     0.54P    0.23R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      55.92     9.09    -1.80     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.67R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.39     8.31   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00P   14.38R    0.72  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.38     9.27   -27.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.01R    0.70  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.72     8.93   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    1.74  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.75     8.89   -36.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.39R    2.14  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.44     8.08   -54.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.25R    8.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.10     7.14   -52.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.61R   22.72  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.99     8.82   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.60R   63.65  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25