Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 October 2009 at 21:17:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Birmingham vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   24  +16      83.53     9.33    53.97    26.26    48.29    67.62    82.18    96.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      84.71     9.27    57.80    28.35    53.57    72.39    85.09    96.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   19   +7      68.37    10.24    27.47     1.60     5.89    14.01    26.60    59.88     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      83.87    10.47    77.81    30.38    53.13    69.51    80.93    93.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      75.45    11.24    38.56     7.95    20.97    37.11    53.80    79.16     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      9   17   +5      66.29    10.99    20.26     1.29     4.71    11.03    21.20    51.30     0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland      10   16   +3      57.73    10.30     5.21     0.10     0.62     1.98     5.12    20.68     0.37R    0.02  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      71.88    10.26    42.59     4.03    12.39    24.78    40.27    74.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           10   15   -2      52.98    10.32    -2.88     0.03     0.19     0.69     2.10    10.15     1.10R    0.09  
Wigan           10   13   -5      47.87     9.78   -13.69     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.50     4.03     2.99R    0.24  
Burnley         10   12  -12      39.33     9.34   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.52    17.49R    2.99  
Everton          8   11   -2      38.65    10.54   -34.54     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17     1.34    21.38R    4.49  
Fulham           8   10   -2      43.30    11.08   -17.23     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.41     3.00    10.32R    1.49  
Birmingham      10   10   -4      43.47     9.90   -10.47     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.21     1.72     7.76R    0.80  
Blackburn        9   10  -11      38.39     9.75   -37.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.50    20.40R    4.01  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -7      30.64     8.61   -42.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    49.82R   13.25  
Bolton           8    8   -2      46.96    11.66   -10.62     0.01     0.14     0.41     1.11     5.37     7.62R    1.05  
Hull            10    8  -14      27.21     8.16   -57.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.46R   26.31  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      40.43    11.23   -18.73     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.24     1.65    17.49R    4.22  
Portsmouth      10    4  -10      24.07     8.23   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.70R   41.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        14   27  +12      92.01    10.05    45.18    35.54    58.39    93.07    70.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          14   26  +15      88.86    10.07    49.78    23.88    45.68    89.03    57.81P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        14   25  +11      81.05    10.97    31.27     8.83    19.99    67.73    32.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +7      73.76    10.96    16.59     2.43     7.03    41.04    14.46P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City     14   24   +4      74.78    11.09    15.14     2.35     7.13    44.14    15.80P    0.10R    0.01  
QPR              13   23  +12      86.55    11.14    43.91    19.01    37.35    82.46    50.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        14   23   +6      78.20    11.01    23.76     4.54    12.61    57.60    23.86P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          14   23   +3      69.54    11.05     7.39     1.02     3.25    26.86     7.64P    0.38R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     14   23   +3      67.89    10.75     5.68     0.55     1.90    21.83     6.37P    0.38R    0.02  
Leicester        13   21   +4      70.48    11.28    11.24     1.26     4.17    30.25    10.87P    0.34R    0.03  
Watford          14   21   +1      63.05    11.01    -3.22     0.21     0.89    12.18     2.75P    1.81R    0.16  
Swansea          14   19   -1      58.85    10.31    -3.26     0.03     0.20     4.80     1.43P    3.21R    0.32  
Sheff_Utd        14   17   -2      57.94    10.78    -9.17     0.07     0.32     5.07     1.10P    5.21R    0.70  
Crystal_Palace   13   17   -2      59.36    11.53    -5.39     0.11     0.44     7.64     1.89P    4.71R    0.58  
Coventry         14   17   -4      57.62    10.88    -8.82     0.06     0.25     4.74     1.06P    5.72R    0.78  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -7      54.92    10.72   -18.66     0.01     0.09     3.03     0.53P    8.97R    1.43  
Sheff_Wed        14   16   -1      57.15    10.53    -5.98     0.04     0.16     4.27     1.02P    5.25R    0.73  
Doncaster        14   14   -2      53.93    10.57    -6.80     0.01     0.09     2.42     0.58P    9.05R    1.31  
Derby            14   14   -8      48.43    10.43   -24.84     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.14P   22.93R    5.04  
Barnsley         14   14   -9      45.26    10.36   -32.90     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.04P   33.91R    8.96  
Peterborough     14   11   -6      46.50    10.84   -21.27     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P   28.75R    8.12  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.50    10.67   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   44.07R   15.49  
Plymouth         14    9  -13      38.08     9.70   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.38R   25.81  
Ipswich          14    8  -12      37.17    10.10   -40.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   63.64R   30.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Brentford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     13   30  +13      94.55    10.70    42.07    36.03    59.77    94.05    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         14   29  +11      89.57    10.18    38.38    17.72    39.28    88.78    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       14   28  +14      93.98     9.64    51.89    32.99    59.63    95.44    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          14   26   +4      76.22    10.55    14.36     1.99     6.11    47.32    14.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          14   22   +6      74.71    10.66    21.91     1.36     4.89    43.51    11.90P    0.17R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   13   22   +2      70.77    11.16     7.87     0.99     3.16    29.61     7.63P    0.51R    0.01  
Huddersfield     14   21  +12      82.29    10.36    42.93     6.23    17.42    72.30    32.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         14   21   +9      75.67    10.46    25.41     1.87     6.13    47.53    19.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Oldham           14   20   -1      60.90    10.90    -4.32     0.11     0.41     7.65     1.88P    4.15R    0.16  
Hartlepool       14   19   +1      61.61    10.82    -0.13     0.08     0.35     8.98     2.32P    3.57R    0.10  
Swindon          14   19   -4      59.79    10.74    -8.80     0.06     0.28     6.06     1.41P    5.32R    0.30  
Yeovil           14   18   +2      61.42    10.80     1.59     0.09     0.38     8.36     1.97P    3.39R    0.14  
Southend         14   17   +1      60.96    10.73     0.54     0.07     0.34     7.95     1.84P    3.95R    0.17  
Walsall          14   17   -2      59.51    10.73    -3.71     0.04     0.18     6.29     1.38P    5.03R    0.17  
Brentford        14   17   -2      57.02    10.37    -6.95     0.02     0.09     3.44     0.64P    7.24R    0.49  
Gillingham       14   15   -3      57.99    11.01    -5.42     0.02     0.13     5.08     0.97P    7.67R    0.37  
Leyton_Orient    14   15  -11      47.98    10.09   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P   29.91R    3.44  
Carlisle         14   14   -5      46.23    10.19   -24.54     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.08P   35.66R    4.25  
Exeter           14   14   -9      45.20    10.07   -30.29     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.04P   40.28R    5.01  
Stockport        14   14   -9      43.81     9.78   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   45.86R    6.60  
Brighton         14   13   -9      41.77     9.78   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   54.34R    9.70  
Southampton      14   11   +7      69.49    10.45    33.26     0.32     1.45    26.18     9.03P    0.80R    0.03  
Tranmere         14   10  -18      30.51     8.71   -65.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   90.22R   54.53  
Wycombe          14    8   -9      39.32     9.87   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.79R   14.51  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2009, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          14   31  +11      88.18    10.70    31.00    21.44    56.04    87.76    65.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            14   28  +11      85.04    10.65    33.59    13.01    45.54    81.75    54.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             14   26  +10      79.42    10.78    25.57     5.92    25.77    65.83    36.48P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         14   25  +19      93.90     9.58    64.32    44.43    79.74    96.63    85.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   25   +7      79.83    10.69    24.35     5.25    26.02    67.11    37.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               14   24   +7      77.88    10.87    22.54     3.88    20.90    60.58    31.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +6      73.56    10.74    15.26     2.02    11.68    44.21    19.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         14   23   +2      72.18    10.69     9.90     1.02     8.52    38.73    14.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 14   23   -1      60.95    10.80   -12.07     0.17     1.41    10.05     2.93P    0.49R    0.03  
Aldershot            14   21   +6      66.50    11.25     7.38     0.62     4.46    23.33     8.84P    0.17R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   21   +1      69.69    11.02     8.67     0.75     6.13    31.15    11.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             14   20   -1      66.36    10.96     3.12     0.44     3.78    21.39     7.44P    0.19R    0.01  
Port_Vale            14   19   +2      64.24    10.91     4.71     0.26     2.48    16.74     6.30P    0.23R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -1      61.51    10.99    -4.86     0.18     1.47    11.29     3.50P    0.72R    0.03  
Northampton          14   18   -1      68.60    10.82    10.53     0.54     4.97    27.74     9.75P    0.13R    0.01  
Macclesfield         14   17   -6      54.48    10.66   -17.56     0.01     0.21     3.20     0.76P    2.80R    0.17  
Lincoln_City         14   16   -8      47.87     9.86   -23.31     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.15P    8.13R    0.59  
Crewe                14   15   -4      55.07    10.81   -12.39     0.02     0.35     4.05     1.12P    2.22R    0.13  
Hereford             14   15   -4      54.33    10.55   -11.81     0.03     0.27     3.21     0.94P    2.46R    0.19  
Cheltenham           14   15   -7      49.80    10.36   -24.69     0.00     0.09     1.23     0.32P    6.15R    0.48  
Morecambe            14   12   -9      52.98    10.56   -15.79     0.00     0.10     2.15     0.50P    3.98R    0.38  
Torquay              14   11   -6      49.40    10.66   -15.62     0.00     0.05     1.23     0.29P    6.74R    0.77  
Grimsby              14   10  -16      32.48     8.95   -58.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.21R   16.17  
Darlington           14    5  -18      21.07     7.24   -64.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.28R   81.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.16     8.02    68.43    77.65    99.51    85.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.05     8.97    39.43     6.46    79.62    29.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      91.41     9.35    39.75    10.42    85.76    32.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.71     9.43    20.04     0.70    37.80     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      84.99     9.16    28.22     2.56    64.84    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.18     9.06    27.65     0.64    44.64    10.72P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      70.20     9.15    11.69     0.08    10.83     2.10P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.53     9.25    37.40     1.37    52.10    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.80     9.14     3.46     0.01     4.06     0.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.75     9.30    19.31     0.07     9.39     1.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.71     9.18     4.28     0.01     3.54     0.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.54     9.20    -4.25     0.00     2.00     0.30P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.54     9.09     0.14     0.01     2.32     0.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.51     9.01   -17.98     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.84R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.21     9.08   -21.13     0.00     0.16     0.03P    1.89R    0.04  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      61.21    10.21     2.91     0.01     2.60     0.58P    0.28R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.03     9.23    -1.55     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.70R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.78     8.39   -32.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.43R    0.69  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.55     9.24   -26.72     0.00     0.03     0.00    12.02R    0.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.57     8.93   -34.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.65R    1.80  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.97     8.82   -36.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.69R    1.96  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.13     7.81   -54.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.58R    8.44  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.33     7.11   -52.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.86R   21.91  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.82     8.98   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.81R   64.50  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25