Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 October 2009 at 21:17:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Fulham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      84.67     9.21    57.92    29.51    53.50    70.68    82.71    95.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   21  +11      80.46     9.79    46.26    17.77    35.40    53.03    69.13    90.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +8      73.52    10.44    37.83     5.65    15.08    27.51    42.41    72.73     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      83.48    10.39    76.49    29.71    50.88    66.00    77.45    92.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      75.27    11.04    38.09     8.32    20.14    35.16    49.28    75.83     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   16   +5      68.93    12.23    24.35     3.99    10.17    18.26    28.93    55.57     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland       9   16   +4      60.95    10.71     9.86     0.42     1.61     4.18     8.74    27.10     0.16R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      72.36    10.13    43.52     4.58    12.93    24.06    38.24    71.69     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            9   12   -3      47.25    10.70   -11.81     0.01     0.07     0.24     0.65     3.77     4.90R    0.62  
Burnley          9   12  -10      43.73    10.47   -28.58     0.01     0.02     0.11     0.30     1.83     9.83R    1.46  
Everton          8   11   -2      38.15    10.52   -35.58     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.14     0.99    22.64R    4.64  
Fulham           8   10   -2      43.23    11.23   -17.36     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.42     2.54    10.55R    1.36  
Blackburn        8   10   -6      41.84    10.42   -29.27     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.22     1.35    12.72R    2.23  
Wigan            9   10   -7      42.22    10.21   -22.33     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.26    10.60R    1.41  
Bolton           8    8   -2      47.01    11.53   -10.18     0.01     0.12     0.39     0.97     4.47     6.68R    0.89  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -7      29.12     8.99   -47.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05    56.98R   19.24  
Birmingham       9    7   -5      39.00    10.36   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.75    18.31R    2.70  
Hull             9    7  -14      29.25     8.98   -56.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    56.08R   20.91  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      40.57    11.12   -18.27     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.18     1.30    16.64R    3.68  
Portsmouth       9    3  -10      24.48     8.91   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    73.83R   40.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 23 October 2009, Watford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        13   24  +11      81.34    11.44    31.82    10.47    22.52    67.42    33.25P    0.02R    0.01  
Newcastle        13   24  +11      90.94    10.43    44.46    32.18    54.59    91.20    67.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   23  +14      89.01    10.53    50.98    26.13    48.14    88.25    60.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   23   +7      74.61    11.36    17.40     3.33     8.77    43.97    16.93P    0.17R    0.00  
Blackpool        13   22   +6      78.29    11.64    23.80     5.49    14.01    57.78    24.52P    0.13R    0.00  
Preston          13   22   +3      69.65    11.43     7.16     1.40     4.02    28.02     8.33P    0.44R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     13   22   +3      68.32    10.83     6.01     0.69     2.24    22.90     6.82P    0.36R    0.01  
Leicester        13   21   +4      70.33    11.46    11.12     1.54     4.36    30.01    10.83P    0.43R    0.04  
Bristol_City     13   21   +3      72.42    11.48    13.11     1.72     5.09    36.50    12.88P    0.29R    0.02  
Watford          14   21   +1      63.31    10.88    -2.66     0.25     0.97    12.28     2.80P    1.56R    0.12  
QPR              12   20  +10      84.82    11.58    40.82    16.18    32.67    77.54    45.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          13   18   -1      59.05    11.00    -3.68     0.11     0.38     6.12     1.87P    3.59R    0.35  
Sheff_Utd        13   17   -1      58.79    11.20    -8.15     0.14     0.52     6.51     1.52P    4.82R    0.52  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -4      60.81    11.55    -7.64     0.14     0.56     9.10     1.82P    4.11R    0.55  
Sheff_Wed        14   16   -1      57.50    10.43    -5.39     0.04     0.20     4.39     0.96P    4.74R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace   12   16   -2      59.45    11.75    -5.43     0.12     0.54     8.05     2.04P    4.56R    0.48  
Coventry         13   16   -4      57.19    11.15   -10.90     0.06     0.25     4.80     1.09P    6.47R    0.88  
Doncaster        13   14   -1      54.11    10.88    -7.04     0.02     0.12     2.81     0.75P    9.15R    1.24  
Derby            13   14   -6      49.76    11.07   -22.16     0.00     0.04     1.25     0.26P   19.53R    3.93  
Barnsley         13   14   -8      46.22    10.68   -31.01     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.10P   29.66R    6.89  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.12    10.81   -31.85     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   44.58R   14.60  
Peterborough     13    8   -9      40.75    11.00   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   49.27R   18.20  
Plymouth         13    8  -13      40.11    10.68   -35.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   51.71R   19.80  
Ipswich          13    7  -12      36.71    10.50   -43.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   64.38R   31.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Leeds_United vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     12   30  +14      99.02    10.70    47.23    48.97    72.04    97.22    80.28P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         13   28  +11      90.56    10.76    40.07    16.86    40.20    89.16    53.35P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          13   26   +6      79.58    11.14    19.26     2.97     9.76    59.90    22.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       13   25  +13      93.10    10.15    51.77    24.00    51.49    93.58    65.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   22   +3      75.05    11.74    14.37     2.10     6.47    44.26    13.09P    0.27R    0.00  
Norwich          13   19   +5      74.59    11.20    24.72     0.95     4.36    44.42    11.64P    0.27R    0.00  
Swindon          13   19   -3      60.27    11.36   -10.20     0.07     0.35     8.04     1.63P    5.71R    0.27  
Huddersfield     13   18   +8      79.13    11.04    37.17     2.98     9.98    61.54    22.20P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         13   18   +8      72.22    10.63    21.91     0.68     2.96    35.04    13.12P    0.24R    0.01  
Southend         13   17   +2      65.14    11.36     6.87     0.15     0.90    15.95     3.87P    2.30R    0.12  
Walsall          13   17   -1      59.44    11.06    -4.53     0.03     0.21     6.73     1.48P    5.56R    0.24  
Oldham           13   17   -3      56.02    11.14   -11.15     0.03     0.14     3.86     0.85P   10.59R    0.72  
Hartlepool       13   16   +0      61.66    11.09     1.65     0.06     0.32     9.30     2.26P    3.75R    0.16  
Yeovil           13   15   +1      55.51    11.27    -6.26     0.03     0.11     4.05     0.88P   11.16R    0.84  
Leyton_Orient    13   15   -7      50.79    10.81   -24.33     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.18P   22.23R    2.43  
Gillingham       13   14   -3      57.24    11.45    -7.58     0.02     0.11     5.27     0.95P    9.60R    0.58  
Brentford        13   14   -4      53.94    10.72   -10.79     0.01     0.04     2.19     0.46P   13.33R    1.09  
Stockport        13   14   -7      46.09    10.35   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P   37.06R    4.91  
Brighton         13   13   -7      45.26    10.38   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P   40.14R    5.50  
Exeter           13   13   -9      46.09    10.48   -29.13     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.08P   37.46R    5.05  
Carlisle         13   11   -6      42.01    10.35   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   52.33R   10.34  
Tranmere         13   10  -17      30.61     8.80   -69.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.84R   54.74  
Southampton      13    8   +5      65.39    10.97    26.39     0.10     0.55    16.65     5.54P    1.94R    0.11  
Wycombe          13    7   -9      40.69    10.44   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   56.09R   12.86  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          13   28   +9      87.51    11.05    30.89    17.17    48.03    84.86    58.76P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            13   27  +11      86.56    11.03    35.50    14.78    45.40    83.54    54.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             13   26  +11      85.39    11.14    34.58    13.31    41.36    80.48    51.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            13   25   +8      82.64    10.99    27.75     7.43    30.99    73.66    42.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County         13   22  +17      93.43     9.87    67.08    36.93    73.33    95.54    81.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            12   21   +9      75.94    12.19    22.57     4.01    16.82    51.44    25.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +4      70.09    11.27    10.01     0.92     6.19    31.33    11.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +4      75.33    11.30    18.89     2.11    12.87    49.58    21.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               13   21   +4      76.06    11.24    19.46     2.32    13.85    52.28    23.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   20   -1      65.92    11.20    -0.35     0.27     2.60    19.45     5.97P    0.21R    0.02  
Bradford             13   17   -2      65.23    11.17     2.86     0.21     2.34    17.88     5.33P    0.36R    0.05  
Bury                 12   17   -3      51.05    11.19   -24.55     0.01     0.19     2.38     0.57P    5.52R    0.66  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   -2      54.48    11.19   -16.26     0.02     0.29     3.78     0.95P    3.18R    0.34  
Macclesfield         13   16   -6      53.07    10.88   -20.65     0.01     0.16     2.55     0.58P    3.96R    0.36  
Port_Vale            12   15   +1      63.05    11.88     3.95     0.20     2.21    15.40     5.70P    0.48R    0.04  
Crewe                12   15   -1      57.44    11.67   -11.64     0.08     0.76     6.91     1.89P    1.93R    0.17  
Northampton          13   15   -3      62.66    11.50     0.27     0.15     1.61    13.25     4.01P    0.82R    0.10  
Hereford             13   15   -3      56.35    11.05   -10.27     0.03     0.35     4.87     1.28P    1.89R    0.24  
Lincoln_City         13   15   -8      49.15    10.66   -23.22     0.00     0.07     1.18     0.29P    7.82R    0.96  
Cheltenham           13   14   -7      48.66    10.74   -27.64     0.00     0.05     1.17     0.25P    7.84R    0.99  
Morecambe            13   12   -7      57.78    11.29    -7.36     0.04     0.39     6.17     1.55P    1.92R    0.18  
Torquay              13   10   -6      51.80    11.22   -12.54     0.01     0.11     2.30     0.56P    5.10R    0.80  
Grimsby              13   10  -14      33.21     9.16   -57.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.72R   16.93  
Darlington           13    5  -15      22.18     7.73   -61.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.09R   78.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.17     7.97    68.34    78.31    99.56    85.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.18     8.97    39.64     6.67    80.52    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      90.98     9.20    39.10     9.37    84.84    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.50     9.40    19.65     0.64    36.71     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.23     9.16    28.62     2.80    65.73    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.09     9.08    27.56     0.58    44.54    10.65P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.50     9.21    10.61     0.06     9.48     1.78P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.73     9.27    37.78     1.44    52.93    14.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.97     9.18     3.84     0.02     4.23     0.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.97     9.28    19.66     0.07     9.87     1.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.90     9.24     4.48     0.01     3.83     0.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      62.19     9.08    -3.06     0.00     2.07     0.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.66     9.08     0.49     0.01     2.37     0.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      55.02     9.15   -17.21     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.81R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.26     9.06   -21.03     0.00     0.16     0.03P    1.78R    0.05  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      61.06    10.14     2.77     0.01     2.39     0.52P    0.23R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      55.92     9.16    -1.73     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.68R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.68     8.24   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.66  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.56     9.23   -26.77     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.37R    0.68  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.07     8.89   -35.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.95R    2.16  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.74     8.79   -36.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.91R    2.29  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      32.70     7.82   -55.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.28R    9.54  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.41     7.22   -52.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.27R   22.17  
Chester            16  -10   -7      21.25     8.98   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.67R   62.42  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25